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Insider Edge Sports – Report For Friday, June 4, 2004
Friday’s Card Features
4 MLB Winners – All Free
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We end up 1-2 yesterday, dropping 1.96 units. We are still up a small amount for the week so we will be looking to start the weekend off right with 4 plays tonight. All 4 releases are FREE inside.
Looking for long-term wins? Get our Spring Football Special for $299 and receive every winner we release through the 2005 Super Bowl. Your membership begins the minute you sign up.
***Click Here For Our Spring Football Special - $299.00***
A look at our results for the past year since the beginning of football season:
Yesterday 1-2 -1.96 units
September +17.2 units
October -41.5 units
November +51.7 units
December +5.3 units
January +19.1 units
February -37.9 units
March +14.9 units
April +7.0 units
May +27.55 units
June -11.02 units
Total +52.33 units
These numbers are all based on 2-unit plays with the occasional 3-unit top plays included as well. We do not inflate our numbers with 5 or 10 unit plays. Obviously the numbers are true and correct since we are fully documented – always have been and always will be. Need a breakdown of any of the above numbers? Feel free to email us and we will send you the plays.
FREE Card For Friday, June 4, 2004
Houston Astros (Miller) at St. Louis Cardinals (Morris) 8:10 PM ET
St. Louis Cardinals (Morris) –127 (2 Units)
This has been a road-dominated series so far this season with the away team winning 8 of the first 9 meetings. That changes today as St. Louis, who started the season 3-9 at home, is playing a lot better in their home park. They have won 8 of their last 13. Matt Morris is not in the same groove this season as he is just 4-5 on the season and his big problem has been the long ball. He has allowed 16 home runs already this season, which is only 4 short of his total for all of last year. The good news is that the number is improving. He gave up 9 in his first 5 starts but has allowed 7 in his last 6. He returns home after 3 straight starts on the road. He has been awesome at home recently, going 17 innings with a 1.06 ERA his last 2 outings at Busch Stadium. Wade Miller is coming off back-to-back outings of very subpar pitching and he has yet to get out of the 6th inning in his last 4 starts. In his last start, which was against St. Louis, Miller was pulled after giving up a home run to Albert Pujols and a triple to Scott Rolen to start the fifth inning. He allowed seven hits, four runs, three walks and struck out three. His ERA over those last 4 starts is 6.20, well above his early season numbers. Houston is 1-3 in those games and they are 3-5 his last 8 on the season. After winning 6 straight starts against the Cardinals when Miller pitches, the Astros have dropped the last 2. Since May 12, only four times has a starter other than Oswalt made it through seven innings and three of those times it was Roger Clemens. The other was Tim Redding. The Astros' bullpen has averaged 3 2/3 innings per game since May 12, which is way too much. The once dominating bullpen is no longer the same with a 3.99 ERA this season.
Milwaukee Brewers (Santos) at San Diego Padres (Tankersley) 10:05 PM ET
San Diego Padres (Tankersley) –1.5 +149 (2 Units)
Dennis Tankersley picked up the loss in his first start this season last weekend against this same Brewers team despite shutting them down for 6 innings. The Padres outhit the Brewers 11-4 but baserunning miscues and a Mark Loretta throwing error led to 3 unearned runs. It added up to a tough defeat for Tankersley, who in his starting debut threw five perfect innings out of the six he worked. Another similar start would not surprise us as the Brewers are having tons of trouble on offense. In their last 14 games, the Brewers have scored only 39 runs, an average of 2.79 per game. They have scored 2 or less runs 7 times. They managed just 3 rpg in their home series against the Padres last weekend. As a team, they have a had a team batting average of .194 or less in 6 of their last 10 games, never going over .278. The bullpen remains one of the best in baseball, as the Padres team ERA is 3.26 for their relievers, which is 5th in the Majors. Milwaukee ranks 20th, allowing a full run more per game. Victor Santos has been roughed up his last 2 games, including his last game against the Padres, a 5-2 San Diego win. He has an 8.10 ERA over those last 2 starts after posting a 2.05 ERA in his first 4 starts this season. San Diego isn’t lighting up the opposition on offense either in recent games but they are hitting .286 against righties over their last 10 games. They are still hitting better than Milwaukee however. As a comparison, over their last 14 games they have scored 69 runs, an average of 4.9 per game.
Texas Rangers (Rogers) at New York Yankees (Brown) 7:05 PM ET
Texas Rangers (Rogers) +175 (2 Units)
Kenny Rogers is having a phenomenal year so far and he will look to continue that against a team that has been nothing but trouble in the past. Rogers is 8-2 with a 3.10 ERA this season and that includes a 4-1 record on the road. He has won his last 4 decisions and his 2.20 ERA in the moth of May was second best in the American League. He has started 5 times against the Yankees since 2000 and he has allowed at least 5 runs in each outing. He has not faced them since 2002 so those numbers do not hold much water. Kevin Brown continued his 2004 dominance against Tampa Bay as he won for the 4th time against them this season. He has a 1.88 ERA and 0.91 WHIP against the Devil Rays this season but the problem is that he must face other teams as well. He is 2-1 in his other 7 starts but his ERA skyrockets to 4.86 and his ratio jumps to 1.41. His worst outing on the season came against the Rangers back on May 21st, as he allowed 5 runs on 10 hits in only 4.2 innings of work. The Rangers bats have definitely cooled down after the hot start but they still rank 4th in the American League with a .280 average and they lead the league with a .469 slugging percentage. After losing 10 of 15 games, Texas has recently responded with 3 straight wins, all on the road. The three straight road wins happened for the first time this season. Texas can now go toe to toe with the Yankees in the closer department. Francisco Cordero saved his 18th consecutive game in the Rangers' 5-3 victory against Cleveland on Wednesday.
Chicago White Sox (Garland) at Seattle Mariners (Garcia) 10:05 PM ET
Chicago White Sox (Garland) +113 (2 Units)
The White Sox have lost some tough games recently, dropping both of their games to the A’s in extra innings. Prior to that, they had won 9 of their last 12 and they are still carrying a .500 record on the road. The Sox's 29-21 record after 50 games was six games better than last year's mark (23-27). It was also their best mark after 50 games since 1996, when they were 30-20. Jon Garland has quietly had a solid season, going 4-2 with a 3.93 ERA in his first 10 starts this year. He has had only a couple bad outings and he has given up 7 or less hits in 6 of his 10 starts. He has not allowed a home run in his last 4 outings and the White Sox offense has been very kind to him. They are providing 5.9 rpg for him and an amazing 8.3 rpg over his last 3 starts. Garland has not allowed a single earned run in his last 3 starts against the Mariners. Freddy Garcia has fallen on hard times after a great start. He was pitching great early on but he was getting no run support. Now he is pitching much worst and is still getting no support. Overall, the offense is giving him only 2.6 rpg and they have scored more than 3 runs just two times. Garcia has a 4.63 ERA over his last 4 starts after starting the season with a 2.12 ERA through his first 6 starts. The lack of runs makes things even tougher for him mentally. The help coming in behind him isn’t doing much either. Only Detroit and Cleveland have a higher bullpen ERA than the Mariners (4.47). Seattle has sent Kevin Jarvis and his 8.31 ERA packing, but Rafael Soriano (13.50), Julio Mateo (5.01) and Shigetoshi Hasegawa (5.32) aren't helping, either. The White Sox have a 3.38 ERA out of the pen, which is third best in the American League.
AT AT AT AT We end up 1-2 yesterday, dropping 1.96 units. We are still up a small amount for the week so we will be looking to start the weekend off right with 4 plays tonight. All 4 releases are FREE inside.
Looking for long-term wins? Get our Spring Football Special for $299 and receive every winner we release through the 2005 Super Bowl. Your membership begins the minute you sign up.
***Click Here For Our Spring Football Special - $299.00***
A look at our results for the past year since the beginning of football season:
Yesterday 1-2 -1.96 units
September +17.2 units
October -41.5 units
November +51.7 units
December +5.3 units
January +19.1 units
February -37.9 units
March +14.9 units
April +7.0 units
May +27.55 units
June -11.02 units
Total +52.33 units
These numbers are all based on 2-unit plays with the occasional 3-unit top plays included as well. We do not inflate our numbers with 5 or 10 unit plays. Obviously the numbers are true and correct since we are fully documented – always have been and always will be. Need a breakdown of any of the above numbers? Feel free to email us and we will send you the plays.
FREE Card For Friday, June 4, 2004
Houston Astros (Miller) at St. Louis Cardinals (Morris) 8:10 PM ET
St. Louis Cardinals (Morris) –127 (2 Units)
This has been a road-dominated series so far this season with the away team winning 8 of the first 9 meetings. That changes today as St. Louis, who started the season 3-9 at home, is playing a lot better in their home park. They have won 8 of their last 13. Matt Morris is not in the same groove this season as he is just 4-5 on the season and his big problem has been the long ball. He has allowed 16 home runs already this season, which is only 4 short of his total for all of last year. The good news is that the number is improving. He gave up 9 in his first 5 starts but has allowed 7 in his last 6. He returns home after 3 straight starts on the road. He has been awesome at home recently, going 17 innings with a 1.06 ERA his last 2 outings at Busch Stadium. Wade Miller is coming off back-to-back outings of very subpar pitching and he has yet to get out of the 6th inning in his last 4 starts. In his last start, which was against St. Louis, Miller was pulled after giving up a home run to Albert Pujols and a triple to Scott Rolen to start the fifth inning. He allowed seven hits, four runs, three walks and struck out three. His ERA over those last 4 starts is 6.20, well above his early season numbers. Houston is 1-3 in those games and they are 3-5 his last 8 on the season. After winning 6 straight starts against the Cardinals when Miller pitches, the Astros have dropped the last 2. Since May 12, only four times has a starter other than Oswalt made it through seven innings and three of those times it was Roger Clemens. The other was Tim Redding. The Astros' bullpen has averaged 3 2/3 innings per game since May 12, which is way too much. The once dominating bullpen is no longer the same with a 3.99 ERA this season.
Milwaukee Brewers (Santos) at San Diego Padres (Tankersley) 10:05 PM ET
San Diego Padres (Tankersley) –1.5 +149 (2 Units)
Dennis Tankersley picked up the loss in his first start this season last weekend against this same Brewers team despite shutting them down for 6 innings. The Padres outhit the Brewers 11-4 but baserunning miscues and a Mark Loretta throwing error led to 3 unearned runs. It added up to a tough defeat for Tankersley, who in his starting debut threw five perfect innings out of the six he worked. Another similar start would not surprise us as the Brewers are having tons of trouble on offense. In their last 14 games, the Brewers have scored only 39 runs, an average of 2.79 per game. They have scored 2 or less runs 7 times. They managed just 3 rpg in their home series against the Padres last weekend. As a team, they have a had a team batting average of .194 or less in 6 of their last 10 games, never going over .278. The bullpen remains one of the best in baseball, as the Padres team ERA is 3.26 for their relievers, which is 5th in the Majors. Milwaukee ranks 20th, allowing a full run more per game. Victor Santos has been roughed up his last 2 games, including his last game against the Padres, a 5-2 San Diego win. He has an 8.10 ERA over those last 2 starts after posting a 2.05 ERA in his first 4 starts this season. San Diego isn’t lighting up the opposition on offense either in recent games but they are hitting .286 against righties over their last 10 games. They are still hitting better than Milwaukee however. As a comparison, over their last 14 games they have scored 69 runs, an average of 4.9 per game.
Texas Rangers (Rogers) at New York Yankees (Brown) 7:05 PM ET
Texas Rangers (Rogers) +175 (2 Units)
Kenny Rogers is having a phenomenal year so far and he will look to continue that against a team that has been nothing but trouble in the past. Rogers is 8-2 with a 3.10 ERA this season and that includes a 4-1 record on the road. He has won his last 4 decisions and his 2.20 ERA in the moth of May was second best in the American League. He has started 5 times against the Yankees since 2000 and he has allowed at least 5 runs in each outing. He has not faced them since 2002 so those numbers do not hold much water. Kevin Brown continued his 2004 dominance against Tampa Bay as he won for the 4th time against them this season. He has a 1.88 ERA and 0.91 WHIP against the Devil Rays this season but the problem is that he must face other teams as well. He is 2-1 in his other 7 starts but his ERA skyrockets to 4.86 and his ratio jumps to 1.41. His worst outing on the season came against the Rangers back on May 21st, as he allowed 5 runs on 10 hits in only 4.2 innings of work. The Rangers bats have definitely cooled down after the hot start but they still rank 4th in the American League with a .280 average and they lead the league with a .469 slugging percentage. After losing 10 of 15 games, Texas has recently responded with 3 straight wins, all on the road. The three straight road wins happened for the first time this season. Texas can now go toe to toe with the Yankees in the closer department. Francisco Cordero saved his 18th consecutive game in the Rangers' 5-3 victory against Cleveland on Wednesday.
Chicago White Sox (Garland) at Seattle Mariners (Garcia) 10:05 PM ET
Chicago White Sox (Garland) +113 (2 Units)
The White Sox have lost some tough games recently, dropping both of their games to the A’s in extra innings. Prior to that, they had won 9 of their last 12 and they are still carrying a .500 record on the road. The Sox's 29-21 record after 50 games was six games better than last year's mark (23-27). It was also their best mark after 50 games since 1996, when they were 30-20. Jon Garland has quietly had a solid season, going 4-2 with a 3.93 ERA in his first 10 starts this year. He has had only a couple bad outings and he has given up 7 or less hits in 6 of his 10 starts. He has not allowed a home run in his last 4 outings and the White Sox offense has been very kind to him. They are providing 5.9 rpg for him and an amazing 8.3 rpg over his last 3 starts. Garland has not allowed a single earned run in his last 3 starts against the Mariners. Freddy Garcia has fallen on hard times after a great start. He was pitching great early on but he was getting no run support. Now he is pitching much worst and is still getting no support. Overall, the offense is giving him only 2.6 rpg and they have scored more than 3 runs just two times. Garcia has a 4.63 ERA over his last 4 starts after starting the season with a 2.12 ERA through his first 6 starts. The lack of runs makes things even tougher for him mentally. The help coming in behind him isn’t doing much either. Only Detroit and Cleveland have a higher bullpen ERA than the Mariners (4.47). Seattle has sent Kevin Jarvis and his 8.31 ERA packing, but Rafael Soriano (13.50), Julio Mateo (5.01) and Shigetoshi Hasegawa (5.32) aren't helping, either. The White Sox have a 3.38 ERA out of the pen, which is third best in the American League.
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