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[m83gb5]

my site has angels over 9 run,also texas 9.5 runs/bet jamica-------where did you get your plays from ?

[jcheckers]

my site has angels over 9 run,also texas 9.5 runs/bet jamica-------where did you get your plays from ?

According to Scores and Odds line movements, his numbers
for both games were correct at the time of his post...

[m83gb5]

Thank you

[AftermathSports]

End date/deadline: 8/31/09

The Standard: 200 units by the deadline

Yesterday MLB: 2-1, +1.9 units

Current standing: -15.2 units
Units remaining: 215.2


JUNE 14th


$1000 Toronto -115
This one is a tough call because the Marlins have done extremely well with Johnson on the mound. Johnson has not allowed more than 3 ERs in a long while, and the Jays feel they can get to him and get 4 on the board. Marlins bullpen has been solid in this series and in gerneral so the Jays would need to beat on Johnson early and put up enough to win this thing. Brian Tallet has not been all that great of late, but he does come off a shutout performance vs. Texas. Look for that to carry over as he shuts down the fish this afternoon giving his team a golden opportunity to pick up the win. Toronto heads on a 6 game road trip after today so look for them to take care of some business in their final home game before they head out.

$1000 Boston -125
The Red Sox have already made it 5 straight winning series vs. Philly after last nights win and will seal the door on another series sweep today, this time on the road. The Sox have won 5 straight and 10 of their last 12 games. Beckett has had no major issues with Philly, and the Sox are putting up plenty of runs for their starters and I feel no different about today. The Sox have unloaded on teams lately. I dont think this one will get out of hand but the Sox should be able to outscore Philly today. In this situation it is more likely that Boston sweeps rather than Philly stops the sweep. Play the Sox as I look for a 5-3 final today!

$200 Det/Pit Over 9.5
This selection is a part 1 of a possible 2 on totals today. Dontrelle Willis still has not found it. You can tell that his manger lacks confidence as well pulling him before he can get into trouble. The only thing that may save him is pitching against an NL team with the pitcher due up 9th. If you look at his previous outings, most have gone under. All those unders were set at 10 or more runs however, with the last one at 9.5, blowing it away with 13 total runs. Opponents are averaging 4 runs on Ohlendorf in his last 5 outings and his last 3. His last 2 home outings saw the other team scoring 6 total in both gms. This one should get to 12 runs, assuming Willis and Ohlendorf both allow at least 4 each. I dont see that being an issue today.

$200 StL/Cle Under 7.5(ONLY IF Det/Pit total loses)
This play will only be a go on the back end of the Det-Pit total loss. ONLY PLAY THIS SELECTION with a loss on the early game total for today. If the early total wins, this play will not be a graded selection. Carpenter will face off with Cliff Lee, which should be a good cap off of the interleague weekend. If you look at Carpenters stats, he has not allowed much. More recently he is getting hit and runs are being scored but not pouring in. Lee has also followed up last season nicely and with these two starters going at least 13 innings combined tonight I fail to see many scored. The Cards still have not found it offensively and that will ultimately help this one. Look for a 3-2 final in Sundays final game of the day!

[AftermathSports]

According to Scores and Odds line movements, his numbers
for both games were correct at the time of his post...

Thanks. Usually lines won't move 1 whole run. Happened in both games.

[Chado1]

"Consider this an early x-mas present to this forum when it works out"

Current standing -34.1 units

OMFG..

[AftermathSports]

Has not been a good run of late. I turn this around starting tonight. Write-ups are for 3 of the 6 plays for tonight including 2 big ones. 10 unit plays have gone 5-6 last 11 so look for a nice run to brew very soon.

I will update all statistics with tomorrows plays. Sunday there was a -24+ unit loss.

JUNE 16th

$1000 LA Dodgers -145
Oakland comes into this one just 1-7 in their last 8 interleague games. They have lost 5 of 6, and have to face a great starter in Kershaw tonight. Kershaw should go pretty deep in this one and allow just 1-2 runs. That is all in fact I see Oakland getting tonight as the Dodgers should be able to put up 5+ in this one. Dodgers have not given Kershaw much run support over his last few starts for them so look for a nice padding for the home starter tonight.

$1000 NY Yankees -360
It is a steep one but these favorites are 19-2 with this angle over the last 3+ seasons laying -200+ in a game. The runline may be better suited, especially the way things are going but stats are based on SU moneylines. Sabathia shut out Washington just last season and considering the Yanks bats have been hot recently, I just can not see the Nats putting up more in this contest. Remember, as I recently pointed out the Nats are horrendous in opening series games. They currently stand at 4-17 on the season and just 1-9 in game 1 road series. Martis will go for the Nats today, and opponents have averaged roughly 7 runs in his outings, mostly in part of the bullpen woes in Washington. Yanks should get at least 7 in this one unless they decide to play down to this league worst club.

$200 Arizona/KC Over 8.5
Look for at least a possible dozen tonight as I see both of these starters struggling. Davis will face Meche. Doug Davis shut out KC last season so look for a bit of revenge by the Royals tonight. Royals are also starting to get hot after falling out of the division race. They come in after a sweep of the Reds. Zona has allowed 7 runs in the last 4 Davis road starts that he wasnt accounted for. That leaves a weak bullpen for the Royals hungry offense. KC should be able to put up 5 or more here, and looking at Meche, he steadily gives up 3 or more on average at home. Meche has struggled at times to go deep in ballgames which led to opponents having a field day scoring. Opponents have averaged 8 runs per Meche start over his last 5 home outings. Take the over, should get it easily.

$500 Colorado -115

$500 Atlanta -125

$500 San Diego +125

[kbsooner21]

Thousand dollar bet on a -360 favorite...

This guy is all about money management I see. The next Zig Zigglar if you will.

[mavskidd02]

Is that 3600 to win 1000 or 1000 to win 275?

My ten unit plays would hit at 70% too, if I picked -300 faves.

[jcheckers]

Is that 3600 to win 1000 or 1000 to win 275?

My ten unit plays would hit at 70% too, if I picked -300 faves.

Look on it this way Mavs, on a fade $1000 wins $3350!!

[KazDog]

$1000 NY Yankees -360

A little suggestion.....If this loses, I'd stay far away from here, cuz this thread WILL get blown apart....

KAZ

[mavskidd02]

Look on it this way Mavs, on a fade $1000 wins $3350!!

I already put a little on the Nats, I'll take 3:1 odds on a baseball team any time they give it to me. Especially when the Fakees are the ones laying the chalk. It's baseball, anything can happen. Most unpredictable sport there is IMO.

[AftermathSports]

Is that 3600 to win 1000 or 1000 to win 275?

My ten unit plays would hit at 70% too, if I picked -300 faves.

In an earlier post I stated all listed faves are to win amt and dogs are listed risking.

[AftermathSports]

Definitely not what I wanted last night but the way things have gone I will take it and am pleased that the 10 unit plays both came through. I may have one play later and will get back in here by 5 pm eastern to finalize the current standing. Wanted to get this play up as fast as possible due to the early start!

JUNE 17th

$1000 San Fran -170
San Fran needs a a good outing from Lincecum today to get the win. The previous 2 games with LA the Giants could not get 4 innings out of their starters, while LA got 7 strong innings from their starters. Today the results will be reversed as Palmer should get KOd early. Lincecum will go deep in this one. The Giants come into this game 7-1 after a loss and they have gone 9-3 at home in their last 12. Palmer is 6-0 for LA on the year but has a 5.62 ERA on the road and will not get enough run support to help his cause today. Lincecum has looked sharp recently, allowing just 5 ERs in his last 5, with 2 home shutouts in a row. He hasnt allowed a run at home in his last 2. SF has the advantage pitching wise and thats all they will need today!

[AftermathSports]

Here are the other 2 I have going tonight, June 17th...



$300 Mil/Cle Under 10.5

David Huff has impressed after starting his career in Cleveland on a sour note. His first two starts this year ended up showing him allowing 13 ERs in just less than 7 innings. Since then he has settled in and although he hasnt gone deep in any games but for 1, he has limited ERs allowed over his last 4 games. He has seemingly gotten better whith each outing and in his last he allowed 3 Ers in over 7 innings of work. Surprisingly, at a 10.5 total margin of runs, Huff has gone under that total 3 of his last 4 with finals of 3,7,12, and 10 runs. Suppan has been sharp also lately and has allowed 5 ERs in his last 4 road outings, 2 of them shutouts. After two massive run scoring nights look for a cease in the offense with a more defensive outlook in this one.



$300 Tampa Bay +105

The Rockies finally lost a game. The first time they allowed double digit runs since May 25 and the first game where they allowed more than 4 since their win streak. After getting into a comfort zone with winning Colorado may flip this around and start losing several. With that being said the starting pitching favors TB with Price who has really allowed 1 ER per start. The problem has been the bullpen, but TB handled Colorado nicely and should continue pitching better. Tampa is on a 6 game win streak and this will continue tonight. Cook allowed 6 ERs in his last outing vs. TB. This season after allowing 1 ER in 2 consecutive starts he allowed 4 ERs. Look for TB to rough him and keep to their winning ways.