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Wow, I turned the TB game off when it was 1-0 through 4 innings last night, and an hour later, it's 5-1 Boston. I don't know what happened, and I honestly don't want to.
Baseball Play of the Day (26-23, +6.84*)
Houston Astros -105 (Rodriguez/Maholm)
This play is squarer than Spongebob, but I don't really see any other option here. I've capitalized on this angle a couple times already: the Pirates now stand at 1-15 against LHSP (including 0-5 at home), and they are averaging only 3.6 runs in those games. Houston, on the other hand, is 7-4 against LHSP, averaging 4.7 rpg (as a caveat, they are 0-3 on the road against LHSP).
Wandy Rodriguez sports an overall ERA that is 0.45 runs better than Maholm, and his WHIP is almost 0.3 better (for those who don't know, this is a large difference). W-Rod's road ERA and WHIP are also substantially better than Maholm's home numbers.
Detroit hasn't covered as an underdog in over 4 months - they only had two opportunities, but I still feel that the oddsmakers are expecting, and hoping for, Detroit money. Why isn't this line pk? Overall the Pistons were 2-3 as a dog this year, and 31 points behind the point spread in those games. Just my opinion, and I'm not going to play Miami (there is no value at all), but I think this is awfully fishy.
Baseball Play of the Day (26-23, +6.84*)
Houston Astros -105 (Rodriguez/Maholm)
This play is squarer than Spongebob, but I don't really see any other option here. I've capitalized on this angle a couple times already: the Pirates now stand at 1-15 against LHSP (including 0-5 at home), and they are averaging only 3.6 runs in those games. Houston, on the other hand, is 7-4 against LHSP, averaging 4.7 rpg (as a caveat, they are 0-3 on the road against LHSP).
Wandy Rodriguez sports an overall ERA that is 0.45 runs better than Maholm, and his WHIP is almost 0.3 better (for those who don't know, this is a large difference). W-Rod's road ERA and WHIP are also substantially better than Maholm's home numbers.
Detroit hasn't covered as an underdog in over 4 months - they only had two opportunities, but I still feel that the oddsmakers are expecting, and hoping for, Detroit money. Why isn't this line pk? Overall the Pistons were 2-3 as a dog this year, and 31 points behind the point spread in those games. Just my opinion, and I'm not going to play Miami (there is no value at all), but I think this is awfully fishy.
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