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BIO:
Rich Green is the editor of FreeSportsLetter-- Free Football, Basketball and Baseball Picks , a free sports handicapping and information service. He has been a top ranked handicapper for over 35 years. He specializes in Football, Basketball and Baseball, all the major sports, and has won numerous contests in each.
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2011 NFL and NCAA Football Against The Spread (ATS) Trends
Here is a look before the 2011 College Football season starts on lined teams and some basic ATS trends:
Air Force -- 6-0 ATS as Dogs with Rest, 6-1 off a Straight Up Dog win, 2-8 ATS after scoring less than 10 points, 1-8 ATS as Conference Home Favorites greater than 14 points
Akron -- 4-0 ATS with Rest off a win, 1-12 ATS on the Road versus average or better Conference foes
Alabama -- 17-9 ATS as Road Favorites past six seasons, Road team is 17-2 ATS in Tennessee series, 0-6 ATS before playing Tennessee
UAB -- 5-1 ATS before playing Houston, 0-4 ATS as Favorites greater than 11 points
Arizona -- 5-1 ATS after playing Cal, 1-8 ATS in the first of back-to-back Road games, 1-4 ATS before playing USC
Arizona State -- 7-1 ATS after scoring at least 35 points, 1-8 ATS as Favs off a SU Fav loss
Arkansas -- 13-2 ATS off back-to-back Straight Up losses, 1-6 ATS before playing Alabama
Arkansas State -- New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS in Game One, 0-4 ATS after allowing 10 or less points
Army -- 12-1 ATS in first of back-to-back Road Games, 4-25 ATS with Rest
Auburn -- 10-2 ATS after playing Ark, 1-5 ATS as Road Favs > a Field Goal
Ball State -- New Head Coach, 20-6 ATS as Road Dogs recently, 1-4 ATS in first of back-to-back Home Games
Baylor -- 8-2 ATS as Dogs greater than 12 points, Road team in Oklahoma series is 10-1 ATS
Boise State -- 10-4 ATS in Conference Play, 0-4 ATS as Weekday Favs < 22 points
Boston College -- 5-0 ATS in second of back-to-back Road Games, 1-5 ATS after playing Virginia Tech
Bowling Green -- 17-8 ATS as Road Dogs recently, 1-5 ATS before playing Akron
BYU -- 7-0 ATS in first of back-to-back Road Games, 0-6 ATS in second of back-to-back Road Games
Buffalo -- 7-0 ATS before playing Akron, 0-6 ATS in second of back-to-back Road Games
California -- 7-1 ATS in first lined Game, 0-5 ATS off a SU Dog win
Central Florida -- 6-0 ATS after playing Southern Mississippi, 7-1 ATS on Weekdays, 1-5 ATS with Rest
Central Michigan -- 11-1 ATS in Conference openers, 1-6 ATS as Dogs off a SU Dog win
Cincinnati -- 8-0 ATS before playing Louisville, 0-6 ATS last game of season
Clemson -- 5-0 ATS after playing Florida State, 2-9 ATS as Double Digit Road Favorites
Colorado -- New Head Coach, 1-11 ATS versus the Pac 10, 1-7 ATS before playing Kansas
Colorado State -- 11-0 ATS at Home off non-Conference Play, 1-5 ATS as non-Conference Road Favs
Connecticut -- 11-2 ATS as Home Dogs, 10-0 ATS in first of back-to-back Home Games, 0-5 ATS on the Road after allowing a TouchDown or less
Duke -- 16-9 ATS as Road Dogs, 3-14 ATS at Home in non-Conference Play
East Carolina -- 12-0 ATS as Conference Road Dogs of six or less points, 0-7 ATS as Road Favs greater than six points
Eastern Michigan -- 6-0 ATS in last Road Game, 6-16 ATS as Home Dogs
Florida -- New Head Coach, 11-1 ATS as Conference Dogs, 0-5 ATS at Home off back-to-back Road Games
Florida Atlantic -- Home team is 4-1 ATS in Ark St match up, 0-4 ATS before playing Florida Int
Florida International -- 5-0 ATS off a Double Digit SU win, 0-4 ATS after playing Arkansas State
Florida State -- 7-0 ATS in Bowl Games, 0-5 ATS before playing Clemson
Fresno State -- 4-0 ATS with Rest, 1-17 ATS off a SU and ATS loss
Georgia -- 6-0 ATS on the Road off a SU Dog win, 1-5 ATS before playing Tenn
Georgia Tech -- 6-1 ATS off a SU Fav loss, 6-0 ATS in the second of back-to-back Road Games
Hawaii -- 5-1 ATS off a SU Fav loss, Home team is 0-6 ATS in Fresno State series, 2-11 ATS as Dogs with Rest
Houston -- 0-10 ATS on the Road off back-to-back SU wins
Idaho -- 5-1 ATS before playing La Tech, 1-8 ATS as Double Digit Favs
Illinois -- 8-3 ATS as Road Dogs, 1-8 ATS as Favs in the first of back-to-back Home Games
Indiana -- New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS after Playing Illinois, 2-12 ATS before playing Purdue
Iowa -- 10-0 ATS before playing Ind, 0-9 ATS as Double Digit Road Favs
Iowa State -- 5-0 ATS after playing Missouri, 1-8 ATS before playing Oklahoma
Kansas -- 10-0 ATS at Home versus below avg opponents, 1-9 ATS after playing Kansas State
Kansas State -- 4-0 ATS after playing Texas Tech, 3-11 ATS as Road Favorites, 0-6 ATS as Favs > five points
Kent State -- New Head Coach, 4-1 ATS on Weekdays, 1-5 ATS as Home Favs off a SU loss
Kentucky -- 6-0 ATS before playing Georgia, 1-5 ATS before playing Ole Miss
UL-Lafayette -- New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS in first of back-to-back Road Games, 1-5 ATS as Double Digit Dogs with Rest
UL-Monroe -- 8-0 ATS of back-to-back SU and ATS losses, 2-9 ATS with Rest
LSU -- 6-1 ATS after playing Auburn, 3-17 ATS as Conference Home Favs of two or more points
Louisiana Tech -- Home team is 7-0 ATS in Hawaii series, 10-29 ATS as Road Dogs
Louisville -- 8-0 ATS as Double Digit Dogs off a SU win, 1-6 ATS with Rest versus below avg opponents
Marshall -- 4-1 ATS on the Road off a Double Digit ATS win, 0-6 ATS as Road Favs > 12 points
Maryland -- New Head Coach, 5-1 ATS after playing Florida State, 1-5 ATS on the Road versus below avg rivals
Memphis -- 10-0 ATS in last Road Game, 1-6 ATS before playing Houston
Miami -- New Head Coach, 4-1 ATS in second of back-to-back Road Games, 0-5 ATS in second of back-to-back Home Games
Miami OH -- New Head Coach,7-0 ATS before playing Bowling Green, Dog in Ohio U series is 0-7 ATS
Michigan -- New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS after playing Notre Dame, Fav in Notre Dame series is 2-13 ATS
Michigan State -- 5-1 ATS before playing Iowa, 0-4 ATS with Rest
MTSU -- 5-0 ATS as Favs of 11 or more points, 0-6 ATS with Rest
Minnesota -- New Head Coach, 9-2 ATS as non-Conference Road Favs, 0-4 ATS before playing Michigan
Mississippi -- 5-1 ATS after playing Georgia, 1-6 ATS before playing Alabama
Mississippi State -- 5-0 ATS versus Memphis, 0-8 ATS on Weekdays
Missouri -- 42-3 ATS when they win Straight Up on the Road, 4-8 ATS as Home Favs
Navy -- 19-7 ATS as Road Dogs, 0-6 ATS Home after playing Air Force
Nebraska -- 8-0 ATS after playing Texas A&M, 2-9 ATS in the second of back-to-back Home Games
Nevada -- 5-0 ATS after playing New Mexico State, 0-6 ATS after playing Utah State
New Mexico -- 5-0 ATS after playing New Mexico State, 0-4 ATS before playing New Mexico State
New Mexico State -- 4-1 ATS versus Fresno State, 0-6 ATS before playing Fresno State
North Carolina -- Road Team in Va Tech Series is 5-0 ATS, 0-4 ATS versus NC State
North Carolina State -- 4-0 ATS after playing Florida State, Home Team in Clemson Series is 0-6 ATS
North Texas -- New Head Coach, 8-1 ATS after playing MTSU, 1-10 ATS as Favs
Northern Illinois -- New Head Coach, 5-1 ATS as Dogs with Rest, 1-6 ATS after playing W. Michigan
Northwestern -- 4-0 ATS after playing Michigan, 1-5 ATS before playing Iowa
Notre Dame -- 4-0 ATS in the second of back-to-back Road Games, 1-15 ATS Home versus military teams
Ohio State -- New Head Coach, 20-7 ATS as Road Favorites, 1-6 ATS at Home before playing Michigan
Ohio U -- 6-0 ATS in last Home game, 0-5 ATS at Home versus Kent State
Oklahoma -- 7-0 ATS after playing Texas Tech, 1-5 ATS after playing Missouri
Oklahoma State -- Fav in Baylor series is 7-0 ATS, 0-6 ATS versus Oklahoma
Oregon -- 21-11 ATS as Home Favorites, 1-5 ATS versus Arizona
Oregon State -- 16-2 ATS off back-to-back SU losses, 0-6 ATS in Conference openers
Penn State -- Celebrating Coach Paterno's 46th season, 7-0 ATS before playing Illinois, 1-9 ATS as Road Dogs off a SU win
Pittsburgh -- New Head Coach, 5-1 ATS before playing Syracuse, 1-4 ATS in Weekday Home Games
Purdue -- 8-3 ATS versus Minnesota, 0-4 ATS after playing Ohio State
Rice -- 25-3 ATS as Home Dogs in Conference Play, 1-5 ATS as Favs > 17 points
Rutgers -- 4-0 ATS versus South Florida, 0-8 ATS as Favs < a TouchDown
San Diego State -- Home team is 8-1 ATS in Wyoming Series, 1-8 ATS before playing Air Force
San Jose State --6-0 ATS as Road Favs off a Double Digit SU win, 1-5 ATS with Rest
SMU -- 6-0 ATS before playing Rice, 0-11 ATS before playing Tulsa
South Carolina -- Road Team is 12-2 ATS in Tennessee series, 1-4 ATS as Double Digit Road Favs
South Florida -- 5-0 ATS in last Road game, 2-8 ATS on Weekdays
Southern Mississippi -- 7-0 ATS at East Carolina, 1-6 ATS before Memphis
Stanford -- New Head Coach, 7-1 ATS at Washington State, 1-5 ATS off a SU Dog win
Syracuse -- 4-0 ATS with Rest, 0-5 ATS on Weekdays
TCU -- 23-8 ATS at Home, 2-10 ATS in second of back-to-back Road Games
Temple -- New Head Coach, 13-4 ATS as Home Dogs, 1-5 ATS on Weekdays
Tennessee -- 4-0 ATS versus Kentucky, Home team is 2-12 ATS in South Carolina series
Texas -- 6-0 ATS after playing Oklahoma, 0-4 ATS before playing Texas Tech
Texas A&M -- 5-1 ATS versus Texas, 2-40 ATS when they lose on the Road
Texas Tech -- 12-0 ATS before playing Texas, 0-5 ATS before playing Kansas State
Toledo -- 5-0 ATS as Weekday Home Favs, 1-7 ATS after playing Central Michigan
Troy -- 0-5 ATS before playing North Texas
Tulane -- 4-0 ATS versus Utep, 0-7 ATS versus Houston
Tulsa -- New Head Coach, 6-0 ATS after playing SMU, 2-8 ATS versus the Big Twelve
UCLA -- 6-1 ATS in non-Conference Play, 1-5 ATS after playing Cal
UNLV -- 7-1 ATS before playing Hawaii, 0-6 ATS after playing Nevada
USC -- 5-1 ATS versus Cal, 5-0 ATS in Bowl Play
Utah -- 9-1 ATS as Double Digit Favs, 1-4 ATS after scoring <10 points
Utah State -- 4-0 ATS after playing Idaho, 1-6 ATS before playing Nevada
UTEP -- 4-0 ATS versus Smu, 2-19 ATS as Favs less than 12 points
Vanderbilt -- New Head Coach, 3-0 ATS at Tenn, 0-6 ATS at Home off back-to-back SU losses
Virginia -- 7-0 ATS after playing North Carolina, 0-4 ATS versus Duke
Virginia Tech -- 18-3 ATS as Road Favs of eight or less points, 1-5 ATS with Rest
Wake Forest -- 7-1 ATS after playing Boston College, 2-10 ATS before playing Maryland
Washington -- 5-1 ATS versus Usc, 2-22 ATS as Conference Favs greater than six points
Washington State -- 8-2 ATS after playing Cal, 1-11 ATS before playing Ucla
West Virginia -- 11-0 ATS as Conference Dogs of two or more points, 0-5 ATS after playing Rutgers
Western Kentucky -- 6-0 ATS on the Road off back-to-back SU losses, 0-3 ATS as Home Favs
Western Michigan -- 4-1 ATS versus Akron, 2-11 ATS as Home Dogs greater than a Field Goal
Wisconsin -- 5-0 ATS before playing Indiana, 1-6 ATS after playing Purdue
Wyoming -- 5-0 ATS as Dogs of a Touchdown or less, 2-10 ATS after playing BYU
Here is a look before the 2011 NFL Football season starts on teams and some basic ATS trends:
Arizona -- 4-0 ATS before Seattle, 5-1 ATS as Dogs vs NFC North, 0-5 ATS a MNF Favs, 2-10 ATS vs NFC South
Atlanta -- 5-0 ATS before playing Tampa Bay, 7-0 ATS after scoring 10 or less points, 0-4 ATS at Home vs Tampa Bay, 1-7 ATS off back-to-back SU wins
Baltimore -- 15-3 ATS as Favs vs non-Division rivals, 17-5 ATS vs losing teams, 0-4 ATS as Favs before Bye Week, 1-5 ATS before MNF
Buffalo -- Visitor in Jets Series is 6-1 ATS, 5-1 ATS with Rest, 1-7 ATS last Home Game, 3-24 ATS after playing Miami
Carolina -- New Head Coach, 8-1 ATS after allowing at least 35 points, 8-1 ATS after scoring at least 35 points, 1-9 ATS before playing Atlanta, 0-4 ATS before playing Tampa Bay
Chicago -- 8-2 ATS after playing Minnesota, 7-1 ATS as Road Favs off a SU Dog win, 2-8 ATS as MNF Favs, 0-5 ATS Home after playing Detroit
Cincinnati -- 11-2 ATS before playing Pittsburgh, 12-2 ATS after playing Cleveland, 0-7 ATS with Rest, 2-11 ATS as Home Favs
Cleveland -- New Head Coach, 5-1 ATS at Home versus AFC East, 5-1 ATS as Road Favs, 0-4 ATS before playing Baltimore
Dallas -- 10-0 ATS on Thanksgiving versus below avg teams, 7-1 ATS at Home vs NFC West, 14-121 ATS when they lose Straight Up, 0-4 ATS at Home vs Washington
Denver -- New Head Coach, 4-1 ATS versus New England, 5-1 ATS in first of back-to-back Road Games, 1-12 ATS as Favs > six points, 1-10 ATS in Division Play off a SU Dog win
Detroit -- 5-1 ATS after playing Minnesota, 8-2 ATS off Division Play, 2-9 ATS before they play Green Bay, 0-6 ATS vs NFC West
Green Bay -- 7-1 ATS before playing Minnesota, 6-0 ATS with Rest, 0-6 ATS versus NFC South, 1-5 ATS Home after playing Chicago
Houston -- 8-2 ATS off a SU Fav loss, 4-0 ATS after scoring <10 points, 0-4 ATS with Rest, 2-9 ATS in first of back-to-back Road Games
Indianapolis -- 12-3 ATS before playing Jacksonville, 13-3 ATS after playing Houston, 0-7 ATS as Favs in last Home Game, 1-6 ATS after scoring > 35 points
Jacksonville -- 16-3 ATS before playing Tennessee, 5-1 ATS before Bye Week, 1-5 ATS vs AFC North, 4-8 ATS vs Tennessee
Kansas City -- 8-1 ATS second of back-to-back Road Games, 4-1 ATS before playing San Diego, 0-8 ATS as Division Favs, 2-9 ATS off Division Home Game
Miami -- 4-1 ATS with Rest, 11-1 ATS as Dogs vs rivals off Road Game, 2-11 ATS as Favs when better than avg, 0-5 ATS after allowing a TouchDown or less
Minnesota -- 7-1 ATS before playing Detroit, 4-0 ATS as Favs with Rest, 2-10 ATS as Favs before playing Green Bay, 0-4 ATS vs opponents with Rest
New England -- 10-0 ATS as non-Conference Favs of a TouchDown or less, 9-0 ATS as Dogs off a Double Digit SU loss, 1-7 ATS as Favs off back-to-back SU losses, 2-10 ATS as Double Digit Favorites
New Orleans -- 6-1 ATS in second of back-to-back Road Games, 5-1 ATS as non-Division Dogs six or greater points, 1-14 ATS as Home Favs in Div Play off a SU and ATS loss, 1-5 ATS after allowing 35 or greater points
NY Giants -- 10-2 ATS after playing Washington, 7-2 ATS before playing Philadelphia, 0-5 ATS at Home when Total is > 45.5 points, 0-6 ATS as MNF Dogs of at least four points
NY Jets -- 6-1 ATS after playing Buffalo, 8-0 ATS in second of back-to-back Division Home Games, 0-7 ATS as non-Conference Dogs of at least four points, 1-7 ATS vs non-Conference rivals on Road
Oakland -- Road team in Kansas City series is 9-1 ATS, 6-1 ATS vs opponents with Revenge, 1-13 ATS as Favorites less than eight points, 1-9 ATS after playing San Diego
Philadelphia -- 9-0 ATS after playing Washington, 7-0 ATS after scoring 10 or less points, 0-5 ATS at Home after allowing a TD or less, 1-5 ATS vs NFC North
Pittsburgh -- 6-1 ATS as Dogs off a DD SU loss, 8-1 ATS Home off Home Game, 1-7 ATS as Favs before playing Cincinnati, 1-7 ATS as Road Favs > a TouchDown
St. Louis -- 4-0 ATS with Rest, 11-0 ATS after scoring 35 or > points, 1-10 ATS after playing a Division Road Game, 1-7 ATS after playing Arizona
San Diego -- 8-1 ATS before playing Oakland, 8-0 ATS after playing Denver, 2-8 ATS as Double Digit Favorites, 1-5 ATS in first of back-to-back Home Games
San Francisco -- New Head Coach, 10-0 ATS as beaten Favs, 7-0 ATS as Dogs in Div Play off Fav role, 0-5 ATS before playing St. Louis, 2-9 ATS as Road Favs
Seattle -- 8-1 ATS before playing Arizona, 10-1 ATS at Home in non-Conference Play, 0-6 ATS after playing Arizona, 2-11 ATS with Rest
Tampa Bay -- 4-0 ATS as Favorites versus the NFC East, 6-0 ATS before playing New Orleans, 3-11 ATS at Home, 1-4 ATS after playing New Orleans
Tennessee -- New Head Coach, 6-0 ATS as Double Digit Favorites, 5-1 ATS before playing Houston, 1-7 ATS vs AFC East, 1-6 ATS after playing MNF
Washington -- 9-2 ATS before playing Giants, 6-1 ATS as Favs vs good teams, 0-4 ATS on MNF, 0-5 ATS before Bye Week
2011 NFL AND NCAA Football Wagering Tips
Emotion - The most important betting edge to know about in football wagering isn't statistics or numbers. The most important edge is emotion. Find the team that desires to win more than their opponent and they'll cover a high percentage of those events. This is true in all sports. But it is even more significant in a physical game like NCAA and NFL Football. Certain Coaches are much better than others in getting their teams ready for games by providing the impetus for emotion. Such Coaches as Frank Beamer, Paul Johnson, Tom O'Brien, and Bill Belichick among others have all shown their worth in this area over the years.
Sandwich Games - Be careful of 'sandwich' games. That is the game for a team that's in between two other more important games. The NFL split into different Divisions recently, with fewer teams in each Division. Since then we have both the AFC and NFC broken down into four Divisions consisting of four teams each. They are called the East, North, South and West. So now Division games are of even greater significance than in the past with fewer teams in each Division. When it comes to determining the Playoff picture, these games are the most important to each competing team.
If Tennessee for example, early in the season, plays Indianapolis this week and Jacksonville in two weeks, you know they're going to be focused on those two inter-Divisional games. But if the in-between game is against say San Francisco, a lesser out of Conference team, be careful! Tennessee will have most likely played a tough game the week before, and have an important tough game the following week. Starters may be pulled early against San Francisco, and those hurting from the previous game might not even play in this one.
Too many bettors jump on a team that has been covering on the 'sandwich' game, laying way too much 'wood'. The team usually wins, but fails to cover. Then the bettor jumps off of Tennessee the following week against Jacksonville because the bettor got burnt the week before in the sandwich game!
Line Movement - Sometimes line movement means nothing, and sometimes it means everything. When I wager (my favorite recreation), I want the line to be bet dead or move 1/2 to one point with me. Not a lot of movement, but slightly in agreement with me. When a line moves more than one point, especially in the NFL, it can be a dangerous play. This can denote injuries or other late information such as weather, etc. But be careful, NFL teams are notorious for giving out misleading disinformation more so than any other sport.
Quite often with big line movement in the NFL, the final score falls in between the original line and the final line. This opens the door for 'middlers', those who bet early one way and late the other way on the same game. I know several gamblers who make their living on this, and i have been successful myself at it. They give up the 10% 'juice' in hopes of winning both ways. The most they can lose is 5% of their total bet. They clean up if one play pushes or wins and the other play wins.
NCAA football can be different though. With so many lined college games nowadays, big line movement can be bet on. For two years in a row in the early 1990's, the Ivy League football team that got the most line movement during the week won every single game those years. Every week! For games like these with fewer wagers on them, the line can easily move 3 to 5 points. Sometimes it can move even more. Beware of betting against this line movement, it generally is right. In the Colleges, stay away from wagering against consistent and massive line movement in one direction.
Here's wishing all Football bettors a great 2011 Football Wagering Season! Make sure to stop by the FreeSportsLetter-- Free Football, Basketball and Baseball Picks site for tons of FREE Wagering Information, Contests, Lines, Scores, and more importantly, FREE Winners!
--Rich Green
[email protected]
FreeSportsLetter-- Free Football, Basketball and Baseball Picks
Sunday June 5
3*** SAN DIEGO LATOS -R -170 over Houston (ML Baseball, 6:35 et) (WINNER)
We won with our Gold Key Baseball Pick on the Padres yesterday, and are wrapping up Gold Key Basketball on a current 16-4 winning run. We have Gold Key Baseball and Basketball Specials starting as low as $79 on site! If you can find a better value, please take it! You are welcome to stop by our site daily for free sports picks, free injury reports, live lines, scores, gambling articles, contests, etc. You can login daily to get your Top Rated Gold Key Picks in Football, Basketball and Baseball without anyone disturbing or calling you. Here is tonight's Free Column release on ML Baseball.
The Padres trail the National League West Division under their Manager Bud Black at 26-33 on the season. They have won two games in a row, and can take this Series with a win this evening. Right-hander Latos (3-6, 3.97 ERA) gets the nod tonight for the Padres. He went 3-1 with a 2.81 ERA in his last four starts in May. The Padres are 16-7 this year in day games (Pacific Time here), and also 16-5 lately as Home Favorites in this odds range.
The Astros trail the NL Central under their Manager Brad Mills with a record of 23-36 on the year. They complete this seven-game Road Trip tonight and get a 10-game Home stand starting on Tuesday. Jordan Lyles (0-0, 2.57) takes the mound for the Astros here. The Right-hander pitched well in his ML debut on Tuesday and appears to have a brilliant future. Negative trends for the Astros include 12-19 on the Road, 13-28 versus Right-handed starters, and 21-35 on Grass fields.
The line opened today at Padres -170. We'll go with the Home Padres to win for us here tonight in a Good Free Pick. For those who don't know it, our Members rarely wager on the FREE release, and instead invest their money wisely on the Gold Key Picks. Make sure to stop by the FreeSportsLetter.com site for more FREE Winners as well as Football, Basketball and Baseball wagering information. Visit us and check out the stronger Top Rated Gold Key Picks on site as well.
--Rich Green
[email protected]
FreeSportsLetter-- Free Football, Basketball and Baseball Picks
Thursday March 31
2** ST. LOUIS CARPENTER -R -185 over San Diego (ML Baseball, 4:15 et) (Loser)
We won our fourth Gold Key Basketball Pick in a row on Memphis yesterday, and are ready for yet another winning Gold Key Baseball Season! We have Gold Key Baseball and Basketball Specials starting as low as $99 on site! If you can find a better value, please take it! You are welcome to stop by our site daily for free sports picks, free injury reports, live lines, scores, gambling articles, contests, etc. You can login daily to get your Top Rated Gold Key Picks in Football, Basketball and Baseball without anyone disturbing or calling you. Here is today's Free Column release on ML Baseball.
The Cardinals of the National League Central Division under long-tenured ML Baseball Manager Tony La Russa start their 2011 season at Home today. Chris Carpenter gets the nod on Opening Day. The 35 year-old Right-hander makes his fifth opening day start for the Cardinals after going 16-9 with a 3.22 ERA last season. Positive trends include 6-1 at Home in this match up, 88-38 as Home Favorites in this Odds range, and 925-747 versus Right-handed starters.
The Padres of the NL West Division under their Manager Bud Black send out Tim Stauffer for their first pitch of the new year. The 28 yr-old Right-hander finished the season well last year, but is 0-4 when starting against the Cardinals with an ERA of 9.33 and a WHIP of 1.909. We look forward to another winning Free Play Baseball Season and hope you win with us!
The line opened today at Cardinals -185. We'll go with the Home Cardinals to win for us here today in a Don't Go Crazy Free Pick. For those who don't know it, our Members rarely wager on the FREE release, and instead invest their money wisely on the Gold Key Picks. Make sure to stop by the FreeSportsLetter.com site for more FREE Winners as well as Football, Basketball and Baseball wagering information. Visit us and check out the stronger Top Rated Gold Key Picks on site as well.
--Rich Green
[email protected]
FreeSportsLetter-- Free Football, Basketball and Baseball Picks
Sunday February 27
3*** MARQUETTE -10 over Providence (NCAA Basketball, 4 et) (WINNER)
We swept with winners on our Gold Key Basketball Picks on Indiana State and Michigan yesterday. We have Gold Key Basketball Specials starting as low as $89 on site! If you can find a better value, please take it! You are welcome to stop by our site daily for free sports picks, free injury reports, live lines, scores, gambling articles, contests, etc. You can login daily to get your Top Rated Gold Key Picks in Football, Basketball and Baseball without anyone disturbing or calling you. Here is today's Free Column release on NCAA Hoops.
The Golden Eagles of the Big East Conference under their Head Coach Buzz Williams are 17-11 Straight Up, and 13-9 Against The Spread on the season. They go for their third SU and ATS winner in a row today in a Series they have dominated lately. Positive trends for the Golden Eagles here include 18-7 ATS versus good Offensive teams, 21-12 ATS off a SU win in Conference Play, and 3-0 SU and ATS in this match up.
The Friars enter this Conference match up under their Head Coach Ken Davis with an Even Stephen record of 14-14 SU, and 11-13 ATS on the year. They play out of a tough Conference, and are on current 3-12 SU and 4-8 ATS losing runs. Other negative trends for the Friars this afternoon include 2-7 ATS after allowing at least 80 points, 12-21 ATS off a SU loss in Conference Play, and 23-30 ATS in Conference Play.
The line opened today at Golden Eagles -10. We'll go with the Home Golden Eagles to cover for us here today in a Good Free Pick. For those who don't know it, our Members rarely wager on the FREE release, and instead invest their money wisely on the Gold Key Picks. Make sure to stop by the FreeSportsLetter.com site for more FREE Winners as well as Football, Basketball and Baseball wagering information. Visit us and check out the stronger Top Rated Gold Key Picks on site as well.
--Rich Green
[email protected]
FreeSportsLetter-- Free Football, Basketball and Baseball Picks
Sunday February 6
3*** Over 44.5 Total Points, Pittsburgh/Green Bay (Super Bowl XLV, 6:25 et) (Ret. Roof) (WINNER)
We complete another winning Gold Key Football Season tonight, and look forward to another winning Gold Key Basketball Season! We have Gold Key Basketball Specials starting as low as $99 on site! If you can find a better value, please take it! You are welcome to stop by our site daily for free sports picks, free injury reports, live lines, scores, gambling articles, contests, etc. You can login daily to get your Top Rated Gold Key Picks in Football, Basketball and Baseball without anyone disturbing or calling you. Here is tonight's Free Column release on the Super Bowl.
The AFC Champion Steelers of the North Division under their fourth-year Head Coach Mike Tomlin enter Super Bowl XLV at 14-4 SU, and 12-6 ATS on the year. They defeated strong teams from a tough Conference including Baltimore and the Jets in the Playoffs to get here. Trends favoring the Over in Steelers events include 5-0 Over in the Playoffs, and 15-8 Over with this much Rest. The retractable roof will be closed tonight due to inclement weather.
The NFC Champion Packers out of the North Division under their fifth-year Head Coach Mike McCarthy enter the Big Dance at 13-6 SU, and 12-7 ATS. They have won five games in a row SU including three straight Road Playoff ATS wins over Philadelphia, Atlanta and Chicago to get here. The Packers have been putting points on the board at will, and can give up some here as well.
The Totals Line stands at 44.5. We'll go with the Over here tonight in a Good Free Pick. For those who don't know it, our Members rarely wager on the FREE release, and instead invest their money wisely on the Gold Key Picks. Make sure to stop by the FreeSportsLetter.com site for more FREE Winners as well as Football, Basketball and Baseball wagering information. Visit us and check out the stronger Top Rated Gold Key Picks on site as well.
--Rich Green
[email protected]
FreeSportsLetter-- Free Football, Basketball and Baseball Picks
Tuesday December 28
3*** North Carolina State +3 over West Virginia (Champs Sports Bowl, 6:30 et) (Weather) (WINNER, OUTRIGHT)
We won again in Gold Key Football last night on the Under between Georgia Tech/Air Force, and we also won with our Gold Key Basketball Play on the Mavericks as Straight Up Dog Winners! We have Gold Key Football and Basketball Specials starting as low as $89 on site! If you can find a better value, please take it! You are welcome to stop by our site daily for free sports picks, free injury reports, live lines, scores, gambling articles, contests, etc. You can login daily to get your Top Rated Gold Key Picks in Football, Basketball and Baseball without anyone disturbing or calling you. Here is tonight's Free Column release on NCAA Football.
The Wolfpack of the ACC Atlantic Division under their fourth-year Head Coach Tom O'Brien finished the regular season at 8-4 Straight Up, and 8-3 Against The Spread. They failed at getting a BCS Bowl bid because they lost at Maryland in their final event. The Wolfpack was hard to gauge this year, but they kept themselves in every game and deserve a shot as Dogs here tonight. Positive trends include 17-7 ATS as Dogs, 21-10 ATS on Grass fields, and 12-6 ATS versus winning teams.
The Top Twenty-Five ranked Mountaineers of the Big East Conference finished their regular season at 9-3 SU, and 7-4 ATS. Interestingly enough, they have made third-year Head Coach Bill Stewart a lame duck, as he is scheduled to be replaced in 2012. While the Mountaineers surely look to be the better team on paper, this game can be closer than expected. Negative trends include 4-10 ATS in Bowls, and 8-12 ATS after Conference Play. This one takes place in Orlando on a mild night.
The line opened today at Mountaineers -3. We'll take those points and the Wolfpack to cover for us here tonight in a Good Free Pick. For those who don't know it, our Members rarely wager on the FREE release, and instead invest their money wisely on the Gold Key Picks. Make sure to stop by the FreeSportsLetter.com site for more FREE Winners as well as Football, Basketball and Baseball wagering information. Visit us and check out the stronger Top Rated Gold Key Picks on site as well.
--Rich Green
[email protected]
FreeSportsLetter-- Free Football, Basketball and Baseball Picks
Friday December 3
3*** FRESNO STATE +6 over Illinois (NCAA Football, 10:15 et) (Weather) (WINNER, OUTRIGHT)
We won again in Gold Key Football last night on the Over between the Texans/Eagles, and we also won with our Gold Key Basketball Play on the Baylor Bears last night! We have Gold Key Football and Basketball Specials starting as low as $99 on site! If you can find a better value, please take it! You are welcome to stop by our site daily for free sports picks, free injury reports, live lines, scores, gambling articles, contests, etc. You can login daily to get your Top Rated Gold Key Picks in Football, Basketball and Baseball without anyone disturbing or calling you. Here is tonight's Free Column release on NCAA Football.
The Bulldogs of the Western Athletic Conference under their long-tenured Head Coach Pat Hill are 7-4 Straight Up, and 4-6 Against The Spread on the season. They can play hard enough at Home this evening to keep this one close, and another win especially in this situation can hope their Bowl placement. Positive trends for the Bulldogs tonight include 17-3 ATS as non-Conference Dogs greater than five points, and 6-2 ATS as Home Dogs in this point range.
The Fighting Illini of the Big Ten Conference under their sixth-year Head Coach Ron Zook are 6-5 SU, and 7-3 ATS on the year. They came off two tough Conference losses to beat Northwestern handily in their last event. They look for Revenge in this Series tonight, and have plenty incentive to win to make the Bowls. Negative trends for the Illini here include 0-3 ATS as Road Favorites, 1-5 ATS as Favorites in this point range, and 1-3 ATS versus the WAC.
The line opened today at Illini -6. We'll take those points and the Home Bulldogs to cover for us here tonight in a Good Free Pick. For those who don't know it, our Members rarely wager on the FREE release, and instead invest their money wisely on the Gold Key Picks. Make sure to stop by the FreeSportsLetter.com site for more FREE Winners as well as Football, Basketball and Baseball wagering information. Visit us and check out the stronger Top Rated Gold Key Picks on site as well.
--Rich Green
[email protected]
FreeSportsLetter-- Free Football, Basketball and Baseball Picks
Sunday November 7
3*** Over 41.5 Total Points, Jets at DETROIT (NFL Football, 1 et) (Dome) (WINNER)
We are on a great 12-3 Gold Key Football Winning streak, and we won with our Gold Key Basketball Play on the Blazers last night! We have Gold Key Football and Basketball Specials starting as low as $99 on site! If you can find a better value, please take it! You are welcome to stop by our site daily for free sports picks, free injury reports, live lines, scores, gambling articles, contests, etc. You can login daily to get your Top Rated Gold Key Picks in Football, Basketball and Baseball without anyone disturbing or calling you. Here is today's Free Column release on NFL Football.
The Jets of the AFC East Division under their second-year Head Coach Rex Ryan are 5-2 Straight Up and Against The Spread on the season. They threw in a clinker in their last event, a 9-0 Home shutout to the Packers. The Jets figure to light up the board on the Road here after a dismal effort. Trends favoring the Over in Jets games include 4-0 Over with less than a week of Rest, 6-2 Over in November, and 3-0 Over versus losing teams.
The Lions of the NFC North Division under their second-year Head Coach Jim Schwartz are 2-5 SU, and 6-1 ATS on the year. They have put points on the board at Home this season, while usually giving up over 20 points as well. Trends favoring the Over in Lions events include 7-1 Over in non-Conference Play, 20-10 Over with less than a week of Rest, and 69-52 Over versus winning teams.
The Totals line opened today at 41.5. We'll go with the Over here today in a Good Free Pick. For those who don't know it, our Members rarely wager on the FREE release, and instead invest their money wisely on the Gold Key Picks. Make sure to stop by the FreeSportsLetter.com site for more FREE Winners as well as Football, Basketball and Baseball wagering information. Visit us and check out the stronger Top Rated Gold Key Picks on site as well.
--Rich Green
[email protected]
FreeSportsLetter-- Free Football, Basketball and Baseball Picks
Rich Green is the editor of FreeSportsLetter-- Free Football, Basketball and Baseball Picks , a free sports handicapping and information service. He has been a top ranked handicapper for over 35 years. He specializes in Football, Basketball and Baseball, all the major sports, and has won numerous contests in each.
(SCROLL DOWN FOR NFL TRENDS)
2011 NFL and NCAA Football Against The Spread (ATS) Trends
Here is a look before the 2011 College Football season starts on lined teams and some basic ATS trends:
Air Force -- 6-0 ATS as Dogs with Rest, 6-1 off a Straight Up Dog win, 2-8 ATS after scoring less than 10 points, 1-8 ATS as Conference Home Favorites greater than 14 points
Akron -- 4-0 ATS with Rest off a win, 1-12 ATS on the Road versus average or better Conference foes
Alabama -- 17-9 ATS as Road Favorites past six seasons, Road team is 17-2 ATS in Tennessee series, 0-6 ATS before playing Tennessee
UAB -- 5-1 ATS before playing Houston, 0-4 ATS as Favorites greater than 11 points
Arizona -- 5-1 ATS after playing Cal, 1-8 ATS in the first of back-to-back Road games, 1-4 ATS before playing USC
Arizona State -- 7-1 ATS after scoring at least 35 points, 1-8 ATS as Favs off a SU Fav loss
Arkansas -- 13-2 ATS off back-to-back Straight Up losses, 1-6 ATS before playing Alabama
Arkansas State -- New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS in Game One, 0-4 ATS after allowing 10 or less points
Army -- 12-1 ATS in first of back-to-back Road Games, 4-25 ATS with Rest
Auburn -- 10-2 ATS after playing Ark, 1-5 ATS as Road Favs > a Field Goal
Ball State -- New Head Coach, 20-6 ATS as Road Dogs recently, 1-4 ATS in first of back-to-back Home Games
Baylor -- 8-2 ATS as Dogs greater than 12 points, Road team in Oklahoma series is 10-1 ATS
Boise State -- 10-4 ATS in Conference Play, 0-4 ATS as Weekday Favs < 22 points
Boston College -- 5-0 ATS in second of back-to-back Road Games, 1-5 ATS after playing Virginia Tech
Bowling Green -- 17-8 ATS as Road Dogs recently, 1-5 ATS before playing Akron
BYU -- 7-0 ATS in first of back-to-back Road Games, 0-6 ATS in second of back-to-back Road Games
Buffalo -- 7-0 ATS before playing Akron, 0-6 ATS in second of back-to-back Road Games
California -- 7-1 ATS in first lined Game, 0-5 ATS off a SU Dog win
Central Florida -- 6-0 ATS after playing Southern Mississippi, 7-1 ATS on Weekdays, 1-5 ATS with Rest
Central Michigan -- 11-1 ATS in Conference openers, 1-6 ATS as Dogs off a SU Dog win
Cincinnati -- 8-0 ATS before playing Louisville, 0-6 ATS last game of season
Clemson -- 5-0 ATS after playing Florida State, 2-9 ATS as Double Digit Road Favorites
Colorado -- New Head Coach, 1-11 ATS versus the Pac 10, 1-7 ATS before playing Kansas
Colorado State -- 11-0 ATS at Home off non-Conference Play, 1-5 ATS as non-Conference Road Favs
Connecticut -- 11-2 ATS as Home Dogs, 10-0 ATS in first of back-to-back Home Games, 0-5 ATS on the Road after allowing a TouchDown or less
Duke -- 16-9 ATS as Road Dogs, 3-14 ATS at Home in non-Conference Play
East Carolina -- 12-0 ATS as Conference Road Dogs of six or less points, 0-7 ATS as Road Favs greater than six points
Eastern Michigan -- 6-0 ATS in last Road Game, 6-16 ATS as Home Dogs
Florida -- New Head Coach, 11-1 ATS as Conference Dogs, 0-5 ATS at Home off back-to-back Road Games
Florida Atlantic -- Home team is 4-1 ATS in Ark St match up, 0-4 ATS before playing Florida Int
Florida International -- 5-0 ATS off a Double Digit SU win, 0-4 ATS after playing Arkansas State
Florida State -- 7-0 ATS in Bowl Games, 0-5 ATS before playing Clemson
Fresno State -- 4-0 ATS with Rest, 1-17 ATS off a SU and ATS loss
Georgia -- 6-0 ATS on the Road off a SU Dog win, 1-5 ATS before playing Tenn
Georgia Tech -- 6-1 ATS off a SU Fav loss, 6-0 ATS in the second of back-to-back Road Games
Hawaii -- 5-1 ATS off a SU Fav loss, Home team is 0-6 ATS in Fresno State series, 2-11 ATS as Dogs with Rest
Houston -- 0-10 ATS on the Road off back-to-back SU wins
Idaho -- 5-1 ATS before playing La Tech, 1-8 ATS as Double Digit Favs
Illinois -- 8-3 ATS as Road Dogs, 1-8 ATS as Favs in the first of back-to-back Home Games
Indiana -- New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS after Playing Illinois, 2-12 ATS before playing Purdue
Iowa -- 10-0 ATS before playing Ind, 0-9 ATS as Double Digit Road Favs
Iowa State -- 5-0 ATS after playing Missouri, 1-8 ATS before playing Oklahoma
Kansas -- 10-0 ATS at Home versus below avg opponents, 1-9 ATS after playing Kansas State
Kansas State -- 4-0 ATS after playing Texas Tech, 3-11 ATS as Road Favorites, 0-6 ATS as Favs > five points
Kent State -- New Head Coach, 4-1 ATS on Weekdays, 1-5 ATS as Home Favs off a SU loss
Kentucky -- 6-0 ATS before playing Georgia, 1-5 ATS before playing Ole Miss
UL-Lafayette -- New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS in first of back-to-back Road Games, 1-5 ATS as Double Digit Dogs with Rest
UL-Monroe -- 8-0 ATS of back-to-back SU and ATS losses, 2-9 ATS with Rest
LSU -- 6-1 ATS after playing Auburn, 3-17 ATS as Conference Home Favs of two or more points
Louisiana Tech -- Home team is 7-0 ATS in Hawaii series, 10-29 ATS as Road Dogs
Louisville -- 8-0 ATS as Double Digit Dogs off a SU win, 1-6 ATS with Rest versus below avg opponents
Marshall -- 4-1 ATS on the Road off a Double Digit ATS win, 0-6 ATS as Road Favs > 12 points
Maryland -- New Head Coach, 5-1 ATS after playing Florida State, 1-5 ATS on the Road versus below avg rivals
Memphis -- 10-0 ATS in last Road Game, 1-6 ATS before playing Houston
Miami -- New Head Coach, 4-1 ATS in second of back-to-back Road Games, 0-5 ATS in second of back-to-back Home Games
Miami OH -- New Head Coach,7-0 ATS before playing Bowling Green, Dog in Ohio U series is 0-7 ATS
Michigan -- New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS after playing Notre Dame, Fav in Notre Dame series is 2-13 ATS
Michigan State -- 5-1 ATS before playing Iowa, 0-4 ATS with Rest
MTSU -- 5-0 ATS as Favs of 11 or more points, 0-6 ATS with Rest
Minnesota -- New Head Coach, 9-2 ATS as non-Conference Road Favs, 0-4 ATS before playing Michigan
Mississippi -- 5-1 ATS after playing Georgia, 1-6 ATS before playing Alabama
Mississippi State -- 5-0 ATS versus Memphis, 0-8 ATS on Weekdays
Missouri -- 42-3 ATS when they win Straight Up on the Road, 4-8 ATS as Home Favs
Navy -- 19-7 ATS as Road Dogs, 0-6 ATS Home after playing Air Force
Nebraska -- 8-0 ATS after playing Texas A&M, 2-9 ATS in the second of back-to-back Home Games
Nevada -- 5-0 ATS after playing New Mexico State, 0-6 ATS after playing Utah State
New Mexico -- 5-0 ATS after playing New Mexico State, 0-4 ATS before playing New Mexico State
New Mexico State -- 4-1 ATS versus Fresno State, 0-6 ATS before playing Fresno State
North Carolina -- Road Team in Va Tech Series is 5-0 ATS, 0-4 ATS versus NC State
North Carolina State -- 4-0 ATS after playing Florida State, Home Team in Clemson Series is 0-6 ATS
North Texas -- New Head Coach, 8-1 ATS after playing MTSU, 1-10 ATS as Favs
Northern Illinois -- New Head Coach, 5-1 ATS as Dogs with Rest, 1-6 ATS after playing W. Michigan
Northwestern -- 4-0 ATS after playing Michigan, 1-5 ATS before playing Iowa
Notre Dame -- 4-0 ATS in the second of back-to-back Road Games, 1-15 ATS Home versus military teams
Ohio State -- New Head Coach, 20-7 ATS as Road Favorites, 1-6 ATS at Home before playing Michigan
Ohio U -- 6-0 ATS in last Home game, 0-5 ATS at Home versus Kent State
Oklahoma -- 7-0 ATS after playing Texas Tech, 1-5 ATS after playing Missouri
Oklahoma State -- Fav in Baylor series is 7-0 ATS, 0-6 ATS versus Oklahoma
Oregon -- 21-11 ATS as Home Favorites, 1-5 ATS versus Arizona
Oregon State -- 16-2 ATS off back-to-back SU losses, 0-6 ATS in Conference openers
Penn State -- Celebrating Coach Paterno's 46th season, 7-0 ATS before playing Illinois, 1-9 ATS as Road Dogs off a SU win
Pittsburgh -- New Head Coach, 5-1 ATS before playing Syracuse, 1-4 ATS in Weekday Home Games
Purdue -- 8-3 ATS versus Minnesota, 0-4 ATS after playing Ohio State
Rice -- 25-3 ATS as Home Dogs in Conference Play, 1-5 ATS as Favs > 17 points
Rutgers -- 4-0 ATS versus South Florida, 0-8 ATS as Favs < a TouchDown
San Diego State -- Home team is 8-1 ATS in Wyoming Series, 1-8 ATS before playing Air Force
San Jose State --6-0 ATS as Road Favs off a Double Digit SU win, 1-5 ATS with Rest
SMU -- 6-0 ATS before playing Rice, 0-11 ATS before playing Tulsa
South Carolina -- Road Team is 12-2 ATS in Tennessee series, 1-4 ATS as Double Digit Road Favs
South Florida -- 5-0 ATS in last Road game, 2-8 ATS on Weekdays
Southern Mississippi -- 7-0 ATS at East Carolina, 1-6 ATS before Memphis
Stanford -- New Head Coach, 7-1 ATS at Washington State, 1-5 ATS off a SU Dog win
Syracuse -- 4-0 ATS with Rest, 0-5 ATS on Weekdays
TCU -- 23-8 ATS at Home, 2-10 ATS in second of back-to-back Road Games
Temple -- New Head Coach, 13-4 ATS as Home Dogs, 1-5 ATS on Weekdays
Tennessee -- 4-0 ATS versus Kentucky, Home team is 2-12 ATS in South Carolina series
Texas -- 6-0 ATS after playing Oklahoma, 0-4 ATS before playing Texas Tech
Texas A&M -- 5-1 ATS versus Texas, 2-40 ATS when they lose on the Road
Texas Tech -- 12-0 ATS before playing Texas, 0-5 ATS before playing Kansas State
Toledo -- 5-0 ATS as Weekday Home Favs, 1-7 ATS after playing Central Michigan
Troy -- 0-5 ATS before playing North Texas
Tulane -- 4-0 ATS versus Utep, 0-7 ATS versus Houston
Tulsa -- New Head Coach, 6-0 ATS after playing SMU, 2-8 ATS versus the Big Twelve
UCLA -- 6-1 ATS in non-Conference Play, 1-5 ATS after playing Cal
UNLV -- 7-1 ATS before playing Hawaii, 0-6 ATS after playing Nevada
USC -- 5-1 ATS versus Cal, 5-0 ATS in Bowl Play
Utah -- 9-1 ATS as Double Digit Favs, 1-4 ATS after scoring <10 points
Utah State -- 4-0 ATS after playing Idaho, 1-6 ATS before playing Nevada
UTEP -- 4-0 ATS versus Smu, 2-19 ATS as Favs less than 12 points
Vanderbilt -- New Head Coach, 3-0 ATS at Tenn, 0-6 ATS at Home off back-to-back SU losses
Virginia -- 7-0 ATS after playing North Carolina, 0-4 ATS versus Duke
Virginia Tech -- 18-3 ATS as Road Favs of eight or less points, 1-5 ATS with Rest
Wake Forest -- 7-1 ATS after playing Boston College, 2-10 ATS before playing Maryland
Washington -- 5-1 ATS versus Usc, 2-22 ATS as Conference Favs greater than six points
Washington State -- 8-2 ATS after playing Cal, 1-11 ATS before playing Ucla
West Virginia -- 11-0 ATS as Conference Dogs of two or more points, 0-5 ATS after playing Rutgers
Western Kentucky -- 6-0 ATS on the Road off back-to-back SU losses, 0-3 ATS as Home Favs
Western Michigan -- 4-1 ATS versus Akron, 2-11 ATS as Home Dogs greater than a Field Goal
Wisconsin -- 5-0 ATS before playing Indiana, 1-6 ATS after playing Purdue
Wyoming -- 5-0 ATS as Dogs of a Touchdown or less, 2-10 ATS after playing BYU
Here is a look before the 2011 NFL Football season starts on teams and some basic ATS trends:
Arizona -- 4-0 ATS before Seattle, 5-1 ATS as Dogs vs NFC North, 0-5 ATS a MNF Favs, 2-10 ATS vs NFC South
Atlanta -- 5-0 ATS before playing Tampa Bay, 7-0 ATS after scoring 10 or less points, 0-4 ATS at Home vs Tampa Bay, 1-7 ATS off back-to-back SU wins
Baltimore -- 15-3 ATS as Favs vs non-Division rivals, 17-5 ATS vs losing teams, 0-4 ATS as Favs before Bye Week, 1-5 ATS before MNF
Buffalo -- Visitor in Jets Series is 6-1 ATS, 5-1 ATS with Rest, 1-7 ATS last Home Game, 3-24 ATS after playing Miami
Carolina -- New Head Coach, 8-1 ATS after allowing at least 35 points, 8-1 ATS after scoring at least 35 points, 1-9 ATS before playing Atlanta, 0-4 ATS before playing Tampa Bay
Chicago -- 8-2 ATS after playing Minnesota, 7-1 ATS as Road Favs off a SU Dog win, 2-8 ATS as MNF Favs, 0-5 ATS Home after playing Detroit
Cincinnati -- 11-2 ATS before playing Pittsburgh, 12-2 ATS after playing Cleveland, 0-7 ATS with Rest, 2-11 ATS as Home Favs
Cleveland -- New Head Coach, 5-1 ATS at Home versus AFC East, 5-1 ATS as Road Favs, 0-4 ATS before playing Baltimore
Dallas -- 10-0 ATS on Thanksgiving versus below avg teams, 7-1 ATS at Home vs NFC West, 14-121 ATS when they lose Straight Up, 0-4 ATS at Home vs Washington
Denver -- New Head Coach, 4-1 ATS versus New England, 5-1 ATS in first of back-to-back Road Games, 1-12 ATS as Favs > six points, 1-10 ATS in Division Play off a SU Dog win
Detroit -- 5-1 ATS after playing Minnesota, 8-2 ATS off Division Play, 2-9 ATS before they play Green Bay, 0-6 ATS vs NFC West
Green Bay -- 7-1 ATS before playing Minnesota, 6-0 ATS with Rest, 0-6 ATS versus NFC South, 1-5 ATS Home after playing Chicago
Houston -- 8-2 ATS off a SU Fav loss, 4-0 ATS after scoring <10 points, 0-4 ATS with Rest, 2-9 ATS in first of back-to-back Road Games
Indianapolis -- 12-3 ATS before playing Jacksonville, 13-3 ATS after playing Houston, 0-7 ATS as Favs in last Home Game, 1-6 ATS after scoring > 35 points
Jacksonville -- 16-3 ATS before playing Tennessee, 5-1 ATS before Bye Week, 1-5 ATS vs AFC North, 4-8 ATS vs Tennessee
Kansas City -- 8-1 ATS second of back-to-back Road Games, 4-1 ATS before playing San Diego, 0-8 ATS as Division Favs, 2-9 ATS off Division Home Game
Miami -- 4-1 ATS with Rest, 11-1 ATS as Dogs vs rivals off Road Game, 2-11 ATS as Favs when better than avg, 0-5 ATS after allowing a TouchDown or less
Minnesota -- 7-1 ATS before playing Detroit, 4-0 ATS as Favs with Rest, 2-10 ATS as Favs before playing Green Bay, 0-4 ATS vs opponents with Rest
New England -- 10-0 ATS as non-Conference Favs of a TouchDown or less, 9-0 ATS as Dogs off a Double Digit SU loss, 1-7 ATS as Favs off back-to-back SU losses, 2-10 ATS as Double Digit Favorites
New Orleans -- 6-1 ATS in second of back-to-back Road Games, 5-1 ATS as non-Division Dogs six or greater points, 1-14 ATS as Home Favs in Div Play off a SU and ATS loss, 1-5 ATS after allowing 35 or greater points
NY Giants -- 10-2 ATS after playing Washington, 7-2 ATS before playing Philadelphia, 0-5 ATS at Home when Total is > 45.5 points, 0-6 ATS as MNF Dogs of at least four points
NY Jets -- 6-1 ATS after playing Buffalo, 8-0 ATS in second of back-to-back Division Home Games, 0-7 ATS as non-Conference Dogs of at least four points, 1-7 ATS vs non-Conference rivals on Road
Oakland -- Road team in Kansas City series is 9-1 ATS, 6-1 ATS vs opponents with Revenge, 1-13 ATS as Favorites less than eight points, 1-9 ATS after playing San Diego
Philadelphia -- 9-0 ATS after playing Washington, 7-0 ATS after scoring 10 or less points, 0-5 ATS at Home after allowing a TD or less, 1-5 ATS vs NFC North
Pittsburgh -- 6-1 ATS as Dogs off a DD SU loss, 8-1 ATS Home off Home Game, 1-7 ATS as Favs before playing Cincinnati, 1-7 ATS as Road Favs > a TouchDown
St. Louis -- 4-0 ATS with Rest, 11-0 ATS after scoring 35 or > points, 1-10 ATS after playing a Division Road Game, 1-7 ATS after playing Arizona
San Diego -- 8-1 ATS before playing Oakland, 8-0 ATS after playing Denver, 2-8 ATS as Double Digit Favorites, 1-5 ATS in first of back-to-back Home Games
San Francisco -- New Head Coach, 10-0 ATS as beaten Favs, 7-0 ATS as Dogs in Div Play off Fav role, 0-5 ATS before playing St. Louis, 2-9 ATS as Road Favs
Seattle -- 8-1 ATS before playing Arizona, 10-1 ATS at Home in non-Conference Play, 0-6 ATS after playing Arizona, 2-11 ATS with Rest
Tampa Bay -- 4-0 ATS as Favorites versus the NFC East, 6-0 ATS before playing New Orleans, 3-11 ATS at Home, 1-4 ATS after playing New Orleans
Tennessee -- New Head Coach, 6-0 ATS as Double Digit Favorites, 5-1 ATS before playing Houston, 1-7 ATS vs AFC East, 1-6 ATS after playing MNF
Washington -- 9-2 ATS before playing Giants, 6-1 ATS as Favs vs good teams, 0-4 ATS on MNF, 0-5 ATS before Bye Week
2011 NFL AND NCAA Football Wagering Tips
Emotion - The most important betting edge to know about in football wagering isn't statistics or numbers. The most important edge is emotion. Find the team that desires to win more than their opponent and they'll cover a high percentage of those events. This is true in all sports. But it is even more significant in a physical game like NCAA and NFL Football. Certain Coaches are much better than others in getting their teams ready for games by providing the impetus for emotion. Such Coaches as Frank Beamer, Paul Johnson, Tom O'Brien, and Bill Belichick among others have all shown their worth in this area over the years.
Sandwich Games - Be careful of 'sandwich' games. That is the game for a team that's in between two other more important games. The NFL split into different Divisions recently, with fewer teams in each Division. Since then we have both the AFC and NFC broken down into four Divisions consisting of four teams each. They are called the East, North, South and West. So now Division games are of even greater significance than in the past with fewer teams in each Division. When it comes to determining the Playoff picture, these games are the most important to each competing team.
If Tennessee for example, early in the season, plays Indianapolis this week and Jacksonville in two weeks, you know they're going to be focused on those two inter-Divisional games. But if the in-between game is against say San Francisco, a lesser out of Conference team, be careful! Tennessee will have most likely played a tough game the week before, and have an important tough game the following week. Starters may be pulled early against San Francisco, and those hurting from the previous game might not even play in this one.
Too many bettors jump on a team that has been covering on the 'sandwich' game, laying way too much 'wood'. The team usually wins, but fails to cover. Then the bettor jumps off of Tennessee the following week against Jacksonville because the bettor got burnt the week before in the sandwich game!
Line Movement - Sometimes line movement means nothing, and sometimes it means everything. When I wager (my favorite recreation), I want the line to be bet dead or move 1/2 to one point with me. Not a lot of movement, but slightly in agreement with me. When a line moves more than one point, especially in the NFL, it can be a dangerous play. This can denote injuries or other late information such as weather, etc. But be careful, NFL teams are notorious for giving out misleading disinformation more so than any other sport.
Quite often with big line movement in the NFL, the final score falls in between the original line and the final line. This opens the door for 'middlers', those who bet early one way and late the other way on the same game. I know several gamblers who make their living on this, and i have been successful myself at it. They give up the 10% 'juice' in hopes of winning both ways. The most they can lose is 5% of their total bet. They clean up if one play pushes or wins and the other play wins.
NCAA football can be different though. With so many lined college games nowadays, big line movement can be bet on. For two years in a row in the early 1990's, the Ivy League football team that got the most line movement during the week won every single game those years. Every week! For games like these with fewer wagers on them, the line can easily move 3 to 5 points. Sometimes it can move even more. Beware of betting against this line movement, it generally is right. In the Colleges, stay away from wagering against consistent and massive line movement in one direction.
Here's wishing all Football bettors a great 2011 Football Wagering Season! Make sure to stop by the FreeSportsLetter-- Free Football, Basketball and Baseball Picks site for tons of FREE Wagering Information, Contests, Lines, Scores, and more importantly, FREE Winners!
--Rich Green
[email protected]
FreeSportsLetter-- Free Football, Basketball and Baseball Picks
Sunday June 5
3*** SAN DIEGO LATOS -R -170 over Houston (ML Baseball, 6:35 et) (WINNER)
We won with our Gold Key Baseball Pick on the Padres yesterday, and are wrapping up Gold Key Basketball on a current 16-4 winning run. We have Gold Key Baseball and Basketball Specials starting as low as $79 on site! If you can find a better value, please take it! You are welcome to stop by our site daily for free sports picks, free injury reports, live lines, scores, gambling articles, contests, etc. You can login daily to get your Top Rated Gold Key Picks in Football, Basketball and Baseball without anyone disturbing or calling you. Here is tonight's Free Column release on ML Baseball.
The Padres trail the National League West Division under their Manager Bud Black at 26-33 on the season. They have won two games in a row, and can take this Series with a win this evening. Right-hander Latos (3-6, 3.97 ERA) gets the nod tonight for the Padres. He went 3-1 with a 2.81 ERA in his last four starts in May. The Padres are 16-7 this year in day games (Pacific Time here), and also 16-5 lately as Home Favorites in this odds range.
The Astros trail the NL Central under their Manager Brad Mills with a record of 23-36 on the year. They complete this seven-game Road Trip tonight and get a 10-game Home stand starting on Tuesday. Jordan Lyles (0-0, 2.57) takes the mound for the Astros here. The Right-hander pitched well in his ML debut on Tuesday and appears to have a brilliant future. Negative trends for the Astros include 12-19 on the Road, 13-28 versus Right-handed starters, and 21-35 on Grass fields.
The line opened today at Padres -170. We'll go with the Home Padres to win for us here tonight in a Good Free Pick. For those who don't know it, our Members rarely wager on the FREE release, and instead invest their money wisely on the Gold Key Picks. Make sure to stop by the FreeSportsLetter.com site for more FREE Winners as well as Football, Basketball and Baseball wagering information. Visit us and check out the stronger Top Rated Gold Key Picks on site as well.
--Rich Green
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FreeSportsLetter-- Free Football, Basketball and Baseball Picks
Thursday March 31
2** ST. LOUIS CARPENTER -R -185 over San Diego (ML Baseball, 4:15 et) (Loser)
We won our fourth Gold Key Basketball Pick in a row on Memphis yesterday, and are ready for yet another winning Gold Key Baseball Season! We have Gold Key Baseball and Basketball Specials starting as low as $99 on site! If you can find a better value, please take it! You are welcome to stop by our site daily for free sports picks, free injury reports, live lines, scores, gambling articles, contests, etc. You can login daily to get your Top Rated Gold Key Picks in Football, Basketball and Baseball without anyone disturbing or calling you. Here is today's Free Column release on ML Baseball.
The Cardinals of the National League Central Division under long-tenured ML Baseball Manager Tony La Russa start their 2011 season at Home today. Chris Carpenter gets the nod on Opening Day. The 35 year-old Right-hander makes his fifth opening day start for the Cardinals after going 16-9 with a 3.22 ERA last season. Positive trends include 6-1 at Home in this match up, 88-38 as Home Favorites in this Odds range, and 925-747 versus Right-handed starters.
The Padres of the NL West Division under their Manager Bud Black send out Tim Stauffer for their first pitch of the new year. The 28 yr-old Right-hander finished the season well last year, but is 0-4 when starting against the Cardinals with an ERA of 9.33 and a WHIP of 1.909. We look forward to another winning Free Play Baseball Season and hope you win with us!
The line opened today at Cardinals -185. We'll go with the Home Cardinals to win for us here today in a Don't Go Crazy Free Pick. For those who don't know it, our Members rarely wager on the FREE release, and instead invest their money wisely on the Gold Key Picks. Make sure to stop by the FreeSportsLetter.com site for more FREE Winners as well as Football, Basketball and Baseball wagering information. Visit us and check out the stronger Top Rated Gold Key Picks on site as well.
--Rich Green
[email protected]
FreeSportsLetter-- Free Football, Basketball and Baseball Picks
Sunday February 27
3*** MARQUETTE -10 over Providence (NCAA Basketball, 4 et) (WINNER)
We swept with winners on our Gold Key Basketball Picks on Indiana State and Michigan yesterday. We have Gold Key Basketball Specials starting as low as $89 on site! If you can find a better value, please take it! You are welcome to stop by our site daily for free sports picks, free injury reports, live lines, scores, gambling articles, contests, etc. You can login daily to get your Top Rated Gold Key Picks in Football, Basketball and Baseball without anyone disturbing or calling you. Here is today's Free Column release on NCAA Hoops.
The Golden Eagles of the Big East Conference under their Head Coach Buzz Williams are 17-11 Straight Up, and 13-9 Against The Spread on the season. They go for their third SU and ATS winner in a row today in a Series they have dominated lately. Positive trends for the Golden Eagles here include 18-7 ATS versus good Offensive teams, 21-12 ATS off a SU win in Conference Play, and 3-0 SU and ATS in this match up.
The Friars enter this Conference match up under their Head Coach Ken Davis with an Even Stephen record of 14-14 SU, and 11-13 ATS on the year. They play out of a tough Conference, and are on current 3-12 SU and 4-8 ATS losing runs. Other negative trends for the Friars this afternoon include 2-7 ATS after allowing at least 80 points, 12-21 ATS off a SU loss in Conference Play, and 23-30 ATS in Conference Play.
The line opened today at Golden Eagles -10. We'll go with the Home Golden Eagles to cover for us here today in a Good Free Pick. For those who don't know it, our Members rarely wager on the FREE release, and instead invest their money wisely on the Gold Key Picks. Make sure to stop by the FreeSportsLetter.com site for more FREE Winners as well as Football, Basketball and Baseball wagering information. Visit us and check out the stronger Top Rated Gold Key Picks on site as well.
--Rich Green
[email protected]
FreeSportsLetter-- Free Football, Basketball and Baseball Picks
Sunday February 6
3*** Over 44.5 Total Points, Pittsburgh/Green Bay (Super Bowl XLV, 6:25 et) (Ret. Roof) (WINNER)
We complete another winning Gold Key Football Season tonight, and look forward to another winning Gold Key Basketball Season! We have Gold Key Basketball Specials starting as low as $99 on site! If you can find a better value, please take it! You are welcome to stop by our site daily for free sports picks, free injury reports, live lines, scores, gambling articles, contests, etc. You can login daily to get your Top Rated Gold Key Picks in Football, Basketball and Baseball without anyone disturbing or calling you. Here is tonight's Free Column release on the Super Bowl.
The AFC Champion Steelers of the North Division under their fourth-year Head Coach Mike Tomlin enter Super Bowl XLV at 14-4 SU, and 12-6 ATS on the year. They defeated strong teams from a tough Conference including Baltimore and the Jets in the Playoffs to get here. Trends favoring the Over in Steelers events include 5-0 Over in the Playoffs, and 15-8 Over with this much Rest. The retractable roof will be closed tonight due to inclement weather.
The NFC Champion Packers out of the North Division under their fifth-year Head Coach Mike McCarthy enter the Big Dance at 13-6 SU, and 12-7 ATS. They have won five games in a row SU including three straight Road Playoff ATS wins over Philadelphia, Atlanta and Chicago to get here. The Packers have been putting points on the board at will, and can give up some here as well.
The Totals Line stands at 44.5. We'll go with the Over here tonight in a Good Free Pick. For those who don't know it, our Members rarely wager on the FREE release, and instead invest their money wisely on the Gold Key Picks. Make sure to stop by the FreeSportsLetter.com site for more FREE Winners as well as Football, Basketball and Baseball wagering information. Visit us and check out the stronger Top Rated Gold Key Picks on site as well.
--Rich Green
[email protected]
FreeSportsLetter-- Free Football, Basketball and Baseball Picks
Tuesday December 28
3*** North Carolina State +3 over West Virginia (Champs Sports Bowl, 6:30 et) (Weather) (WINNER, OUTRIGHT)
We won again in Gold Key Football last night on the Under between Georgia Tech/Air Force, and we also won with our Gold Key Basketball Play on the Mavericks as Straight Up Dog Winners! We have Gold Key Football and Basketball Specials starting as low as $89 on site! If you can find a better value, please take it! You are welcome to stop by our site daily for free sports picks, free injury reports, live lines, scores, gambling articles, contests, etc. You can login daily to get your Top Rated Gold Key Picks in Football, Basketball and Baseball without anyone disturbing or calling you. Here is tonight's Free Column release on NCAA Football.
The Wolfpack of the ACC Atlantic Division under their fourth-year Head Coach Tom O'Brien finished the regular season at 8-4 Straight Up, and 8-3 Against The Spread. They failed at getting a BCS Bowl bid because they lost at Maryland in their final event. The Wolfpack was hard to gauge this year, but they kept themselves in every game and deserve a shot as Dogs here tonight. Positive trends include 17-7 ATS as Dogs, 21-10 ATS on Grass fields, and 12-6 ATS versus winning teams.
The Top Twenty-Five ranked Mountaineers of the Big East Conference finished their regular season at 9-3 SU, and 7-4 ATS. Interestingly enough, they have made third-year Head Coach Bill Stewart a lame duck, as he is scheduled to be replaced in 2012. While the Mountaineers surely look to be the better team on paper, this game can be closer than expected. Negative trends include 4-10 ATS in Bowls, and 8-12 ATS after Conference Play. This one takes place in Orlando on a mild night.
The line opened today at Mountaineers -3. We'll take those points and the Wolfpack to cover for us here tonight in a Good Free Pick. For those who don't know it, our Members rarely wager on the FREE release, and instead invest their money wisely on the Gold Key Picks. Make sure to stop by the FreeSportsLetter.com site for more FREE Winners as well as Football, Basketball and Baseball wagering information. Visit us and check out the stronger Top Rated Gold Key Picks on site as well.
--Rich Green
[email protected]
FreeSportsLetter-- Free Football, Basketball and Baseball Picks
Friday December 3
3*** FRESNO STATE +6 over Illinois (NCAA Football, 10:15 et) (Weather) (WINNER, OUTRIGHT)
We won again in Gold Key Football last night on the Over between the Texans/Eagles, and we also won with our Gold Key Basketball Play on the Baylor Bears last night! We have Gold Key Football and Basketball Specials starting as low as $99 on site! If you can find a better value, please take it! You are welcome to stop by our site daily for free sports picks, free injury reports, live lines, scores, gambling articles, contests, etc. You can login daily to get your Top Rated Gold Key Picks in Football, Basketball and Baseball without anyone disturbing or calling you. Here is tonight's Free Column release on NCAA Football.
The Bulldogs of the Western Athletic Conference under their long-tenured Head Coach Pat Hill are 7-4 Straight Up, and 4-6 Against The Spread on the season. They can play hard enough at Home this evening to keep this one close, and another win especially in this situation can hope their Bowl placement. Positive trends for the Bulldogs tonight include 17-3 ATS as non-Conference Dogs greater than five points, and 6-2 ATS as Home Dogs in this point range.
The Fighting Illini of the Big Ten Conference under their sixth-year Head Coach Ron Zook are 6-5 SU, and 7-3 ATS on the year. They came off two tough Conference losses to beat Northwestern handily in their last event. They look for Revenge in this Series tonight, and have plenty incentive to win to make the Bowls. Negative trends for the Illini here include 0-3 ATS as Road Favorites, 1-5 ATS as Favorites in this point range, and 1-3 ATS versus the WAC.
The line opened today at Illini -6. We'll take those points and the Home Bulldogs to cover for us here tonight in a Good Free Pick. For those who don't know it, our Members rarely wager on the FREE release, and instead invest their money wisely on the Gold Key Picks. Make sure to stop by the FreeSportsLetter.com site for more FREE Winners as well as Football, Basketball and Baseball wagering information. Visit us and check out the stronger Top Rated Gold Key Picks on site as well.
--Rich Green
[email protected]
FreeSportsLetter-- Free Football, Basketball and Baseball Picks
Sunday November 7
3*** Over 41.5 Total Points, Jets at DETROIT (NFL Football, 1 et) (Dome) (WINNER)
We are on a great 12-3 Gold Key Football Winning streak, and we won with our Gold Key Basketball Play on the Blazers last night! We have Gold Key Football and Basketball Specials starting as low as $99 on site! If you can find a better value, please take it! You are welcome to stop by our site daily for free sports picks, free injury reports, live lines, scores, gambling articles, contests, etc. You can login daily to get your Top Rated Gold Key Picks in Football, Basketball and Baseball without anyone disturbing or calling you. Here is today's Free Column release on NFL Football.
The Jets of the AFC East Division under their second-year Head Coach Rex Ryan are 5-2 Straight Up and Against The Spread on the season. They threw in a clinker in their last event, a 9-0 Home shutout to the Packers. The Jets figure to light up the board on the Road here after a dismal effort. Trends favoring the Over in Jets games include 4-0 Over with less than a week of Rest, 6-2 Over in November, and 3-0 Over versus losing teams.
The Lions of the NFC North Division under their second-year Head Coach Jim Schwartz are 2-5 SU, and 6-1 ATS on the year. They have put points on the board at Home this season, while usually giving up over 20 points as well. Trends favoring the Over in Lions events include 7-1 Over in non-Conference Play, 20-10 Over with less than a week of Rest, and 69-52 Over versus winning teams.
The Totals line opened today at 41.5. We'll go with the Over here today in a Good Free Pick. For those who don't know it, our Members rarely wager on the FREE release, and instead invest their money wisely on the Gold Key Picks. Make sure to stop by the FreeSportsLetter.com site for more FREE Winners as well as Football, Basketball and Baseball wagering information. Visit us and check out the stronger Top Rated Gold Key Picks on site as well.
--Rich Green
[email protected]
FreeSportsLetter-- Free Football, Basketball and Baseball Picks