National League Game of the Week - 5 Winners Total!

[InsiderEdge]

Insider Edge Sports – Report For Wednesday, April 7, 2004

Plays go 2-3 on Wednesday, losing 1 NBA game in overtime and a baseball game in the 8th inning. Tough breaks, but we come back Wednesday with a very solid card featuring our National League Game of the Week. We have 5 releases in total – 4 MLB and 1 NBA. First game goes at 7:05 pm EST tonight. As always, the entire card is guaranteed.

#1 Documented in NCAA Hoops! We ended the season +36 units, finishing 1st at Wisetracking and we would have been first at Procappers if unit values were used, since all games are counted as just one unit there. Overall, a great season.

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Insider Edge Sports

Free Service Play For Wednesday, April 7, 2004

Colorado Rockies (Jennings) at Arizona Diamondbacks (Webb) 9:35 pm EST

Arizona (Webb) –1.5 +100 (2 Units)

We like the Diamondback to bounce back on Tuesday with their solid young pitcher Brandon Webb. Webb came out of nowhere last year in his rookie season to win 10 games and put up a 2.84 ERA and 1.15 ratio. He slipped some in September, which was due to the youngster simply being tired. He faced the Rockies 3 times last season, going 2-1 with a 5.00 ERA. However, throw out a bad September outing in Coors Field and the other two starts show a 2-0 record with a 2.57 ERA. Colorado hit just .250 against Webb in those 3 starts. Jason Jennings has started 3 games in Arizona and has not gotten out alive. He is 0-2 with a 9.60 ERA and a 2.53 WHIP. Arizona starters are lighting him up with a .383 average in 60 career at bats. In 6 total starts against Arizona, Jennings has posted a 6.28 ERA and 1.95 WHIP. The potent Arizona offense should wake up after Estes shut them down yesterday.

[Warrior]

THAT GOOD PICK OK BUT I NOT LAY RUNS NO WAY!!!!

WEBB -190 GOOD PIK TOO!!! YOU REALLY WIN YOU NOT CHARGE ENOUGH ONLY 300 DOLLAR!!!! MY BASEBALL SYSTEM 1000 DOLLAR YOU WANT IT OUT!!!!

WARIOR!!!!

[Homer]

Originally posted by Warrior
THAT GOOD PICK OK BUT I NOT LAY RUNS NO WAY!!!!

WEBB -190 GOOD PIK TOO!!! YOU REALLY WIN YOU NOT CHARGE ENOUGH ONLY 300 DOLLAR!!!! MY BASEBALL SYSTEM 1000 DOLLAR YOU WANT IT OUT!!!!

WARIOR!!!!

You Go Warrior :cool: :cool:

[InsiderEdge]

Hey Warrior,

Here is a sample of betting the run line vs. the money line. A lot of people balk at laying 1.5 runs in baseball but it’s a much better investment than laying –200 or more on a favorite. Taking a look at the 2003 season, there were 424 favorites of –200 or more (it’s a relatively small sample, but it makes its point). If someone bet $100 on the favorite in every one of those games, they would have lost $4,770. If someone had laid 1.5 runs in each of those games instead of playing the money line, they would have lost $2,055 (roughly – the run line odds were estimated). Here is the breakdown:

Of the 424 games, the favorite won 282 and lost 142.

Of those 142 losses, the money line would have cost -$32,970 while laying 1.5 runs would have cut that roughly in half -$16,485 (again, estimating run line). This favors the run line bettor by $16,485.

Of the 282 wins, there were 63 one run games, meaning the money line player would have won $6,300 while the run line player would have lost -$7,470. This favors the money line bettor by $13,770.

Of the 282 wins, there were 219 decided by two or more runs. The money line player and the run line player would have each made $21,900.

33.49% of the total games were outright losers while only 22.34% of the total wins were by just one run. That’s an investment that is much less risky.