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WEEK 9
COLTS NOW 6/1 FOR PERFECT SEASON
Peyton Manning finally beat Tom Brady and the Patriots in a battle of star
QB’s last Monday, leading the Colts to a 40-21 rout of the battered
champions. The victory was the first for Indianapolis at New England since
1995, and saw their odds for the Super Bowl cut from 2/1 to 6/4. They’re
now 6/1 with bet365 for a perfect season (13/8, 15-1), and it’s difficult
to imagine any team beating them right now. Certainly not this week’s
opponents, Houston, who don’t even appeal with a whopping 17.5-point
handicap start.
PHILLY IN THE DOGHOUSE AT 7/2
Week 9 was certainly a week for the favorites, with eight winning and
covering the line, and that was good news for the many bet365 customers who
combined them in parlays (and got even more back with the Parlay Bonus!).
The best performance came from Carolina, who were only marginal favorites,
but cruised home against a Tampa Bay side who look to be on the decline
after a strong start to the season. The Panthers are legitimate 10/1 (from
12/1) contenders for Super Bowl glory, although their tough schedule could
count against them in the long run. In contrast, Philly are now 20/1 from
12/1 after suffering another defeat, and now face a serious dogfight in the
NFC East.
bet365 latest NFC East prices .. .New York Giants 11/10, Philadelphia ,
Washington, Dallas 7/2
bet365 latest Super Bowl prices … Indianapolis 6/4, Pittsburgh 9/1,
Carolina 10/1, Atlanta, Denver 12/1, New England, Seattle 14/1, others on
bet365 website.
WEEK 10
UGLY ROAD DOGS ARE APPEALING
Last week we picked the 49ers getting what looked a healthy start against
the Giants, only for them to lose 24-6. This week they’re on the road
facing Chicago and, at first glance, there doesn’t seem to be any reason to
wager on them again this week. However, it’s worth remembering that the
49ers held the Giants (the highest scoring team in the NFC) to 10 points
through three-quarters, and rank ninth in fewest points allowed in the last
two weeks. With the Bears failing to score more than 10 points in half
their games (and assuming the 49ers can score 7-12 points), it could be
tough for the favourites to cover the spread (currently -13.0 and likely to
get bigger come game time!). With the number at 32, it’s also tempting to
parlay the 49ers with the ‘under’, as the game isn’t going to be a
shootout.
Pick 1: San Francisco(+13.0) / ‘Under’ 32 points, both at 10/11. A $50
parlay pays out $191.34 - which includes a bet365 bonus of 5%
PATS WONT DWELL ON LOSS
For this week’s second pick, we’ll be taking the Patriots giving up less
than a field goal against divisional foe Miami. The Pats let down their
supporters last Monday and are on the road on a short week, which doesn’t
make them obvious wagering material. However, they can still be top dogs in
the AFC East (2/13 for the title), and a win here will move them to 2-0 in
the division, effectively securing their ticket to the postseason. Buffalo
are the only other East team with a winning divisional record and they sit
3-5 overall. Miami has struggled since a promising start, losing four of
its last five, including two in a row at home, and they’ll have the full
attention of the struggling visitors on Sunday. If it does come down to a
field goal then the steady leg of Adam Venateri should set the win.
Pick 2: New England (-2.5) @ 10/11
MORE WEEK 10 PICKS
Last week we cashed in on the Texans after suggesting that their opponents
the Jaguars tended to play to the level of competition, and that was
confirmed when the heavily favored home team failed to cover the spread
(+13.5). This week we can apply the same philosophy to their opponents, the
Baltimore Ravens, who should be backed getting a 6.5-point start.
Baltimore (+6.5) @ 10/11
Green Bay are coming off a 20-10 home loss to Pittsburgh, but they actually
out gained the Steelers on the day. This week they face Atlanta (who should
win) but, with five of their seven losses coming by 7-points or less, the
Cheese Heads can be expected to keep things close against the 9-point
favorites.
Green Bay (+9.0) @ 10/11
A post-Terrell Owens Philadelphia dropped to 4-4 straight up and 2-6 ATS
after falling 17-10 to Washington last week, but their loss cannot be
blamed on the absence of Owens alone. Once again, the Eagles non-existent
running game (ranked last in the NFL) managed just 45 yards on the ground,
and things won’t get any easier this week against the Dallas Cowboys’ 6th
rated rushing stop unit.
Dallas (+3.0) @ 10/11
We’ll be backing all our five picks in singles (as serious bettors should),
but it’s hard to resist a speculative parlay wager on all five, especially
as you’re assured of getting an extra 10% bonus here at bet365. Each week,
we pay out up to 50% more on successful NFL & NCAAF parlays on the
following 6 markets:-
Point Spread, Game Total, First Half Point Spread, Second Half Point
Spread, First Half Total, Second Half Total.
Week 10 Picks: San Francisco (+13.5); New England (+2.5); Baltimore (+6.5);
Green Bay (+9.0) and Dallas (+3.0). All teams are currently priced at
10/11, and a $50 parlay pays out $730.59 - which includes a bet365 bonus of
15%
BET IT LIVE WITH 365
You can’t beat the adrenaline rush of the live game, and that’s when our
In-Play service kicks in via our new ‘In-Play Console’, which has all the
odds and markets on one convenient page (just click on the link on the top
left-hand side of the home page). This weekend’s live games are:
Florida @ South Carolina
Sa Nov 12 – 12:30 pm EST/17:30 GMT
USC @ California
Sa Nov 12 – 3:30 pm EST/20:30 GMT
NE Patriots @ MIA Dolphins
Su Nov 13 – 1:00 pm EST/18:00 GMT
DEN Broncos @ OAK Raiders
Su Nov 13 – 4:05 pm EST/21:05 GMT
STL Rams @ SEA Seahawks
Su Nov 13 – 4:15 pm EST/21:15 GMT
CLE @ PIT Steelers
Su Nov 13 – 8:30 pm EST (ESPN)/01:30 GMT
DAL Cowboys @ PHL Eagles
Mo Nov 14 – 9 pm EST (ABC)/02:00 GMT
Good luck in Week 10.
BASKETBALL
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DEJA VU FOR SPURS AT 6/4
The new NBA season has just begun, but already the defending NBA champion
San Antonio Spurs are already looking like the team to beat again this
season. Despite losing to Dallas on Saturday, the Spurs have looked just as
dominant as last season in two convincing wins over Denver and Cleveland,
and are rightly Championship favourites at 6/4 here at bet365. Dallas (9/1)
will be feeling confident after the wins over the Spurs and the Suns and,
with a stretch of winnable games coming up, they could get shorter in the
betting over the coming weeks. They’re 9/2 to win the Western Conference,
behind market leaders San Antonio at 5/6.
In the East, Miami will be without Shaquille O’Neal for a couple of weeks
at least but, as they showed in their gutsy win over New Jersey in midweek,
they have enough strength in depth to ride out the storm until he returns.
They won’t have things all their own way, however, with the Pistons offence
already in mid-season form (averaging 102 points per game), and the Pacers
defence continuing to get better. Both will be challenging the Heat for top
spot in the east all season long.
And remember, you can get paid more for hitting your parlays this season
with bet365’s Parlay Bonus. The bonus starts at 5% for winning 2-team
parlays, rising to a massive 50% on winning 12, 13 and 14-team hits.
bet365 latest NBA Eastern Conference betting … Miami Heat 7/5, Detroit
Pistons, Indiana Pacers 10/3, Cleveland Cavaliers 10/1, New Jersey Nets
14/1, others on bet365 website.
NASCAR
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STEWART FOR DESERT SUCCESS AT 7/1
Only two races remain in Nextel’s ‘Chase for the Cup’, as the drivers head
to Phoenix International Raceway for the second time this season for the
Checker Auto Parts 500. Phoenix is a relatively flat one mile track in the
middle of the Sonoran desert, and its uniqueness should at least ensure
we’ll see a different type of racing this week. However, it’s unlikely
we’ll see anything different as regards the winning driver, with the usual
suspects high up in the betting.
The first visit to Phoenix this year saw victory go to Kurt Busch (8/1 to
win this week), who was followed home by some relatively ‘new’ names, with
the likes of Michael Waltrip, Jeff Burton and Dale Earnhardt Jr finishing
3rd, 4th and 5th respectively. That was a refreshing change from the usual
week-in-week out top 5, which is normally littered with Roush drivers and /
or Jimmie Johnson and Tony Stewart, and at least shows how different
Phoenix is. The success of Junior shouldn’t have been a surprise, however,
after he’d swept both Phoenix races last season, and it’s no surprise to
see him top the betting list this week at 7/1 (jointly with Tony Stewart).
That does seem a bit on the short side, considering that he’s still looking
for his first checkered flag this year after setting a career high with six
in 2004.
In contrast, Stewart has run in the top 10 in all but two of the last 20
events, a stretch that began with a second in Michigan on July 2nd, and
included all of his five checkered flags. The 2002 series champion ran
sixth in Texas last week to maintain a 38-point lead over Jimmie Johnson in
the current points standings, and he can count on a win and a second here
in eight career starts (four top-10’s). He’s also a winner at New
Hampshire, where the configuration isn’t similar, but the banking is, so
similar set-ups can be used for each track. Over the years, success at New
Hampshire has often been a precursor to success at Phoenix so, as one of
the few drivers to win on both tracks, Stewart’s name rises to the top this
week. At the bet365 standout pre-practice price of 7/1, he’ll give us a
great run for our money (bettors can always hedge their pre-race bets via
our live ‘In-Play Console’).
Nigel’s Checker Auto Parts 500 Pick: Tony Stewart @ 7/1
bet365 latest Checker Auto Parts 500 prices … Tony Stewart, Dale Earnhardt
Jr. 7/1, Jimmie Johnson, Kurt Busch 8/1, Greg Biffle 9/1, Matt Kenseth
10/1, others on bet365 website.
GOLF
****
9/2 BOOMER RETURNS TO SECOND HOME
Fr Nov 11 – 4:00 pm EST (USA)/21:00 GMT
Sa Nov 12 – 1:00 pm EST (CBS)/18:00 GMT
Su Nov 13 – 1:00 pm EST (CBS)/18:00 GMT
The final regular tournament produced yet another ‘shock’ winner in the
shape of pre-tournament 80/1 shot Bart Bryant, who repelled 13/5 favourite
Tiger Woods. With relatively unfancied Heath Slocum (50/1) winning last
week’s Southern Farm Bureau Classic, it has been a fall finish to forget
for US Tour bettors. At least we’re assured of a relatively short priced
winner of this week’s Franklin Templeton Shootout, a 12 two-man team
competition, as the outsider pairing is no bigger than 20/1. We may be
attempting to buck the trend here, but the advice is to go with tournament
favourite Fred Couples and Adam Scott at 9/2. Following old ‘Boom Boom’ in
this event over the years (whoever he’s paired with) has been profitable.
The former three-time winner can also boast seven of the 15 tournament
records, and he’ll be glad to be back in Southwest Florida this week.
Tiger is in action over in China this week for the HSBC Champions
Tournament, chasing big bucks (and appearance money), but don’t worry if
you didn’t manage to get on before the start, as we’ve got live betting via
our ‘In-Play Console’ right up to the final putt (more or less) on
Sunday.
Franklin Templeton Shootout Pick:
Fred Couples & Adam Scott at 9/2
Get in the game and be lucky!
Nigel.
Please be aware that prices are subject to change. All times are subject
to change. Check local listings.