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Friday: Toledo at UNLV (+1) - Analysis
Play for Friday night:
Toledo at UNLV (+1) - 6:00pm Pacific - Friday, August 29
UNLV could not have been in any worse emotional shape when the visited Toledo last season. They were coming off a humiliating 47-17 loss at Oregon State and it was quite evident that highly touted QB Jason Thomas (12-for-26, 2 interceptions, 2 fumbles in game one vs Wisconsin, 7-for-15, 1 interception in game three vs Oreegon State) would again be a big disappointment in his senior season. Thomas had amazing raw talent but could not read defenses well and had a very erratic arm. Despite his struggles, head coach Robinson felt obligated to keep playing his senior QB. Thomas continued his ineffective and sloppy play in game four vs Toledo as the Rockets started four of their first five drives inside UNLV territory en route to a 24-0 half-time lead. Toledo added a two yard TD drive and an interception return for a touchdown in the second half leading to a seemingly decisive 38-21 final score even though UNLV ended with a 472-to-257 total yard edge.
Thanfully for the Rebels, the Jason Thomas era is over. Taking over will be junior QB Kurt Nantkes who led UNLV to an upset road win over 13th ranked Colorado State (16-for-26, 2 touchdowns) in the finale last season making him the clear cut starter this year and giving UNLV some much needed positive momentum heading into the off-season. Nantkes, a father of a four year old son, played profressional baseball for two years and is older and more mature than most college players. He is well focused, can read defenses well, and has a strong arm. Reports indicate he has been sharp in preaseon scrimmages despite missing some practice time due to a minor foot injury. Nantkes also led a 95 yard scoring drive in mop up duty vs Toledo in meeting last season. UNLV now finally has a QB who can stretch defenses, open up the running game, and get the ball in the hands of their talented skill position players. Highly recruited leading WR Earvin Johnson has flourished with Nantkes at QB. Johnson dominated in the win at CSU with 12 catches for 132 yards and also topped 100 receiving yards vs Toledo when Nantkes saw significant action as a backup. With subsequent practice time together this could develop into a potent pass and catch combo. The Rebels have a fine stable of running backs ready to break loose once a pass offense can be established featuring starter Larry Croom (7.2ypc last year, former Arizona transfer, 222 yards vs CSU in finale), Dominique Dorsey (speedy scat back, slowed by injury last year but still averaged 7.3ypc), Deon Burnett (former freshman standout at Washington State), and highly touted JC transfer Alvin Marshall (called the Marshall Faulk of JC, 2,054 all-purpose yards a year ago.) UNLV actually led the MWC and was 22nd nationally in total offense at 409 yards per game last season despite poor QB play, but were only 78th in scoring offense. With better play from the QB, an abundance of talent at the skill positions, and three returning starters on a said to be bigger & stronger offensive lne, this unit should put up plenty of points.
The Rebel defense will be switching to a 3-4 alignment this year to take advantage of their great depth at linebacker and improved overall team speed. This unit features some fine playmakers in MWC defensive player of the year strong safety Jamaal Brimmer, leading tackler LB Adam Seward, JC All-American transfer LB John Andrews, and stud LB Ryan Claridge (brother of NFL's Travis) returns after missing all of last year with injury. Insiders have raved about the talent at LB and report that the new starting cornerbacks will be a major upgrade from last years starting dup that only produced a combined seven pass break ups and just three interceptions.
Toledo returns just four starters on offense, their fewest number in over ten years. They must replace super QB Brian Jones who threw for 3,446 yards and completed an NCAA best 70.2% of his passes last year. Their top three WR's have departed including schools all time leader Donta Greene and NFL pick Carl Ford. They also lost two starters on the offensive line including 1st team all-MAC center Chris Tuminello. It was not until five days before kickoff that Rockets head coach named sophomore Bruce Gradkowski as the starting QB. Reports indicate that both QB's will see significant action. This has to be a negative for Toledo as neither QB has been able to set himself apart and there will be confidence issues with each QB looking over his shoulder for the other to replace him. The Rocket defense is somewhat experienced with eight returning starters, but must somehow replace two standout 1st team all-MAC linebackers in Tom Ward (180 tackles) & David Gardner (154 tackles) who were by far their top two leading tacklers a season ago. The Rockets have some tough shoes to fill on both sides of the ball.
Toldeo went 0-2 SU & ATS in its two non-conference road games last season. UNLV first year receivers coach Garrick McGee served the same position at Toledo last season and surely will provide some helping insight on this opponent. Head coach Robinson also hired good friend and former ASU head coach Bruce Snyder as an assistant. There is definitely a sense of urgency this year in Vegas. Robinson called this preseason camp the best of his tenure while players called it their most grueling despite new NCAA rules that limit two a day practices. Look for the Rebels to avenge last years debacle at Toledo and open their season on a positive note with a win here.
UNLV 1 UNIT
*UNLV SUSPENSIONS: Three UNLV football players will be suspended for tonights game vs Toledo. The lone significant loss is WR Earvin Johnson, the teams best receiver and preseason 1st team MWC selection. The other two players are said to be non-factors. I still like UNLV to win tonight but this is clearly a negative.
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Good luck,
Edward
Right Angle Sports
NCAA Handicapping Information, Insight, Picks, and Analysis since 1996.
Toledo at UNLV (+1) - 6:00pm Pacific - Friday, August 29
UNLV could not have been in any worse emotional shape when the visited Toledo last season. They were coming off a humiliating 47-17 loss at Oregon State and it was quite evident that highly touted QB Jason Thomas (12-for-26, 2 interceptions, 2 fumbles in game one vs Wisconsin, 7-for-15, 1 interception in game three vs Oreegon State) would again be a big disappointment in his senior season. Thomas had amazing raw talent but could not read defenses well and had a very erratic arm. Despite his struggles, head coach Robinson felt obligated to keep playing his senior QB. Thomas continued his ineffective and sloppy play in game four vs Toledo as the Rockets started four of their first five drives inside UNLV territory en route to a 24-0 half-time lead. Toledo added a two yard TD drive and an interception return for a touchdown in the second half leading to a seemingly decisive 38-21 final score even though UNLV ended with a 472-to-257 total yard edge.
Thanfully for the Rebels, the Jason Thomas era is over. Taking over will be junior QB Kurt Nantkes who led UNLV to an upset road win over 13th ranked Colorado State (16-for-26, 2 touchdowns) in the finale last season making him the clear cut starter this year and giving UNLV some much needed positive momentum heading into the off-season. Nantkes, a father of a four year old son, played profressional baseball for two years and is older and more mature than most college players. He is well focused, can read defenses well, and has a strong arm. Reports indicate he has been sharp in preaseon scrimmages despite missing some practice time due to a minor foot injury. Nantkes also led a 95 yard scoring drive in mop up duty vs Toledo in meeting last season. UNLV now finally has a QB who can stretch defenses, open up the running game, and get the ball in the hands of their talented skill position players. Highly recruited leading WR Earvin Johnson has flourished with Nantkes at QB. Johnson dominated in the win at CSU with 12 catches for 132 yards and also topped 100 receiving yards vs Toledo when Nantkes saw significant action as a backup. With subsequent practice time together this could develop into a potent pass and catch combo. The Rebels have a fine stable of running backs ready to break loose once a pass offense can be established featuring starter Larry Croom (7.2ypc last year, former Arizona transfer, 222 yards vs CSU in finale), Dominique Dorsey (speedy scat back, slowed by injury last year but still averaged 7.3ypc), Deon Burnett (former freshman standout at Washington State), and highly touted JC transfer Alvin Marshall (called the Marshall Faulk of JC, 2,054 all-purpose yards a year ago.) UNLV actually led the MWC and was 22nd nationally in total offense at 409 yards per game last season despite poor QB play, but were only 78th in scoring offense. With better play from the QB, an abundance of talent at the skill positions, and three returning starters on a said to be bigger & stronger offensive lne, this unit should put up plenty of points.
The Rebel defense will be switching to a 3-4 alignment this year to take advantage of their great depth at linebacker and improved overall team speed. This unit features some fine playmakers in MWC defensive player of the year strong safety Jamaal Brimmer, leading tackler LB Adam Seward, JC All-American transfer LB John Andrews, and stud LB Ryan Claridge (brother of NFL's Travis) returns after missing all of last year with injury. Insiders have raved about the talent at LB and report that the new starting cornerbacks will be a major upgrade from last years starting dup that only produced a combined seven pass break ups and just three interceptions.
Toledo returns just four starters on offense, their fewest number in over ten years. They must replace super QB Brian Jones who threw for 3,446 yards and completed an NCAA best 70.2% of his passes last year. Their top three WR's have departed including schools all time leader Donta Greene and NFL pick Carl Ford. They also lost two starters on the offensive line including 1st team all-MAC center Chris Tuminello. It was not until five days before kickoff that Rockets head coach named sophomore Bruce Gradkowski as the starting QB. Reports indicate that both QB's will see significant action. This has to be a negative for Toledo as neither QB has been able to set himself apart and there will be confidence issues with each QB looking over his shoulder for the other to replace him. The Rocket defense is somewhat experienced with eight returning starters, but must somehow replace two standout 1st team all-MAC linebackers in Tom Ward (180 tackles) & David Gardner (154 tackles) who were by far their top two leading tacklers a season ago. The Rockets have some tough shoes to fill on both sides of the ball.
Toldeo went 0-2 SU & ATS in its two non-conference road games last season. UNLV first year receivers coach Garrick McGee served the same position at Toledo last season and surely will provide some helping insight on this opponent. Head coach Robinson also hired good friend and former ASU head coach Bruce Snyder as an assistant. There is definitely a sense of urgency this year in Vegas. Robinson called this preseason camp the best of his tenure while players called it their most grueling despite new NCAA rules that limit two a day practices. Look for the Rebels to avenge last years debacle at Toledo and open their season on a positive note with a win here.
UNLV 1 UNIT
*UNLV SUSPENSIONS: Three UNLV football players will be suspended for tonights game vs Toledo. The lone significant loss is WR Earvin Johnson, the teams best receiver and preseason 1st team MWC selection. The other two players are said to be non-factors. I still like UNLV to win tonight but this is clearly a negative.
Don't miss a single play and be the first to receive them. Join our mailing list for our annual one month free trial!
http://www.handicapper.net
Good luck,
Edward
Right Angle Sports
NCAA Handicapping Information, Insight, Picks, and Analysis since 1996.
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