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Sorry, not much of a writeup here, I'm exhausted, and I probably won't be around much the next couple days, as I've got family in town.
Baseball Play of the Day (25-22, +6.48*)
Cleveland Indians +162 (Lee/Santana)
With all due respect to Santana, I'm not sure the Twins should be laying this price against Cliff Lee and the Indians with Sandy Koufax pitching. Thus, this is a value play - which all my plays are really.
Anyway, the Twins are 4-11 against LHSP, averaging about 3.6 runs per game (including one game they scored 6 unearned runs). Cliff Lee is better than the average lefty, and I like the Indians chances of stealing this one.
Here's the bottom line - Cleveland averages 1.6 more rpg against LHSP than the Twins do, and Santana isn't worth 1.6 runs.
Good luck all!
Baseball Play of the Day (25-22, +6.48*)
Cleveland Indians +162 (Lee/Santana)
With all due respect to Santana, I'm not sure the Twins should be laying this price against Cliff Lee and the Indians with Sandy Koufax pitching. Thus, this is a value play - which all my plays are really.
Anyway, the Twins are 4-11 against LHSP, averaging about 3.6 runs per game (including one game they scored 6 unearned runs). Cliff Lee is better than the average lefty, and I like the Indians chances of stealing this one.
Here's the bottom line - Cleveland averages 1.6 more rpg against LHSP than the Twins do, and Santana isn't worth 1.6 runs.
- The Cubs have now won 1 of 20 games not started by CZ, and they again find themselves a road favorite tomorrow.
- There are a couple of pitcher revenge games tomorrow (Mets & Rockies would be the two theoretical plays) - when this happens within a couple weeks, I like to take note. The revenging pitcher is normally a good angle in this scenario.
- I'd be surprised if this 2-teamer, which pays around even money, were to lose - Tor and Det. KC is terrible, and they are winless against LHSP this season. Tor has Halladay going, and they are hitting LHPs especially hard.
Good luck all!
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