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Thursday’s Feature Plays
Matt Fargo – Thursday’s 2-Unit **MLB Afternoon Winner**
Larry Ness – 15* Getaway Day Game of the Week
Steve Merril – MLB Daytime Winner!
Tom Stryker – National League Game of the Week
Scott Rickenbach – Top Play (TNT) - 61% L3 years
Big AI – Big AI's NBA Winner on TV -- 11-3 Last 14
Free Play For Thursday From Matt Fargo
San Diego Padres at San Francisco Giants 10:15 PM ET
San Diego Padres (Hensley) -110
San Diego has come in the first two games of this series and there is no reason to stop now. Many are expecting the Giants to have a dismal season, myself included, and it has started that way already. They are only two games into it but they are showing signs of age as the offense, despite a dinger from Barry Bonds last night, has gotten off to a very slow start. San Francisco is hitting only .209 as a team while its slugging percentage is just .274 and will be facing another pitcher that is flying under the radar.
Clay Hensley will be facing the team that drafted him in 2002 for the fourth time and if the first three outings were any indication, all will be well once again. He is 1-1 with a 1.40 ERA over 19.1 innings against San Francisco and he has an improved changeup that he fine-tuned during spring training with some help from teammate Greg Maddux. He closed last year very strong, posting a 2.66 ERA in 13 starts after the All-Star break and allowed two runs or less in 11 of his final 13 starts.
Hensley goes against Matt Morris who has been on a steady decline over the last few years after a dominating season in St. Louis in 2001. He has posted ERA’s of 3.42, 3.76, 4.72, 4.11 and 4.98 over the last five seasons and last season finished with a 10-15 record, the least amount of wins and the most amount of losses in his career not counting the shortened 1998 and 2000 seasons. He has had an excellent career against the Padres with a 3.07 ERA in 15 starts but struggled in his two home starts last season, posting a 7.50 ERA.
This is the third straight game this situation has come into play and it is now 4-2 this season overall. Teams that finished poorly in the prior season tend to start the new season slow as well despite all that time off. Play against any team in the first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 11 or more losses in last 15 games. This situation is 40-12 against the money line (76.9 percent) since 1997 with the average run differential +1.5 rpg. San Diego goes for the sweep and gets it on Thursday. Play San Diego Padres 1 Unit
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