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  • #76
    Remaining card for 7/9/09:


    $1000 Houston -110
    The Nats are in a bad position in this one, as they are 1-13 in game 1s of a series on the road this year. It gets worse as they are 5-23 in game 1s for the season and have yet to win in the road game following a road loss (0-5). Lannan has had some stellar outings this year, however, he has not gone deep in his last 3 following a long outing. He has faced the Stros 3x, allowing 7 ERs in 17 innings. Houston gets at least 4 on the board and that will be enough for the win. Nats have scored an average of 3 RPG over their last 15 road games. Ortiz has only allowed 12 ERs in his 6 home outings, and just 4 ERs in his last 3. Astros 4-3. Nats are 5-14 in last 19 Lannan rd starts. Astros are 24-11 in last 35 as a home fave.

    $1000 San Fran -260
    Lincecum has done everything right at home vs. SD in the past. He allowed 2 ERs in 4 home starts vs. SD in 28 inngs. Looking at his numbers vs. SD, he has only really had one bad outing vs. SD and that came on road. He allowed 4 ERs in less than 6 inngs. His last 10 vs. Pads shows a 7-3 team record, with only 11 ERs allowed over 69 innings. He usually allows 0-1 ER per outing. SF has won all 4 home outings, and outscored SD 16-8 in those gms. Josh Geer will counter for the Pads who were swept by Arizona. Padres have lost 6 of 7. Geer has allowed 20 ERs in his last 4 on road. SD will only compete with a superb effort from Geer, who on the road is 0-2(6.55 ERA). Pads are 5-9 in Geer starts, and 0-4 in his road ones. Pads run scoring over their last 8: 1 2 3 7 then 6 5 3 and 2.

    $500 Atlanta +120
    $200 Atl/Col Under 9
    Hanson has been a great find. Glavine and Smoltz are distant memories. Hanson has been sharp over his last 5, allowing just 3 ERs which were bookends to 3 scoreless outings. Hanson is 4-0(2.25) on the year. He has gone an avg of 6 inngs per start, and looks sharper each time out. He had his longest outing his last start. Braves are 5-1 in Hansons starts. Rockies are 25-7 in their last 32 ballgames. Braves have won 7 of 10. The Rockies will have a letdown game after an easy sweep vs. Wsh. Cook is 8-3(3.76) and has dominated opponents of late allowing 1 ER in 4 of his last 6. The other two were 2 ER and 3 ER efforts. Too impressed with Hanson as he carved through the Sox and Yanks like they were non contenders. Braves 4-2.

    $200 Fla/Arz Under 10
    Andrew Miller will take to the hill to battle Petit tonight in Arizona. Miller has faced Zona 3 times previously, all quality starts. He allowed 2 runs over 7 innings in his most recent, back in May. Arizona has had trouble putting up massive amounts of runs and they will find themselves in another situation like that today facing Miller. Petit has been pretty awful lately allowing 18 ERs in his last 4 outings. He has however, pitched against the Marlins, where he allowed 1 ER over 6 innings just last season. That contest went under and so did Miller at a 2-0-1 clip to the under in his 3 vs. Arz. One of these starters, if not both, will have an outstanding effort in this one. Look for a 4-3 final at best if both pitchers have decent outings.

    $200 Boston -1.5(Even)
    Sox and Yanks continue their battle for supremacy in the AL East. One thing is for sure, the Red Sox will need to keep winning in this division. KC has started to slump as they do each and every year. Penny goes against Hochevar tonight. Penny has never faced KC, while Hoch has faced Boston 2x and allowed 12 ERs. Boston won those games by a 15-2 margin. Penny has been outstanding at home of late, and the Sox own KC at home. In their last 4 meetings in Boston, the Sox outscored KC 26-12, and in their last 7 meetings, Boston has a 45-20 scoring edge. Red Sox by 4.

    Comment


    • #77
      Originally posted by jcheckers View Post
      Nice Run you've been on!
      Thx for the kind words. July shapes up to be complete opposite of June.

      Comment


      • #78
        Good Luck Tonight! Especially the Big ones, I already had
        both played -1'

        TOUCHDOWN FAT BOY!

        I was Born my Pappy's Son,
        When I hit the ground, I was on the Run!
        Jon E. Checkers

        Comment


        • #79
          Originally posted by jcheckers View Post
          Good Luck Tonight! Especially the Big ones, I already had
          both played -1'
          We Hit em!!

          TOUCHDOWN FAT BOY!

          I was Born my Pappy's Son,
          When I hit the ground, I was on the Run!
          Jon E. Checkers

          Comment


          • #80
            The Standard: 200 units (last day 8/31/09)
            Yesterday: 3-4, +18.6 units

            Currently: -42.60 units
            Units remaining: 242.60


            26-14-1, +77.40 units in first 9 days of July

            Totals run of 20-12-2 last 34


            7/10/09

            $1000 Baltimore -105
            The Orioles defeated the Jays 7-2 the last time Berken took the hill against this team. Look for similar results today as Baltimore will defeat Brett Cecil. Cecil has never faced Baltimore, but Toronto has lost his last 3 road starts and his last 4 all together. Opponents have scored 23 runs in his 4 road starts this year and 39 runs in his 7 starts total. That averages out to 5-6 per game. That will be enough against a Jays team who has lost 10 of their last 12 and are 16-30 in their last 46 gms. Talk about down the toilet. Throw in a 2-8 mark in their last 10 rd gms and 7-18 in their last 25 road gms you have trouble. Berken has not pitched bad at home and even if allowing 3-4 in this one, his team will get runs off the Jays. Look for a 3-4 run win by Baltimore.

            $500 LA Angels +120
            Yankees are 13-2 last 15 gms. Angels have won the last 7 of 9 mtgs at home with NY. Saunders will face Chamberlain. Joba has struggled at times this year. Opponents have tallied 17 total runs over his last 3 outings. He is 4-0 on road this year but Yanks come off a bullpen workout in the finale against Minny and will need Joba to go deep in this one to have a chance. Angels outscored Yanks 59-36 last year and 42-22 at home. Saunders will be happy he doesnt have to face Texas this time around as 15 of the 39 ERs he has allowed in his last 10 were at Texas. Besides those 2 outings, it shows over the other 8 gms he allowed just 24 ERs. He allowed 3 ERs in his last mtg with NY in a 4-3 win. Saunders has given up 23 ERs in 60+ inn at hm which makes LAA a live home dog.

            $500 Oakland +150
            The As have gotten some quality pitching of late and TB has struggled to score runs. A look back over each teams last 10 shows Oakland has allowed 5 or less total runs per game in 9 of their last 10. Tampa has only scored 5 runs or more in 2 of their last 10, making for a nice attempt at an upset. Tampa is over valued at home coming off the sweep of the lowly Jays who have lost 30 of their last 46 games. Niemann will go for TB and has allowed 14 ERs in nearly 30 innings at home. Mazzaro started out his Oakland career on fire but has simmered in his last 3 allowing 12 ERs in just 17 inn. He has been able to go 6+ in all but one start this year. He has allowed 10 ERs in 4 rd starts and opponents have netted an average of about 3 RPG in his rd outings. Should see a 4-3 final here.

            $500 Chisox +115
            Somehow, the White Sox come out victorious more than not with Danks on the hill against Minnesota. His stats arent the greatest but the Sox have won 4 of last 5 Danks outings against Minny. Blackburn can not say the same as the Twins are just 2-4 in his last 6 against the Sox. Both starters can definitly pitch a quality start tonight. Danks has only allowed 2 ERs in his last 2 outings vs. Minny over nearly 14 innings. Blackburn has allowed 3 ERs in his last 13 innings vs. Chicago. I give the edge to Danks who is in the zone right now pitching 7+ innings in his last 5 starts. Sox are 6-3 in Danks last 9 outings. Chicago 5-3.

            $300 Florida/Arizona UNDER 8 (Nolasco/Haren)
            Nolasco and Haren will both keep this one under the total. Nolasco is on fire of late as are the Marlins in his recent 5 outings. Florida is 5-0 in his last 5 starts, and he has gone 3-0 with a 0.78 ERA over his last 3. Opponents have only combined for 11 runs over his last 6 outings. Nolasco and the fish are 4-0 in his 4 previous outings against Arz. He allowed just 4 ERs in his 3 outings last season over a span of over 22 innings. All three of those outings went under the total. Haren has been anything but a slouch recently, as he has gone 2-1 in his last 3, with a 1.80 ERA. He has a 1.95 ERA at home. Haren has allowed 2 ERs or less in his last 8 starts, one of the longest streaks in the bigs right now. Last season he allowed 4 ERs over 2 outings vs. Fla. Look for 5 runs max in this one.

            $200 Boston -1.5(-115)
            (Bannister/Lester)
            Red Sox are 4-2 after an opening series loss at home in gm 2. They send Lester to face Bannister. The Red Sox should bounce back after the loss last night but it seems like they are on a downswing as far as runs go. They are only 5-5 in their last 10. The good thing is their pitching has been great of late. Lester is at the top of that list going 2-0 in his last 3 with a 1.83 ERA. Boston has won 6 of his last 7 outings. Bannister and the Royals are complete opposites, losing 6 of his last 8 starts. The Sox have scored 23 runs in his previous 3 outings against them while KC was shutout last time they faced Lester. Last year, Lester went the distance allowing just 2 walks. A no-hit complete game. Royals should get a beat down after last night. Boston 7-1.

            Comment


            • #81
              Originally posted by jcheckers View Post
              We Hit em!!
              The 10* plays do pretty decent at -1.5 too but hit at 70% SU moneylines. Thats why even though the high juice they will get hot and have been lately. Good Luck

              Comment


              • #82
                The Standard: 200 units (last day 8/31/09)
                Yesterday: 1-4-1, -16.8 units

                Currently: -59.40 units
                Units remaining: 259.40


                27-18-2, +60.60 units in first 10 days of July

                Totals run of 20-12-3 last 35


                7/11/09

                $300 Atlanta/Colorado UNDER 9.5
                Jair Jurrjens has looked great of late. Marquis has looked even better recently. This sets up for a low scoring game following Saturday's 4-1 final. All signs point to another under here, as both bullpens have looked sound, as has the starting pitching for the most part on both sides. Both teams are hot and have split the first two games.
                Jurrjens actually shows the better ERA and shows a better road ERA, compared to his home number. The Braves have won his last 3 outings against Colorado. Braves outscored Colorado 26-10 in his four outings against them, and 10-5 in Colorado. Jurrjens allowed just 1 ER over 7 innings in his start at home vs. Rockies this season and has had 2 starts in Colorado, both last year. One was a 4 ER performance over 7 innings, and the other was 0 ER's in 7 and 2/3 innings. Both went under the total.
                Jason Marquis takes the home hill for Colorado, and he has dominated Atlanta in his last couple. He allowed just 1 ER in this year's meeting going 8 innings. He also only allowed 2 ER's as a Cub last season vs. this ball club. His former team lost both games he has pitched against them over the last 2 seasons. Colorado has won 8 of his last 10 starts, and he has been pretty dominant at home. In his last outing he shut down the Nats over 8 innings of scoreless baseball. Marquis has only allowed 4 ER's in his last 4 at home with the opposition averaging less than 2 runs per contest. Marquis has not allowed a run over his last 2 full games pitched (17 innings). Look for him to continue his dominance in addition to Jurrjens pitching well also. This one should see at most 5 runs scored.

                $300 Oakland/Tampa Bay OVER (Will go by closing line at majority of books)

                $200 each:
                Texas/Seattle OVER 8
                Cincy/NY Mets OVER 7.5
                NY Mets -130

                Comment


                • #83
                  The Standard: 200 units (last day 8/31/09)
                  Yesterday: 3-2, +3.6 units

                  Currently: -55.80 units
                  Units remaining: 255.80


                  30-20-2, +64.20 units in first 11 days of July

                  Totals run of 21-14-3 last 38


                  7/12/09

                  $300 LA Angels +130
                  $200 Boston -1.5 (-135)
                  $200 Washington/Houston OVER 9
                  $200 Chisox/Minny OVER 8

                  $200 STL/Cubs OVER (Based on opening line, unavailable)

                  Comment


                  • #84
                    $200 STL/Cubs OVER (Based on opening line, unavailable)

                    Double header? Which game?

                    TOUCHDOWN FAT BOY!

                    I was Born my Pappy's Son,
                    When I hit the ground, I was on the Run!
                    Jon E. Checkers

                    Comment


                    • #85
                      Originally posted by jcheckers View Post
                      $200 STL/Cubs OVER (Based on opening line, unavailable)

                      Double header? Which game?
                      I'm assuming game 1 since it went over

                      Comment


                      • #86
                        Common sense guys. If it were the late game, I would've had the line up by 8 pm gametime. At the time of my post there were no lines, and I wasn't getting back here in time for the early start. Should've specified but I even forgot there were 2.

                        Comment


                        • #87
                          The Standard: 200 units

                          7/12/09: 4-1, +7.7 units

                          Currently: -48.10 units
                          Units remaining: 248.10

                          -Winning 9 of 12 days of July, 34-21-2, +71.90 units in that span
                          -Totals run of 23-15-3 last 41

                          7/16/09 (DAY 41)

                          $200 Chicago/Washington UNDER 9
                          The Cubs visit the Nationals to get things started up again on the diamond. The game is slated to go off at 7:05 EST. Rich Harden will pitch for Chicago, while John Lannan will take the home hill. The top total of the day would be a play on the under in this game. Rich Harden has had his struggles this season. Harden is just 5-6 (5.47) overall, but shows excellent road numbers (3-1, 2.59). He has gone under in his last 2 on the road, and in his last start vs. Washington. He allowed 1 ER in that contest, pitching 7 strong innings, striking out 11 and walking none. He only allowed 2 hits in a 6-1 win. John Lannan and the Nats have won 5 of his last 7 starts. Lannan has also hit the under in 8 of his last 10 starts. He also pitched a shutout last year at home vs. Chicago, over 7 innings. Nats won 2-0, with Lannan allowing just 4 hits, walking 4 and striking out 3. The under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings, and 6-0, L6 in Washington. Look for a 3-2 final or 5 runs at most in this one, easily staying under the total.

                          $500 Oakland -120
                          Oakland A’s and Dallas Braden host the first place LA Angels. The Angels will send Ervin Santana to the mound after coming off the sweep over the NY Yankees before the All-Star break. This game is slated to go off at 10:05 EST.
                          Early action sees money coming in on the Angels at almost 2-1, and rightfully so. The Angels are one of the AL’s best, and lead their division. The A’s are in last place and still looking to find answers. Maybe they will against one of the league’s worst road starters. The Angels have won 6 of Santana’s last 7 vs. Oakland and 8 of his last 10 against them. We are in a new season though, and he has not yet faced Oakland this year. Santana has not been the same dominant pitcher he once was. He is 1-5 on the season with a 7.81 ERA. His last 3 starts show a 0-3 mark with a 9.88 ERA. Hopefully the break was kind to him, but the A’s won’t be. Santana and the Angels have only won in 2 of his last 7 starts. Dallas Braden is the complete opposite of Santana. Braden shows a 3.12 ERA for the year, a 2.84 at home and a 2.45 in his last 3 starts. The A's have won in Braden's last 2. He has averaged 2 ER’s allowed over his last 4 vs.. LA, and the Angels have averaged just 3 runs per game over those 4 starts. Santana has only had 1 quality start in his last 6.

                          $500 Florida -115
                          Chris Volstad (6-8, 4.44) will face Jamie Moyer (8-6, 5.99) in this one. Moyer and the Phillies have won against the line 12 of the last 14 meetings with Florida, which has been impressive. They also have won 9 of their last 10 games. So why am I leaning with the marlins as slight fave in this one? The reasoning is not due to starting pitching as both starters have had success in this spot. It is the relief. Either of these teams can win this one late. Philly scored 7 runs in the 9th inning trailing 3-0 to beat the Marlins earlier this year. Florida has also done a number on the Phillies relievers in the past as well, especially with a 4 run bottom of the 9th walk-off Grand Slam last year in a 6-2 win at home after Philly took a one run lead in the top of the inning. I think the Marlins can get to Lidge and the Philly relief, as they have had a rough go of late. Look for a close contest, with the Marlins finishing this one out with the win.

                          Comment


                          • #88
                            The Standard: 200 units

                            Yesterday: 1-2, -9.75 units

                            Currently: -57.85 units
                            Units remaining: 257.85

                            -Winning 9 of 13 days of plays in July(35-23-2,+62.15 units)
                            -Totals run of 24-15-3 last 42


                            7/17/09

                            $500 San Fran -145
                            SF sends Lincecum (10-2, 2.33) to face Maholm (6-4, 4.60). Giants face a lowly Pirates team who have lost 8 of 10. SF has won 7 of their last 10 ball games. Lincecum has gone 3-0 in his last 3 starts, and he is 5-1 on the road this season. The Giants have also won in his last 4 starts, and in 7 of his last 10 outings. Maholm is having a decent year, but with the lack of support is not a sure bet. The bullpen has been weak all season. Pitt has only won just 10 of his 18 starts all season. Of those, the Pirates are just 3-4 at home in Maholm starts, even though he holds a 2.96 ERA at home. That says little about the talent out of the pen. Pirates slump continues as I dont see it changing anytime soon.

                            $500 NY Yankees -230
                            Burnett looks to continue his dominant pitching against the first place Tigers at home. Yanks are 21-9 vs. Detroit over the last 30 meetings. Hard to believe, after all Detroit is a contender and has been for a few years. Burnett has been solid in 09, with stats showing 8-4, 3.74. The Yanks are 11-6 in his starts this year. His last 3 show a 1.77 ERA and a 3-0 mark. French and the Tigers would need something good up their sleeves to pull this out. French has only made 2 starts. His resume shows 11 innings, 3 ERs. He failed to go deep in Minnesota, where the Twins wound up finishing with 9. French will start strong but struggle the 2nd and 3rd time through the line-up. Look for the Yanks to control this one and win by several.

                            $200 Chicago Cubs -130
                            $200 Cubs/Nats UNDER 9
                            The Nationals are the worst in the majors, and action must be taken in this game. Zambrano has owned this team in his last 2 starts against them allowing just 1 ER over 13.66 INN. The Nats will continue to struggle in this meeting as they did last night. Zambrano and the Cubbies have won in 6 of his last 8 outings vs. Wash. Stammen replaces Olsen for the Nats who have struggled closing games out all year. Stammen has allowed opponents to put up 5 runs on him per outing over his last 4 at home. Game 1 was a 3-1 game going into the 9th inning. Final 6-2. Nats need help and they wont get it in this game. The Nats have only won in 2 of Stammens last 7 outings. Big Z will dominate this line-up and keep this one under the total single-handedly. Look for a 5-1 final.

                            $200 Minnesota/Texas UNDER 11
                            This one will easily stay under the total of 11 runs. Texas has played 20 more under games on the season. This one looks for an easy under on paper. Perkins has shown unders in 4 of his last 5 on road. He allowed 2 ERs in his last 2 on road, over 14 innings. Perkins has a knack for pitching Texas well, as last year he allowed 2 ERs in 2 starts against them, both at home. Texas scored 4 runs in total in those games, and the last start against them was a 6-0 final, an under. Padilla has been solid at home. Opponents have only scored 13 runs in his last 4 at home. In 2008, Padilla pitched in 3 wins vs. Twins, and showed 2 shutouts over 16 innings, one being a complete game. Padilla has allowed 8 ERs in his last 5 vs. Minny. Texas is 4-1 in those gms. Like a 5-3 game at best.

                            Comment


                            • #89
                              The Standard: 200 units

                              Yesterday: 4-1, +3.75 units

                              Currently: -54.1 units
                              Units remaining: 254.1

                              -Winning 10 of 14 days of plays in July(39-24-2,+65.90 units)
                              -Totals run of 26-15-3 last 44


                              7/18/09

                              All faves to win/dogs risking $200 a piece:

                              LAA/Oakland UNDER 8.5
                              Weaver's allowed just 9 runs in his last 5 mtgs with Oakland. Mazzaro is a quiet 8-0 to the under this year. A's also 7 unders in their last 10 ball games.

                              Bal/Chisox OVER 9
                              Both starters + bullpens will combine for many allowed in this one. Sox have gone over in 6 of 7. Play regardless of starter.

                              Philly +110
                              Philly is still hot. Winning 11 of their last 12. I love how Blanton has pitched of late, better than can be said of what Johnson and the Florida pen's numbers are vs. Philly at home over his last couple starts here.

                              Colorado/SD OVER 7.5
                              Hammel has been a road workhorse. He struggled against SD at home though lasting 7 innings in 2 starts. SD put up 14 in those games. Correia and the Pads allowed 9 runs last meeting with SD. Look for this one to reach at least 10 if the pitchers perform similar.

                              LA Dodgers -1.5(+125)
                              Astros are 1-3 in Hampton's last 4 outings. LA is 6-0 in Kershaw's last 6 outings. They should cruise today after losing the first 2 at home. Kershaw has a 0.53 in his last 3. LA 6-3.

                              Comment


                              • #90
                                The Standard: 200 units

                                Yesterday: 1-3, -4.1 units

                                Currently: -58.2 units
                                Units remaining: 258.2

                                -Winning 10 of 15 days of plays in July(40-27-2,+61.80 units)
                                -Totals run of 26-18-3 last 47


                                7/19/09

                                $500 Minnesota -120
                                $300 Washington +110
                                $300 Florida +110
                                $300 KC +140
                                $300 NYY -130
                                $300 Pittsburgh +105
                                $200 Bos/Tor OVER 7.5
                                $200 Philly/Florida Under 9

                                Comment

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