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Great night last night going 6-2 overall. here's tonight's card:
NBA
Philadelphia @ Miami
Philly is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 against Miami overall and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 AT Miami. The problem I see is that Philly is struggling at 2-6 ATS in their last 8 overall. There is a real trend of poor ATS teams in the NBA this season and Philly is one of them. On the road Philly is 1-4 ATS while Miami is 4-1 ATS at home. Alot of trends point to a Philly win outright, like the fact that they are 1st in the NBA in defensive turnovers on the road averaging 17.6 per game. They are also 24-8 ATS after 3 straight home games since 96. They have the 3rd best 3-point percentage on the road hitting at 38.8%. The Sixers will never be called consistent when they are 1-8 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins. However, they are 9th in the league overall allowing just 91.6 points per game and 13th in the league allowing 92.7 ppg on the road. Miami's problem isn't that they can't keep teams from scoring because the Heat are 7th in the NBA in points allowed with 86.3 ppg. Their Achilles heel is the fact that they can't put the ball in the basket at home. They are 26th in the NBA scoring a measly 87 ppg at home. The Heat are an atrocious 40.9% field goal shooting team at home, which is good for 25th overall. All of these point to a Philly win, however, they are missing crucial personnel: Marc Jackson, Derrick Coleman, Glenn Robinson, Monty Williams and Todd "How the Hell did my Fat Ass make it on an NBA Team" MacCulloch are out.
Sports-Plays Take: Miami +1.5
NHL
Phoenix @ Philadelphia
I don't like to play God in a situation where a team is undefeated in anything. I know, eventually, Philly will lose at home. Maybe to the Vancouver or Detroit, but not to the Coyotes. G Robert Esche is slated to start and if he does, the Coyotes need to shoot and shoot often. Esche is 7-2-2 with a 1.88 GAA in 11 games and, better yet, he is 6-0-1 with a 1.69 GAA in the Wachovia Center. The Flyers hold a 22-8 all time record against the Coyotes and are 24-9 against teams that have allowed 3 or more goals per game over the last 3 seasons. Philly is 10-1 ATS as home faves and the Coyotes have played 4 games in 5 days. We'll take the fresh legs.
Sports-Plays Take: Philadelphia Flyers -.5
Minnesota @ Calgary
There are 4 situations of 80% or higher that favor Calgary in this matchup:
Play On - Home teams as a favorite or pick'em on the puck line (CALGARY) - revenging a home blowout loss vs opponent of 3 goals or more, off a road win.
(21-5 over the last 5 seasons.) (80.8%)
Play On - Home teams as a favorite of a half goal or pick'em on the puck line (CALGARY) - revenging a home blowout loss vs opponent of 3 goals or more, off a road win.
(21-3 over the last 5 seasons.) (87.5%)
Play On - Home teams against the puck line (CALGARY) - revenging a home blowout loss vs opponent of 3 goals or more, off a road win scoring 4 or more goals.
(21-5 since 1996.) (80.8%)
Play On - Home teams against the puck line (CALGARY) - revenging a home blowout loss vs opponent of 3 goals or more, off a road win.
(24-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (80%)
Minnesota has scored 1 goal in 5 of their last 6, and in their last 10 games, they have 9 with 2 goals or less. Calgary, on the other hand, has at least 2 goals in 9 of their last 11 and 3 or more goals in 5 of their last 7. Calgary is also 5-1 ATS at home versus Minnesota in the last 3 season.
Take: Calgary Flames
Good Luck,
The Ham mer
NBA
Philadelphia @ Miami
Philly is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 against Miami overall and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 AT Miami. The problem I see is that Philly is struggling at 2-6 ATS in their last 8 overall. There is a real trend of poor ATS teams in the NBA this season and Philly is one of them. On the road Philly is 1-4 ATS while Miami is 4-1 ATS at home. Alot of trends point to a Philly win outright, like the fact that they are 1st in the NBA in defensive turnovers on the road averaging 17.6 per game. They are also 24-8 ATS after 3 straight home games since 96. They have the 3rd best 3-point percentage on the road hitting at 38.8%. The Sixers will never be called consistent when they are 1-8 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins. However, they are 9th in the league overall allowing just 91.6 points per game and 13th in the league allowing 92.7 ppg on the road. Miami's problem isn't that they can't keep teams from scoring because the Heat are 7th in the NBA in points allowed with 86.3 ppg. Their Achilles heel is the fact that they can't put the ball in the basket at home. They are 26th in the NBA scoring a measly 87 ppg at home. The Heat are an atrocious 40.9% field goal shooting team at home, which is good for 25th overall. All of these point to a Philly win, however, they are missing crucial personnel: Marc Jackson, Derrick Coleman, Glenn Robinson, Monty Williams and Todd "How the Hell did my Fat Ass make it on an NBA Team" MacCulloch are out.
Sports-Plays Take: Miami +1.5
NHL
Phoenix @ Philadelphia
I don't like to play God in a situation where a team is undefeated in anything. I know, eventually, Philly will lose at home. Maybe to the Vancouver or Detroit, but not to the Coyotes. G Robert Esche is slated to start and if he does, the Coyotes need to shoot and shoot often. Esche is 7-2-2 with a 1.88 GAA in 11 games and, better yet, he is 6-0-1 with a 1.69 GAA in the Wachovia Center. The Flyers hold a 22-8 all time record against the Coyotes and are 24-9 against teams that have allowed 3 or more goals per game over the last 3 seasons. Philly is 10-1 ATS as home faves and the Coyotes have played 4 games in 5 days. We'll take the fresh legs.
Sports-Plays Take: Philadelphia Flyers -.5
Minnesota @ Calgary
There are 4 situations of 80% or higher that favor Calgary in this matchup:
Play On - Home teams as a favorite or pick'em on the puck line (CALGARY) - revenging a home blowout loss vs opponent of 3 goals or more, off a road win.
(21-5 over the last 5 seasons.) (80.8%)
Play On - Home teams as a favorite of a half goal or pick'em on the puck line (CALGARY) - revenging a home blowout loss vs opponent of 3 goals or more, off a road win.
(21-3 over the last 5 seasons.) (87.5%)
Play On - Home teams against the puck line (CALGARY) - revenging a home blowout loss vs opponent of 3 goals or more, off a road win scoring 4 or more goals.
(21-5 since 1996.) (80.8%)
Play On - Home teams against the puck line (CALGARY) - revenging a home blowout loss vs opponent of 3 goals or more, off a road win.
(24-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (80%)
Minnesota has scored 1 goal in 5 of their last 6, and in their last 10 games, they have 9 with 2 goals or less. Calgary, on the other hand, has at least 2 goals in 9 of their last 11 and 3 or more goals in 5 of their last 7. Calgary is also 5-1 ATS at home versus Minnesota in the last 3 season.
Take: Calgary Flames
Good Luck,
The Ham mer
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