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HEY GUYS...SAD DAY HERE AS I HAVE FORMALLY RETIRED THE NAME SPORTS GURU. SINCE I MADE UP THAT NAME 5 YEARS AGO IT HAS BEEN CONSTANTLY COPIED AND I HAVE TAKEN TO MUCH FLACK FOR OTHERS WHO HAVE SIMILIAR NAMES THAT ARE NOT ME.
I'VE NEVER BEEN A BIG TOUTER AS I BELIEVE THEY ARE ALL SCAMMERS. THE WAY I HANDICAPP IS THAT I TELL YOU EVERYTHING I KNOW ABOUT A CERTAIN SELECTION AND I ALLOW THE PERSON TO MAKE HIS OWN MIND UP ABOUT IT. I PLAY EVERYTHING THAT I RELEASE WITH MY OWN MONEY, AND TO DATE I HAVE NEVER HAD A LOSING SEASON AFTER FIVE YEARS OF HANDICAPPING
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TULSA (2 - 1) at NAVY (3 - 0)
Week 4 Saturday, 9/23/2006 1:30 PM
Analysis
Tulsa (2-1) has a very strong and balanced offense behind QB Paul Smith, averaging 26 points, 104 yards rushing and 248 passing. The Golden Hurricanes have the 27th ranked offense in the NCAA. They got roasted at BYU, losing 49-26, but had an easier time last week against a weak North Texas offense. QB Paul Smith threw for 266 yards and two touchdowns after overcoming a sloppy start, and Brandon Diles ran for two scores as Tulsa beat North Texas 28-3 on Saturday. Still, Tulsa allowed 227 yards rushing to BYU and Navy has the best rushing attack in the country, which although is a cause for concern, will be addressed later in this analysis. Meanwhile, Navy (3-0) was lucky to escape with a 21-20 win over Division I-AA Massachusetts after fumbling seven times, losing four, and throwing an interception. But they showed how good they really are last week in a stunning 38-9 win at Stanford as a +2 dog! Reggie Campbell ran for 110 yards and two touchdowns as Navy had 368 rushing yards! Navy relies almost exclusively on the run in its option offense, but is loaded with speed and is tough to defend. Indeed, only West Virginia has rushed the ball better than the Midshipmen to start the 2006 season.
As I promised, Im going to address Tulsas 49-26 loss to BYU where they gave up 227 yards rushing. What hurt Tulsa in that game is the fact that they faced a very balanced BYU offense. In comparison, Navy is one dimensional and only passes the football about 8% of the time. Moreover, the size disadvantage at the line of scrimmage that hurt Tulsa when it was routed by BYU two weeks ago doesn't exist here. From a schematic standpoint, Tulsa's preparation should be helped immensely by the fact that fourth-year coach Steve Kragthorpes team played (and beat) Rice each of the last three seasons when Rice still was running a triple option similar to Navy's. Tulsas unusual 3-3-5 defensive alignment means that its DBs are familiar with providing run support, which they must do in this game. That, right there, is a red flag against Navy, coming off two games vs. East Carolina and Stanford defenses. East Carolina is in the early stages of playing a lousy 3-3-5, yet covered vs. Navy. Stanford couldnt devote the necessary time and attention to deviate from their norm, and Stanfords offense couldnt sustain any drives, which allowed Navys clock-eating offense to stay on the field and wear down Stanfords defense. That wont happen here as Tulsa has a much better offensive system than Stanford currently does and has the ability if necessary to trade points with this Navy team. Situationally, this is also a revenge game. Two years ago, when Steve Kragthorpe was in the process of rebuilding the Tulsa football program, the Midshipmen rode into town and destroyed Tulsa 29-0! Technically, Tulsa is 8-1 ATS in its last nine road games and Navy is 4-17 ATS at home against an opponent off a SU win, so an SU win is not out of the question. Considering that Midshipmen just avenged a win at Stanford last Saturday and have three others revengers waiting on deckthey might not all that interested this Saturday. Upset all the way!
Verdict: Navy 21, Tulsa 28
PLAY 1* UNIT ON TULSA +5.5
MINNESOTA (2 - 1) at PURDUE (3 - 0)
Week 4 Saturday, 9/23/2006 12:00 PM
Analysis
Two of the nation's five highest scoring offenses hook up in what could be the most entertaining games of the college weekend. But can anybody tell me why Minnesota is favored here? The Minnesota Gophers (2-1 SU & ATS) destroyed Kent State and Temple by a combined 106-0, but does that really mean anything to anybody? I actually heard one TV personally boast about their defense and how solid it wasare you kidding me! While Minnesota blanked two of the nation's worst teams (Kent State and Temple), a more accurate representation about their defense (or lack their of) was on display at Cal. The Gophers allowed 42 points and over 500 yards to the Bears. Meanwhile, The Boilermakers of Purdue (3-0 SU & 0-2 ATS) will open Big 10 play with a 3- 0 record as they've outscored Indiana State, Miami of Ohio and Ball State by a combined score of 136-94. Offense with head coach Joe Tiller's 'basketball on grass' system isn't going to be the problem as sophomore quarterback Curtis Painter passed for a career high 416 yards last week. The 38-28 win over a decent Ball State squad was far more lopsided than the score would indicate, as the Cardinals struck for two late scores after the issue was long settled. Purdue has vulnerability in their secondary, which is being manned by two true frosh plus a JC transfer. But their front seven looks solid, and the key to success vs. Minnesota is keeping their ground game in check (9th ranked in NCAA) and forcing them to throw. Luckily, Minnesota is not a passing team and thank god because Purdues secondary is atrocious allowing 912 yards through the air in their three games. Situationally, Purdue is also looking to revenge their bizarre overtime loss to the Gophers last season. In their seven previous games against the Gophers, Purdue scored at least 28 in each while racking up six wins and covers (only loss was last year's double overtime setback in Bloomington). The Boilers are a strong 15-5 ATS in their last 20 stops as home dogs when scoring 21 or more. Conversely, Minnesota is a perfect 0-16 against the number the last 16 times the Gophers allowed 28 or more on the road and Minnesota is also 1-9 ATS off a double digit win when on the road against a winning team. So the Technical numbers also support us. You know what to dothe wrong team is favored here.
Verdict: Purdue 35, Minnesota 28
OPINION SELECTION ON PURDUE +3
I'VE NEVER BEEN A BIG TOUTER AS I BELIEVE THEY ARE ALL SCAMMERS. THE WAY I HANDICAPP IS THAT I TELL YOU EVERYTHING I KNOW ABOUT A CERTAIN SELECTION AND I ALLOW THE PERSON TO MAKE HIS OWN MIND UP ABOUT IT. I PLAY EVERYTHING THAT I RELEASE WITH MY OWN MONEY, AND TO DATE I HAVE NEVER HAD A LOSING SEASON AFTER FIVE YEARS OF HANDICAPPING
IF YOUR INTERESTED IN A FULL PICK PACKAGE PLEASE GO TO...
http://www.pregame.com/pregamepros/B...?CapperId=4417
--------------------------------------------------
TULSA (2 - 1) at NAVY (3 - 0)
Week 4 Saturday, 9/23/2006 1:30 PM
Analysis
Tulsa (2-1) has a very strong and balanced offense behind QB Paul Smith, averaging 26 points, 104 yards rushing and 248 passing. The Golden Hurricanes have the 27th ranked offense in the NCAA. They got roasted at BYU, losing 49-26, but had an easier time last week against a weak North Texas offense. QB Paul Smith threw for 266 yards and two touchdowns after overcoming a sloppy start, and Brandon Diles ran for two scores as Tulsa beat North Texas 28-3 on Saturday. Still, Tulsa allowed 227 yards rushing to BYU and Navy has the best rushing attack in the country, which although is a cause for concern, will be addressed later in this analysis. Meanwhile, Navy (3-0) was lucky to escape with a 21-20 win over Division I-AA Massachusetts after fumbling seven times, losing four, and throwing an interception. But they showed how good they really are last week in a stunning 38-9 win at Stanford as a +2 dog! Reggie Campbell ran for 110 yards and two touchdowns as Navy had 368 rushing yards! Navy relies almost exclusively on the run in its option offense, but is loaded with speed and is tough to defend. Indeed, only West Virginia has rushed the ball better than the Midshipmen to start the 2006 season.
As I promised, Im going to address Tulsas 49-26 loss to BYU where they gave up 227 yards rushing. What hurt Tulsa in that game is the fact that they faced a very balanced BYU offense. In comparison, Navy is one dimensional and only passes the football about 8% of the time. Moreover, the size disadvantage at the line of scrimmage that hurt Tulsa when it was routed by BYU two weeks ago doesn't exist here. From a schematic standpoint, Tulsa's preparation should be helped immensely by the fact that fourth-year coach Steve Kragthorpes team played (and beat) Rice each of the last three seasons when Rice still was running a triple option similar to Navy's. Tulsas unusual 3-3-5 defensive alignment means that its DBs are familiar with providing run support, which they must do in this game. That, right there, is a red flag against Navy, coming off two games vs. East Carolina and Stanford defenses. East Carolina is in the early stages of playing a lousy 3-3-5, yet covered vs. Navy. Stanford couldnt devote the necessary time and attention to deviate from their norm, and Stanfords offense couldnt sustain any drives, which allowed Navys clock-eating offense to stay on the field and wear down Stanfords defense. That wont happen here as Tulsa has a much better offensive system than Stanford currently does and has the ability if necessary to trade points with this Navy team. Situationally, this is also a revenge game. Two years ago, when Steve Kragthorpe was in the process of rebuilding the Tulsa football program, the Midshipmen rode into town and destroyed Tulsa 29-0! Technically, Tulsa is 8-1 ATS in its last nine road games and Navy is 4-17 ATS at home against an opponent off a SU win, so an SU win is not out of the question. Considering that Midshipmen just avenged a win at Stanford last Saturday and have three others revengers waiting on deckthey might not all that interested this Saturday. Upset all the way!
Verdict: Navy 21, Tulsa 28
PLAY 1* UNIT ON TULSA +5.5
MINNESOTA (2 - 1) at PURDUE (3 - 0)
Week 4 Saturday, 9/23/2006 12:00 PM
Analysis
Two of the nation's five highest scoring offenses hook up in what could be the most entertaining games of the college weekend. But can anybody tell me why Minnesota is favored here? The Minnesota Gophers (2-1 SU & ATS) destroyed Kent State and Temple by a combined 106-0, but does that really mean anything to anybody? I actually heard one TV personally boast about their defense and how solid it wasare you kidding me! While Minnesota blanked two of the nation's worst teams (Kent State and Temple), a more accurate representation about their defense (or lack their of) was on display at Cal. The Gophers allowed 42 points and over 500 yards to the Bears. Meanwhile, The Boilermakers of Purdue (3-0 SU & 0-2 ATS) will open Big 10 play with a 3- 0 record as they've outscored Indiana State, Miami of Ohio and Ball State by a combined score of 136-94. Offense with head coach Joe Tiller's 'basketball on grass' system isn't going to be the problem as sophomore quarterback Curtis Painter passed for a career high 416 yards last week. The 38-28 win over a decent Ball State squad was far more lopsided than the score would indicate, as the Cardinals struck for two late scores after the issue was long settled. Purdue has vulnerability in their secondary, which is being manned by two true frosh plus a JC transfer. But their front seven looks solid, and the key to success vs. Minnesota is keeping their ground game in check (9th ranked in NCAA) and forcing them to throw. Luckily, Minnesota is not a passing team and thank god because Purdues secondary is atrocious allowing 912 yards through the air in their three games. Situationally, Purdue is also looking to revenge their bizarre overtime loss to the Gophers last season. In their seven previous games against the Gophers, Purdue scored at least 28 in each while racking up six wins and covers (only loss was last year's double overtime setback in Bloomington). The Boilers are a strong 15-5 ATS in their last 20 stops as home dogs when scoring 21 or more. Conversely, Minnesota is a perfect 0-16 against the number the last 16 times the Gophers allowed 28 or more on the road and Minnesota is also 1-9 ATS off a double digit win when on the road against a winning team. So the Technical numbers also support us. You know what to dothe wrong team is favored here.
Verdict: Purdue 35, Minnesota 28
OPINION SELECTION ON PURDUE +3
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