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The Unemotional Football Bettor - Handicapping Book

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  • The Unemotional Football Bettor - Handicapping Book

    www.SixthSenseSports.com

    Free stats (College and Pro) and analysis every week on every NFL game.

    The following is a list of the chapters in my book: The Unemotional Football Bettor: 27 Time Tested Strategies Averaging 62.3% Winners Over The Last 20 Seasons. Follow this book to a tee, and your chances of having a losing season, are just about nil.

    The Unemotional Football Bettor contains many of the same strategies that enabled me to go 65-49 57% last year in the NFL, as monitored by the Sports Monitor (www.TheSportsMonitor.com). The strategies are off to a 16-8 67% start this year.


    As John Tarbet said in his book Sportsbetting On The Edge: A gambler’s Handbook For Success:

    IF YOU DON’T HAVE THE EDGE
    YOU WILL NEVER WIN OVER THE LONG RUN
    IF YOU DO HAVE THE EDGE
    YOU WILL NEVER LOSE OVER THE LONG RUN

    It’s that simple. And The Unemotional Football Bettor will give you that edge. It will take the emotions out of betting. You will be betting with confidence. You will know exactly what to expect out of every season. You will become a pro and shave ten years off the learning curve. Remember, find just one strategy out of the 27 strategies and you have paid for this book multiple times over.

    Each measurable strategy (19 of the 27 strategies) has averaged a return of over $225 per season for a $100 bettor, over the past 20 seasons. That's 182 pages jam-packed with winning information!

    I break down each strategy with won/loss records of each season and include all results from last season so you can see the strategy at work. In addition, I include a handy chart, which shows how many units each strategy has won, on average, each season and what the average cover is for each strategy.

    Here is what you will get in The Unemotional Football Bettor: 27 Time Tested Strategies Averaging 62.3% Winners Over The Last 20 Seasons:

    PRE-GAME STRATEGIES

    1. The Early Years - My Many Mistakes
    A brief history of how I got to where I am today.

    2. Situational Handicapping
    Why situational handicapping is better than subjective handicapping.

    3. The Z-Factor
    A very simple calculation that quantifies and qualifies all systems. By using this simple calculation my strategies have averaged between 75% - 90% systems having .500 or better seasons.

    4. Money Management
    Simply the most important chapter in the book. I answer the all important questions.
    · Should you bet a percentage of your bankroll or flat bet?
    · What percentage should you bet on each play?
    · Should you use units (1-5) or play the same amount on each game
    I give you detailed examples so you can see the answers for yourself. No longer will you cost yourself profits by managing your money the wrong way!

    5. The Juiceman
    What kind of juice are you paying? Do you realize how much more money you could be making by simply playing at low-vig sportsbooks?

    6. How Good Can You Be
    What kind of winning percentage should you expect? I have performed a detailed four year study from some of the best handicappers in the world. I share the results here. Should you follow the leaders from the previous year? The alarming results might change your mind!

    COLLEGE FOOTBALL STRATEGIES

    7. Opponents Stats
    I show you how to look at stats to determine how good or bad teams are. You will never look at stats the same way again. One minute of glancing over these pages and you will clearly see the strengths and weaknesses of each team.

    8. Fundamental Style
    I share a simple fundamental rushing system that is 108-62-2 63.5% since 1988. This situation hasn’t had a sub .500 season since 1992.

    9. Revenge
    I display a flow chart showing all revenge results since 1989. And I share a simple revenge system that is 96-40-3 70.6% and has NEVER had a losing season!

    10. Contrarian Style
    A simple contrarian system that is 124-81-5 60.5% since 1988. Without this system, you are just about guaranteed to be playing the “square” side of these games.

    11. Bounce Back
    An easy to use bounce back situation that is 66-31-0 68.0% since 1988. This little gem hasn’t had a losing season since 1989.

    12. Letdown
    A 44-18-1 71.0% gem that will tell you when a team is about to fall. This situation was all over Oklahoma State last year against Oklahoma in an easy 38-28 win as +15 point dogs.

    13. Momentum
    This early season situation puts you on “hot” teams. It carries a 39-16-1 70.9% record with just two losing seasons over the past 15 seasons.

    14. Negative Momentum
    This situation gives you teams who can’t stop reeling. There is no bounce back in their profiles as evidenced by the 35-12-1 74.5% record.

    15. Rivalries
    You’ll never look at these rivalry games the same again. I take a look at the top 31 rivalries in the country and have analyzed them and developed a strategy that is 204-141-3 59.1% with just three losing seasons over the past 15 seasons.

    16. Bowl Season
    Three simple bowl strategies that have combined to go 107-41-4 72.3% since 1983 with ZERO sub .500 seasons since 1983. How much is that worth to your bankroll?

    NFL STRATEGIES

    17. Opponents Stats
    I give you another way to look at stats different from the college scene. Again, you’ll never look at teams the same way.

    18. Pre-Season
    I throw in one of my pre-season situations that is 60-25-3 70.6% since 1984 and has had only one sub .500 season since 1989. Finished 2003 with a 3-1 record.

    19. Week One
    A little week one strategy to help ensure you get off on the right foot. This little gem is 70-37-3 65.4% with only two losing seasons since 1983. Finished 2003 with a 5-3 record.

    20. Fundamental Style
    This little NFL fundamental situation is priceless. It has simply gone 333-227-22 59.5% with only two sub .500 seasons since 1983. That’s over 560 samples winning just about 60% and only two losing seasons! And, this situation will take you no longer than 15 minutes to figure out the plays each week.

    21. Turnover Style
    If you thought the fundamental situation had a lot of samples, wait until you get a hold of this situation. It has simply gone 747-579-30 56.3% on over 1,300 samples! Wow! And only three sub .500 seasons since 1983! Two of those seasons were only one game and two games under .500. Again, this will take you all of 15 minutes to figure out each week. How much is that worth to you?

    22. Bounce Back
    A simple little bounce back situation that is 69-38-1 64.5% with only three sub .500 seasons since 1983.

    23. Letdown
    Another situation that tells you when to go against a team. And this situation has produced a record of 71-33-5 68.3% with just one sub .500 season since 1983!

    24. Negative Momentum
    Another situation where a team just keeps on reeling. Don’t be fooled to think these teams are due to bounce back. This little gem is 138-85-9 61.9% with just three sub .500 seasons over the past 20 seasons.

    25. Totals
    A little something for you totals lovers. This situation is 48-20-0 70.9% with only two sub .500 seasons since 1983.

    NFL Playoffs - Conference Finals
    A conference finals situation that is 46-18-2 71.9% and has won in 79% of the past 33 years. Oh, by the way, I throw in my charts of EVERY championship game played since 1970, with TEAM STATS!
    AFC Championship Games Chart
    NFC Championship Games Chart

    The Super Bowl
    I share a couple of Super Bowl systems here including one that is 22-1-3 95.7% since 1970. And, yes a couple of different charts with EVERY Super Bowl game played!
    Super Bowl Chart - Defensive Method
    Super Bowl Chart - A,B,C Method

    POST-GAME STRATEGIES

    Putting It All Together
    I wrap it all up here. I replay each strategy over the past 20 seasons to let you know exactly how you would have done each season. The final tally shows a cumulative record of 2024-1226 62.3%! You decide how much you could win with these types of numbers.

    APPENDIX

    29. College Bowls
    Just for good measures, I throw in EVERY bowl game played since 1983. You’ll never have to look anywhere else again.

    You decide how much you think this is worth. Each strategy is worth, on average, over $225 per season for a $100 bettor. Figure out how much you will win this year playing these strategies. Better yet, figure out how much you’ll lose this year playing AGAINST these strategies!

  • #2
    Unemotional--That leaves me out. If the team I have doesn't run the opening kickoff back at least 40 yards, I smash my TV. Then I go out and buy another one to keep by my chair just in case they don't score first either.

    You also left out a few strategies:

    How to account for unforeseen turnovers

    Take the home team if:

    The guy parked in row 525 is hammered by 9 o'clock, while tailgating

    The girl in seat 14, row 3 has on a pink tank top with size 36DD protrusions

    Take the visiting team if:

    they have bacon for breakfast

    they put their uniforms on one leg at a time

    :D

    Comment


    • #3
      The strategies in the book had another winning week this week. They went 4-3-1, bringing the season record to 20-11-2 64.5%.

      The NFL rushing situation went 2-1 and is now 9-1-1 this year and 342-228-23 since 1983. That situation has now had 570 plays and is hitting at exactly 60.0%. And it's only had two losing seasons since 1983 and both of those seasons were just one game under .500. This situation alone is worth 10 times the cost of the book.

      The college rivalry situation won again this week with Tennessee and is now 3-0 on the year and 207-141-3 59.5% since 1988.

      The opponents stats method will start to kick in these next couple of weeks. This method will clearly show you the better teams, especially as underdogs.

      For the most useful stats on the web, check out my site weekly at www.SixthSenseSports.com.

      I am not a service nor do I sell any picks. All of my picks are posted on my website for FREE and monitored by the Sports Monitor of Oklahoma City. Also went 3-0 in the NFL yesterday to bring my NFL record to 7-3-1 +7.70% for the year.

      Comment


      • #4
        Denmaster-Loved you response.

        Comment


        • #5
          Savage, this is just my opinion, but I can't justify using these systems.

          1) Teams change players all the time
          2) Who knows when the fumbles & INT's are going to come
          3) Different coaches come in with different O & D schemes
          4) Same with someone fading the public; IMO the public doesn't take the snaps, kick the FG's or pass the ball; YOU NEVER KNOW

          With all this guys situations, I feel like I'm taking the calls at the Police Station as the dispatcher:

          Car#1- we have a situation at 1st & 15th
          Car#32- we have what I think is a situation at the town drug store
          Car#45- we have a situation at Dunkin Donuts- they ran out of jelly donuts
          :D

          Its just my opinion; I have only been right once

          Comment


          • #6
            denmaster - These are not team trends. They are league wide situations. Fundamental rushing situations where one team is clearly better than the other team at the line of scrimmage (where the game is won and lost) has nothing to do with teams changing players or coaches. This is a fundamental philosophy where one team is able to dominate at the line of scrimmage.

            The plays this week were Minnesota, Seattle and Miami.

            Minnesota out rushed Detroit 127-77 and 5.8-3.0 yards per rush.

            Seattle out rushed St. Louis 96-82 and 4.4-2.9 yards per rush.

            Miami out rushed Buffalo 166-41 and 3.8-2.9 yards per rush.

            Twenty years ago and twenty years from now, teams that can dominate the line of scrimmage will still win and cover football games. It's just that simple.

            Rather than criticize someone you don't even know, maybe you should think about trying to get to know who I am and what I am about and possibly try to learn a little more about what I have.

            If you don't understand what 60% winners on 570 plays is all about, then you don't understand what statistically significant situations are all about.

            And if you don't believe these type of situations win, then I guess five straight winning years in the NFL and 57% winners last year on over 100 plays have just been lucky guesses.

            BTW, don't give up your daytime job. I appreciate humor with the best of them but my 13 and 8 year old nephews could have come up with better lines than that.

            Get to know me before you criticize me.

            Comment


            • #7
              Listen Mr.Keller. Thanks for the offer, but I'm already married. TO A WOMAN.:D

              Twenty years ago and twenty years from now, teams that can dominate the line of scrimmage will still win and cover football games. It's just that simple.
              NO SHIT

              If you don't understand what 60% winners on 570 plays is all about, then you don't understand what statistically significant situations are all about.
              THATS 10 MORE % THAN 50

              BTW, don't give up your daytime job. I appreciate humor with the best of them but my 13 and 8 year old nephews could have come up with better lines than that.
              DO THEY RUN AROUND & SCREAM: MY UNCLE SCOTT IS A FAGGOT

              BTW, They just sent me this, telling how you get geared up for your situations:

              http://www.funny-pet-pictures.com/pets/47.html

              Put a coat on today, I heard its chilly in Hopkins, Minnesota

              Comment

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