Tweet
Wagering in itself is extremely uncertain , and that uncertainty can work in your favor more than one would think. Usually at the end of all your research assessment the clarion call of " More research is needed " and we want answers to every question.
Uncertainty , far from being a flaw , is a essential characterist of wagering and we all know Dogmatism is the enemy in progress .
With the help of numerous examples ( stats-hunches-trends-tips) they often illuminate the way we pick a zig-zag course from ignorance to knowledge . Wagering models of reality may be idealized , even simplistic , but thier failings often light the way ahead .
I will accept my task to make the best case possible from the best available evidence , but often not to sift out the truth , to a gambler thats intellectually dishonest . As Carl Sagan used to point out , you cant assume ignorance is going to work in your favor .
Uncertainty , like a great cut man can work in your favor , if you are willing to accept it for what its worth , and when to spot play it to your favor .
Good , Better , Best - brought to you from the famous leaper colony making guesses , judging likelyhoods and evaluating probabilities from the island of rags and sick people !
More to follow - - - - soon !
G.L. & G.B.
***MMM***
Uncertainty , far from being a flaw , is a essential characterist of wagering and we all know Dogmatism is the enemy in progress .
With the help of numerous examples ( stats-hunches-trends-tips) they often illuminate the way we pick a zig-zag course from ignorance to knowledge . Wagering models of reality may be idealized , even simplistic , but thier failings often light the way ahead .
I will accept my task to make the best case possible from the best available evidence , but often not to sift out the truth , to a gambler thats intellectually dishonest . As Carl Sagan used to point out , you cant assume ignorance is going to work in your favor .
Uncertainty , like a great cut man can work in your favor , if you are willing to accept it for what its worth , and when to spot play it to your favor .
Good , Better , Best - brought to you from the famous leaper colony making guesses , judging likelyhoods and evaluating probabilities from the island of rags and sick people !
More to follow - - - - soon !
G.L. & G.B.
***MMM***
Comment