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BIO:
Rich Green is the editor of http://www.FreeSportsLetter.com , a free sports handicapping and information service. He has been a top ranked handicapper for over 35 years. He specializes in Football, Basketball and Baseball, all the major sports, and has won numerous contests in each.
YOU CAN GET THIS NFL and NCAA FOOTBALL ATS UPDATE BY GOING HERE: https://tinyurl.com/lwly5ld
(SCROLL DOWN FOR NFL TRENDS)
2014 NFL and NCAA Football Against The Spread (ATS) Trends
Here is a look before the 2014 College Football season starts on lined teams and some basic ATS trends:
Air Force -- 6-1 ATS before playing Army, 0-5 ATS vs San Diego State
Akron -- 5-1 ATS with Rest off a win, 0-6 ATS vs Bowling Green
Alabama -- 8-0 ATS as non-Conf Favs <28.,5 pts, 0-5 ATS off back-to-back Straight Up losses
Arizona -- 7-2 ATS vs Usc, 0-5 ATS off a Straight Up Dog win
Arizona State -- 8-0 ATS vs Washington, 1-7 ATS as beaten Favs
Arkansas -- 5-0 ATS off a Straight Up Dog win, 1-9 ATS before playing Alabama
Arkansas State -- New Head Coach, 7-1 ATS as non-Conf Home Dogs, 2-11 ATS after allowing >34.5 pts
Army -- New Head Coach, 7-3 ATS as Home Dogs, 0-6 ATS on the Road with Rest
Auburn -- 7-0 ATS after allowing >34.5 points, 1-6 ATS at Home after allowing <10.5 pts
Ball State -- 8-0 ATS after playing Eastern Michigan, 0-6 ATS in first of back-to-back Home Games
Baylor -- 4-0 ATS versus Texas, 1-6 ATS versus Tcu
Boise State -- New Head Coach, 8-0 ATS in second of back-to-back Road games, 0-6 ATS vs Nevada
Boston College -- 6-1 ATS before playing Wake Forest, 0-11 ATS as Road Favs >3.5 pts
Bowling Green -- New Head Coach, 9-0 ATS on Weekdays, 0-7 ATS at Home with Rest
Buffalo -- 4-0 ATS after playing Kent, 0-5 ATS as Weekday Dogs
BYU -- 6-0 ATS at Home as beaten Favs, 0-5 ATS as Favs <6.5 pts
California -- 7-1 ATS at Home vs Ucla, 2-11 ATS in second of back-to-back Road Games
Central Michigan -- 7-0 ATS on the Road after scoring Single Digits, 0-4 ATS vs Toledo
Cincinnati -- 6-0 ATS vs Memphis, 0-5 ATS vs Miami
Clemson -- 4-0 ATS before playing Georgia Tech, 0-5 ATS vs South Carolina
Colorado -- 5-0 ATS at Home as beaten Favs, 0-9 ATS as Favs versus the Pac 12
Colorado State -- 5-0 ATS at Home vs Hawaii, 1-5 ATS after scoring >39.5 pts
Connecticut -- New Head Coach, 18-4 ATS as Home Dogs, 1-7 ATS vs Temple
Duke -- 6-0 ATS vs Virginia, 1-7 ATS vs Georgia Tech
East Carolina -- 6-0 ATS after playing Tulsa, 1-6 ATS with Rest
Eastern Michigan -- New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS vs Western Michigan, 0-6 ATS at Home vs Northern Illinois
Florida -- 7-0 ATS vs Kentucky, 0-7 ATS after scoring < a Touchdown
Florida Atlantic -- New Head Coach, 6-0 ATS in second of back-to-back Road Games, 0-5 ATS vs Middle Tennessee State
Florida International -- 5-0 ATS on the Road after scoring 35 or more points, 0-5 ATS off Weekday Play
Florida State -- 5-0 ATS after scoring >39.5 pts, 0-7 ATS after a SU Dog win
Fresno State -- 6-1 ATS before playing Boise State, 0-8 ATS vs Boise State
Georgia -- 6-0 ATS on the Road off a SU Dog win, 1-7 ATS with Rest
Georgia Tech -- 5-0 ATS vs North Carolina, 0-8 ATS on the Road vs opponents off a SU Dog win
Hawaii -- 6-1 ATS vs Unlv, 1-7 ATS in second of back-to-back Road Games
Houston -- 9-0 ATS vs Tulane, 0-5 ATS after scoring 3 or less points
Idaho -- 6-1 ATS at Home vs better than avg opponents off a Straight Up loss, 0-4 ATS with Rest
Illinois -- 9-0 ATS as Dogs off back-to-back Straight Up wins, 1-12 ATS as non-Conf Single Digit Favs
Indiana -- 4-1 ATS as beaten Favs, 0-4 ATS vs Missouri
Iowa -- 11-1 ATS before playing Indiana, 0-7 ATS off 3+ ATS wins
Iowa State -- 6-0 ATS as Home Favs <10.5 pts, 1-9 ATS after playing Texas Tech
Kansas -- 11-2 ATS at Home versus below avg opponents, 1-12 ATS after playing Oklahoma
Kansas State -- 7-0 ATS after allowing >34.5 pts, 1-7 ATS off a SU win vs below avg opponents
Kent State -- 5-0 ATS after playing Bowling Green, 0-6 ATS vs Northern Illinois
Kentucky -- 4-0 ATS before playing Louisville, 0-7 ATS vs Florida
UL-Lafayette -- Visiting team is 10-1 ATS in La-Monroe series, 1-5 ATS as Weekday Favs
UL-Monroe -- 7-0 ATS after scoring < a Touchdown, 1-8 ATS as Dogs with Rest
Louisiana Tech -- 5-0 ATS off a SU Dog win, 1-5 ATS vs Rice
Louisville -- 9-0 ATS as Double Digit Dogs off a SU win, 2-11 ATS as Conf Dogs after allowing >34.5 pts
LSU -- 7-0 ATS as Dogs off SU and ATS loss, 1-6 ATS vs Arkansas
Marshall -- 7-1 ATS after scoring 10 or less pts, 1-8 ATS as Road Favs > 11.5 points
Maryland -- 5-0 ATS on the Road vs opponents who are beaten Favs, 0-7 ATS with Rest
Memphis -- 5-0 ATS off non-Conf Play, 0-6 ATS at Home vs Tulsa
Miami -- 5-0 ATS vs Cincinnati, 1-14 ATS off back-to-back SU and ATS wins
Miami OH -- New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS vs Northern Illinois, 0-5 ATS at Cincinnati
Michigan -- 5-0 ATS at Home with Rest, 1-7 ATS after playing Indiana
Michigan State -- 6-0 ATS vs Michigan, 0-4 ATS at Home vs Ohio State
MTSU -- 5-0 ATS vs Florida Atlantic, 0-5 ATS off back-to-back SU and ATS losses
Minnesota -- 4-0 ATS at Illinois, 0-6 ATS vs Michigan
Mississippi -- 5-0 ATS before playing Alabama, 0-7 ATS as Road Favs off a SU win
Mississippi State -- 5-1 ATS in last Home game, 1-5 ATS off a SU Dog win
Missouri -- 50-3 ATS when they win Straight Up on the Road, 1-4 ATS as Dogs with Rest
Navy -- 10-1 ATS vs Air Force, 1-5 ATS with Rest
Nebraska -- 9-2 ATS after allowing >34.5 pts, 0-4 ATS in the second of back-to-back Road Games
Nevada -- 6-0 ATS vs Boise State, 1-7 ATS vs below avg opponents
New Mexico -- 7-1 ATS after playing New Mexico State, 1-8 ATS at Home after scoring <10.5 pts
New Mexico State -- 5-0 ATS vs the Sun Belt, 0-9 ATS in first of back-to-back Home games
North Carolina -- 5-0 ATS before playing Georgia Tech, 0-5 ATS versus Georgia Tech
North Carolina State -- 10-1 ATS with Rest, 1-5 ATS after scoring >39.5 pts
North Texas -- 7-0 ATS as Favs vs below avg Conf rivals, 0-5 ATS vs Florida International
Northern Illinois -- 5-0 ATS before playing Ball State, 0-4 ATS vs Ohio U
Northwestern -- 17-2 ATS before playing Michigan, 1-6 ATS before playing Iowa
Notre Dame -- 5-0 ATS with Rest versus below avg opponents, 1-6 ATS on the Road after scoring at least 35 pts
Ohio State -- 9-0 ATS before playing Illinois, 1-8 ATS vs opponents off a SU and ATS loss
Ohio U -- 6-0 ATS with Rest vs better than avg opponents, 1-10 ATS after scoring at least 35 points
Oklahoma -- 8-1 ATS before playing Baylor, 0-6 ATS at Home vs Baylor
Oklahoma State -- 6-0 ATS before playing Baylor, 1-8 ATS at Kansas State
Oregon -- 12-1 ATS in second of back-to-back Home Games, 1-9 ATS before playing Oregon State
Oregon State -- 11-1 ATS after playing Washington State, 1-8 ATS as Home Dogs off back-to-back Road Games
Penn State -- New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS vs Northwestern, 1-7 ATS as Dogs after scoring at least 35 pts
Pittsburgh -- 6-0 ATS as Double Digit Road Dogs, 1-8 ATS as Favs >21.5 pts
Purdue -- 8-0 ATS as Conf Favs >12.5 pts, 0-8 ATS vs Wisconsin
Rice -- 12-0 ATS as Conf Home Dogs off a SU win, 0-4 ATS on Weekdays
Rutgers -- 7-0 ATS as Dogs in the second of back-to-back Road games, 0-7 ATS after scoring <10.5 pts
San Diego State -- 5-0 ATS vs Air Force, 1-11 ATS vs New Mexico
San Jose State -- 8-0 ATS as Road Favs off a Double Digit SU win, 0-7 ATS with Rest
SMU -- 6-1 ATS with Rest, 0-4 ATS vs Texas A&M
South Carolina -- 9-1 ATS at Home off a Double Digit ATS loss, 1-7 ATS at Home vs Tennessee
South Florida -- 7-1 ATS as non-Conf Road Dogs of at least a Touchdown, 2-8 ATS vs Cincinnati
Southern Mississippi -- 7-1 ATS on the Road after scoring >34.5 pts, 1-7 ATS after playing Marshall
Stanford -- 9-0 ATS before playing Oregon State, 1-8 ATS off a Double Digit SU loss
Syracuse -- 12-1 ATS as Home Favs off a Double Digit SU win, 0-6 ATS on the Road as beaten Favs vs below avg rivals
TCU -- 6-1 ATS vs Baylor, 0-8 ATS off SU Dog win vs below avg opponents
Temple -- 6-0 ATS after playing Penn State, 0-9 ATS as Favs with Rest
Tennessee -- 10-2 ATS at Home vs Kentucky, 1-7 ATS as Dogs >14.5 pts
Texas -- New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS vs Texas Tech, 1-7 ATS after allowing >39.5 pts
Texas A&M -- 4-0 ATS vs Smu, 0-7 ATS with Rest
Texas Tech -- 4-0 ATS in first of back-to-back Road games, 2-9 ATS as Home Favs
Toledo -- 6-1 ATS vs Eastern Michigan, 2-11 ATS on the Road vs better than avg non-Conference opponents
Troy -- 5-0 ATS off back-to-back SU and ATS losses, 1-7 ATS off a Double Digit ATS win
Tulane -- 4-0 ATS on the Road after scoring <10.5 pts, 1-6 ATS on Weekdays
Tulsa -- 8-0 ATS after playing Smu, 0-8 ATS versus the Big Twelve
UAB -- New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS before playing Marshall, 0-6 ATS as Favorites greater than 11 points
UCF -- 6-1 ATS in first lined Game, 0-4 ATS vs Tulsa
UCLA -- 5-0 ATS on Weekdays, 1-7 ATS at Cal
UNLV -- 9-1 ATS on Weekdays, 1-8 ATS as Home Favs >7.5 pts
USC -- New Head Coach, 8-1 ATS versus Cal, 2-7 ATS vs Arizona
Utah -- 6-0 ATS after playing Arizona State, 1-7 ATS after allowing <10.5 pts
Utah State -- 19-3 ATS as Dogs >3.5 pts, 1-8 ATS vs Boise State
UTEP -- 4-0 ATS before playing Southern Mississippi, 1-10 ATS vs Rice
Vanderbilt -- New Head Coach, 6-1 ATS with Rest and Revenge, 1-10 ATS before playing Georgia
Virginia -- 9-1 ATS after playing North Carolina, 0-6 ATS versus Duke
Virginia Tech -- 7-0 ATS after playing North Carolina, 1-5 ATS as Weekday Favs
Wake Forest -- New Head Coach, 8-1 ATS vs Army, 0-12 ATS as Favs >13 pts
Washington -- New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS vs Colorado, 0-8 ATS vs Arizona State
Washington State -- 4-0 ATS vs Oregon, 1-10 ATS in the second of back-to-back Road games
West Virginia -- 11-0 ATS vs rivals who were beaten Favs, 0-4 ATS after scoring >39.5 pts
Western Kentucky -- New Head Coach, 10-2 ATS on the Road vs below avg opponents, 0-6 ATS as Favs > a TouchDown
Western Michigan -- 6-0 ATS on Weekdays, 2-9 ATS vs Northern Illinois
Wisconsin -- 8-0 ATS after playing Northwestern, 3-9 ATS last four games of season
Wyoming -- New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS before playing Fresno State, 1-7 ATS as Favs >9.5 pts
Here is a look before the 2014 NFL Football season starts on teams and some basic ATS trends:
Arizona -- Coach is 5-0 ATS as Dog <4.5 points and 5-0 ATS off non-Division Play, 0-4 ATS on MNF, 0-6 ATS on Thursdays
Atlanta -- 6-1 ATS before playing New Orleans, 5-0 ATS at Green Bay, 1-8 ATS vs Baltimore, 2-5 ATS at Tampa Bay
Baltimore -- 8-1 ATS vs Atlanta, 4-0 ATS before playing Pittsburgh, 0-5 ATS as Dogs of at least a Touchdown, 1-6 ATS on Thursdays
Buffalo -- 6-1 ATS versus Kansas City, 4-0 ATS at Home vs Green Bay, 1-7 ATS after playing New England, 1-5 ATS off a Straight Up win
Carolina -- 10-2 ATS after allowing at least 35 points, 10-1 ATS as Home Dogs > a TouchDown, 0-5 ATS vs Pittsburgh, 0-5 ATS after playing New Orleans
Chicago -- 11-1 ATS before playing Detroit, 8-1 ATS as Road Favs off a SU Dog win, 0-11 ATS off non-Conference Play, 0-8 ATS before playing Minnesota
Cincinnati -- 9-0 ATS as non-Conference Home Dogs, 7-1 ATS after scoring <10.5 pts, 1-6 ATS vs opponents with Rest, 0-6 ATS vs Houston
Cleveland -- New Head Coach, 5-1 ATS as Home Favs versus AFC East, 6-1 ATS as Road Favs, 1-8 ATS at Home vs non-Conference opponents, 1-6 ATS after playing Cincinnati
Dallas -- 9-0 ATS as non-Conference Dogs, 6-1 ATS at Home vs NFC West, 2-8 ATS vs New Orleans, 1-8 ATS on MNF
Denver -- 4-0 ATS vs Oakland, 4-0 ATS with Rest, 0-7 ATS at Home vs San Diego, 0-6 ATS vs Indianapolis
Detroit -- New Head Coach, 7-1 ATS with Rest vs better than avg opponents, 5-1 ATS as MNF Favs, 0-9 ATS on the Road off non-Conference Play, 0-7 ATS at Arizona
Green Bay -- 6-0 ATS before playing on MNF, 8-0 ATS with Rest, 2-10 ATS versus NFC South, 1-6 ATS as Road Favs >6 pts
Houston -- New Head Coach, 9-1 ATS after playing Jacksonville, 5-1 ATS vs Tennessee, 0-6 ATS on MNF, 1-8 ATS after playing Tennessee
Indianapolis -- 9-2 ATS vs opponents with Rest, 6-0 ATS vs Denver, 3-16 ATS at Home vs. New England, 0-7 ATS as Road Favs in Division Play off Div Play
Jacksonville -- 4-0 ATS with Rest, 9-2 ATS at Home vs Pittsburgh, 3-11 ATS at Home, 2-8 ATS in non-Division Play
Kansas City -- 5-0 ATS vs St. Louis, 7-0 ATS as non-Division Favs >7.5 pts, 0-11 ATS as Division Favs <6.5 points, 1-9 ATS vs AFC East
Miami -- 4-0 ATS after scoring >34.5 pts, 11-2 ATS as Dogs <5 pts, 0-7 ATS at Home after playing the Jets, 1-9 ATS as Home Favs >6.5 pts
Minnesota -- New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS before Bye Week, 7-1 ATS at Home after allowing >34.5 pts, 1-7 ATS as Road Favs, 2-9 ATS on MNF
New England -- 7-0 ATS vs the AFC West, 9-0 ATS as Dogs off a Double Digit SU loss, 1-5 ATS vs Green Bay, 3-15 ATS as Favs >11 pts
New Orleans -- 5-0 ATS Home on MNF, 4-0 ATS vs Detroit, 0-6 ATS on Thursdays, 4-16 ATS as Div Favs > a Touchdown
NY Giants -- 6-0 ATS vs St. Louis, 11-2 ATS as Favs vs NFC West, 0-6 ATS before a Thursday game, 0-5 ATS vs Tennessee
NY Jets -- 6-0 ATS vs Minnesota, 5-1 ATS as Dogs vs AFC South, 1-5 ATS with Rest, 0-8 ATS as beaten Favs
Oakland -- 0-6 ATS off a Straight Up and ATS win, 7-1 ATS at Kansas City, 0-7 ATS before playing San Diego, 2-9 ATS with Rest
Philadelphia -- 9-1 ATS vs St. Louis, 6-1 ATS as Div Favs <3.5 pts, 0-6 ATS vs NFC North, 0-6 ATS before playing Giants
Pittsburgh -- 13-3 ATS vs Jets, 5-0 ATS on the Road vs >.500 Div opponent, 0-6 ATS before playing Cincinnati, 0-6 ATS vs AFC West
St. Louis -- 6-1 ATS with Rest, 12-0 ATS as Favs after scoring 35 or > points, 0-5 ATS before MNF, 0-6 ATS vs Giants
San Diego -- 10-0 ATS vs AFC South, 7-0 ATS at Denver, 1-11 ATS as Favs >10 pts, 1-8 ATS on the Road vs AFC East
San Francisco -- 8-1 ATS on MNF, 8-1 ATS at Arizona, 0-5 ATS after allowing >27.5 pts, 2-8 ATS before MNF
Seattle -- 7-1 ATS on MNF, 9-0 ATS before playing San Francisco, 2-6 ATS at Arizona, 0-7 ATS as Conf Road Favs off Div Play
Tampa Bay -- New Head Coach, 12-2 ATS on the Road off a Straight Up win, 6-0 ATS vs Minnesota, 0-6 ATS before Bye Week, 1-6 ATS after playing New Orleans
Tennessee -- New Head Coach, 6-0 ATS as Double Digit Favorites, 4-0 ATS on MNF, 1-7 ATS vs AFC West, 2-12 ATS after scoring >34.5 pts
Washington -- New Head Coach, 11-2 ATS before playing Giants, 4-0 ATS before playing Dallas, 0-6 ATS as MNF Favs, 0-4 ATS Home vs NFC West
2014 NFL AND NCAA Football Wagering Tips
Emotion— The most important betting edge to know about in football wagering isn't statistics or numbers. The most important edge is emotion. Find the team that desires to win more than their opponent and they'll cover a high percentage of those events. This is true in all sports. But it is even more significant in a physical game like NCAA and NFL Football. Certain Coaches are much better than others in getting their teams ready for games by providing the impetus for emotion. Such Coaches as Frank Beamer, Paul Johnson, Bill Belichick and anyone named Harbaugh among others have all shown their worth in this area over the years.
Sandwich Games— Be careful of ‘sandwich' games. That is the game for a team that's in between two other more important games. The NFL split into different Divisions recently, with fewer teams in each Division. Since then we have both the AFC and NFC broken down into four Divisions consisting of four teams each. They are called the East, North, South and West. So now Division games are of even greater significance than in the past with fewer teams in each Division. When it comes to determining the Playoff picture, these games are the most important to each competing team.
If Tennessee for example, early in the season, plays Indianapolis this week and Jacksonville in two weeks, you know they're going to be focused on those two inter-Divisional games. But if the in-between game is against say San Francisco, a lesser out of Conference team, be careful! Tennessee will have most likely played a tough game the week before, and have an important tough game the following week. Starters may be pulled early against San Francisco, and those hurting from the previous game might not even play in this one.
Too many bettors jump on a team that has been covering on the ‘sandwich' game, laying way too much ‘wood'. The team usually wins, but fails to cover. Then the bettor jumps off of Tennessee the following week against Jacksonville because the bettor got burnt the week before in the sandwich game!
Line Movement— Sometimes line movement means nothing, and sometimes it means everything. When I wager (my favorite recreation), I want the line to be bet dead or move ½ to one point with me. Not a lot of movement, but slightly in agreement with me. When a line moves more than one point, especially in the NFL, it can be a dangerous play. This can denote injuries or other late information such as weather, etc. But be careful, NFL teams are notorious for giving out misleading disinformation more so than any other sport.
Quite often with big line movement in the NFL, the final score falls in between the original line and the final line. This opens the door for ‘middlers', those who bet early one way and late the other way on the same game. I know several gamblers who make their living on this, and i have been successful myself at it. They give up the 10% ‘juice' in hopes of winning both ways. The most they can lose is 5% of their total bet. They clean up if one play pushes or wins and the other play wins.
NCAA football can be different though. With so many lined college games nowadays, big line movement can be bet on. For two years in a row in the early 1990's, the Ivy League football team that got the most line movement during the week won every single game those years. Every week! For games like these with fewer wagers on them, the line can easily move 3 to 5 points. Sometimes it can move even more. Beware of betting against this line movement, it generally is right. In the Colleges, stay away from wagering against consistent and massive line movement in one direction.
Here's wishing all Football bettors a great 2014 Football Wagering Season! Make sure to stop by the http://www.FreeSportsLetter.com site for tons of FREE Wagering Information, Contests, Lines, Scores, and more importantly, FREE Winners!
--Rich Green
[email protected]
http://www.FreeSportsLetter.com
Rich Green is the editor of http://www.FreeSportsLetter.com , a free sports handicapping and information service. He has been a top ranked handicapper for over 35 years. He specializes in Football, Basketball and Baseball, all the major sports, and has won numerous contests in each.
YOU CAN GET THIS NFL and NCAA FOOTBALL ATS UPDATE BY GOING HERE: https://tinyurl.com/lwly5ld
(SCROLL DOWN FOR NFL TRENDS)
2014 NFL and NCAA Football Against The Spread (ATS) Trends
Here is a look before the 2014 College Football season starts on lined teams and some basic ATS trends:
Air Force -- 6-1 ATS before playing Army, 0-5 ATS vs San Diego State
Akron -- 5-1 ATS with Rest off a win, 0-6 ATS vs Bowling Green
Alabama -- 8-0 ATS as non-Conf Favs <28.,5 pts, 0-5 ATS off back-to-back Straight Up losses
Arizona -- 7-2 ATS vs Usc, 0-5 ATS off a Straight Up Dog win
Arizona State -- 8-0 ATS vs Washington, 1-7 ATS as beaten Favs
Arkansas -- 5-0 ATS off a Straight Up Dog win, 1-9 ATS before playing Alabama
Arkansas State -- New Head Coach, 7-1 ATS as non-Conf Home Dogs, 2-11 ATS after allowing >34.5 pts
Army -- New Head Coach, 7-3 ATS as Home Dogs, 0-6 ATS on the Road with Rest
Auburn -- 7-0 ATS after allowing >34.5 points, 1-6 ATS at Home after allowing <10.5 pts
Ball State -- 8-0 ATS after playing Eastern Michigan, 0-6 ATS in first of back-to-back Home Games
Baylor -- 4-0 ATS versus Texas, 1-6 ATS versus Tcu
Boise State -- New Head Coach, 8-0 ATS in second of back-to-back Road games, 0-6 ATS vs Nevada
Boston College -- 6-1 ATS before playing Wake Forest, 0-11 ATS as Road Favs >3.5 pts
Bowling Green -- New Head Coach, 9-0 ATS on Weekdays, 0-7 ATS at Home with Rest
Buffalo -- 4-0 ATS after playing Kent, 0-5 ATS as Weekday Dogs
BYU -- 6-0 ATS at Home as beaten Favs, 0-5 ATS as Favs <6.5 pts
California -- 7-1 ATS at Home vs Ucla, 2-11 ATS in second of back-to-back Road Games
Central Michigan -- 7-0 ATS on the Road after scoring Single Digits, 0-4 ATS vs Toledo
Cincinnati -- 6-0 ATS vs Memphis, 0-5 ATS vs Miami
Clemson -- 4-0 ATS before playing Georgia Tech, 0-5 ATS vs South Carolina
Colorado -- 5-0 ATS at Home as beaten Favs, 0-9 ATS as Favs versus the Pac 12
Colorado State -- 5-0 ATS at Home vs Hawaii, 1-5 ATS after scoring >39.5 pts
Connecticut -- New Head Coach, 18-4 ATS as Home Dogs, 1-7 ATS vs Temple
Duke -- 6-0 ATS vs Virginia, 1-7 ATS vs Georgia Tech
East Carolina -- 6-0 ATS after playing Tulsa, 1-6 ATS with Rest
Eastern Michigan -- New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS vs Western Michigan, 0-6 ATS at Home vs Northern Illinois
Florida -- 7-0 ATS vs Kentucky, 0-7 ATS after scoring < a Touchdown
Florida Atlantic -- New Head Coach, 6-0 ATS in second of back-to-back Road Games, 0-5 ATS vs Middle Tennessee State
Florida International -- 5-0 ATS on the Road after scoring 35 or more points, 0-5 ATS off Weekday Play
Florida State -- 5-0 ATS after scoring >39.5 pts, 0-7 ATS after a SU Dog win
Fresno State -- 6-1 ATS before playing Boise State, 0-8 ATS vs Boise State
Georgia -- 6-0 ATS on the Road off a SU Dog win, 1-7 ATS with Rest
Georgia Tech -- 5-0 ATS vs North Carolina, 0-8 ATS on the Road vs opponents off a SU Dog win
Hawaii -- 6-1 ATS vs Unlv, 1-7 ATS in second of back-to-back Road Games
Houston -- 9-0 ATS vs Tulane, 0-5 ATS after scoring 3 or less points
Idaho -- 6-1 ATS at Home vs better than avg opponents off a Straight Up loss, 0-4 ATS with Rest
Illinois -- 9-0 ATS as Dogs off back-to-back Straight Up wins, 1-12 ATS as non-Conf Single Digit Favs
Indiana -- 4-1 ATS as beaten Favs, 0-4 ATS vs Missouri
Iowa -- 11-1 ATS before playing Indiana, 0-7 ATS off 3+ ATS wins
Iowa State -- 6-0 ATS as Home Favs <10.5 pts, 1-9 ATS after playing Texas Tech
Kansas -- 11-2 ATS at Home versus below avg opponents, 1-12 ATS after playing Oklahoma
Kansas State -- 7-0 ATS after allowing >34.5 pts, 1-7 ATS off a SU win vs below avg opponents
Kent State -- 5-0 ATS after playing Bowling Green, 0-6 ATS vs Northern Illinois
Kentucky -- 4-0 ATS before playing Louisville, 0-7 ATS vs Florida
UL-Lafayette -- Visiting team is 10-1 ATS in La-Monroe series, 1-5 ATS as Weekday Favs
UL-Monroe -- 7-0 ATS after scoring < a Touchdown, 1-8 ATS as Dogs with Rest
Louisiana Tech -- 5-0 ATS off a SU Dog win, 1-5 ATS vs Rice
Louisville -- 9-0 ATS as Double Digit Dogs off a SU win, 2-11 ATS as Conf Dogs after allowing >34.5 pts
LSU -- 7-0 ATS as Dogs off SU and ATS loss, 1-6 ATS vs Arkansas
Marshall -- 7-1 ATS after scoring 10 or less pts, 1-8 ATS as Road Favs > 11.5 points
Maryland -- 5-0 ATS on the Road vs opponents who are beaten Favs, 0-7 ATS with Rest
Memphis -- 5-0 ATS off non-Conf Play, 0-6 ATS at Home vs Tulsa
Miami -- 5-0 ATS vs Cincinnati, 1-14 ATS off back-to-back SU and ATS wins
Miami OH -- New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS vs Northern Illinois, 0-5 ATS at Cincinnati
Michigan -- 5-0 ATS at Home with Rest, 1-7 ATS after playing Indiana
Michigan State -- 6-0 ATS vs Michigan, 0-4 ATS at Home vs Ohio State
MTSU -- 5-0 ATS vs Florida Atlantic, 0-5 ATS off back-to-back SU and ATS losses
Minnesota -- 4-0 ATS at Illinois, 0-6 ATS vs Michigan
Mississippi -- 5-0 ATS before playing Alabama, 0-7 ATS as Road Favs off a SU win
Mississippi State -- 5-1 ATS in last Home game, 1-5 ATS off a SU Dog win
Missouri -- 50-3 ATS when they win Straight Up on the Road, 1-4 ATS as Dogs with Rest
Navy -- 10-1 ATS vs Air Force, 1-5 ATS with Rest
Nebraska -- 9-2 ATS after allowing >34.5 pts, 0-4 ATS in the second of back-to-back Road Games
Nevada -- 6-0 ATS vs Boise State, 1-7 ATS vs below avg opponents
New Mexico -- 7-1 ATS after playing New Mexico State, 1-8 ATS at Home after scoring <10.5 pts
New Mexico State -- 5-0 ATS vs the Sun Belt, 0-9 ATS in first of back-to-back Home games
North Carolina -- 5-0 ATS before playing Georgia Tech, 0-5 ATS versus Georgia Tech
North Carolina State -- 10-1 ATS with Rest, 1-5 ATS after scoring >39.5 pts
North Texas -- 7-0 ATS as Favs vs below avg Conf rivals, 0-5 ATS vs Florida International
Northern Illinois -- 5-0 ATS before playing Ball State, 0-4 ATS vs Ohio U
Northwestern -- 17-2 ATS before playing Michigan, 1-6 ATS before playing Iowa
Notre Dame -- 5-0 ATS with Rest versus below avg opponents, 1-6 ATS on the Road after scoring at least 35 pts
Ohio State -- 9-0 ATS before playing Illinois, 1-8 ATS vs opponents off a SU and ATS loss
Ohio U -- 6-0 ATS with Rest vs better than avg opponents, 1-10 ATS after scoring at least 35 points
Oklahoma -- 8-1 ATS before playing Baylor, 0-6 ATS at Home vs Baylor
Oklahoma State -- 6-0 ATS before playing Baylor, 1-8 ATS at Kansas State
Oregon -- 12-1 ATS in second of back-to-back Home Games, 1-9 ATS before playing Oregon State
Oregon State -- 11-1 ATS after playing Washington State, 1-8 ATS as Home Dogs off back-to-back Road Games
Penn State -- New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS vs Northwestern, 1-7 ATS as Dogs after scoring at least 35 pts
Pittsburgh -- 6-0 ATS as Double Digit Road Dogs, 1-8 ATS as Favs >21.5 pts
Purdue -- 8-0 ATS as Conf Favs >12.5 pts, 0-8 ATS vs Wisconsin
Rice -- 12-0 ATS as Conf Home Dogs off a SU win, 0-4 ATS on Weekdays
Rutgers -- 7-0 ATS as Dogs in the second of back-to-back Road games, 0-7 ATS after scoring <10.5 pts
San Diego State -- 5-0 ATS vs Air Force, 1-11 ATS vs New Mexico
San Jose State -- 8-0 ATS as Road Favs off a Double Digit SU win, 0-7 ATS with Rest
SMU -- 6-1 ATS with Rest, 0-4 ATS vs Texas A&M
South Carolina -- 9-1 ATS at Home off a Double Digit ATS loss, 1-7 ATS at Home vs Tennessee
South Florida -- 7-1 ATS as non-Conf Road Dogs of at least a Touchdown, 2-8 ATS vs Cincinnati
Southern Mississippi -- 7-1 ATS on the Road after scoring >34.5 pts, 1-7 ATS after playing Marshall
Stanford -- 9-0 ATS before playing Oregon State, 1-8 ATS off a Double Digit SU loss
Syracuse -- 12-1 ATS as Home Favs off a Double Digit SU win, 0-6 ATS on the Road as beaten Favs vs below avg rivals
TCU -- 6-1 ATS vs Baylor, 0-8 ATS off SU Dog win vs below avg opponents
Temple -- 6-0 ATS after playing Penn State, 0-9 ATS as Favs with Rest
Tennessee -- 10-2 ATS at Home vs Kentucky, 1-7 ATS as Dogs >14.5 pts
Texas -- New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS vs Texas Tech, 1-7 ATS after allowing >39.5 pts
Texas A&M -- 4-0 ATS vs Smu, 0-7 ATS with Rest
Texas Tech -- 4-0 ATS in first of back-to-back Road games, 2-9 ATS as Home Favs
Toledo -- 6-1 ATS vs Eastern Michigan, 2-11 ATS on the Road vs better than avg non-Conference opponents
Troy -- 5-0 ATS off back-to-back SU and ATS losses, 1-7 ATS off a Double Digit ATS win
Tulane -- 4-0 ATS on the Road after scoring <10.5 pts, 1-6 ATS on Weekdays
Tulsa -- 8-0 ATS after playing Smu, 0-8 ATS versus the Big Twelve
UAB -- New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS before playing Marshall, 0-6 ATS as Favorites greater than 11 points
UCF -- 6-1 ATS in first lined Game, 0-4 ATS vs Tulsa
UCLA -- 5-0 ATS on Weekdays, 1-7 ATS at Cal
UNLV -- 9-1 ATS on Weekdays, 1-8 ATS as Home Favs >7.5 pts
USC -- New Head Coach, 8-1 ATS versus Cal, 2-7 ATS vs Arizona
Utah -- 6-0 ATS after playing Arizona State, 1-7 ATS after allowing <10.5 pts
Utah State -- 19-3 ATS as Dogs >3.5 pts, 1-8 ATS vs Boise State
UTEP -- 4-0 ATS before playing Southern Mississippi, 1-10 ATS vs Rice
Vanderbilt -- New Head Coach, 6-1 ATS with Rest and Revenge, 1-10 ATS before playing Georgia
Virginia -- 9-1 ATS after playing North Carolina, 0-6 ATS versus Duke
Virginia Tech -- 7-0 ATS after playing North Carolina, 1-5 ATS as Weekday Favs
Wake Forest -- New Head Coach, 8-1 ATS vs Army, 0-12 ATS as Favs >13 pts
Washington -- New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS vs Colorado, 0-8 ATS vs Arizona State
Washington State -- 4-0 ATS vs Oregon, 1-10 ATS in the second of back-to-back Road games
West Virginia -- 11-0 ATS vs rivals who were beaten Favs, 0-4 ATS after scoring >39.5 pts
Western Kentucky -- New Head Coach, 10-2 ATS on the Road vs below avg opponents, 0-6 ATS as Favs > a TouchDown
Western Michigan -- 6-0 ATS on Weekdays, 2-9 ATS vs Northern Illinois
Wisconsin -- 8-0 ATS after playing Northwestern, 3-9 ATS last four games of season
Wyoming -- New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS before playing Fresno State, 1-7 ATS as Favs >9.5 pts
Here is a look before the 2014 NFL Football season starts on teams and some basic ATS trends:
Arizona -- Coach is 5-0 ATS as Dog <4.5 points and 5-0 ATS off non-Division Play, 0-4 ATS on MNF, 0-6 ATS on Thursdays
Atlanta -- 6-1 ATS before playing New Orleans, 5-0 ATS at Green Bay, 1-8 ATS vs Baltimore, 2-5 ATS at Tampa Bay
Baltimore -- 8-1 ATS vs Atlanta, 4-0 ATS before playing Pittsburgh, 0-5 ATS as Dogs of at least a Touchdown, 1-6 ATS on Thursdays
Buffalo -- 6-1 ATS versus Kansas City, 4-0 ATS at Home vs Green Bay, 1-7 ATS after playing New England, 1-5 ATS off a Straight Up win
Carolina -- 10-2 ATS after allowing at least 35 points, 10-1 ATS as Home Dogs > a TouchDown, 0-5 ATS vs Pittsburgh, 0-5 ATS after playing New Orleans
Chicago -- 11-1 ATS before playing Detroit, 8-1 ATS as Road Favs off a SU Dog win, 0-11 ATS off non-Conference Play, 0-8 ATS before playing Minnesota
Cincinnati -- 9-0 ATS as non-Conference Home Dogs, 7-1 ATS after scoring <10.5 pts, 1-6 ATS vs opponents with Rest, 0-6 ATS vs Houston
Cleveland -- New Head Coach, 5-1 ATS as Home Favs versus AFC East, 6-1 ATS as Road Favs, 1-8 ATS at Home vs non-Conference opponents, 1-6 ATS after playing Cincinnati
Dallas -- 9-0 ATS as non-Conference Dogs, 6-1 ATS at Home vs NFC West, 2-8 ATS vs New Orleans, 1-8 ATS on MNF
Denver -- 4-0 ATS vs Oakland, 4-0 ATS with Rest, 0-7 ATS at Home vs San Diego, 0-6 ATS vs Indianapolis
Detroit -- New Head Coach, 7-1 ATS with Rest vs better than avg opponents, 5-1 ATS as MNF Favs, 0-9 ATS on the Road off non-Conference Play, 0-7 ATS at Arizona
Green Bay -- 6-0 ATS before playing on MNF, 8-0 ATS with Rest, 2-10 ATS versus NFC South, 1-6 ATS as Road Favs >6 pts
Houston -- New Head Coach, 9-1 ATS after playing Jacksonville, 5-1 ATS vs Tennessee, 0-6 ATS on MNF, 1-8 ATS after playing Tennessee
Indianapolis -- 9-2 ATS vs opponents with Rest, 6-0 ATS vs Denver, 3-16 ATS at Home vs. New England, 0-7 ATS as Road Favs in Division Play off Div Play
Jacksonville -- 4-0 ATS with Rest, 9-2 ATS at Home vs Pittsburgh, 3-11 ATS at Home, 2-8 ATS in non-Division Play
Kansas City -- 5-0 ATS vs St. Louis, 7-0 ATS as non-Division Favs >7.5 pts, 0-11 ATS as Division Favs <6.5 points, 1-9 ATS vs AFC East
Miami -- 4-0 ATS after scoring >34.5 pts, 11-2 ATS as Dogs <5 pts, 0-7 ATS at Home after playing the Jets, 1-9 ATS as Home Favs >6.5 pts
Minnesota -- New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS before Bye Week, 7-1 ATS at Home after allowing >34.5 pts, 1-7 ATS as Road Favs, 2-9 ATS on MNF
New England -- 7-0 ATS vs the AFC West, 9-0 ATS as Dogs off a Double Digit SU loss, 1-5 ATS vs Green Bay, 3-15 ATS as Favs >11 pts
New Orleans -- 5-0 ATS Home on MNF, 4-0 ATS vs Detroit, 0-6 ATS on Thursdays, 4-16 ATS as Div Favs > a Touchdown
NY Giants -- 6-0 ATS vs St. Louis, 11-2 ATS as Favs vs NFC West, 0-6 ATS before a Thursday game, 0-5 ATS vs Tennessee
NY Jets -- 6-0 ATS vs Minnesota, 5-1 ATS as Dogs vs AFC South, 1-5 ATS with Rest, 0-8 ATS as beaten Favs
Oakland -- 0-6 ATS off a Straight Up and ATS win, 7-1 ATS at Kansas City, 0-7 ATS before playing San Diego, 2-9 ATS with Rest
Philadelphia -- 9-1 ATS vs St. Louis, 6-1 ATS as Div Favs <3.5 pts, 0-6 ATS vs NFC North, 0-6 ATS before playing Giants
Pittsburgh -- 13-3 ATS vs Jets, 5-0 ATS on the Road vs >.500 Div opponent, 0-6 ATS before playing Cincinnati, 0-6 ATS vs AFC West
St. Louis -- 6-1 ATS with Rest, 12-0 ATS as Favs after scoring 35 or > points, 0-5 ATS before MNF, 0-6 ATS vs Giants
San Diego -- 10-0 ATS vs AFC South, 7-0 ATS at Denver, 1-11 ATS as Favs >10 pts, 1-8 ATS on the Road vs AFC East
San Francisco -- 8-1 ATS on MNF, 8-1 ATS at Arizona, 0-5 ATS after allowing >27.5 pts, 2-8 ATS before MNF
Seattle -- 7-1 ATS on MNF, 9-0 ATS before playing San Francisco, 2-6 ATS at Arizona, 0-7 ATS as Conf Road Favs off Div Play
Tampa Bay -- New Head Coach, 12-2 ATS on the Road off a Straight Up win, 6-0 ATS vs Minnesota, 0-6 ATS before Bye Week, 1-6 ATS after playing New Orleans
Tennessee -- New Head Coach, 6-0 ATS as Double Digit Favorites, 4-0 ATS on MNF, 1-7 ATS vs AFC West, 2-12 ATS after scoring >34.5 pts
Washington -- New Head Coach, 11-2 ATS before playing Giants, 4-0 ATS before playing Dallas, 0-6 ATS as MNF Favs, 0-4 ATS Home vs NFC West
2014 NFL AND NCAA Football Wagering Tips
Emotion— The most important betting edge to know about in football wagering isn't statistics or numbers. The most important edge is emotion. Find the team that desires to win more than their opponent and they'll cover a high percentage of those events. This is true in all sports. But it is even more significant in a physical game like NCAA and NFL Football. Certain Coaches are much better than others in getting their teams ready for games by providing the impetus for emotion. Such Coaches as Frank Beamer, Paul Johnson, Bill Belichick and anyone named Harbaugh among others have all shown their worth in this area over the years.
Sandwich Games— Be careful of ‘sandwich' games. That is the game for a team that's in between two other more important games. The NFL split into different Divisions recently, with fewer teams in each Division. Since then we have both the AFC and NFC broken down into four Divisions consisting of four teams each. They are called the East, North, South and West. So now Division games are of even greater significance than in the past with fewer teams in each Division. When it comes to determining the Playoff picture, these games are the most important to each competing team.
If Tennessee for example, early in the season, plays Indianapolis this week and Jacksonville in two weeks, you know they're going to be focused on those two inter-Divisional games. But if the in-between game is against say San Francisco, a lesser out of Conference team, be careful! Tennessee will have most likely played a tough game the week before, and have an important tough game the following week. Starters may be pulled early against San Francisco, and those hurting from the previous game might not even play in this one.
Too many bettors jump on a team that has been covering on the ‘sandwich' game, laying way too much ‘wood'. The team usually wins, but fails to cover. Then the bettor jumps off of Tennessee the following week against Jacksonville because the bettor got burnt the week before in the sandwich game!
Line Movement— Sometimes line movement means nothing, and sometimes it means everything. When I wager (my favorite recreation), I want the line to be bet dead or move ½ to one point with me. Not a lot of movement, but slightly in agreement with me. When a line moves more than one point, especially in the NFL, it can be a dangerous play. This can denote injuries or other late information such as weather, etc. But be careful, NFL teams are notorious for giving out misleading disinformation more so than any other sport.
Quite often with big line movement in the NFL, the final score falls in between the original line and the final line. This opens the door for ‘middlers', those who bet early one way and late the other way on the same game. I know several gamblers who make their living on this, and i have been successful myself at it. They give up the 10% ‘juice' in hopes of winning both ways. The most they can lose is 5% of their total bet. They clean up if one play pushes or wins and the other play wins.
NCAA football can be different though. With so many lined college games nowadays, big line movement can be bet on. For two years in a row in the early 1990's, the Ivy League football team that got the most line movement during the week won every single game those years. Every week! For games like these with fewer wagers on them, the line can easily move 3 to 5 points. Sometimes it can move even more. Beware of betting against this line movement, it generally is right. In the Colleges, stay away from wagering against consistent and massive line movement in one direction.
Here's wishing all Football bettors a great 2014 Football Wagering Season! Make sure to stop by the http://www.FreeSportsLetter.com site for tons of FREE Wagering Information, Contests, Lines, Scores, and more importantly, FREE Winners!
--Rich Green
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http://www.FreeSportsLetter.com