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Nice winner yesterday with the Marlins as a nice-priced dog.
Baseball Play of the Day (21-18, +5.88)
Washington Nationals +154 (Armas/Thomson)
It's nice to see the oddsmakers have this much confidence in Thomson and the Braves. I don't.
Both of these pitchers have been very successful from an ERA standpoint this season - Thomson's ERA has been outstanding, 1.89. Armas hasn't been quite that dominant, but his 3.58 ERA isn't bad either.
This game is actually a rematch of a game played on April 23 on ESPN. Armas was the better pitcher in that meeting (He gave up 3 hits, 2 walks and no runs in 6 1/3 innings pitched. Thomson pitched 6 innings, gave up 7 hits and 5 walks, but only one run), though the Nationals eventually fell 3-1 when Gary Majewski gave up a 3-run HR.
Basically, though Thomson's ERA is better, the pitchers' WHIPs are the same, and I think Thomson's ERA is going to take a steep increase in his upcoming starts. He continues to give up more baserunners than his ERA would indicate, and that will come back and be his downfall eventually. Tomorrow is a likely beginning, and I don't find it in the realm of possibility to pass up this generous number.
Good luck everyone!
- The Pirates definitely can be considered as a likely fade any time they are more than the slightest of favorites, but I don't think I'll go that route with Brian Moehler on the mound for the Marlins.
- I hate to bet against a good team in a game when they are fighting to avoid a sweep, but the Indians shouldn't be favored tomorrow.
- Speaking of which, those who like playing 2-team ML parlays almost have to include the White Sox tomorrow. Buerhle is the guy to send to the mound to avoid the sweep, and the Twins are pathetic against LHP.
Baseball Play of the Day (21-18, +5.88)
Washington Nationals +154 (Armas/Thomson)
It's nice to see the oddsmakers have this much confidence in Thomson and the Braves. I don't.
Both of these pitchers have been very successful from an ERA standpoint this season - Thomson's ERA has been outstanding, 1.89. Armas hasn't been quite that dominant, but his 3.58 ERA isn't bad either.
This game is actually a rematch of a game played on April 23 on ESPN. Armas was the better pitcher in that meeting (He gave up 3 hits, 2 walks and no runs in 6 1/3 innings pitched. Thomson pitched 6 innings, gave up 7 hits and 5 walks, but only one run), though the Nationals eventually fell 3-1 when Gary Majewski gave up a 3-run HR.
Basically, though Thomson's ERA is better, the pitchers' WHIPs are the same, and I think Thomson's ERA is going to take a steep increase in his upcoming starts. He continues to give up more baserunners than his ERA would indicate, and that will come back and be his downfall eventually. Tomorrow is a likely beginning, and I don't find it in the realm of possibility to pass up this generous number.
Good luck everyone!
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