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By Doug Upstone (Doug's on blistering 60-34 documented run at Cappers Monitor)
For line moves, we have the NBA Playoffs and baseball sides, totals and series wagering talk. Though we have line moves in hockey, all the -200 or larger favorites just keep growing and that is not newsworthy. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (148-114-4 run) to see what we are thinking today. See you back here next week.
NBA – (715) BOSTON at (716) MILWAUKEE 9:35 ET ESPN (side and total)
Milwaukee shot 53.7% in Boston and failed to win or cover either game. Having a -15 turnover margin will do that to you. Bettors do not trust the Bucks even at home and down 0-2 in the series and have lowered them from -6 to -5 point favorites. Neither teams defense is being trusted either, as the total has climbed from 202.5 to 205. I would agree with both line moves with Milwaukee 3-14 ATS as a home favorite of six points or less and 16-3 OVER after a combined score of 215 points or more in two straight contests.
Betting Trend - 79% backing Boston and 89% on Over
Doug's VPID Take - Boston cover and Over
MLB – (903) N.Y. METS at (904) ATLANTA 7:35 ET SNY, FSSO
Nobody would have thought this possible a week ago, but the Mets with Noah Syndergaard (2-0, 2.95 ERA) are a falling favorite, down from -160 to -140 or less. That is what happens when you lose four of six, while Atlanta on a nice little 5-2 move. The Braves have the top offense in the NL at 5.8 RPG, but I'm just not sure I can trust starter Sean Newcombe (1-1, 4.02). However, I cannot ignore the Mets are a miserable 0-10 in road games vs. teams with a bullpen ERA is 3.45 or better.
Betting Trend - 88% backing New York
Doug's VPID Take - Lean Atlanta
MLB – (915) TORONTO at (916) N.Y. YANKEES 7:05 ET SNET, YES
Some feel last night's low scoring AL East encounter will give way to another, as the total has sunk from 9 to 8.5. Marco Estrada (1-1, 4.24) takes the ball for Toronto, while Sonny Gray (1-1, 6.92) does the same for the Yankees. I'm headed the other direction for this total and I'm not alone. The Bronx Bombers are 11-2-1 OVER this month and Gray is 8-0 OVER at home against teams like the Blue Jays averaging 1.25 or more home runs per game.
Betting Trend - 93% backing Over
Doug's VPID Take - Play Over
Continue Reading at www.VegasProInsidersDaily.com
For line moves, we have the NBA Playoffs and baseball sides, totals and series wagering talk. Though we have line moves in hockey, all the -200 or larger favorites just keep growing and that is not newsworthy. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (148-114-4 run) to see what we are thinking today. See you back here next week.
NBA – (715) BOSTON at (716) MILWAUKEE 9:35 ET ESPN (side and total)
Milwaukee shot 53.7% in Boston and failed to win or cover either game. Having a -15 turnover margin will do that to you. Bettors do not trust the Bucks even at home and down 0-2 in the series and have lowered them from -6 to -5 point favorites. Neither teams defense is being trusted either, as the total has climbed from 202.5 to 205. I would agree with both line moves with Milwaukee 3-14 ATS as a home favorite of six points or less and 16-3 OVER after a combined score of 215 points or more in two straight contests.
Betting Trend - 79% backing Boston and 89% on Over
Doug's VPID Take - Boston cover and Over
MLB – (903) N.Y. METS at (904) ATLANTA 7:35 ET SNY, FSSO
Nobody would have thought this possible a week ago, but the Mets with Noah Syndergaard (2-0, 2.95 ERA) are a falling favorite, down from -160 to -140 or less. That is what happens when you lose four of six, while Atlanta on a nice little 5-2 move. The Braves have the top offense in the NL at 5.8 RPG, but I'm just not sure I can trust starter Sean Newcombe (1-1, 4.02). However, I cannot ignore the Mets are a miserable 0-10 in road games vs. teams with a bullpen ERA is 3.45 or better.
Betting Trend - 88% backing New York
Doug's VPID Take - Lean Atlanta
MLB – (915) TORONTO at (916) N.Y. YANKEES 7:05 ET SNET, YES
Some feel last night's low scoring AL East encounter will give way to another, as the total has sunk from 9 to 8.5. Marco Estrada (1-1, 4.24) takes the ball for Toronto, while Sonny Gray (1-1, 6.92) does the same for the Yankees. I'm headed the other direction for this total and I'm not alone. The Bronx Bombers are 11-2-1 OVER this month and Gray is 8-0 OVER at home against teams like the Blue Jays averaging 1.25 or more home runs per game.
Betting Trend - 93% backing Over
Doug's VPID Take - Play Over
Continue Reading at www.VegasProInsidersDaily.com