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INDY 15/2 FOR A CLEAN SWEEP
Another week, another win for the Colts, who now head into their bye-week
with a satisfying 7-0 next to their name. The 2/1 Super Bowl favorites were
15/2 joint favorites at the outset, the same price that bet365 now make
them to go unbeaten throughout the season. They certainly can do no wrong
at the moment, but a glance at their schedule suggests that they’ve had an
easy time of it so far, with their seven victims to date combining for a
mere 14 wins in 44 appearances this season. The games do get a little
harder from now on, starting with their nemesis, the Patriots, on their
return a week on Monday. However, their tempting schedule does give them a
great chance of securing home advantage in the playoffs, and it wouldn’t
have escaped their backer’s notice either, that the Super Bowl will be
played in their favored indoor conditions in Detroit.
bet365’s Indianapolis regular-season record prices … 16-0 15/2, 15-1 7/4,
14-2 11/4, 13-3 9/2, 12-4 15/2, others on request.
WEEK 7 RECAP
The Colts are certainly the team that everyone wants to back this season,
although the many bet365 customers who bet them to cover the 14.5-point
spread would have been sweating when the Texans leveled the game at 14-14
in the second quarter. Indy were one of seven winning favorites who covered
the line in Week 7, with the best performance coming from Washington, whose
offence went crazy as they beat a hapless San Francisco by 22 points.
Luckless San Diego suffered their fourth narrow defeat in seven games (but
still covered), and are out to 25/1 in the outright market. Pittsburgh are
moving in the opposite direction (10/1 from 11/1), after a crucial road win
at divisional rivals Cincinnati (22/1 from 18/1), which also saw their odds
for the AFC North cut to 4/7 (from 5/4).
bet365 latest Super Bowl prices … Indianapolis 2/1, Philadelphia 8/1, New
England, Pittsburgh 10/1, Atlanta 11/1, Carolina 12/1, others on bet365
website.
WEEK 8 - WASHINGTON REDSKINS @ NY GIANTS
Su Oct 30 – 1:00 pm EST/17:00 GMT
Last week we cashed in with Denver (+1.5) in their NY win, but don’t feel
as if the Redskins will offer as much of a challenge this week, so we’ll be
playing the Giants giving up a short number (-2.0). The importance of home
advantage should not be underestimated, and the G-men are 4-0 (3-1 ATS) in
front of their home fans this season. They also took the same fixture last
season, easily covering the number, and that trend will continue this week.
Since getting off to a 3-0 start, Washington has now lost two out of three,
and are allowing 22-points per game in the process.
Pick 1: NY Giants (-2.0) @ 10/11
WEEK 8 – ARIZONA CARDINALS @ DALLAS COWBOYS
Su Oct 30 – 1:00 pm EST/17:00 GMT
We’ve already seen plenty of interest in the Cowboys this week at an
opening line of 7.5 (now 9.5). That line may be slightly inflated now (fair
play to all the bet365 customers who got on early this week), but we can
still ‘get in the game’ by playing the ‘under’. Dallas is allowing just
12.3 points at home, and has held their last three opponents – Eagles,
Giants and Seahawks - to a combined 36 points. Those teams’ offences rank
first, fifth and 12th respectively, and the Cardinals offence isn’t nearly
as good. Their defense, however, can be respectable, and they look capable
of keeping the scoring low this week, especially as the Dallas offence has
some key injuries.
Pick 2: Arizona @ Dallas – Under 40.0 points @ 10/11
A $50 parlay on the above two games pays out $191.34 - which includes a
bet365 bonus of 5%
UP TO 50% MORE ON BET365 PARLAYS
Betting purists will say that you should be sticking to single bets, but
this is one way of getting rich cheaply, and there’s nothing wrong with a
speculative wager on the weekend’s games – plus you’re assured of getting
some extra value with our Football Parlay Bonus! Each week, we pay out up
to 50% more on successful NFL & NCAAF parlays on the following 6
markets:-
Point Spread, Game Total, First Half Point Spread, Second Half Point
Spread, First Half Total, Second Half Total.
This week’s suggested parlay is on the following teams:
• Cincinnati (-9.0) – are strongly fancied to bounce back against a poor
Packers side.
• San Diego (-6.0) – has a great chance to atone for some unlucky
defeats.
• Houston (-2.0) – will see this as their best chance to win a game all
season.
• Tennessee (+1.5) - need this game badly and will get it in a big way.
All teams are currently priced at 10/11, and a $50 parlay pays out $730.59
- which includes a bet365 bonus of 10%
BET IT LIVE WITH 365
You can’t beat the adrenaline rush of the live game, and that’s when our
In-Play service kicks in via our new ‘In-Play Console’, which has all the
odds and markets on one convenient page (just click on the link on the top
left-hand side of the home page). This weekend’s LIVE BETTING GAMES are:
Boston College @ Virginia Tech
Th Oct 27 – 7:30 pm EST (ESPN)/23:30 GMT
BC Lions @ EDM Eskimos
Fr Oct 28 – 9:00 pm EST (TSN)/Sa Oct 29 – 01:00 GMT
PHL Eagles @ DEN Broncos
Su Oct 30 – 4:15 pm EST/20:15 GMT
WAS Redskins @ NY Giants
Su Oct 30 – 1:00 pm EST/17:00 GMT
KC Chiefs @ SD Chargers
Su Oct 30 – 1:00 pm EST/17:00 GMT
BUF Bills @ NE Patriots
Su Oct 30 – 8:30 pm EST (ESPN)/Mo Oct 31 – 00:30 GMT
BAL Ravens @ PIT Steelers
Mo Oct 31 – 9:00 pm EST (ABC)/Tu Nov 1 – 01:00 GMT
Good luck in Week 8.
NASCAR
*******
EDWARDS IN THE NICHE AT 12/1
Just five races to go in the chase for the championship, and the road show
moves on this week to the Atlanta Motor Speedway for the Bass Pro Shops /
MBNA 500 (live In-Play betting available). Even though Atlanta is
considered to be a cookie-cutter track (same degree of banking in the
corners as Charlotte and Texas), the set up is still fairly unique, and
certain drivers have found success easier to come by here than others. In
particular, the Roush gang, whose drivers must all be considered as
potential winners this week. Top of that list must be Greg Biffle (15/2),
closely followed by Matt Kenseth, Kurt Busch and Carl Edwards, and it’s the
latter that could be the value bet this week at 12/1.
In the spring Atlanta race, and in his first full season on the circuit,
Edwards waged a thrilling final-lap battle with Jimmie Johnson (5/1
favorite this week) before taking his first career checkered flag. Before
that, he’d posted his first series top-five in this event last year,
running third behind Johnson and Martin, so he’s obviously very much in the
niche on this track. Currently fifth in the standings (149 points behind
leader Tony Stewart), he’s also got the incentive of the chase, but don’t
be surprised to see Johnson chase him all the way again this week.
Nigel’s Checkered Flag: Carl Edwards @ 11/1
bet365 MNBA 500 prices … Jimmie Johnson 5/1, Tony Stewart 6/1, Greg Biffle
15/2, Kasey Kahne 9/1, Ryan Newman 10/1, Carl Edwards 11/1, others on
bet365 website.
HORSE RACING
************
TERMS ARE FAVOURABLE AT 16/1
Sa Oct 29
This Saturday’s Breeders Cup meeting from Belmont Park is the Super Bowl of
the racing world and, as you’d expect, offers us some excelling betting
opportunities. From a Europeans perspective, our best chance looks to be
Ouija Board (currently available at 15/8) in the ‘Filly & Mare Turf’ (7.35)
after bolting up in this race last year. However, that was on the back of a
career-best performance in the Arc, and she may be vulnerable this time,
having not shown nearly the same sort of form this season. We can still
take this prize home, however, via the British-trained Favourable Terms,
who is available at a very generous bet365 price of 16/1. Her trainer,
Michael Stoute, will be aware of what’s required to win this race having
saddled Islington to collect two years ago.
The Mile (8.45) has been one of the happier hunting grounds for the
Europeans, but our challenge doesn’t look as strong this year, and the home
side look to have it sewn up with Leroidesanimaux (6/5). However, if he ran
below form, the most likely winner would be another US-trained runner,
Artie Schiller (6/1), so it might be worth having a reverse exacta on him
with the favorite. We have a stronger hand in the Turf, where Azamour and
Bago head the market at 5/2 and 7/2 respectively, but preference is for
Shirocco at 5/1, providing he gets the soft ground he loves (v. likely). In
the sprint, Lost In The Fog (11/10) will be hard to beat, but it’s not
worth taking short prices in a race like this, and you can get better odds
by backing both Silver Train (8/1) and Lion Tamer (8/1) against him. In the
Classic (10.35), Rock Hard Ten looks something to bet on at our industry
best 7/2. His pari-mutual odds on the night are likely to be much lower, a
comment that applies to the majority of the fancied US-trained runners. In
the other races I like the look of the dirt-bred Ivan Denisovich (take
pari-mutual odds) in the Juvenile (6.55), and Folklore (take 5/2) in the
Juvenile Fillies (6.20).
GOLF
****
STICK WITH OGILVY AT 33/1
Th Oct 27 – 4:00 pm EST (USA)/20:00 GMT
Fr Oct 28 – 4:00 pm EST (USA)/20:00 GMT
Sa Oct 29 – 3:00 pm EST (USA)/19:00 GMT
Su Oct 30 – 2:00 pm EST (ABC)/18:00 GMT
Vijay Singh could be over-priced at 7/1 to land the Chrysler Championship,
the last full-field tournament of the official US Tour season. That looks
an over-reaction to his poor form of late, including a missed cut last
week, but Vijay could easily bounce back here and it has to be in his
favour that this week’s event will be less of a putting contest. However,
it’s been more profitable taking on the favourites recently, and last
week’s pick Geoff Ogilvy (tied 3rd, one shot off a playoff with shock 150/1
winner Lucas Glover) is worth persevering with at a bet365 standout price
of 33/1 (35/1 Enhanced Win Only). He was a frustrating selection last week,
as he was tied for the lead going into the last hole, but was forced to be
overly aggressive on his approach shot after Glover had holed out from a
bunker to birdie the last! That cost him a bogey, but it was still an
impressive performance and it did maintain his excellent record in Florida.
His record on this course isn’t bad either – 20th and 9th from two attempts
– so let’s hope for better luck this week!
Nigel’s Chrysler Championship Pick: Geoff Ogilvy @ 33/1 (Each-way ¼ odds
1.2.3.4.5.)
Get in the game and be lucky!
Nigel.
Please be aware that prices are subject to change. All times are subject
to change. Check local listings.
NIGEL RIDGWAY, an experienced punter and betting shop owner of many years,
believes that “The key to successful gambling is getting value for money.”
Nigel was once forced by local bookmakers, to stop writing a tipping column
in a UK newspaper, because he was costing them a fortune. Find out what
offers and lines are hot at bet365