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Key Numbers Occur in the NBA

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  • Key Numbers Occur in the NBA

    Ever thought about the occurrence of key numbers in the NBA? When I first started my research I was skeptical that I might find key numbers in the NBA the same as I did in football. With football, there are two predominant ways in which teams will score, by field goals or touchdowns. And barring missed extra points which happen very rarely, this means points increase by margins of 3 or 7 in most cases. This provides a great opportunity to find statistical advantages.
    But what about in the NBA? Theres no big jump like 3 points to 7 points or 7 points to 7 more points like in the NFL. You can have free throws (1 point), regular baskets (2points), or three-pointers (3 points). Even more disconcerting is the difference in the amount of scoring chances that occur in the two sports. In football games, each team usually scores between 3 and 6 times, with a combination of field goals and touchdowns. Opportunities abound for us to find discernible patterns.
    In the NBA teams usually average between 75-85 field goal attempts and the free throw attempts usually fall in the 20-30 range for each team. Thats well over 200 opportunities between the two teams combined to put points on the board. Its enough to make your head spin!
    However, I was surprised when I found that in fact there are key numbers in basketball. The first, and probably the most obvious, is the number 2. This is the number by which point increases happen most often in basketball, and in that respect 2 is to basketball as 3 and 7 are to football. (Thats just in case you ever have to take the S.A.T. exams again!)
    But it may surprise you to find out that the most common fall-on number in the NBA (the number of the final margin of victory) is in fact 7! When you think about it, there is some sense in this. Seven constitutes a three possession game, which can put the actual won/loss outcome out of reach and teams will usually stop fouling in the closing seconds if they cant tie it up with two possessions or less.
    Not coincidentally, 7 is also one of the key numbers in the SB Professors system. There are other numbers that occur with high frequency and there are also numbers that oddsmakers install that make it either easier or more difficult for favorites to cover.

    The key to successful basketball wagering is to figure out these key numbers and the logic behind them before anyone else does. This gives you a huge advantage going into a slate of basketball games. This advantage can make the difference of a slight percentage point in your won-loss percentage, which is so vital when 52.7% is the percentage you must attain to turn a profit when betting on football or basketball.
    Good luck with all your wagers this season and dont forget the NBA has key numbers just like in football!


    All the best this season,
    Bet Pro



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