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BIO:
Rich Green is the editor of http://www.FreeSportsLetter.com , a free sports handicapping and information service. He has been a top ranked handicapper for over 40 years. He specializes in Football, Basketball and Baseball, all the major sports, and has won numerous contests in each.
(SCROLL DOWN FOR NFL TRENDS)
2019 NFL and NCAA Football Against The Spread (ATS) Trends
Here is a look before the 2019 College Football season starts on lined teams and some basic ATS trends:
Air Force -- 11-2 ATS as Dogs >=7 pts, 0-10 ATS vs Wyoming
Akron -- New Head Coach, 3-0 ATS at Miami-Ohio, 1-9 ATS as Favorites >10 pts
Alabama -- 18-2 ATS in the first of back-to-back Road games, 1-6 ATS after playing Texas A&M
Appalachian State -- 6-1 ATS after scoring at least 35 points, 0-5 ATS off a shutout win
Arizona -- 5-1 ATS as Road Dogs >=15 pts, 2-8 ATS after scoring <10.5 pts
Arizona State -- 9-3 ATS as Home Dogs, 0-9 ATS on weekdays
Arkansas -- 6-0 ATS vs Ole Miss, 0-5 ATS after allowing 10 or less pts
Arkansas State -- 9-0 ATS vs UL-Monroe, 1-5 ATS after playing Troy
Army -- 6-0 ATS vs better than average foes, 0-6 ATS before playing Navy
Auburn -- 4-0 ATS vs Ole Miss, 1-5 ATS before playing Florida
Ball State -- 5-1 ATS as Road Favs, 0-7 ATS vs Northern Illinois
Baylor -- 7-0 ATS versus Kansas, 0-7 ATS at Home vs Texas Tech
Boise State -- 6-1 ATS vs San Jose St, 0-5 ATS before playing Byu
Boston College -- 8-0 ATS before playing Louisville, 1-5 ATS after playing Va Tech
Bowling Green -- New Head Coach, 10-1 ATS vs Akron, 0-5 ATS vs Buffalo
Buffalo -- 5-0 ATS vs Bowling Green, 0-3 ATS at Akron
BYU -- 7-1 ATS after playing Utah, 1-8 ATS with Rest
California -- 6-1 ATS before playing Usc, 1-7 ATS vs Oregon
Central Michigan -- New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS vs Northern Illinois, 0-9 ATS vs Toledo
Charlotte -- New Head Coach, 4-1 ATS with Rest, 1-10 ATS in non-Conference Play
Cincinnati -- 13-2 ATS with Rest, 0-4 ATS vs Temple
Clemson -- 9-1 ATS before playing Boston College, 0-6 ATS as beaten Favorites
Coastal Carolina -- 3-0 ATS off exactly one ATS win, 0-3 ATS as Home Favorites
Colorado -- New Head Coach, 5-1 ATS vs Ucla, 0-5 ATS at Arizona State
Colorado State -- 5-1 ATS vs New Mexico, 0-4 ATS as Bowlers
Connecticut -- 3-0 vs Usf, 1-8 ATS as beaten Favorites
Duke -- 5-0 ATS as Bowlers, 0-4 ATS vs Virginia
East Carolina -- New Head Coach, 3-0 ATS vs UConn, 0-6 ATS vs Temple
Eastern Michigan -- 8-0 ATS after playing Toledo, 0-6 ATS after playing Ball State
Florida -- 6-0 ATS before playing LSU, 1-7 ATS after playing Georgia
Florida Atlantic -- 4-1 ATS vs Western Kentucky, 2-11 ATS after allowing at least 35 pts
Florida International -- 7-0 ATS off a Double Digit SU loss, 0-5 ATS as Dogs when beaten Favs
Florida State -- 7-1 ATS vs below .500 opponents, 0-9 ATS after a SU Dog win
Fresno State -- 4-0 ATS vs Hawaii, 1-5 ATS vs New Mexico State
Georgia -- 6-0 ATS on the Road off a SU Dog win, 0-4 ATS vs Missouri
Georgia Southern -- 5-0 ATS vs South Alabama, 1-4 ATS with Rest off non-Conference Play
Georgia State -- 4-0 ATS before playing Troy, 3-10 ATS as Home Dogs
Georgia Tech -- New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS before playing Virginia, 0-10 ATS at Home vs Georgia
Hawaii --6-0 ATS Home vs Pac 12, 0-7 ATS before playing Fresno State
Houston -- New Head Coach, 7-0 ATS in first of back-to-back Road Games, 1-5 ATS after playing Smu
Illinois -- 8-0 ATS as Conference Dogs off back to back SU wins, 2-13 ATS before playing Iowa
Indiana -- 7-1 ATS vs Ohio State, 0-7 ATS as Home Dogs
Iowa -- 6-0 ATS as beaten Favs, 0-9 ATS off 3+ ATS wins
Iowa State -- 7-1 ATS as non-Conference Favs, 1-6 ATS before playing Tcu
Kansas -- New Head Coach, 9-2 ATS after playing Texas, 0-7 ATS vs Baylor
Kansas State -- New Head Coach, 11-2 ATS with Rest, 3-7 ATS as Home Favs
Kent State -- 4-0 ATS vs Eastern Michigan, 1-10 ATS as Home Favs off SU loss
Kentucky -- 6-0 ATS vs South Carolina, 0-6 ATS vs Georgia
UL-Lafayette -- 6-0 ATS vs Texas State, 4-9 ATS as Home Favs
UL-Monroe -- 9-1 ATS as Dogs off a Double Digit SU win, 0-9 ATS vs Arkansas State
Liberty -- New Head Coach, 3-1 ATS off an ATS loss, 0-3 ATS off an ATS win
Louisiana Tech -- 9-0 ATS as Road Dogs <10.5 pts, 0-4 ATS as Home Favs
Louisville -- New Head Coach, 9-0 ATS as Double Digit Dogs off a SU win, 0-5 ATS vs Wake Forest
LSU -- 8-0 ATS vs Texas A&M, 1-5 ATS before playing Arkansas
Marshall -- 10-1 ATS last game of season, 0-4 ATS vs Western Kentucky
Maryland -- New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS at Temple, 0-12 ATS off a SU and ATS Conference win
Memphis -- 5-0 ATS vs SMU, 1-7 ATS as Road Dogs
Miami -- New Head Coach, 6-1 ATS vs Florida, 0-6 ATS vs Louisville
Miami OH -- 6-1 ATS vs Northern Illinois, 0-4 ATS at Home vs Bowling Green
Michigan -- 4-0 ATS vs Maryland, 1-9 ATS after playing Penn State
Michigan State -- 7-0 ATS before playing Wisconsin, 1-6 ATS after playing Indiana
MTSU -- 4-0 ATS with Rest, 0-9 ATS after playing Florida International
Minnesota -- 5-1 ATS after playing Nebraska, 1-8 ATS after playing Purdue
Mississippi -- 7-1 ATS before playing Alabama, 0-6 ATS vs Arkansas
Mississippi State -- 5-0 ATS before playing Kentucky, 0-7 ATS on the Road off a SU Dog win
Missouri -- 59-6 ATS when they win Straight Up on the Road, 0-9 ATS as Favorites off a SU Dog win
Navy -- 4-0 ATS vs Memphis, 3-18 ATS Home off a SU Dog win
Nebraska -- 6-2 ATS as Road Dogs, 0-4 ATS as Home Dogs
Nevada -- 6-1 ATS vs Hawaii, 0-3 ATS vs Fresno State
New Mexico -- 7-1 ATS vs Hawaii, 0-4 vs San Jose State
New Mexico State -- 5-0 ATS after playing Utep, 1-9 ATS as Dogs
North Carolina -- 6-0 ATS after playing Virginia Tech, 0-7 ATS first lined game
North Carolina State -- 8-0 ATS off a lined weekday game, 1-6 ATS after playing Florida State
North Texas -- 4-0 ATS after playing UTEP, 2-6 ATS as Home Favs
Northern Illinois -- New Head Coach, 7-0 ATS vs Ball State, 0-5 ATS vs Central Michigan
Northwestern -- 7-0 ATS after playing Iowa, 1-6 ATS vs Ohio State
Notre Dame -- 10-1 ATS with Revenge off a win, 1-5 ATS as Home Favs of 7 or more pts
Ohio State -- New Head Coach, 5-0 vs Rutgers, 2-9 ATS before playing Michigan
Ohio U -- 6-0 ATS after playing Kent, 2-10 ATS on the Road with Rest
Oklahoma -- 5-0 ATS vs West Virginia, 0-6 ATS vs Texas
Oklahoma State -- 7-0 ATS after playing Texas Tech, 1-7 ATS vs Kansas State
Old Dominion -- 4-0 ATS as Favorites with Revenge, 0-6 ATS as Dogs >15 pts
Oregon -- 7-1 ATS vs California, 0-9 ATS vs Washington State
Oregon State -- 5-0 ATS after scoring <10.5 pts, 0-7 ATS vs foes with Revenge
Penn State -- 10-5 ATS as Home Favs, 0-4 ATS vs opponents off a SU Dog win
Pittsburgh -- 5-0 ATS vs Virginia Tech, 0-5 ATS at Home vs North Carolina
Purdue -- 11-0 ATS as Road Dogs >=11 pts, 2-11 ATS vs Wisconsin
Rice -- 7-0 ATS before playing North Texas, 0-4 ATS at Uab
Rutgers -- 4-1 ATS vs Indiana, 0-5 ATS vs Ohio State
San Diego State -- 9-0 ATS with Rest off back-to-back SU losses, 1-7 ATS at Ucla
San Jose State -- 9-0 ATS as Road Favs off a Double Digit SU win, 0-3 ATS at Nevada
SMU -- 5-0 ATS as non-Conf Favs, 0-14 ATS before playing Tulsa
South Alabama -- 5-0 ATS before playing Georgia State, 0-5 ATS vs Georgia Southern
South Carolina -- 4-0 ATS versus Vanderbilt, 0-6 ATS vs Kentucky
South Florida -- 4-0 ATS vs Cincinnati, 0-5 ATS as Home Favs of >6.5 pts
Southern Mississippi -- 5-0 ATS as Dogs >8.5 pts, 3-9 ATS as Home Favs
Stanford -- 5-0 ATS vs Ucla, 0-4 ATS vs Washington State
Syracuse -- 10-5 ATS as Road Dogs,1-4 ATS at Florida State
TCU -- 6-1 ATS vs Baylor, 2-11 ATS as Home Favs
Temple -- New Head Coach, 6-0 ATS vs East Carolina, 0-9 ATS as Favs <=14 pts with Rest
Tennessee -- 6-1 ATS vs Kentucky, 1-6 ATS before playing Georgia
Texas -- 11-0 ATS before playing Iowa State, 1-7 ATS before playing Oklahoma
Texas A&M -- 4-0 ATS on the Road off a SU Dog win, 0-13 ATS with Rest
Texas State -- New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS after playing UL-Lafayette, 0-6 ATS vs UL-Lafayette
Texas Tech -- New Head Coach, 7-1 ATS in first of back-to-back Road games, 2-7 ATS vs Texas
Toledo -- 9-0 ATS vs Central Michigan, 0-5 ATS Home with Rest
Troy -- New Head Coach, 6-0 ATS off back-to-back SU and ATS losses, 0-10 ATS as non-Conf Favs >6.5 pts
Tulane -- 8-0 ATS at Home off non-Conference Play, 0-4 ATS after scoring >34.5 pts
Tulsa -- 10-2 ATS in second of back-to-back Road games, 2-11 ATS as non-Conf Favs
UAB -- 7-1 ATS as Home Dogs, 1-5 ATS with Rest vs non-Conf rivals
UCF -- 9-3 ATS as Home Favorites, 0-7 ATS as Dogs >10.5 pts
UCLA -- 5-1 ATS vs Oregon State, 0-5 ATS vs Stanford
UMASS -- New Head Coach, 4-1 ATS off a SU Dog win, 0-5 ATS after scoring >34.5 pts
UNLV -- 4-0 ATS vs Hawaii, 0-6 ATS before playing Fresno State
USC -- 6-1 ATS at California, 0-11 ATS as Dogs <=8 pts
Utah -- 19-3 ATS as Dogs >7.5 pts, 0-4 ATS vs Washington State
Utah State -- 6-0 ATS away with Rest, 1-6 ATS as Home Dogs
UTEP -- 4-1 ATS vs North Texas, 1-7 ATS after scoring <10.5 pts
UTSA -- 3-0 ATS at Utep, 1-9 ATS as beaten Favs
Vanderbilt -- 6-1 ATS vs Tennessee, 2-16 ATS in Game Six
Virginia -- 4-0 ATS vs Duke, 0-7 ATS after allowing <10.5 pts
Virginia Tech -- 3-0 ATS vs VIrginia, 0-5 ATS vs Pittsburgh
Wake Forest -- 8-0 ATS before playing Clemson, 0-5 ATS as Home Dogs
Washington -- 5-0 ATS vs Washington State, 0-4 ATS as non-Conf Road Favs
Washington State -- 9-0 ATS vs Oregon, 0-5 ATS vs Washington
West Virginia -- New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS vs Missouri, 0-5 ATS vs Oklahoma
Western Kentucky -- New Head Coach, 7-1 ATS vs Marshall, 1-4 ATS vs Florida Atlantic
Western Michigan -- 7-1 ATS as Conf Dogs >3 pts, 2-9 ATS vs below avg rivals as beaten Favs
Wisconsin -- 11-2 ATS vs Purdue, 1-6 ATS as Home Favs
Wyoming -- 10-0 ATS vs Air Force, 2-7 ATS at San Diego State
Here is a look before the 2019 NFL Football season starts on teams and some basic ATS trends:
Arizona -- New Head Coach, 4-0 vs Seattle, 10-2 ATS as non-Division Home Dogs >3 pts, 1-7 ATS on Mondays, 0-4 ATS vs Rams
Atlanta -- 6-0 ATS on Thursday Home games, 8-0 ATS as Favorites off MNF, 0-6 ATS before playing on Thursday, 0-4 ATS after playing Tampa Bay
Baltimore -- 5-0 ATS as Division Dogs >3 pts, 6-0 ATS before playing Cleveland, 0-6 ATS as Thursday Dogs, 1-6 ATS vs the AFC South
Buffalo -- 5-1 ATS before playing Miami, 5-0 ATS vs Denver, 0-5 ATS at Home vs New England, 4-9 ATS as Home Dogs
Carolina -- 10-5 ATS as Road Dogs, 8-1 ATS before playing on Thursday, 0-4 ATS at Atlanta, 2-6 ATS before playing Tampa Bay
Chargers -- 14-1 ATS Home vs AFC South, 6-0 ATS vs Houston, 0-10 ATS vs rivals with Rest, 0-5 ATS before Bye Week
Chicago -- 18-4 ATS before playing Detroit, 10-2 ATS as Home Dogs, 0-4 ATS vs New Orleans, 2-10 ATS vs NFC East
Cincinnati -- New Head Coach, 9-1 ATS at AFC West, 8-0 ATS before playing Pittsburgh, 0-4 ATS with Rest, 1-8 ATS at the AFC East
Cleveland -- New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS vs NFC, 3-0 ATS vs Tennessee, 0-5 ATS at Home vs Cincinnati, 0-6 ATS off Thursday play
Dallas -- 6-0 ATS as Double Digit Dogs, 4-0 ATS vs Giants, 0-4 ATS Minnesota, 1-7 ATS after playing Giants
Denver -- New Head Coach, 10-2 ATS on Thursdays, 8-0 ATS as Division Road Favorites >3 pts, 0-5 vs Buffalo, 1-7 ATS at AFC East
Detroit -- 4-0 ATS vs Washington, 8-0 ATS versus .333 or less rivals, 0-11 ATS as Thursday Dogs, 2-9 ATS before playing Green Bay
Green Bay -- New Head Coach, 9-1 ATS after playing Chicago, 4-0 ATS off Monday play, 0-6 ATS as two TD Favs or >, 1-11 ATS as Conf Dogs with Revenge
Houston -- 5-0 ATS at Home vs Tennessee, 4-0 ATS at the AFC North, 0-6 ATS vs Chargers, 2-7 ATS after playing Jacksonville
Indianapolis -- 7-0 ATS in first of back-to-back Home games, 10-1 ATS as Favorites after allowing at least 35 pts, 2-8 ATS before playing Jacksonville, 1-6 ATS after scoring at least 35 pts
Jacksonville -- 7-0 ATS vs AFC North, 8-2 ATS after playing Tennessee, 1-8 ATS vs the AFC West, 1-11 ATS before playing Indianapolis
Kansas City -- 7-0 ATS away with Revenge, 5-1 ATS vs Denver, 1-9 ATS off SU Monday loss, 2-7 ATS at Indianapolis
Miami -- New Head Coach, 8-1 ATS at Indianapolis, 5-1 ATS as Home Favs, 2-10 ATS off MNF, 0-8 ATS vs Baltimore
Minnesota -- 10-0 ATS before Bye Week, 16-5 ATS as Home Dogs, 0-11 ATS as Road Favorites as beaten Favorites, 0-8 ATS away on Mondays
New England -- 13-2 ATS after playing Miami, 10-0 ATS as Dogs off a Double Digit SU loss, 7-0 ATS at Home vs Miami, 0-9 ATS as Division Road Favorites >=8 pts
New Orleans -- 9-0 ATS as Division Dogs >= 3 pts, 4-0 ATS before Monday play, 0-5 ATS at Rams, 1-6 ATS as Division Road Favs >3 pts
NY Giants -- 10-0 ATS off Thursday games, 6-0 ATS Home as beaten Favorites, 0-7 ATS Home vs NFC West, 1-7 ATS after allowing >= 35pts
NY Jets -- New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS Home vs AFC West, 5-1 ATS off one ATS win, 1-8 ATS after Thursday games, 1-9 ATS after playing Buffalo
Oakland -- 4-0 ATS Home vs AFC East, 8-0 ATS away vs the AFC South, 1-6 ATS after playing Denver, 1-6 ATS before Bye Week
Philadelphia -- 4-0 ATS vs Washington, 7-1 ATS after playing Washington, 2-6 ATS as Home Favs, 0-4 ATS vs Seattle
Pittsburgh -- 5-0 ATS as Road Dogs, 5-1 ATS before playing Cincinnati, 1-9 ATS as Favs >10 pts, 2-10 ATS before MNF
Rams-- 6-0 ATS vs Tampa Bay, 7-1 ATS vs foes with Rest, 0-7 ATS before Monday play, 2-9 ATS on Thursdays
San Francisco -- 7-0 ATS on Mondays vs .333 or better opponents, 4-1 ATS vs Green Bay, 0-8 ATS with Rest, 1-9ATS at Seattle
Seattle -- 7-0 ATS on Thursdays, 12-3 ATS vs San Francisco, 0-4 ATS vs Tampa Bay, 1-5 ATS before playing Rams
Tampa Bay -- New Head Coach, 6-0 ATS on the Road vs NFC East, 4-0 ATS vs Seattle, 0-7 ATS before Thursday play, 0-5 ATS as beaten Favorites
Tennessee -- 5-0 ATS after playing Jacksonville, 7-1 ATS on MNF, 0-10 ATS before Thursday Play, 0-5 ATS as Favs >7 pts
Washington -- 8-0 ATS before Thursday play, 5-0 ATS vs Chicago, 0-7 ATS on Mondays, 1-7 ATS with Rest
2019 NFL AND NCAA Football Wagering Tips
Emotion— The most important betting edge to know about in football wagering isn't statistics or numbers. The most important edge is emotion. Find the team that desires to win more than their opponent and they'll cover a high percentage of those events. This is true in all sports. But it is even more significant in a physical game like NCAA and NFL Football. Certain Coaches are much better than others in getting their teams ready for games by providing the impetus for emotion. Such Coaches as John Holliday, Paul Johnson, Bill Belichick and anyone named Harbaugh among others have all shown their worth in this area over the years.
Sandwich Games— Be careful of ‘sandwich' games. That is the game for a team that's in between two other more important games. The NFL split into different Divisions recently, with fewer teams in each Division. Since then we have both the AFC and NFC broken down into four Divisions consisting of four teams each. They are called the East, North, South and West. So now Division games are of even greater significance than in the past with fewer teams in each Division. When it comes to determining the Playoff picture, these games are the most important to each competing team.
If Seattle for example, early in the season, plays Arizona this week and San Francisco in two weeks, you know they're going to be focused on those two inter-Divisional games. But if the in-between game is against say Detroit, a lesser out of Division team, be careful! Seattle will have most likely played a tough game the week before, and have an important tough game the following week. Starters may be pulled early against Detroit, and those hurting from the previous game might not even play in this one.
Too many bettors jump on a team that has been covering on the ‘sandwich' game, laying way too much ‘wood'. The team usually wins, but fails to cover. Then the bettor jumps off of Seattle the following week against San Francisco because the bettor got burnt the week before in the sandwich game!
Line Movement— Sometimes line movement means nothing, and sometimes it means everything. When I wager (my favorite recreation), I want the line to be bet dead or move ½ to one point with me. Not a lot of movement, but slightly in agreement with me. When a line moves more than one point, especially in the NFL, it can be a dangerous play. This can denote injuries or other late information such as weather, etc. But be careful, NFL teams are notorious for giving out misleading disinformation more so than any other sport.
Quite often with big line movement in the NFL, the final score falls in between the original line and the final line. This opens the door for ‘middlers', those who bet early one way and late the other way on the same game. I know several gamblers who make their living on this, and i have been successful myself at it. They give up the 10% ‘juice' in hopes of winning both ways. The most they can lose is 5% of their total bet. They clean up if one play pushes or wins and the other play wins.
NCAA football can be different though. With so many lined college games nowadays, big line movement can be bet on. For two years in a row in the early 1990's, the Ivy League football team that got the most line movement during the week won every single game those years. Every week! For games like these with fewer wagers on them, the line can easily move 3 to 5 points. Sometimes it can move even more. Beware of betting against this line movement, it generally is right. In the Colleges, stay away from wagering against consistent and massive line movement in one direction.
Here's wishing all Football bettors a great 2019 Football Wagering Season! Make sure to stop by the http://www.FreeSportsLetter.com site for tons of FREE Wagering Information, Contests, Lines, Scores, and more importantly, FREE Winners!
--Rich Green
[email protected]
http://www.FreeSportsLetter.com
Rich Green is the editor of http://www.FreeSportsLetter.com , a free sports handicapping and information service. He has been a top ranked handicapper for over 40 years. He specializes in Football, Basketball and Baseball, all the major sports, and has won numerous contests in each.
(SCROLL DOWN FOR NFL TRENDS)
2019 NFL and NCAA Football Against The Spread (ATS) Trends
Here is a look before the 2019 College Football season starts on lined teams and some basic ATS trends:
Air Force -- 11-2 ATS as Dogs >=7 pts, 0-10 ATS vs Wyoming
Akron -- New Head Coach, 3-0 ATS at Miami-Ohio, 1-9 ATS as Favorites >10 pts
Alabama -- 18-2 ATS in the first of back-to-back Road games, 1-6 ATS after playing Texas A&M
Appalachian State -- 6-1 ATS after scoring at least 35 points, 0-5 ATS off a shutout win
Arizona -- 5-1 ATS as Road Dogs >=15 pts, 2-8 ATS after scoring <10.5 pts
Arizona State -- 9-3 ATS as Home Dogs, 0-9 ATS on weekdays
Arkansas -- 6-0 ATS vs Ole Miss, 0-5 ATS after allowing 10 or less pts
Arkansas State -- 9-0 ATS vs UL-Monroe, 1-5 ATS after playing Troy
Army -- 6-0 ATS vs better than average foes, 0-6 ATS before playing Navy
Auburn -- 4-0 ATS vs Ole Miss, 1-5 ATS before playing Florida
Ball State -- 5-1 ATS as Road Favs, 0-7 ATS vs Northern Illinois
Baylor -- 7-0 ATS versus Kansas, 0-7 ATS at Home vs Texas Tech
Boise State -- 6-1 ATS vs San Jose St, 0-5 ATS before playing Byu
Boston College -- 8-0 ATS before playing Louisville, 1-5 ATS after playing Va Tech
Bowling Green -- New Head Coach, 10-1 ATS vs Akron, 0-5 ATS vs Buffalo
Buffalo -- 5-0 ATS vs Bowling Green, 0-3 ATS at Akron
BYU -- 7-1 ATS after playing Utah, 1-8 ATS with Rest
California -- 6-1 ATS before playing Usc, 1-7 ATS vs Oregon
Central Michigan -- New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS vs Northern Illinois, 0-9 ATS vs Toledo
Charlotte -- New Head Coach, 4-1 ATS with Rest, 1-10 ATS in non-Conference Play
Cincinnati -- 13-2 ATS with Rest, 0-4 ATS vs Temple
Clemson -- 9-1 ATS before playing Boston College, 0-6 ATS as beaten Favorites
Coastal Carolina -- 3-0 ATS off exactly one ATS win, 0-3 ATS as Home Favorites
Colorado -- New Head Coach, 5-1 ATS vs Ucla, 0-5 ATS at Arizona State
Colorado State -- 5-1 ATS vs New Mexico, 0-4 ATS as Bowlers
Connecticut -- 3-0 vs Usf, 1-8 ATS as beaten Favorites
Duke -- 5-0 ATS as Bowlers, 0-4 ATS vs Virginia
East Carolina -- New Head Coach, 3-0 ATS vs UConn, 0-6 ATS vs Temple
Eastern Michigan -- 8-0 ATS after playing Toledo, 0-6 ATS after playing Ball State
Florida -- 6-0 ATS before playing LSU, 1-7 ATS after playing Georgia
Florida Atlantic -- 4-1 ATS vs Western Kentucky, 2-11 ATS after allowing at least 35 pts
Florida International -- 7-0 ATS off a Double Digit SU loss, 0-5 ATS as Dogs when beaten Favs
Florida State -- 7-1 ATS vs below .500 opponents, 0-9 ATS after a SU Dog win
Fresno State -- 4-0 ATS vs Hawaii, 1-5 ATS vs New Mexico State
Georgia -- 6-0 ATS on the Road off a SU Dog win, 0-4 ATS vs Missouri
Georgia Southern -- 5-0 ATS vs South Alabama, 1-4 ATS with Rest off non-Conference Play
Georgia State -- 4-0 ATS before playing Troy, 3-10 ATS as Home Dogs
Georgia Tech -- New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS before playing Virginia, 0-10 ATS at Home vs Georgia
Hawaii --6-0 ATS Home vs Pac 12, 0-7 ATS before playing Fresno State
Houston -- New Head Coach, 7-0 ATS in first of back-to-back Road Games, 1-5 ATS after playing Smu
Illinois -- 8-0 ATS as Conference Dogs off back to back SU wins, 2-13 ATS before playing Iowa
Indiana -- 7-1 ATS vs Ohio State, 0-7 ATS as Home Dogs
Iowa -- 6-0 ATS as beaten Favs, 0-9 ATS off 3+ ATS wins
Iowa State -- 7-1 ATS as non-Conference Favs, 1-6 ATS before playing Tcu
Kansas -- New Head Coach, 9-2 ATS after playing Texas, 0-7 ATS vs Baylor
Kansas State -- New Head Coach, 11-2 ATS with Rest, 3-7 ATS as Home Favs
Kent State -- 4-0 ATS vs Eastern Michigan, 1-10 ATS as Home Favs off SU loss
Kentucky -- 6-0 ATS vs South Carolina, 0-6 ATS vs Georgia
UL-Lafayette -- 6-0 ATS vs Texas State, 4-9 ATS as Home Favs
UL-Monroe -- 9-1 ATS as Dogs off a Double Digit SU win, 0-9 ATS vs Arkansas State
Liberty -- New Head Coach, 3-1 ATS off an ATS loss, 0-3 ATS off an ATS win
Louisiana Tech -- 9-0 ATS as Road Dogs <10.5 pts, 0-4 ATS as Home Favs
Louisville -- New Head Coach, 9-0 ATS as Double Digit Dogs off a SU win, 0-5 ATS vs Wake Forest
LSU -- 8-0 ATS vs Texas A&M, 1-5 ATS before playing Arkansas
Marshall -- 10-1 ATS last game of season, 0-4 ATS vs Western Kentucky
Maryland -- New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS at Temple, 0-12 ATS off a SU and ATS Conference win
Memphis -- 5-0 ATS vs SMU, 1-7 ATS as Road Dogs
Miami -- New Head Coach, 6-1 ATS vs Florida, 0-6 ATS vs Louisville
Miami OH -- 6-1 ATS vs Northern Illinois, 0-4 ATS at Home vs Bowling Green
Michigan -- 4-0 ATS vs Maryland, 1-9 ATS after playing Penn State
Michigan State -- 7-0 ATS before playing Wisconsin, 1-6 ATS after playing Indiana
MTSU -- 4-0 ATS with Rest, 0-9 ATS after playing Florida International
Minnesota -- 5-1 ATS after playing Nebraska, 1-8 ATS after playing Purdue
Mississippi -- 7-1 ATS before playing Alabama, 0-6 ATS vs Arkansas
Mississippi State -- 5-0 ATS before playing Kentucky, 0-7 ATS on the Road off a SU Dog win
Missouri -- 59-6 ATS when they win Straight Up on the Road, 0-9 ATS as Favorites off a SU Dog win
Navy -- 4-0 ATS vs Memphis, 3-18 ATS Home off a SU Dog win
Nebraska -- 6-2 ATS as Road Dogs, 0-4 ATS as Home Dogs
Nevada -- 6-1 ATS vs Hawaii, 0-3 ATS vs Fresno State
New Mexico -- 7-1 ATS vs Hawaii, 0-4 vs San Jose State
New Mexico State -- 5-0 ATS after playing Utep, 1-9 ATS as Dogs
North Carolina -- 6-0 ATS after playing Virginia Tech, 0-7 ATS first lined game
North Carolina State -- 8-0 ATS off a lined weekday game, 1-6 ATS after playing Florida State
North Texas -- 4-0 ATS after playing UTEP, 2-6 ATS as Home Favs
Northern Illinois -- New Head Coach, 7-0 ATS vs Ball State, 0-5 ATS vs Central Michigan
Northwestern -- 7-0 ATS after playing Iowa, 1-6 ATS vs Ohio State
Notre Dame -- 10-1 ATS with Revenge off a win, 1-5 ATS as Home Favs of 7 or more pts
Ohio State -- New Head Coach, 5-0 vs Rutgers, 2-9 ATS before playing Michigan
Ohio U -- 6-0 ATS after playing Kent, 2-10 ATS on the Road with Rest
Oklahoma -- 5-0 ATS vs West Virginia, 0-6 ATS vs Texas
Oklahoma State -- 7-0 ATS after playing Texas Tech, 1-7 ATS vs Kansas State
Old Dominion -- 4-0 ATS as Favorites with Revenge, 0-6 ATS as Dogs >15 pts
Oregon -- 7-1 ATS vs California, 0-9 ATS vs Washington State
Oregon State -- 5-0 ATS after scoring <10.5 pts, 0-7 ATS vs foes with Revenge
Penn State -- 10-5 ATS as Home Favs, 0-4 ATS vs opponents off a SU Dog win
Pittsburgh -- 5-0 ATS vs Virginia Tech, 0-5 ATS at Home vs North Carolina
Purdue -- 11-0 ATS as Road Dogs >=11 pts, 2-11 ATS vs Wisconsin
Rice -- 7-0 ATS before playing North Texas, 0-4 ATS at Uab
Rutgers -- 4-1 ATS vs Indiana, 0-5 ATS vs Ohio State
San Diego State -- 9-0 ATS with Rest off back-to-back SU losses, 1-7 ATS at Ucla
San Jose State -- 9-0 ATS as Road Favs off a Double Digit SU win, 0-3 ATS at Nevada
SMU -- 5-0 ATS as non-Conf Favs, 0-14 ATS before playing Tulsa
South Alabama -- 5-0 ATS before playing Georgia State, 0-5 ATS vs Georgia Southern
South Carolina -- 4-0 ATS versus Vanderbilt, 0-6 ATS vs Kentucky
South Florida -- 4-0 ATS vs Cincinnati, 0-5 ATS as Home Favs of >6.5 pts
Southern Mississippi -- 5-0 ATS as Dogs >8.5 pts, 3-9 ATS as Home Favs
Stanford -- 5-0 ATS vs Ucla, 0-4 ATS vs Washington State
Syracuse -- 10-5 ATS as Road Dogs,1-4 ATS at Florida State
TCU -- 6-1 ATS vs Baylor, 2-11 ATS as Home Favs
Temple -- New Head Coach, 6-0 ATS vs East Carolina, 0-9 ATS as Favs <=14 pts with Rest
Tennessee -- 6-1 ATS vs Kentucky, 1-6 ATS before playing Georgia
Texas -- 11-0 ATS before playing Iowa State, 1-7 ATS before playing Oklahoma
Texas A&M -- 4-0 ATS on the Road off a SU Dog win, 0-13 ATS with Rest
Texas State -- New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS after playing UL-Lafayette, 0-6 ATS vs UL-Lafayette
Texas Tech -- New Head Coach, 7-1 ATS in first of back-to-back Road games, 2-7 ATS vs Texas
Toledo -- 9-0 ATS vs Central Michigan, 0-5 ATS Home with Rest
Troy -- New Head Coach, 6-0 ATS off back-to-back SU and ATS losses, 0-10 ATS as non-Conf Favs >6.5 pts
Tulane -- 8-0 ATS at Home off non-Conference Play, 0-4 ATS after scoring >34.5 pts
Tulsa -- 10-2 ATS in second of back-to-back Road games, 2-11 ATS as non-Conf Favs
UAB -- 7-1 ATS as Home Dogs, 1-5 ATS with Rest vs non-Conf rivals
UCF -- 9-3 ATS as Home Favorites, 0-7 ATS as Dogs >10.5 pts
UCLA -- 5-1 ATS vs Oregon State, 0-5 ATS vs Stanford
UMASS -- New Head Coach, 4-1 ATS off a SU Dog win, 0-5 ATS after scoring >34.5 pts
UNLV -- 4-0 ATS vs Hawaii, 0-6 ATS before playing Fresno State
USC -- 6-1 ATS at California, 0-11 ATS as Dogs <=8 pts
Utah -- 19-3 ATS as Dogs >7.5 pts, 0-4 ATS vs Washington State
Utah State -- 6-0 ATS away with Rest, 1-6 ATS as Home Dogs
UTEP -- 4-1 ATS vs North Texas, 1-7 ATS after scoring <10.5 pts
UTSA -- 3-0 ATS at Utep, 1-9 ATS as beaten Favs
Vanderbilt -- 6-1 ATS vs Tennessee, 2-16 ATS in Game Six
Virginia -- 4-0 ATS vs Duke, 0-7 ATS after allowing <10.5 pts
Virginia Tech -- 3-0 ATS vs VIrginia, 0-5 ATS vs Pittsburgh
Wake Forest -- 8-0 ATS before playing Clemson, 0-5 ATS as Home Dogs
Washington -- 5-0 ATS vs Washington State, 0-4 ATS as non-Conf Road Favs
Washington State -- 9-0 ATS vs Oregon, 0-5 ATS vs Washington
West Virginia -- New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS vs Missouri, 0-5 ATS vs Oklahoma
Western Kentucky -- New Head Coach, 7-1 ATS vs Marshall, 1-4 ATS vs Florida Atlantic
Western Michigan -- 7-1 ATS as Conf Dogs >3 pts, 2-9 ATS vs below avg rivals as beaten Favs
Wisconsin -- 11-2 ATS vs Purdue, 1-6 ATS as Home Favs
Wyoming -- 10-0 ATS vs Air Force, 2-7 ATS at San Diego State
Here is a look before the 2019 NFL Football season starts on teams and some basic ATS trends:
Arizona -- New Head Coach, 4-0 vs Seattle, 10-2 ATS as non-Division Home Dogs >3 pts, 1-7 ATS on Mondays, 0-4 ATS vs Rams
Atlanta -- 6-0 ATS on Thursday Home games, 8-0 ATS as Favorites off MNF, 0-6 ATS before playing on Thursday, 0-4 ATS after playing Tampa Bay
Baltimore -- 5-0 ATS as Division Dogs >3 pts, 6-0 ATS before playing Cleveland, 0-6 ATS as Thursday Dogs, 1-6 ATS vs the AFC South
Buffalo -- 5-1 ATS before playing Miami, 5-0 ATS vs Denver, 0-5 ATS at Home vs New England, 4-9 ATS as Home Dogs
Carolina -- 10-5 ATS as Road Dogs, 8-1 ATS before playing on Thursday, 0-4 ATS at Atlanta, 2-6 ATS before playing Tampa Bay
Chargers -- 14-1 ATS Home vs AFC South, 6-0 ATS vs Houston, 0-10 ATS vs rivals with Rest, 0-5 ATS before Bye Week
Chicago -- 18-4 ATS before playing Detroit, 10-2 ATS as Home Dogs, 0-4 ATS vs New Orleans, 2-10 ATS vs NFC East
Cincinnati -- New Head Coach, 9-1 ATS at AFC West, 8-0 ATS before playing Pittsburgh, 0-4 ATS with Rest, 1-8 ATS at the AFC East
Cleveland -- New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS vs NFC, 3-0 ATS vs Tennessee, 0-5 ATS at Home vs Cincinnati, 0-6 ATS off Thursday play
Dallas -- 6-0 ATS as Double Digit Dogs, 4-0 ATS vs Giants, 0-4 ATS Minnesota, 1-7 ATS after playing Giants
Denver -- New Head Coach, 10-2 ATS on Thursdays, 8-0 ATS as Division Road Favorites >3 pts, 0-5 vs Buffalo, 1-7 ATS at AFC East
Detroit -- 4-0 ATS vs Washington, 8-0 ATS versus .333 or less rivals, 0-11 ATS as Thursday Dogs, 2-9 ATS before playing Green Bay
Green Bay -- New Head Coach, 9-1 ATS after playing Chicago, 4-0 ATS off Monday play, 0-6 ATS as two TD Favs or >, 1-11 ATS as Conf Dogs with Revenge
Houston -- 5-0 ATS at Home vs Tennessee, 4-0 ATS at the AFC North, 0-6 ATS vs Chargers, 2-7 ATS after playing Jacksonville
Indianapolis -- 7-0 ATS in first of back-to-back Home games, 10-1 ATS as Favorites after allowing at least 35 pts, 2-8 ATS before playing Jacksonville, 1-6 ATS after scoring at least 35 pts
Jacksonville -- 7-0 ATS vs AFC North, 8-2 ATS after playing Tennessee, 1-8 ATS vs the AFC West, 1-11 ATS before playing Indianapolis
Kansas City -- 7-0 ATS away with Revenge, 5-1 ATS vs Denver, 1-9 ATS off SU Monday loss, 2-7 ATS at Indianapolis
Miami -- New Head Coach, 8-1 ATS at Indianapolis, 5-1 ATS as Home Favs, 2-10 ATS off MNF, 0-8 ATS vs Baltimore
Minnesota -- 10-0 ATS before Bye Week, 16-5 ATS as Home Dogs, 0-11 ATS as Road Favorites as beaten Favorites, 0-8 ATS away on Mondays
New England -- 13-2 ATS after playing Miami, 10-0 ATS as Dogs off a Double Digit SU loss, 7-0 ATS at Home vs Miami, 0-9 ATS as Division Road Favorites >=8 pts
New Orleans -- 9-0 ATS as Division Dogs >= 3 pts, 4-0 ATS before Monday play, 0-5 ATS at Rams, 1-6 ATS as Division Road Favs >3 pts
NY Giants -- 10-0 ATS off Thursday games, 6-0 ATS Home as beaten Favorites, 0-7 ATS Home vs NFC West, 1-7 ATS after allowing >= 35pts
NY Jets -- New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS Home vs AFC West, 5-1 ATS off one ATS win, 1-8 ATS after Thursday games, 1-9 ATS after playing Buffalo
Oakland -- 4-0 ATS Home vs AFC East, 8-0 ATS away vs the AFC South, 1-6 ATS after playing Denver, 1-6 ATS before Bye Week
Philadelphia -- 4-0 ATS vs Washington, 7-1 ATS after playing Washington, 2-6 ATS as Home Favs, 0-4 ATS vs Seattle
Pittsburgh -- 5-0 ATS as Road Dogs, 5-1 ATS before playing Cincinnati, 1-9 ATS as Favs >10 pts, 2-10 ATS before MNF
Rams-- 6-0 ATS vs Tampa Bay, 7-1 ATS vs foes with Rest, 0-7 ATS before Monday play, 2-9 ATS on Thursdays
San Francisco -- 7-0 ATS on Mondays vs .333 or better opponents, 4-1 ATS vs Green Bay, 0-8 ATS with Rest, 1-9ATS at Seattle
Seattle -- 7-0 ATS on Thursdays, 12-3 ATS vs San Francisco, 0-4 ATS vs Tampa Bay, 1-5 ATS before playing Rams
Tampa Bay -- New Head Coach, 6-0 ATS on the Road vs NFC East, 4-0 ATS vs Seattle, 0-7 ATS before Thursday play, 0-5 ATS as beaten Favorites
Tennessee -- 5-0 ATS after playing Jacksonville, 7-1 ATS on MNF, 0-10 ATS before Thursday Play, 0-5 ATS as Favs >7 pts
Washington -- 8-0 ATS before Thursday play, 5-0 ATS vs Chicago, 0-7 ATS on Mondays, 1-7 ATS with Rest
2019 NFL AND NCAA Football Wagering Tips
Emotion— The most important betting edge to know about in football wagering isn't statistics or numbers. The most important edge is emotion. Find the team that desires to win more than their opponent and they'll cover a high percentage of those events. This is true in all sports. But it is even more significant in a physical game like NCAA and NFL Football. Certain Coaches are much better than others in getting their teams ready for games by providing the impetus for emotion. Such Coaches as John Holliday, Paul Johnson, Bill Belichick and anyone named Harbaugh among others have all shown their worth in this area over the years.
Sandwich Games— Be careful of ‘sandwich' games. That is the game for a team that's in between two other more important games. The NFL split into different Divisions recently, with fewer teams in each Division. Since then we have both the AFC and NFC broken down into four Divisions consisting of four teams each. They are called the East, North, South and West. So now Division games are of even greater significance than in the past with fewer teams in each Division. When it comes to determining the Playoff picture, these games are the most important to each competing team.
If Seattle for example, early in the season, plays Arizona this week and San Francisco in two weeks, you know they're going to be focused on those two inter-Divisional games. But if the in-between game is against say Detroit, a lesser out of Division team, be careful! Seattle will have most likely played a tough game the week before, and have an important tough game the following week. Starters may be pulled early against Detroit, and those hurting from the previous game might not even play in this one.
Too many bettors jump on a team that has been covering on the ‘sandwich' game, laying way too much ‘wood'. The team usually wins, but fails to cover. Then the bettor jumps off of Seattle the following week against San Francisco because the bettor got burnt the week before in the sandwich game!
Line Movement— Sometimes line movement means nothing, and sometimes it means everything. When I wager (my favorite recreation), I want the line to be bet dead or move ½ to one point with me. Not a lot of movement, but slightly in agreement with me. When a line moves more than one point, especially in the NFL, it can be a dangerous play. This can denote injuries or other late information such as weather, etc. But be careful, NFL teams are notorious for giving out misleading disinformation more so than any other sport.
Quite often with big line movement in the NFL, the final score falls in between the original line and the final line. This opens the door for ‘middlers', those who bet early one way and late the other way on the same game. I know several gamblers who make their living on this, and i have been successful myself at it. They give up the 10% ‘juice' in hopes of winning both ways. The most they can lose is 5% of their total bet. They clean up if one play pushes or wins and the other play wins.
NCAA football can be different though. With so many lined college games nowadays, big line movement can be bet on. For two years in a row in the early 1990's, the Ivy League football team that got the most line movement during the week won every single game those years. Every week! For games like these with fewer wagers on them, the line can easily move 3 to 5 points. Sometimes it can move even more. Beware of betting against this line movement, it generally is right. In the Colleges, stay away from wagering against consistent and massive line movement in one direction.
Here's wishing all Football bettors a great 2019 Football Wagering Season! Make sure to stop by the http://www.FreeSportsLetter.com site for tons of FREE Wagering Information, Contests, Lines, Scores, and more importantly, FREE Winners!
--Rich Green
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http://www.FreeSportsLetter.com