Handicapping the NFL Preseaon - Part 1
COACHING - The first and main consideration in handicapping the NFL Preseason for PRO INFO SPORTS is the coach of each team. Unlike the regular season, this is the strongest single factor in determining what will happen on the field. The coach decides who plays and for how long. The primary goal of a coach during preseason is not necessarily to win the game, although some coaches want to win to establish a winning attitude. The primary goal of a coach in preseason is to get ready to win in the regular season. New coaches with young teams tend to work very hard in the preseason and look to win. Older teams with veteran coaches tend to give their future talent a closer look and don't care as much about the outcome of the game. Teams with a tradition of winning in the regular season normally don't put too much stock in winning their preseason games, particularly when playing an inferior or younger team that might be "gunning" for them.
A veteran coach secure in his job and coming of a fairly successful season with stable personnel might be expected to not be overly zealous in attempting to win his preseason games, especially in the first week or two. That may change, however, as the preseason wears on and the coach gears up the team for the regular season. This is especially true if his team happens to take the first several games very lightly and loses them both outright. A different sort of veteran coach is one whose team is coming off an unsuccessful season and whose job is rumored to be in jeopardy. Such a coach may go all out in the preseason to win a few games and appease ownership, media, and fans, at least temporarily. He may be tempted to play his first unit longer in an attempt to get them ready for the regular season. Such a coach tends to be more dangerous early in the preseason, especially against a team coached by a veteran coach that may have given the other team some extra incentive to play hard against them and try to come up with a victory. The opposite of the veteran coach is the newcomer or rookie coach. Such neophytes almost always try to impress and win games in the preseason in order to build their own confidence and the confidence of their team. A new coach is often in a honeymoon period with his team and so the team will play harder, even in the preseason game, if he asks. Later on when the regular season begins and everyone is playing hard and up for the games it will be more difficult for a new coach to win but during the preseason rookie coaches bear watching.
Coaches also tend to place emphasis on winning during certain weeks of the four-week preseason schedule. Some will use Week Three as their "dress rehearsal" for the regular season giving his starters extended playing time and then resting them in Week Four. Others focus on Week Four to instill a winning attitude and establish positive momentum for the upcoming season. Checking coaches SU/ATS records overall, in home/road games, as a favorite/underdog, after a win/loss, and in each week of the preseason can reveal some very profitable situations.
An excellent sports investment opportunity often exists for PRO INFO SPORTS clients when we isolate preseason games where one coach cares and the other could not care less. Last year we took advantage of coaching differences on numerous occassions. For example:
Tennessee -1 1/2 over CINCINNATI
The Tennessee Titans face their second former AFC Central foe in three preseason games Saturday night, when they take on the Cincinnati Bengals at Paul Brown Stadium. Tennessee began the preseason with a win over ex-Central division rival Cleveland and followed it up with an impressive 37-24 victory over Buffalo last week. Cincinnati got into the preseason win column with a 23-10 victory over Detroit at home last week as rookie QB Carson Palmer led the Bengals to a pair of third quarter touchdowns in his home debut. Marvin Lewis picked up his first win as a head coach at any level.
When Titans QB Neil O'Donnell plays, it gives Tennessee one of the deepest QB rotations in the league. O'Donnell was held out last week but will be back behind center vs. the Bengals. Of course the starter is Steve McNair who has looked very impressive in the pre-season. We also know that coach Jeff Fisher expects the starters to play far more in the final two preseason games than they did in the first two. As he has routinely done in the preseason, Fisher will play the regulars through halftime and into the third quarter against the Bengals this week.
Expect to see more of rookie Carson Palmer for Cincinnati, following Jon Kitna. While the Titan starters will play into the second half, Lewis will have Bengal back-ups on the field before the break, giving Tennessee a decided advantage.
...With minimal points to give away, we have a strong selection here on Tennessee to win and cover this low number.
ACTUAL FINAL SCORE: TENNESSEE 23 CINCINNATI 15
This is the kind of information, analysis, and advice provided by PRO INFO SPORTS for our clients.
Next, in Handicapping the NFL Preseason, Part 2 will cover QB Rotations.
For ALL of our client selections, subscribe to the PRO INFO SPORTS GAMEDAY INVESTMENT E-LERT via PRO INFO SPORTS SERVICES & PRODUCTS. E-LERTS are issued the day prior to all football games and detail each Money Play and opinion with comprehensive information, analysis and advice.
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[email protected].
PRO INFO SPORTS Publications presents the most POWERful handicapping tool available - The 2004 NFL POWER SYSTEM e-CYCLOPEDIA - with 400 computer-researched and documented 90%-100% ATS POWER SYSTEMS for every situation throughout the NFL season. Read all about it including a 20-0 ATS sample POWER SYSTEM at:
http://www.proinfosports.com/Power.html
It's offered as an e-BOOK, on CD-ROM, or via subscription to the POWERePORT from PRO INFO SPORTS SERVICES & PRODUCTS at:
http://www.proinfosports.com/Services.0.html
INVEST with the BEST. JOIN the PRO INFO SPORTS team TODAY and start winning TONIGHT!
COACHING - The first and main consideration in handicapping the NFL Preseason for PRO INFO SPORTS is the coach of each team. Unlike the regular season, this is the strongest single factor in determining what will happen on the field. The coach decides who plays and for how long. The primary goal of a coach during preseason is not necessarily to win the game, although some coaches want to win to establish a winning attitude. The primary goal of a coach in preseason is to get ready to win in the regular season. New coaches with young teams tend to work very hard in the preseason and look to win. Older teams with veteran coaches tend to give their future talent a closer look and don't care as much about the outcome of the game. Teams with a tradition of winning in the regular season normally don't put too much stock in winning their preseason games, particularly when playing an inferior or younger team that might be "gunning" for them.
A veteran coach secure in his job and coming of a fairly successful season with stable personnel might be expected to not be overly zealous in attempting to win his preseason games, especially in the first week or two. That may change, however, as the preseason wears on and the coach gears up the team for the regular season. This is especially true if his team happens to take the first several games very lightly and loses them both outright. A different sort of veteran coach is one whose team is coming off an unsuccessful season and whose job is rumored to be in jeopardy. Such a coach may go all out in the preseason to win a few games and appease ownership, media, and fans, at least temporarily. He may be tempted to play his first unit longer in an attempt to get them ready for the regular season. Such a coach tends to be more dangerous early in the preseason, especially against a team coached by a veteran coach that may have given the other team some extra incentive to play hard against them and try to come up with a victory. The opposite of the veteran coach is the newcomer or rookie coach. Such neophytes almost always try to impress and win games in the preseason in order to build their own confidence and the confidence of their team. A new coach is often in a honeymoon period with his team and so the team will play harder, even in the preseason game, if he asks. Later on when the regular season begins and everyone is playing hard and up for the games it will be more difficult for a new coach to win but during the preseason rookie coaches bear watching.
Coaches also tend to place emphasis on winning during certain weeks of the four-week preseason schedule. Some will use Week Three as their "dress rehearsal" for the regular season giving his starters extended playing time and then resting them in Week Four. Others focus on Week Four to instill a winning attitude and establish positive momentum for the upcoming season. Checking coaches SU/ATS records overall, in home/road games, as a favorite/underdog, after a win/loss, and in each week of the preseason can reveal some very profitable situations.
An excellent sports investment opportunity often exists for PRO INFO SPORTS clients when we isolate preseason games where one coach cares and the other could not care less. Last year we took advantage of coaching differences on numerous occassions. For example:
Tennessee -1 1/2 over CINCINNATI
The Tennessee Titans face their second former AFC Central foe in three preseason games Saturday night, when they take on the Cincinnati Bengals at Paul Brown Stadium. Tennessee began the preseason with a win over ex-Central division rival Cleveland and followed it up with an impressive 37-24 victory over Buffalo last week. Cincinnati got into the preseason win column with a 23-10 victory over Detroit at home last week as rookie QB Carson Palmer led the Bengals to a pair of third quarter touchdowns in his home debut. Marvin Lewis picked up his first win as a head coach at any level.
When Titans QB Neil O'Donnell plays, it gives Tennessee one of the deepest QB rotations in the league. O'Donnell was held out last week but will be back behind center vs. the Bengals. Of course the starter is Steve McNair who has looked very impressive in the pre-season. We also know that coach Jeff Fisher expects the starters to play far more in the final two preseason games than they did in the first two. As he has routinely done in the preseason, Fisher will play the regulars through halftime and into the third quarter against the Bengals this week.
Expect to see more of rookie Carson Palmer for Cincinnati, following Jon Kitna. While the Titan starters will play into the second half, Lewis will have Bengal back-ups on the field before the break, giving Tennessee a decided advantage.
...With minimal points to give away, we have a strong selection here on Tennessee to win and cover this low number.
ACTUAL FINAL SCORE: TENNESSEE 23 CINCINNATI 15
This is the kind of information, analysis, and advice provided by PRO INFO SPORTS for our clients.
Next, in Handicapping the NFL Preseason, Part 2 will cover QB Rotations.
For ALL of our client selections, subscribe to the PRO INFO SPORTS GAMEDAY INVESTMENT E-LERT via PRO INFO SPORTS SERVICES & PRODUCTS. E-LERTS are issued the day prior to all football games and detail each Money Play and opinion with comprehensive information, analysis and advice.
NOW is the time to join our winning team and take advantage of our JULY SPECIAL:
*PURCHASE the NFL SEASON GAMEDAY INVESTMENT E-LERT for $179.95 and get the NCAA FOOTBALL SEASON GAMEDAY INVESTMENT E-LERT for FREE - a SAVINGS of $135!
*PURCHASE the NFL SEASON GAMEDAY INVESTMENT E-LERT & POWERePORT for $224.95 and get the NCAA FOOTBALL SEASON GAMEDAY INVESTMENT E-LERT for FREE - also a SAVINGS of $135!
*Get the NFL Pre-Season FREE with any SEASON E-LERT or POWER SYSTEM package!
This special is for JULY ONLY and will expire at Midnight PDT on July 31, 2004. SIGN UP NOW at:
http://www.proinfosports.com/Services.0.html
The PRO INFO SPORTS GAMEDAY INVESTMENT FREE-LERT features a sample of the in-depth information, analysis, and advice available from PRO INFO SPORTS with complimentary selections. If you would like to join the FREE-LERT e-mailing list, simply send us a note at:
[email protected].
PRO INFO SPORTS Publications presents the most POWERful handicapping tool available - The 2004 NFL POWER SYSTEM e-CYCLOPEDIA - with 400 computer-researched and documented 90%-100% ATS POWER SYSTEMS for every situation throughout the NFL season. Read all about it including a 20-0 ATS sample POWER SYSTEM at:
http://www.proinfosports.com/Power.html
It's offered as an e-BOOK, on CD-ROM, or via subscription to the POWERePORT from PRO INFO SPORTS SERVICES & PRODUCTS at:
http://www.proinfosports.com/Services.0.html
INVEST with the BEST. JOIN the PRO INFO SPORTS team TODAY and start winning TONIGHT!
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