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Nice NBA #'s and systems Wednesday

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  • Nice NBA #'s and systems Wednesday

    New Orleans -5 1/2
    Detroit +1 1/2

    In their last road game Houston had 32 points at halftime and trailed at Atlanta. Who can blame the Rockets if they aren’t down and out after undergoing unbelievable media scrutiny and seeing their 22-game winning streak halted last night? When you consider Boston was coming off a come-from-behind win in San Antonio the previous night, it was really a poor effort by the Rockets in the 2nd half (getting outscored 55-34 at home). I would love to get a confirmation that the questionable David West is playing tonight, but that’s not likely this early in the day. With or without West, the Hornets are 7-0 SU and ATS at home since February 27th. New Orleans is in double revenge from two losses to Houston during their magnificent 22-game streak. Check out this system: Home favorites in double revenge and involving two teams that have won 60-75 percent of their games played are 51-20 ATS the past five years. Adding insult to injury for the Rockets is the fact that going against road underdogs involving two teams that have won 60-75 percent of their games has produced a 34-8 ATS record the past five years in March. Despite the obvious letdown for Houston (factored in line) and the West injury, this is just too good to pass up. I took New Orleans -5 1/2.

    A walk in the park last night for Detroit as they led Denver by 22 at intermission. I’m sure Cleveland will be juiced up for tonight’s game after having lost three out of four recently. But this is also where the recent lineup changes for the Cavaliers could cause problems. Still adjusting to each other and facing a veteran team like the Pistons is just not the recipe to end recent woes. Plus, let’s face it, there’ just no excuse for the Cavaliers to lose to the likes of New Jersey without Kidd, Washington without Arenas, and Orlando by 14 points and then be favored over the Pistons. I seem to remember Daniel Gibson having played an important part in last year’s playoff series win over the Pistons. He’s on the shelf tonight. I’ve got the Cavaliers 10-9 SU since February 10th. This is hardly a team on the caliber of Boston and Detroit in the east. I’m also not convinced the recent trades made this team better (probably worse without Gibson). The last meeting produced a 35-point Detroit victory. Revenge certainly is an angle, but the Cavaliers just don’t have the goods. It would have been one thing if the Pistons were tested last night, but that didn’t happen either.
    FYI: Detroit is 8-0 ATS on the road this year after two straight wins by 10 points or more! The Cavaliers are 5-17 ATS at home the past three seasons after a loss by 10 points or more. I took the Pistons +1 1/2 at BetUS.com.

    Best of luck guys.

    Mark "The Animal"
    TheRealAnimal.com
    [email protected]
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