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Sunday NFL Sweep - 3 NCAA Hoops Winners Monday

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  • Sunday NFL Sweep - 3 NCAA Hoops Winners Monday

    Insider Edge Sports – Monday, January 12, 2004 Report

    We win yet again for our members on Sunday. We sweep the NFL and we are now 6-2 +9.5 units in the playoffs. For Monday, we have 3 NCAA Hoops winners including both early Big Monday games. No one is better right now in college hoops are we are nailing 58% of our plays for +38.4 units. We also have a big NBA Winner that is yours for free tonight. Our One Day Pass for $14.95 gets all of the winners for Monday.

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    Philadelphia 76ers at Orlando Magic 7:35 pm EST

    Philadelphia +1 (2 Units)

    The Sixers followed up a big win over New Jersey with a very bad loss at Washington on Saturday. We were on them in that game thinking that they were starting to turn the corner, especially with Allen Iverson back in the lineup. Well, we aren’t going to back off that fast however. There is still value here against a team that they match up very well against, having defeated the Magic in their first meeting by 22 points without Iverson. A much better effort than what we saw on Saturday is expected. "Yeah, I'm concerned," coach Randy Ayers said. "This is our 37th game of the year. We've had effort and energy. I can't fault their energy at times this year. But now it's to the point where we've got to beat teams we're supposed to beat." Eric Snow was more blunt. "If the object is trying to win a championship and go to the playoffs, then these are the games you're supposed to be winning," the point guard said. "We shouldn't be sitting here talking about it. It's just too late in the season. We've been playing games too long - all of us. Orlando is coming off their first win since Christmas Day and they have won back-to-back games only 3 times all year. This could turn into the Tracy McGrady/Iverson show but even if T-Mac has one of his big games, the Sixers have too many other weapons to neutralize him. It’s very early, but Philadelphia is treating this game as a must win and that is not reflected in the line. They are 12-7 ATS following a loss. Orlando is 1-6 SU and ATS as a pick or favorite of 3.5 points or less and they are 2-8 SU and ATS when the line is 2.5 in either direction.

    If you were on the outside for yesterday’s NFL sweep, this is what our members got:

    Indianapolis Colts at Kansas City Chiefs 1:05 pm EST

    Indianapolis +3 (3 Units)

    The Colts played a near flawless game last weekend against Denver and that usually spells trouble when going on the road the following week. However, this is a team that is capable of putting great back-to-back performances together as Peyton Manning if one of the most efficient quarterbacks in the league. KC is 8-0 at home but their schedule was not good. They played only one winning team and that happened to be the one game they didn’t cover. Kansas City has not been playing well as of late. They are only 4-3 overall and 2-5 ATS in their last seven games. The Chiefs surrendered 45 points in two of their past four games. Dick Vermeil is known as a coach who is extremely well prepared, however, one has to question his wisdom in having his team practice only once during the bye week. Kansas City's defensive line is regularly being blown off the ball, lacks depth and at times ignores gap discipline in trying to create big plays. The biggest problem for the Chiefs will be stopping the run with their front four. Because Manning is so lethal when he can dictate match-ups in the passing game, the last thing the Chiefs need is to be forced into committing their safeties to run support. Manning and his mates are ultra-efficient, which would be bad enough for the Chiefs if they didn't also match up so poorly against the Colts' passing game. Kansas City, which lacks a shutdown cornerback, has been playing a lot of cover-2, a scheme Manning has proved he can eat up with tight, disciplined throws. Dante Hall gives the Chiefs a big special teams edge, though the Colts' cover teams have been solid. If both defenses sit back in their cover-2 schemes, Manning has a clear advantage over Trent Green. Not only will Manning make all of the necessary throws, but also he is a master at checking out of bad plays and into good ones to beat the blitz or find desirable one-on-one match-ups. He can’t let the crowd noise affect him however. Colts PK Mike Vanderjagt gives the Colts a big edge in the kicking game. Experience could play a big part here as well. Just 17 of the 53 Kansas City players have been in the playoffs, and most with other clubs. Several key players, from quarterback Trent Green to defensive tackle Ryan Sims to cornerback Eric Warfield, don't know what the playoffs are all about. Meanwhile, Indianapolis is one of five teams to play in the postseason in four of the last five seasons. All of the Colts have playoff experience, even the rookies because of Sunday's 41-10 whipping of Denver.

    Green Bay Packers at Philadelphia Eagles 4:15 pm EST

    Green Bay +5.5 (2 Units)

    The Eagles defeated the Packers 17-14 in Week 10. It was wet, cold and rainy, and Packers QB Brett Favre was playing with a broken thumb for the first time outside. Favre had the ball slip from his hands three times. It was Green Bay's third loss in four weeks, and Green Bay's playoff hopes seemed dim. But the Packers caught fire down the stretch and snuck into the playoffs where they are now a very dangerous team. While we don’t believe in any of this destiny stuff that seems to be following Green Bay around, it does make you think nonetheless. Destiny may be on their side, but more importantly, they are playing really good football, one the best in the conference right now next to the Eagles. They have won their last 5 games and with the exception of their game against Seattle, all have been pretty comfortable wins. After a 2-3 start, the Eagles have won 10 of 11 so beating them will be no easy task. The Packers have the running game though to stay in this one and keep it close throughout. The Eagles biggest weakness has been stopping the run, and that's what the Packers do best. Ahman Green finished the season with 1,883 yards on 355 carries and a 5.3 ypc average. The Eagles, who finished a surprising 20th in overall defense, allowed 129.4 yards a game on the ground and a staggering 4.5 yards a carry. Green rushed for 192 yards against the Eagles in Week 10. Green Bay averaged an NFC-best 6.07 yards per first-down play this season, while the Eagles were 10th in first-down defense (5.36). Injuries are affecting the Eagles more than the Packers. Eagles RB Brian Westbrook is out for the rest of the season. Westbrook led the team with 613 yards on the ground and 5.2 ypc. He also never put the ball on the ground whereas Correll Buckhalter and Duce Staley lost half of the teams’ fumbles. Another key injury is the loss of linebacker Carlos Emmons for the season. Emmons was the Eagles best coverage linebacker. The Packers defense is much improved since the addition of big, run-stuffing DT Grady Jackson. With no serious power running threat to worry about from Philadelphia, the Packers can leave their safeties back in coverage without having to overcompensate up front. This will give the Packers more options on trying to stop the pass offense of Donavan McNabb and company. The Eagles tend to tighten up in the postseason, especially at home. Right now, nobody's looser than Favre. The Packers are No. 1 in the NFC in red-zone offense, converting 65.4 percent of their inside-the-20 opportunities into TD’s.

    PROUD MEMBER OF THE PROFESSIONAL HANDICAPPERS LEAGUE
    Matt Fargo Sports
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