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At PRO INFO SPORTS we are hard at work, preparing for the upcoming NFL and NCAA Football seasons. We are certainly looking forward to picking up right where we left off - IN THE MONEY! This year we will have selections on every NFL pre-season game. The season starts Saturday, August 2 with the World Champion Tampa Bay Buccaneers playing the New York Jets in Japan.
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We have received inquiries from prospective clients requesting a typical sample of our write-ups. PRO INFO SPORTS in-depth information, analysis, and advice for the final Sunday morning/afternoon of last season's down-to-the-wire NFL action follows...
Fellow Investor,
We are somewhat limited in our Money Play selection this final week of the regular season due to the playoff situation. Some teams that play late games will eliminated from post-season consideration before they take the field, or shortly thereafter, which will obviously greatly effect their level of effort; therefore, we are having to avoid most late games. We still feel confident with our final selections of the regular season...
7 STAR SELECTION (5% of Bankroll)
CLEVELAND +3 over Atlanta
The Atlanta Falcons and the Cleveland Browns are both hoping to earn a berth in the playoffs, and are both in need of a victory this week when they meet on Sunday at Cleveland Browns Stadium. The Falcons snapped a two-game losing streak last week when they defeated the Detroit Lions, 36-15. This week, the Falcons can clinch a playoff berth with a win or a tie or a loss or tie by the New Orleans Saints, who do battle with the Carolina Panthers. The Browns defeated the Baltimore Ravens 14-13 last week to keep their playoff hopes alive. The Browns, though, aren't as fortunate as Atlanta, in that they need additional help. Since this is an early game and most other games that have a bearing on the Browns and Falcons playoff situations are late games, neither squad will benefit from much scoreboard watching.
Michael Vick is the story for the Falcons. After a pair of sub-par games, Vick was back to his old self, creating havoc for Detroit's defense. The Falcons victory against the Lions did come with some bad news. Fullback Bob Christian will miss this week's game with the Browns after suffering his second concussion in two months. Christian's absence will hurt the team's offense as he was one of the key blockers in the running game, and he also gave Vick a short option in the passing game. While the Falcons were happy with the victory, they were also disappointed with their offense inside the red zone, as they scored just one touchdown on five trips into the Detroit red zone. This week, the Browns' defense is focused on making the playoffs. And the unit, which allows an average of 20 points per game is intent on getting a win that would put them in position to make the postseason.
The Browns QB, Tim Couch was praised for his efforts last week in the come-from-behind win over the Ravens, as he engineered the game-winning drive. The team will have to continue to respond as they'll need a strong effort by the offense, not only to score, but to keep Vick and company off the field. Look for the Browns to establish a running game early with rookie William Green who has become a legitimate starting running back. This week, the Browns line up across from a Falcons defense that is allowing an average of 334 yards per game.
Cleveland has had a wild ride this year with many bizarre, close, thrilling endings to games. We expect nothing less from them here, and like their chances to pull out the win. 2 weeks ago we used them as a top play as they were a PRO INFO SPORTS Super System team. In our very best system, home teams with a winning record that are dogs of less than 6 points were 26-0 ATS over the past 12 years of NFL play. Cleveland looked good as they led the favored Colts 16-0 at half; however, Peyton Manning led his team to the victory, as Couch's 4th-down pass in the endzone with seconds remaining fell incomplete. On Saturday, the system got back on track as the New York Giants fit the bill and won the game SU. The system is now 3-1 ATS on the season, raising its overall mark to 27-1 and Cleveland, ironically, has the chance to redeem themselves here. A couple more of our NFL Super Systems support this play, as home underdogs off a non-shutout SU road dog win, scoring 14 points or less, are 28-8 ATS, and home dogs off a SU road dog division win are 29-9 ATS. With home field, chilly temperatures, and a grass playing surface working in their favor look for the Browns to escape with another razor-close win.
PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: CLEVELAND 21 ATLANTA 20
6 STAR SELECTION (4.75% of Bankroll)
DETROIT +3.5 over Minnesota
The Minnesota Vikings will be sailing for their third straight win when they travel to Detroit to take on the Lions on Sunday at Ford Field. The Vikings upset the Miami Dolphins a week ago, when Gary Anderson booted a 53-yard field goal with 17 seconds remaining. Detroit, meanwhile, suffered a 36-15 loss to the Atlanta Falcons last week.
vikes' starting signal-caller Daunte Culpepper is a four-year veteran, but he continues to make mistakes. Last week he made the bulk of his mistakes in the first half, and played well enough in the second half to overcome the miscues, giving his team a chance to win. If Culpepper had played well all season, the Vikings could have been a playoff contender, but the passing game was the weakness for Minnesota this year. Interceptions has also been a problem for Minnesota. Culpepper has been picked off 22 times this year. He has also been under constant pressure, having been sacked 46 times. The running game, which was expected to be the weakness, has been great for the Vikings. In fact, they lead the league with 157 yards per game.
This week, the Vikings face a depleted Lions' defense that is most vulnerable to the pass. They are better against the run, which should match up decently against Minnesota's running game.
Mike McMahon will again get the start when the Lions offense takes the field, and he could be playing for his future. McMahon is one of Mornhinweg's favorites, but if Mornhinweg gets dismissed after the season, McMahon could go with him. McMahon has been inconsistent, and has a record of 1-5 as a starting quarterback; however, that win was at home vs. Minnesota last year, and we look for him to shrug off last week's poor performance and play well enough here to give the Lions a good chance to win the game. RB James Stewart is just four yards shy of a 1,000 yard season. He should get that, but don't expect a huge game because the Lions will come out throwing. That should work, considering the Vikings are allowing 254 passing yards per game.
Detroit should be hungry to end the season with a win as they did last year, while Minny is likely to have a letdown off 2 upset victories. We simply back a FG+ road favorite that has won just once on the road in the past 3 seasons. As a December road fave, Minnesota is just 2-13 ATS, and in their final road game are a horrendous 3-18 ATS. The Lions are 13-5 ATS as an underdog of more than 3 and less than 10 points. They also have a score to even for their earlier loss at the Metrodome. They are 4-0 ATS when playing with revenge, beating the spread by 11 points a game on average, and we are looking for them to get their revenge here.
PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: DETROIT 24 MINNESOTA 23
5 STAR SELECTION (4.5% of Bankroll)
NEW ENGLAND +1 over Miami
The AFC East championship is still up for grabs with just one game to play. Miami will try to stake its claim to the title this week when it hits the road to take on division foe New England at Gillette Stadium. The Dolphins missed its first chance at securing the division title last Saturday thanks to a 20-17 loss at Minnesota. The Dolphins still control their own destiny, though, as a win in this contest will secure them East supremacy. A loss could put the Dolphins in a Wild Card game or possibly out of the postseason. New England will try to capitalize on the Dolphins' possible collapse while trying to stop one of its own. The defending Super Bowl champions are in danger of missing the postseason following their back-to-back losses to Tennessee and the New York Jets. Head coach Bill Belichick's club still could secure the East title with a win here and a Jets loss. The Patriots can also win the Wild Card if they beat Miami, the Jets beat the Packers, Denver loses to Arizona, San Diego loses to Seattle and Cleveland losses to Atlanta.
The Miami offense struggled mightily against the weak Minnesota defense last time out, mustering just 13 first downs and only 236 yards. RB Ricky Williams managed 4.5 yards per carry, but only received 15 attempts in the loss. The Dolphins will obviously try to control the tempo in this game with Williams, considering the Patriots are 27th in the league against the run. New England played well against the Jets' running attack last week, and we expect the defense to come up with a scheme to stunt the Dolphins running game. The Patriots may well slide safety Lawyer Milloy into the box to help the front seven stop Williams, and let the rest of the secondary players take their chances against Jay Fiedler and the Miami receivers.
New England's offense couldn't get much going against the Jets' defense, as QB Tom Brady has struggled to find some consistency in the offense in recent weeks. Brady must be sharp here with his throws against the excellent Miami secondary. Look for the Patriots to try to establish some type of running game with Antowain Smith to keep the Dolphins off balance in this tilt.
Miami would love to ride Ricky's back to victory here, but even a big outing by their big back won't guarantee a victory. Williams scampered for over 200 yards a few weeks ago in Buffalo, but the Bills prevailed with a blow-out win. The Patriots are experienced at creating opportunities for themselves by forcing turnovers. Ricky has had problems with fumbling this season and may well cough it up here in the cold. The Dolphins late-season woes are well-documented. They are a horrendous 1-13 ATS in their final road game, and 1-12 ATS in their last division road contest. Overall, in December, they are 4-17 ATS on the road. The Patriots, on the other hand, are 14-4 ATS in December division games and 13-5 ATS as December dogs. They've swept their last 4 final home games, beating the spread by 9 points a game, and are 4-0 ATS when looking for revenge. This year is setting up very similar to last year's meetings between the teams. Early in the season, Miami has enjoyed wins at home in the warm climate of South Florida; however, they fell late in the season at New England last year, and now the Patriots are poised to repeat last year's win. New England also fits the parameters of a very strong PRO INFO SPORTS NFL Super System as home underdogs of less than 3 points playing to avenge an earlier loss of 7+ points in which they had 3+ turnovers are 12-1 ATS over the past 12 years of NFL play, including a perfect 10-0 since 1994. The World Champs won't go down easy here, and the Dolphins are simply "fish out of water" when playing in the Northeast in December. Ultimately, the Pats will take advantage of some Miami miscues and pull out the win.
PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: NEW ENGLAND 24 MIAMI 20
4 STAR SELECTION (4.25% of Bankroll)
Jacksonville +8 over INDIANAPOLIS
The Jacksonville Jaguars have no postseason aspirations and this week will likely be the last game for the only coach the franchise has ever had - Tom Coughlin. The Indianapolis Colts, on the other hand, still have plenty going at this point of their season. Indy is in the playoffs for the third time in four years. Indy is coming off a humbling 44-27 loss at the hands of the New York Giants and will want to head into postseason play with a victory; however, rest for some tired bodies may be even more important than a blow-out win.
Jacksonville quarterback Mark Brunell should give it a go in the finale as he looks to end a disappointing season on a strong note. Jaguars running back Fred Taylor and WR Jimmy Smith are the offensive weapons that Brunell will try to use her. Stacey Mack should also get some playing time at RB. Mack was unable to do much last week against the Titans, but this is a smaller defensive unit that can be worn down with long drives.
Indy's offense stalled last week due its inability to run the football. Edgerrin James has not been the same player this season. Just two seasons ago, Indy had one of the best rushing attacks in the NFL - now it scares no one. Peyton Manning is a fine quarterback, but he simply can't win games on his own without a running threat. Manning should have time to find his favorite target - Marvin Harrison. Harrison has an NFL-record 137 receptions already this season and should add some to that total in this contest. The Jags defense should do a decent job here, especially with the Colts resting some players in anticipation of next week's playoff game.
Jacksonville should give a good effort here, as they are 7-1 ATS on the road after a double-digit loss, and 4-1 ATS in their final game of the season. Additionally, they are 5-1 in their last half-dozen December road games. The Colts, meanwhile, are 2-9 ATS as a division home favorite of 7+ points, with one of those covers coming against the expansion Texans. Neither team has a lot to play for here, as the Jags are playing out the string, while the Colts have clinched a wild-card spot and a win does not improve their lot. Rest and health are the most important factors for Indianapolis, and we look for them to get the "W", but in less than commanding style.
PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: INDIANAPOLIS 23 JACKSONVILLE 20
3 STAR SELECTION (4% of Bankroll)
HOUSTON +9 over Tennessee
With the memories of a 1-4 start far behind them, the AFC South Division champion Tennessee Titans will go for their fifth consecutive victory in Houston against the Texans. Tennessee has been the hottest team in the AFC since Week 6, winning nine of its last 10. The Titans maintained their dominance this past week, posting a 28-10 win over the Jacksonville Jaguars. With a win, the Titans would secure at a bye in the first round of the AFC playoffs. Houston is riding out its inaugural season with three losses in its last four contests. The Texans suffered through a 26-10 defeat at the hands of the Washington Redskins last week.
Tennessee's offense can be summed up by the play of Steve McNair, who has been nothing short of outstanding in recent weeks. Despite a myriad of injuries, Steve McNair has thrown for five touchdowns and only one interception over the past four contests. The Texans, who own the fourth-best pass defense in the AFC, should match up well against the undermanned Titan receivers.
With Titans DE Jevon Kearse finally healthy, the Titans will look to put all kinds of pressure on Houston QB David Carr in this contest. Kearse saw a good amount of action last week, recording his first two sacks of the year but Fisher plans on limiting his time again this week to keep him healthy for the postseason. The Texans are dead last in the NFL in pass offense mostly because Carr rarely has time to survey the field; however, the Titans aren't all that impressive versus the pass.
Houston will attempt to get the running game going in this tilt.
Tenness will likely be on cruise control in this contest, allowing Houston to stick around. Tennessee, after Oakland's win on Saturday, can't get home field advantage, although a win here gives them a playoff first-round bye. The Titans are a poor 2-8 ATS as a road favorite vs. teams with losing records, and, in December, just 2-9 ATS on the road off a SU win vs. opponents off a SU loss. They figure to get the win here to earn the week of rest but Houston will be fired up and should keep it close.
PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: TENNESSEE 23 HOUSTON 16
2 STAR SELECTION (3.75% of Bankroll)
Dallas +7 over WASHINGTON
The Dallas Cowboys and the Washington Redskins will each try to end the season on a winning note when they do battle on Sunday at FedEx Field. The game could mark the last in the Dave Campo era, as he is expected to be relieved of his duties after this season. The Redskins won their sixth game of the season last week, a 26-10 victory over the Houston Texans.
There's one thing Dave Campo could do as Cowboys head coach, and that's beat the Redskins. He has won all five meetings with Washington, while new 'Skins coach, Steve Spurrier lost his only game to the Cowboys on Thanksgiving Day a few weeks ago. The Cowboys offense clicked that day, although it was the exception rather than the rule. Chad Hutchinson, who took over for the team's 2001 first round draft choice, Quincy Carter, played well in the Washington win and has made strides since becoming the starter. This week, the Cowboys should be able to run the ball. In the first meeting with the Redskins, Emmitt Smith and Troy Hambrick combined for 167 rushing yards on 32 carries.
Stephen Davis is likely done for the season and his career in Washington. Davis, who was a focal point of the offense in his previous three years with the team, has become an afterthought in Spurrier's pass-happy offense. The Redskins' running game actually fared better last week without Davis, as both Ladell Betts and Kenny Watson rushed for over 100 yards against the Texans. The passing game is a different story. The Redskins finally seem satisfied with a starter, as rookie Patrick Ramsey is going to start again this week. This week, Ramsey and the Redskins will face a very good Dallas defense. The unit has big play potential, as they have picked off 17 passes on the year.
We simply don't see the wisdom of backing a rookie quarterback as a 7-point favorite vs. a team they have been helpless against. Dallas has completely dominated Washington the past few years, even going 4-0 SU/ATS IN Washington, beating the spread by an average of 14 points a game! Overall, Washington is 1-9 ATS as a division favorite, and 2-11 ATS vs. division opponents when playing off one SU win. Despite wanting to avenge their loss in Dallas, we note the Redskins are 0-8 ATS, losing to the spread by a whopping 12 points a game, when playing with revenge for a loss in which they allowed 150+ yards rushing. After losing to an opponent that they led after 3 quarters, Washington is 0-5 ATS in revenge games. Despite the Cowboys poor play the past 2 weeks, we like their chances to keep this one close and possibly even pull the SU upset win. Dallas had a hard time recovering from a heart-breaking loss to the 49ers, then had to play 2 playoff-bound teams, and divisional rivals at that, who put it to the Cowboys. Off 2 or more SU/ATS losses, Dallas is 7-1 ATS, beating the pointspread by 10 points a game. The Redskins may well finally break the Cowboys spell but they are not likely to do so in blow-out fashion.
PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: WASHINGTON 20 DALLAS 17
A check of the final scores will show that PRO INFO SPORTS went 5-1 with the lone loss by a single point. If this is the kind of professional information and results you are looking for, then we are the sports investment firm for you.
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We have received inquiries from prospective clients requesting a typical sample of our write-ups. PRO INFO SPORTS in-depth information, analysis, and advice for the final Sunday morning/afternoon of last season's down-to-the-wire NFL action follows...
Fellow Investor,
We are somewhat limited in our Money Play selection this final week of the regular season due to the playoff situation. Some teams that play late games will eliminated from post-season consideration before they take the field, or shortly thereafter, which will obviously greatly effect their level of effort; therefore, we are having to avoid most late games. We still feel confident with our final selections of the regular season...
7 STAR SELECTION (5% of Bankroll)
CLEVELAND +3 over Atlanta
The Atlanta Falcons and the Cleveland Browns are both hoping to earn a berth in the playoffs, and are both in need of a victory this week when they meet on Sunday at Cleveland Browns Stadium. The Falcons snapped a two-game losing streak last week when they defeated the Detroit Lions, 36-15. This week, the Falcons can clinch a playoff berth with a win or a tie or a loss or tie by the New Orleans Saints, who do battle with the Carolina Panthers. The Browns defeated the Baltimore Ravens 14-13 last week to keep their playoff hopes alive. The Browns, though, aren't as fortunate as Atlanta, in that they need additional help. Since this is an early game and most other games that have a bearing on the Browns and Falcons playoff situations are late games, neither squad will benefit from much scoreboard watching.
Michael Vick is the story for the Falcons. After a pair of sub-par games, Vick was back to his old self, creating havoc for Detroit's defense. The Falcons victory against the Lions did come with some bad news. Fullback Bob Christian will miss this week's game with the Browns after suffering his second concussion in two months. Christian's absence will hurt the team's offense as he was one of the key blockers in the running game, and he also gave Vick a short option in the passing game. While the Falcons were happy with the victory, they were also disappointed with their offense inside the red zone, as they scored just one touchdown on five trips into the Detroit red zone. This week, the Browns' defense is focused on making the playoffs. And the unit, which allows an average of 20 points per game is intent on getting a win that would put them in position to make the postseason.
The Browns QB, Tim Couch was praised for his efforts last week in the come-from-behind win over the Ravens, as he engineered the game-winning drive. The team will have to continue to respond as they'll need a strong effort by the offense, not only to score, but to keep Vick and company off the field. Look for the Browns to establish a running game early with rookie William Green who has become a legitimate starting running back. This week, the Browns line up across from a Falcons defense that is allowing an average of 334 yards per game.
Cleveland has had a wild ride this year with many bizarre, close, thrilling endings to games. We expect nothing less from them here, and like their chances to pull out the win. 2 weeks ago we used them as a top play as they were a PRO INFO SPORTS Super System team. In our very best system, home teams with a winning record that are dogs of less than 6 points were 26-0 ATS over the past 12 years of NFL play. Cleveland looked good as they led the favored Colts 16-0 at half; however, Peyton Manning led his team to the victory, as Couch's 4th-down pass in the endzone with seconds remaining fell incomplete. On Saturday, the system got back on track as the New York Giants fit the bill and won the game SU. The system is now 3-1 ATS on the season, raising its overall mark to 27-1 and Cleveland, ironically, has the chance to redeem themselves here. A couple more of our NFL Super Systems support this play, as home underdogs off a non-shutout SU road dog win, scoring 14 points or less, are 28-8 ATS, and home dogs off a SU road dog division win are 29-9 ATS. With home field, chilly temperatures, and a grass playing surface working in their favor look for the Browns to escape with another razor-close win.
PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: CLEVELAND 21 ATLANTA 20
6 STAR SELECTION (4.75% of Bankroll)
DETROIT +3.5 over Minnesota
The Minnesota Vikings will be sailing for their third straight win when they travel to Detroit to take on the Lions on Sunday at Ford Field. The Vikings upset the Miami Dolphins a week ago, when Gary Anderson booted a 53-yard field goal with 17 seconds remaining. Detroit, meanwhile, suffered a 36-15 loss to the Atlanta Falcons last week.
vikes' starting signal-caller Daunte Culpepper is a four-year veteran, but he continues to make mistakes. Last week he made the bulk of his mistakes in the first half, and played well enough in the second half to overcome the miscues, giving his team a chance to win. If Culpepper had played well all season, the Vikings could have been a playoff contender, but the passing game was the weakness for Minnesota this year. Interceptions has also been a problem for Minnesota. Culpepper has been picked off 22 times this year. He has also been under constant pressure, having been sacked 46 times. The running game, which was expected to be the weakness, has been great for the Vikings. In fact, they lead the league with 157 yards per game.
This week, the Vikings face a depleted Lions' defense that is most vulnerable to the pass. They are better against the run, which should match up decently against Minnesota's running game.
Mike McMahon will again get the start when the Lions offense takes the field, and he could be playing for his future. McMahon is one of Mornhinweg's favorites, but if Mornhinweg gets dismissed after the season, McMahon could go with him. McMahon has been inconsistent, and has a record of 1-5 as a starting quarterback; however, that win was at home vs. Minnesota last year, and we look for him to shrug off last week's poor performance and play well enough here to give the Lions a good chance to win the game. RB James Stewart is just four yards shy of a 1,000 yard season. He should get that, but don't expect a huge game because the Lions will come out throwing. That should work, considering the Vikings are allowing 254 passing yards per game.
Detroit should be hungry to end the season with a win as they did last year, while Minny is likely to have a letdown off 2 upset victories. We simply back a FG+ road favorite that has won just once on the road in the past 3 seasons. As a December road fave, Minnesota is just 2-13 ATS, and in their final road game are a horrendous 3-18 ATS. The Lions are 13-5 ATS as an underdog of more than 3 and less than 10 points. They also have a score to even for their earlier loss at the Metrodome. They are 4-0 ATS when playing with revenge, beating the spread by 11 points a game on average, and we are looking for them to get their revenge here.
PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: DETROIT 24 MINNESOTA 23
5 STAR SELECTION (4.5% of Bankroll)
NEW ENGLAND +1 over Miami
The AFC East championship is still up for grabs with just one game to play. Miami will try to stake its claim to the title this week when it hits the road to take on division foe New England at Gillette Stadium. The Dolphins missed its first chance at securing the division title last Saturday thanks to a 20-17 loss at Minnesota. The Dolphins still control their own destiny, though, as a win in this contest will secure them East supremacy. A loss could put the Dolphins in a Wild Card game or possibly out of the postseason. New England will try to capitalize on the Dolphins' possible collapse while trying to stop one of its own. The defending Super Bowl champions are in danger of missing the postseason following their back-to-back losses to Tennessee and the New York Jets. Head coach Bill Belichick's club still could secure the East title with a win here and a Jets loss. The Patriots can also win the Wild Card if they beat Miami, the Jets beat the Packers, Denver loses to Arizona, San Diego loses to Seattle and Cleveland losses to Atlanta.
The Miami offense struggled mightily against the weak Minnesota defense last time out, mustering just 13 first downs and only 236 yards. RB Ricky Williams managed 4.5 yards per carry, but only received 15 attempts in the loss. The Dolphins will obviously try to control the tempo in this game with Williams, considering the Patriots are 27th in the league against the run. New England played well against the Jets' running attack last week, and we expect the defense to come up with a scheme to stunt the Dolphins running game. The Patriots may well slide safety Lawyer Milloy into the box to help the front seven stop Williams, and let the rest of the secondary players take their chances against Jay Fiedler and the Miami receivers.
New England's offense couldn't get much going against the Jets' defense, as QB Tom Brady has struggled to find some consistency in the offense in recent weeks. Brady must be sharp here with his throws against the excellent Miami secondary. Look for the Patriots to try to establish some type of running game with Antowain Smith to keep the Dolphins off balance in this tilt.
Miami would love to ride Ricky's back to victory here, but even a big outing by their big back won't guarantee a victory. Williams scampered for over 200 yards a few weeks ago in Buffalo, but the Bills prevailed with a blow-out win. The Patriots are experienced at creating opportunities for themselves by forcing turnovers. Ricky has had problems with fumbling this season and may well cough it up here in the cold. The Dolphins late-season woes are well-documented. They are a horrendous 1-13 ATS in their final road game, and 1-12 ATS in their last division road contest. Overall, in December, they are 4-17 ATS on the road. The Patriots, on the other hand, are 14-4 ATS in December division games and 13-5 ATS as December dogs. They've swept their last 4 final home games, beating the spread by 9 points a game, and are 4-0 ATS when looking for revenge. This year is setting up very similar to last year's meetings between the teams. Early in the season, Miami has enjoyed wins at home in the warm climate of South Florida; however, they fell late in the season at New England last year, and now the Patriots are poised to repeat last year's win. New England also fits the parameters of a very strong PRO INFO SPORTS NFL Super System as home underdogs of less than 3 points playing to avenge an earlier loss of 7+ points in which they had 3+ turnovers are 12-1 ATS over the past 12 years of NFL play, including a perfect 10-0 since 1994. The World Champs won't go down easy here, and the Dolphins are simply "fish out of water" when playing in the Northeast in December. Ultimately, the Pats will take advantage of some Miami miscues and pull out the win.
PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: NEW ENGLAND 24 MIAMI 20
4 STAR SELECTION (4.25% of Bankroll)
Jacksonville +8 over INDIANAPOLIS
The Jacksonville Jaguars have no postseason aspirations and this week will likely be the last game for the only coach the franchise has ever had - Tom Coughlin. The Indianapolis Colts, on the other hand, still have plenty going at this point of their season. Indy is in the playoffs for the third time in four years. Indy is coming off a humbling 44-27 loss at the hands of the New York Giants and will want to head into postseason play with a victory; however, rest for some tired bodies may be even more important than a blow-out win.
Jacksonville quarterback Mark Brunell should give it a go in the finale as he looks to end a disappointing season on a strong note. Jaguars running back Fred Taylor and WR Jimmy Smith are the offensive weapons that Brunell will try to use her. Stacey Mack should also get some playing time at RB. Mack was unable to do much last week against the Titans, but this is a smaller defensive unit that can be worn down with long drives.
Indy's offense stalled last week due its inability to run the football. Edgerrin James has not been the same player this season. Just two seasons ago, Indy had one of the best rushing attacks in the NFL - now it scares no one. Peyton Manning is a fine quarterback, but he simply can't win games on his own without a running threat. Manning should have time to find his favorite target - Marvin Harrison. Harrison has an NFL-record 137 receptions already this season and should add some to that total in this contest. The Jags defense should do a decent job here, especially with the Colts resting some players in anticipation of next week's playoff game.
Jacksonville should give a good effort here, as they are 7-1 ATS on the road after a double-digit loss, and 4-1 ATS in their final game of the season. Additionally, they are 5-1 in their last half-dozen December road games. The Colts, meanwhile, are 2-9 ATS as a division home favorite of 7+ points, with one of those covers coming against the expansion Texans. Neither team has a lot to play for here, as the Jags are playing out the string, while the Colts have clinched a wild-card spot and a win does not improve their lot. Rest and health are the most important factors for Indianapolis, and we look for them to get the "W", but in less than commanding style.
PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: INDIANAPOLIS 23 JACKSONVILLE 20
3 STAR SELECTION (4% of Bankroll)
HOUSTON +9 over Tennessee
With the memories of a 1-4 start far behind them, the AFC South Division champion Tennessee Titans will go for their fifth consecutive victory in Houston against the Texans. Tennessee has been the hottest team in the AFC since Week 6, winning nine of its last 10. The Titans maintained their dominance this past week, posting a 28-10 win over the Jacksonville Jaguars. With a win, the Titans would secure at a bye in the first round of the AFC playoffs. Houston is riding out its inaugural season with three losses in its last four contests. The Texans suffered through a 26-10 defeat at the hands of the Washington Redskins last week.
Tennessee's offense can be summed up by the play of Steve McNair, who has been nothing short of outstanding in recent weeks. Despite a myriad of injuries, Steve McNair has thrown for five touchdowns and only one interception over the past four contests. The Texans, who own the fourth-best pass defense in the AFC, should match up well against the undermanned Titan receivers.
With Titans DE Jevon Kearse finally healthy, the Titans will look to put all kinds of pressure on Houston QB David Carr in this contest. Kearse saw a good amount of action last week, recording his first two sacks of the year but Fisher plans on limiting his time again this week to keep him healthy for the postseason. The Texans are dead last in the NFL in pass offense mostly because Carr rarely has time to survey the field; however, the Titans aren't all that impressive versus the pass.
Houston will attempt to get the running game going in this tilt.
Tenness will likely be on cruise control in this contest, allowing Houston to stick around. Tennessee, after Oakland's win on Saturday, can't get home field advantage, although a win here gives them a playoff first-round bye. The Titans are a poor 2-8 ATS as a road favorite vs. teams with losing records, and, in December, just 2-9 ATS on the road off a SU win vs. opponents off a SU loss. They figure to get the win here to earn the week of rest but Houston will be fired up and should keep it close.
PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: TENNESSEE 23 HOUSTON 16
2 STAR SELECTION (3.75% of Bankroll)
Dallas +7 over WASHINGTON
The Dallas Cowboys and the Washington Redskins will each try to end the season on a winning note when they do battle on Sunday at FedEx Field. The game could mark the last in the Dave Campo era, as he is expected to be relieved of his duties after this season. The Redskins won their sixth game of the season last week, a 26-10 victory over the Houston Texans.
There's one thing Dave Campo could do as Cowboys head coach, and that's beat the Redskins. He has won all five meetings with Washington, while new 'Skins coach, Steve Spurrier lost his only game to the Cowboys on Thanksgiving Day a few weeks ago. The Cowboys offense clicked that day, although it was the exception rather than the rule. Chad Hutchinson, who took over for the team's 2001 first round draft choice, Quincy Carter, played well in the Washington win and has made strides since becoming the starter. This week, the Cowboys should be able to run the ball. In the first meeting with the Redskins, Emmitt Smith and Troy Hambrick combined for 167 rushing yards on 32 carries.
Stephen Davis is likely done for the season and his career in Washington. Davis, who was a focal point of the offense in his previous three years with the team, has become an afterthought in Spurrier's pass-happy offense. The Redskins' running game actually fared better last week without Davis, as both Ladell Betts and Kenny Watson rushed for over 100 yards against the Texans. The passing game is a different story. The Redskins finally seem satisfied with a starter, as rookie Patrick Ramsey is going to start again this week. This week, Ramsey and the Redskins will face a very good Dallas defense. The unit has big play potential, as they have picked off 17 passes on the year.
We simply don't see the wisdom of backing a rookie quarterback as a 7-point favorite vs. a team they have been helpless against. Dallas has completely dominated Washington the past few years, even going 4-0 SU/ATS IN Washington, beating the spread by an average of 14 points a game! Overall, Washington is 1-9 ATS as a division favorite, and 2-11 ATS vs. division opponents when playing off one SU win. Despite wanting to avenge their loss in Dallas, we note the Redskins are 0-8 ATS, losing to the spread by a whopping 12 points a game, when playing with revenge for a loss in which they allowed 150+ yards rushing. After losing to an opponent that they led after 3 quarters, Washington is 0-5 ATS in revenge games. Despite the Cowboys poor play the past 2 weeks, we like their chances to keep this one close and possibly even pull the SU upset win. Dallas had a hard time recovering from a heart-breaking loss to the 49ers, then had to play 2 playoff-bound teams, and divisional rivals at that, who put it to the Cowboys. Off 2 or more SU/ATS losses, Dallas is 7-1 ATS, beating the pointspread by 10 points a game. The Redskins may well finally break the Cowboys spell but they are not likely to do so in blow-out fashion.
PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: WASHINGTON 20 DALLAS 17
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