Tweet
***
WEEK 3 RECAP
NEW ENGLAND 11/2 FOR TITLE
New England leap-frogged Philadelphia in the Super Bowl betting after a
trade-mark last minute field goal from Adam Vinatieri earned them a crucial
AFC win at Pittsburgh. The Patriots are 11/2, while favorites Indianapolis
(4/1) let down their handicap backers for the second time in three matches,
but again showed a renewed defensive vigor in their 13-6 win over
Cleveland. They still have a 3-0 record, along with Cincinnati (20/1) and
Tampa Bay (22/1). Biggest market movers were Minnesota (33/1 from 40/1),
whose defense burst into life after a tardy start to beat New Orleans
33-16.
bet365 latest Super Bowl prices … Indianapolis 4/1, New England 11/2,
Philadelphia 13/2, Atlanta, Pittsburgh 10/1, Carolina 18/1, others on
bet365 website.
WEEK 4 RUNDOWN
INDIANAPOLIS @ TENNESSEE
After highlighting the current season trend for ‘under’ the total in last
week’s piece, guess what? The ‘over’ covered in nine of the 13 games!
Surprisingly though, one of the games not to go ‘over’ was Cleveland at
Indianapolis. The Colts have certainly found points hard to come by this
season, scoring just 47 points in three games, after averaging almost 32
per game last season. For Sunday’s trip to Tennessee, the total has been
set at 45.5 and, with many bettors expecting the Colts to breakout this
week, most of the bets will be ‘over.’ However, it may be best to wait
until we see normal service resume before betting the Colts to go over.
Indianapolis Colts @ Tennessee Titans – UNDER 45.5 POINTS @ 10/11
DENVER BRONCOS @ JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
The Jags have now seen the ‘over’ cash in two of their first three games.
However, in Week 1 they got a couple of meaningless late scores that took
the total ‘over’ by two points, while last week there were 29 points scored
in the second half (26-20 final). Expect to see a full 60-minute defensive
battle this week. In the Broncos last two games they’ve allowed just 17 and
10 points respectively, and that was against two of the top offences in the
NFL, San Diego and Kansas.
Denver Broncos @ Jacksonville Jaguars – UNDER 36.5 POINTS @ 10/11
A $50 parlay on the above two games pays out $191.34 - which includes a
bet365 bonus of 5%
UP TO 50% MORE ON BET365 PARLAYS
Betting purists will say that you should be sticking to single bets, but
this is one way of getting rich cheaply, and there’s nothing wrong with a
speculative wager on the weekend’s games – plus you’re assured of getting
some extra value with our Football Parlay Bonus! Each week, we pay out up
to 50% more on successful NFL & NCAAF parlays on the following 6 markets:
Point Spread, Game Total, First Half Point Spread, Second Half Point
Spread, First Half Total, Second Half Total.
This week’s suggested parlay is on the following teams:
San Francisco (+3.0); Oakland (-3.0); Cincinnati (-9.5); and New England
(-5.5). All teams are currently priced at 10/11, and a $50 parlay pays out
$730.59 - which includes a bet365 10% bonus
BET IT LIVE WITH 365
You can’t beat the adrenaline rush of the live game, and that’s when our
In-Play service kicks in via our new ‘In-Play Console’, which has all the
odds and markets on one convenient page (just click on the link on the top
left-hand side of the home page). This weekend’s live games are:
USC @ Arizona State
Live betting – Sa Oct 1 – 3:30 pm EST/19:30 GMT
Notre Dame @ Purdue
Live betting – Sa Oct 1 – 7:45 pm EST/23:45 GMT
HOU Texans @ CIN Bengals
Live betting – Su Oct 2 – 1:00 pm EST/16:00 GMT
NY Jets @ BAL Ravens
Live betting – Su Oct 2 - 4:05 pm EST/20:05 GMT
SF 49ers vs ARZ Cardinals
Live betting – Su Oct 2 – 8:30 pm EST (ESPN)/Oct 3 – 00:30 GMT
GB Packers @ CAR Panthers
Live betting – Su Oct 2 – 9:00 pm EST (ABC)/Oct 3 - -1:00 GMT
Good luck in Week 4
NASCAR
******
UAW – FORD 500 – JOHNSON 10/1 FOR TALLADEGA GLORY
Su Oct 2 – 1:30 pm EST (NBC)/16:30 GMT
This week’s race is from the one of the meanest, baddest tracks on the
circuit, the Talladega Superspeedway, one of two NASCAR tracks where
restrictor plate racing takes place (the other is Daytona). Nerves are
likely to get frayed as the drivers go 188 laps around two and a half miles
of asphalt banked at 33 degrees, at speeds of up to 200 mph.
There is still some debate amongst NASCAR drivers whether restrictor plate
racing should be part of the 10-race Championship. The plates are used to
restrict drivers to under 200 mph for safety reasons, but the downside of
them is that they tend to make all the cars equal, causing the field to
bunch and creating a situation where multi-car crashes are commonplace.
Last year’s ‘big one ‘didn’t happen until the last lap, by which time Dale
Earnhardt Jr. was well on his way to the checkered flag. Over the years,
Junior (9/2 co-favourite this week), and his team-mate Michael Waltrip
(15/2) have dominated these races, but things have been different this
year. Their No.8 Bud team has struggled, allowing Jeff Gordon (9/2) and
Tony Stewart (9/2) to take over with plates on. The team are capable of a
big run this week, in what is likely to be their last race together, but my
idea of the winner is Jimmie Johnson. Johnson hurdled from a season-low
sixth to first in the standings by winning in Dover last week, his third
win of the season. His Hendrick team have already ended Junior’s dominance
at Daytona, and he’s a good bet at 10/1 to end Junior’s six-race winning
streak in this race – live ‘In-Play’ betting available.
Nigel’s Talladega Checkered Flag … Jimmie Johnson @ 101
bet365 latest Championship Outright prices … Tony Stewart Evens, Jimmie
Johnson, Kurt Busch, Greg Biffle 5/1, Matt Kenseth 13/2, Ryan Newman 15/2,
others on bet365 website. Each-way 1/5 odds 1.2.3
GOLF
****
CHRYSLER CLASSIC - MOORE 50/1 FOR MAIDEN WIN
Th Sep 29 – 4:00 pm EST (USA)/20:00 GMT
Fr Sep 30 – 4:00 pm EST (USA)/20:00 GMT
Sa Oct 1 – 3:00 pm EST (USA)/19:00 GMT
Su Oct 2 – 3:00 pm EST (ABC)/19:00 GMT
The market leader’s for this week’s US Tour event look suspect on the basis
that many are out of form, or are using this event as warm-up for next
week’s AmEx Championship. Looking further down the betting didn’t do us any
harm last week, with pick, J J Henry, squeezing into the places at 66/1
(albeit at half the stake), so we’ll adopt a similar policy this week. Ryan
Moore is surely a future star in the making, and it’ only a question of
time before he breaks his Tour duck. That could be this week judging on
some promising efforts recently, including a runner-up spot in the Canadian
Open at the beginning of the month. His scoring average is 70.17 this
season, which ranks 23rd overall, and he’ll fancy his chances this week on
a track where he finished 24th as an amateur in 2004.
At 50/1 (55/1 Enhanced Odds), he has to be in the staking plan this week,
along with 2002 Rookie of the Year, Jonathan Byrd (66/1). Byrd is already a
winner on Tour, but has not played well this season, until showing signs he
was about to come out of his slum with a fifth in the Lumber Classic last
time out. He’s another who can count on good course form, with a third
(2002) and fifth (2003) to his name.
The final pick is a complete wild-card, but the 125/1 on Matt Gogel could
look massive come Sunday night, providing he plays as well as he has done
in previous visits to the Forest Oaks course (Tied 8th 2004, 3rd 2003).
He’s currently placed outside the top-125 ‘bubble’ of money leaders, so a
good week will go a long way to ensure his card again next season. As with
all US Tour events, we’ll have live betting, via our new ‘In-Play’ console,
right up to the final putt on Sunday.
Chrysler Classic Three Off The Tee: Ryan Moore @ 50/1; Jonathan Byrd @
66/1; Matt Gogel @ 125/1 (Each-way ¼ odds 1.2.3.4.5.)
Get in the game and be lucky!
Nigel
NIGEL RIDGWAY, an experienced punter and betting shop owner of many years,
believes that “The key to successful gambling is getting value for money.”
Nigel was once forced by local bookmakers, to stop writing a tipping column
in a UK newspaper, because he was costing them a fortune. Find out what
offers and lines are hot at bet365