Sportsbook.com’s Adjusted Totals

[BettorsChat]

Including the playoffs, the Bears have covered the UNDER only four times all season.. This isn’t surprising considering they average 27.4 PPG. Despite averaging near the top of the league with 26.5 PPG, the Colts covered the OVER only 9 out of 19 times all season. The TOTAL (48.5) will most likely come down to which defense shows up for each team.

The Bears’ defense was absolutely dominant through the first 10 games yielding only 12 PPG and 153.6 yards through the air. Since week 10, those numbers have jumped to 21.6 PPG and 261.4 PYPG. Their passing defense will be put to the test this weekend as they face Peyton Manning and his league leading 101 passer rating. Manning has struggled during the playoffs; throwing 6 interceptions to just 2 touchdowns. In the three playoff games his passer ratings were unimpressive: 71.9, 39.6 and 79.1.

The Colts’ defense was atrocious during the regular season against the run. Colts’ opponents ran through the Colts’ defense for an average of 173 RYPG. Not once did the Colts hold any of their regular season opponents to under 100 yards rushing. The Colts’ defense has definitely gotten its act together at the right time though. All three of their playoff opponents failed to surpass the 100 yard mark and they averaged only 73.3 RYPG; almost 100 yards fewer than their regular season opponents. The Bears’ strength is definitely their rushing attack which averages 123.8 RYPG and has rushed for 100+ yards in 11 of the last 12 games.

With Super Bowl Sunday just a few days away, it appears as if the public feels as if the Bears rushing attack and Colts passing attack will each prevail as 67% of the money so far is on the OVER (48.5). Remember, Sportsbook.com “Betting Trends” are an excellent way to gauge whether a line could move. If you like the OVER, you might want to pounce on it early to avoid any movement in the wrong direction.

Log on to Sportsbook.com to check out the 250+ props, including adjusted TOTALS that are all available for download. If you want to use your Credit Card to bet on the Super Bowl, keep in mind that Sportsbook.com has the highest CC acceptance rate in the industry.

Sportsbook.com’s Adjusted Totals(See All Odds Here):

37.5 Over -360 Under +280
41.5 Over -250 Under +200
56.5 Over +200 Under -250
61.5 Over +280 Under -360.

[picksandspreads]

My PROP and Game Plays:
Superbowl PROP of he Year:
IND Players to have a Rush Attempt in the game - 3 (OVER -140)
Of the 80 Superbowl Teams: 59 Teams had 4+ Players Rush the ball in the game,
19 Teams had exactly 3 Players, and 2 Teams had exactly 2 Players.
I figure putting up the extra juice is well worth the odds to win the bet.
A 74% chance to WIN the bet, a 23% chance of a Tie, and a 2.5% chance to lose.

Last Years Superbowl PROP of the Year:
**Seattle will receive the Opening Kickoff** WINNER
We told you that Cowher would elect to kickoff if Pittsburgh won the Coin Toss and Holmgren would elect to Receive
the ball if Seattle won the Coin Toss. EASY $ people.

Other PROPS I like this year:
CHI Players to have a Rush Attempt in the game - 3.5 (OVER -110) 74% chance to WIN
J. ADDAI will score a TD (YES +150)
CHI scores a Rushing TD (YES -150)
M. Harrison scores a TD (YES +100)
Largest Lead 14.5 (Under -110)

LONGSHOTS:
IND completes a 4th Down (YES +200)
IND has a Player score 2+ times (YES +190)
Punts that are Touchbacks 1.5 (OVER +270)



R. Grossman INT First Half (NO -110)

[picksandspreads]

The GAME:
SUPERBOWL SYSTEM:

This point system has picked the
straight up winner
of the Super Bowl
36 times out of the 40 games.
Here is the system with a
90% winning percentage.
-------------------------------------
*10pts to any team that has won the SB
in the last 3 years.
Neither qualify (Chi 0, Indy 0)
*8pts to team if opposing team is
appearing in 1st SB in franchise history.
Neither qualify (Chi 0, Indy 0)
*8pts to team that allowed fewer rushes
on the year.
Chicago 402, Indy 519 (Chi 8, Indy 0)
*7pts to team with best overall record.
Chicago 15-3, Indy 15-4 (Chi 15, Indy 0)
*7pts to team with most offensive rushes
Chicago 503, Indy 439 (Chi 22, Indy 0)
*5pts to team with lower defensive rush
yds per carry.
Chicago 4.0, Indy 5.3 (Chi 27, Indy 0)
*4pts to team with best net kick/punt
returns for TD.
Chicago +5, Indy -2 (Chi 31, Indy 0)
*4pts to team with best ATS record.
Chicago 11-7, Indy 11-8 (Chi 35, Indy 0)
*4pts to team with best net penalty yards
???? Dont have answer on this one yet.
(Chi 35, Indy 0)
*3.5pts to team w/ best yds per pass
attempt.
Chicago 6.4, Indy 7.5 (Chi 35, Indy 3.5)
*3.5pts to team that has allowed the
fewest points.
Chicago 255, Indy 360 (Chi 38.5, Indy 3.5)
*3.5pts to team that has allowed the
fewest rushing TDs.
Chicago 7, Indy 20 (Chi 42, Indy 3.5)
3pts to team with the most sacks
Chicago 40, Indy 25 (Chi 45, Indy 3.5)
2.5pts to team with fewest offensive pass
attempts.
Chicago 514, Indy 557 (chi 47.5, Indy 3.5)
2pts to team with best net total punts
???? dont have answer for this one yet.
(Chi 47.5, Indy 3.5)
1.5pts to team with best offensive rush
yds per carry.
Chicago 3.8, Indy 4.0 (Chi 47.5, Indy 5)
1pt to team with best completion pct.
Ch54.9%, Indy 65.0% (Chi 47.5, Indy 6)

Final tally:
Chicago 47.5 - Indy 6.0
Undecided 6.0 - won't make a difference.
-------------------------------------
We will be betting:
CHI +7