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The Standard: 200 units
Yesterday: 2-4, -2.90 units
Currently: -94.05 units
Units remaining: 294.05
July +28.9 units
8/2/09
$500 LAA/Minnesota Under 10
$400 Minnesota +110
This line still continues to drop. The Twins look to defeat the Angels today as they send Perkins to the hill. Perkins has only allowed 1 ER in 17 career innings vs. LA over two starts. Even though Perkins and Weaver, who will counter for LA, have been struggling of late, both starters show decent history. Weaver and the Angels have allowed an average of about 4 runs per outing vs. Minnesota. The total is set high as these team have lit it up offensively this season going over in all but 1 meeting. The line is at a high 10 but is it high based on previous numbers? The way these two pitchers have pitched in the past, I look past the struggles of late and see these two having rather nice outings. Look for 7 runs the most in this one as Minny takes this one by a couple.
$400 Baltimore +150
Baltimore should salvage one game in this series as Clay Bucholz will face off against John Berken. The Orioles have dropped the first two and turn to Berken who has already pitched against this Sox club. Berken has pitched pretty good despite going 1-8 on the season. The reason is the lack of support offensively. The Os have lost 10 of his 12 starts. Boston managed just 4 runs in his last outing while Bucholz has struggled in his previous 2 vs. Baltimore. The Orioles put up 18 runs in his 2 starts last year and look to do the same this afternoon. Should be a close one regardless, take the plus money on the home dog as the Sox continue their rough stretch of inconsistancy.
$400 Cincy +125
After a rough stretch of starts Bronson Arroyo has pretty much gotten back on track pitching 2 shutouts and allowing just 8 ERs in his last 27.2 innings. Marquis has also pitched well but comes his team comes off of 2 losses out of his last 3 starts. The Rockies are looking like they are simmering offensively. Look for the Reds to put more on the board in another close contest. The under may seem like a strong play in this one as Marquis has gone under in his last 5 while Arroyo and the Reds have gone 3-0-1 to the under in his last 4. Look for a 4-3 or 5-4 game.
$400 Chisox +130
When are the Yankees not a favorite? Even on the slide they are on, they still continue to be faves. The Yanks are well overdue for a slide. They have lost 3 in a row, and at times in the past they have been known to lose 5 or 6 straight. We could be witnessing one right here as Sabathia will face the lights out pitching of Mark Buehrle. Buehrle allowed 5 ERs following his perfect game in his last start. He will bounce back today as the Sox look to get back in the playoff hunt. The Sox have not faired well against the Yanks in the past as each starters team W-L record shows bad outcomes for Sox backers. However, the results have been good in this series. Buehrle has dominated at home of late allowing only 4 ERs in his last 3. Look for Chicago to finish the Yanks off in the finale.
$200 Tampa Bay -1.5(-130)
The Rays are hot and the Royals still are not. KC started the year nicely but have vaporized ever since and find themselves as the worst in the AL. Tampa is gaining momentum gaining ground slowly on Boston and the Yanks. Shields has had his way with KC at home in the past. In his last 3 at home, he has allowed 2 ERs in each with KC finishing all 3 games with the 2 runs. I expect similar results today. Bannister, who has struggled at times this year, has come alive of late and has shown improvement. He and KC have lost his last 4 outings with Tampa. He has allowed 15 ERs in his last 3 in Tampa. Rays should easily put up 7+ today just as they did yesterday. Look for similar results to Saturdays contest. Rays by 5 and the runline win.
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The Standard: 200 units
Yesterday: 0-6, -24.10 units
Currently: -118.15 units
Units remaining: 318.15
July +28.9 units
Can't say anything good about yesterday. All 5 sides were hopeful into each game after being down in all of em. Safe to say none turned out the way I wanted. Need to suck it up and post some winners moving forward. A major hill to climb, with no 10 unit plays for a while. Need a 70%+ side run to finish August off and hopefully I can still get to the desired units.
Day by day, one game at a time...
8/3/09
$200 Pittsburgh -145
$500 Wsh/Pit Over 9
Garrett Mock will make another start for the hurting Nats. Their rotation has become one of the weakest in baseball and their bullpen is probably at a minor league level these days. In fact, the Nats make just about any team look great. Mock is 0-4 on the season and has yet to win a start dating back to last year where the Nats went 0-3 in his starts. They are 0-3 in his starts this year as well. Opponents have tallied 24 runs in his 3 starts this year averaging 8 RPG. The Nats were outscored 24-10 in those games. With Charlie Morton pitching the way he has, the Nats will struggle to keep this one close. Morton has never faced Washington, but in his 2 home starts as a Pirate, he has one shutout and has allowed 3 ERs in 12 ings. Morton gets my vote, Pirates roll 8-3.
$500 Baltimore +250
Chris Tillmann will make his sophomore start in the big leagues while Verlander will look to continue his new found dominance. The Tigers are a heavy fave in this one, as the Os have slumped of late. Tillmann was broken in well in his first outing allowing 3 ERs in less than 5 innings. He allowed 7 hits, 3 of them homers. The Os come off a tiring series with the Sox and an 18-10 loss yesterday. Tigers have had struggles recently as well dropping 2 of 3 to the lowly Indians on the road. No one has faith in Baltimore on the road against Verlander. Look for a cataclismic upset tonight as Tillmann will keep Detroit in a rut. At this price with a new faced starter with one start under his belt, anything is possible. Don't judge on one start.
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