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Sunday January 11
3*** Under 38.5 Total Points, San Diego at PITTSBURGH (AFC Divisional Playoff, 4:15 et) (Weather)
We are on a nice Gold Key Winning streak including our Gold Key Football and Basketball Winners on the Under on yesterday's Cardinals/Panthers game and on the Timberwolves. We have Gold Key Specials starting as low as $44 on site, including Gold Key Football and Basketball! If you can find a better value, please take it! You are welcome to stop by our site daily for free injury reports, live lines, scores, gambling articles, contests, etc. You can login daily to get your Top Rated Gold Key Plays in Football, Basketball and Baseball without anyone disturbing or calling you. Here is today's Free Column release on NFL Football.
The Chargers won the AFC West Division under their second-year Head Coach Norv Turner, and advanced to this Divisional round by defeating the Colts at Home, 23-17 in OverTime as 2.5 point Dogs in a Gold Key Winner. They have been playing well on Defense, and are on an 8-4-1 Under run. The Chargers will need to be strong on Defense again here, as they will probably be without RB Tomlinson. Trends favoring the Under in Chargers events include 11-3 Under in January, 66-44 Under versus winning teams, and 20-14 Under versus the AFC North Division. This game can be lower scoring than expected similar to the 11-10 outcome earlier this season between these rivals.
The Steelers won the AFC North Division under their second-year Head Coach Mike Tomlin, and earned the Bye week with a 12-4 SU and 9-7 ATS record. They are on a 3-1 Under run, and their Defense is Top ranked. Quarterback Roethlisberger should be ready for this event, but expect both teams to use the running attack. Trends favoring the Under in Steelers games include 4-2 Under versus winning teams, and 7-4 Under in this Series.
The Totals line opened at 38.5. We'll go with the Under here today in a Good Free Play. For those who don't know it, our Members rarely wager on the FREE release, and instead invest their money wisely on the Gold Key Plays. Make sure to stop by the FreeSportsLetter.com site for more FREE Winners as well as Football, Basketball and Baseball wagering information. Visit us and check out the stronger Top Rated Gold Key Plays on site as well.
--Rich Green
[email protected]
FreeSportsLetter.com - Free Sports Wager Newsletter for Sportsbook Bettors
2008-9 NCAA and NFL Football Wagering Tips
Emotion—The most important betting edge to know about in football wagering isn't statistics or numbers. The most important edge is emotion. Find the team that desires to win more than their opponent and they'll cover a high percentage of those events. This is true in all sports. But it is even more significant in a physical game like NCAA and NFL Football. Certain Coaches are much better than others in getting their teams ready for games by providing the impetus for emotion. Such Coaches as Bobby Bowden, Pete Carroll, Phillip Fulmer, Tom O'Brien, Urban Meyer, and Bill Belichick among others have all shown their worth in this area over the years.
Sandwich Games—Be careful of ‘sandwich' games.*That is the game for a team that's in between two other more important games. The NFL split into different Divisions recently, with fewer teams in each Division. Since then we have both the AFC and NFC broken down into four Divisions consisting of four teams each. They are called the East, North, South and West. So now Division games are of even greater significance than in the past with fewer teams in each Division. When it comes to determining the Playoff picture, these games are the most important to each competing team.
If Tennessee for example, early in the season, plays Indianapolis this week and Jacksonville in two weeks, you know they're going to be focused on those two inter-Divisional games. But if the in-between game is against say Arizona, a lesser out of Conference team, be careful! Tennessee will have most likely played a tough game the week before, and have an important tough game the following week. Starters may be pulled early against Arizona, and those hurting from the previous game might not even play in this one.
Too many bettors jump on a team that has been covering on the ‘sandwich' game, laying way too much ‘wood'. The team usually wins, but fails to cover. Then the bettor jumps off of Tennessee the following week against Jacksonville because the bettor got burnt the week before in the sandwich game!
Line Movement—Sometimes line movement means nothing, and sometimes it means everything. When I wager (my favorite recreation), I want the line to be bet dead or move ½ to one point with me. Not a lot of movement, but slightly in agreement with me. When a line moves more than one point, especially in the NFL, it can be a dangerous play. This can denote injuries or other late information such as weather, etc. But be careful, NFL teams are notorious for giving out misleading disinformation more so than any other sport. Quite often with big line movement in the NFL, the final score falls in between the original line and the final line.
This opens the door for ‘middlers', those who bet early one way and late the other way on the same game. I know several gamblers who make their living on this, and i have been successful myself at it. They give up the 10% ‘juice' in hopes of winning both ways. The most they can lose is 5% of their total bet. They clean up if one play pushes or wins and the other play wins.
NCAA football can be different though. With so many lined college games nowadays, big line movement can be bet on. For two years in a row in the early 1990's, the Ivy League football team that got the most line movement during the week won every single game those years. Every week! For games like these with fewer wagers on them, the line can easily move 3 to 5 points. Sometimes it can move even more. Beware of betting against this line movement, it generally is right. In the Colleges, stay away from wagering against consistent and massive line movement in one direction.
Here's wishing all Football bettors a great 2008 Football Wagering Season! Make sure to stop by the FreeSportsLetter.com - Free Sports Wager Newsletter for Sportsbook Bettors site for tons of FREE Wagering Information, Contests, Lines, Scores, and more importantly, FREE Winners!
--Rich Green
[email protected]
FreeSportsLetter.com - Free Sports Wager Newsletter for Sportsbook Bettors
3*** Under 38.5 Total Points, San Diego at PITTSBURGH (AFC Divisional Playoff, 4:15 et) (Weather)
We are on a nice Gold Key Winning streak including our Gold Key Football and Basketball Winners on the Under on yesterday's Cardinals/Panthers game and on the Timberwolves. We have Gold Key Specials starting as low as $44 on site, including Gold Key Football and Basketball! If you can find a better value, please take it! You are welcome to stop by our site daily for free injury reports, live lines, scores, gambling articles, contests, etc. You can login daily to get your Top Rated Gold Key Plays in Football, Basketball and Baseball without anyone disturbing or calling you. Here is today's Free Column release on NFL Football.
The Chargers won the AFC West Division under their second-year Head Coach Norv Turner, and advanced to this Divisional round by defeating the Colts at Home, 23-17 in OverTime as 2.5 point Dogs in a Gold Key Winner. They have been playing well on Defense, and are on an 8-4-1 Under run. The Chargers will need to be strong on Defense again here, as they will probably be without RB Tomlinson. Trends favoring the Under in Chargers events include 11-3 Under in January, 66-44 Under versus winning teams, and 20-14 Under versus the AFC North Division. This game can be lower scoring than expected similar to the 11-10 outcome earlier this season between these rivals.
The Steelers won the AFC North Division under their second-year Head Coach Mike Tomlin, and earned the Bye week with a 12-4 SU and 9-7 ATS record. They are on a 3-1 Under run, and their Defense is Top ranked. Quarterback Roethlisberger should be ready for this event, but expect both teams to use the running attack. Trends favoring the Under in Steelers games include 4-2 Under versus winning teams, and 7-4 Under in this Series.
The Totals line opened at 38.5. We'll go with the Under here today in a Good Free Play. For those who don't know it, our Members rarely wager on the FREE release, and instead invest their money wisely on the Gold Key Plays. Make sure to stop by the FreeSportsLetter.com site for more FREE Winners as well as Football, Basketball and Baseball wagering information. Visit us and check out the stronger Top Rated Gold Key Plays on site as well.
--Rich Green
[email protected]
FreeSportsLetter.com - Free Sports Wager Newsletter for Sportsbook Bettors
2008-9 NCAA and NFL Football Wagering Tips
Emotion—The most important betting edge to know about in football wagering isn't statistics or numbers. The most important edge is emotion. Find the team that desires to win more than their opponent and they'll cover a high percentage of those events. This is true in all sports. But it is even more significant in a physical game like NCAA and NFL Football. Certain Coaches are much better than others in getting their teams ready for games by providing the impetus for emotion. Such Coaches as Bobby Bowden, Pete Carroll, Phillip Fulmer, Tom O'Brien, Urban Meyer, and Bill Belichick among others have all shown their worth in this area over the years.
Sandwich Games—Be careful of ‘sandwich' games.*That is the game for a team that's in between two other more important games. The NFL split into different Divisions recently, with fewer teams in each Division. Since then we have both the AFC and NFC broken down into four Divisions consisting of four teams each. They are called the East, North, South and West. So now Division games are of even greater significance than in the past with fewer teams in each Division. When it comes to determining the Playoff picture, these games are the most important to each competing team.
If Tennessee for example, early in the season, plays Indianapolis this week and Jacksonville in two weeks, you know they're going to be focused on those two inter-Divisional games. But if the in-between game is against say Arizona, a lesser out of Conference team, be careful! Tennessee will have most likely played a tough game the week before, and have an important tough game the following week. Starters may be pulled early against Arizona, and those hurting from the previous game might not even play in this one.
Too many bettors jump on a team that has been covering on the ‘sandwich' game, laying way too much ‘wood'. The team usually wins, but fails to cover. Then the bettor jumps off of Tennessee the following week against Jacksonville because the bettor got burnt the week before in the sandwich game!
Line Movement—Sometimes line movement means nothing, and sometimes it means everything. When I wager (my favorite recreation), I want the line to be bet dead or move ½ to one point with me. Not a lot of movement, but slightly in agreement with me. When a line moves more than one point, especially in the NFL, it can be a dangerous play. This can denote injuries or other late information such as weather, etc. But be careful, NFL teams are notorious for giving out misleading disinformation more so than any other sport. Quite often with big line movement in the NFL, the final score falls in between the original line and the final line.
This opens the door for ‘middlers', those who bet early one way and late the other way on the same game. I know several gamblers who make their living on this, and i have been successful myself at it. They give up the 10% ‘juice' in hopes of winning both ways. The most they can lose is 5% of their total bet. They clean up if one play pushes or wins and the other play wins.
NCAA football can be different though. With so many lined college games nowadays, big line movement can be bet on. For two years in a row in the early 1990's, the Ivy League football team that got the most line movement during the week won every single game those years. Every week! For games like these with fewer wagers on them, the line can easily move 3 to 5 points. Sometimes it can move even more. Beware of betting against this line movement, it generally is right. In the Colleges, stay away from wagering against consistent and massive line movement in one direction.
Here's wishing all Football bettors a great 2008 Football Wagering Season! Make sure to stop by the FreeSportsLetter.com - Free Sports Wager Newsletter for Sportsbook Bettors site for tons of FREE Wagering Information, Contests, Lines, Scores, and more importantly, FREE Winners!
--Rich Green
[email protected]
FreeSportsLetter.com - Free Sports Wager Newsletter for Sportsbook Bettors