Tweet
Spears Wed BB Total
Well - Just back from 4 solid days of bluegrass music in NC and VA. Pollen got a hold of me and kept me down for the next two days. A little rusty but these plays are fine. 11-8 on totals.
First a little humor for ya!
There once was a man named Bubba and Bubba knew EVERYONE in the whole world!!!
One afternoon, Bubba strolled into the office of his new boss and announced, "Boss, I know everyone in the whole world!"
His boss didn't believe him so he challenged him, "No, you do not know everyone in the whole world!"
But Bubba was steadfast, "Yes I do!", replied Bubba, "Pick someone...and I'm sure I'll know him!"
Well Bubba's boss thought for a minute and then selected a name, "Tom Selleck! I bet you don't know Tom Selleck!"
Bubba thinks for a minute and replies, "Tom Selleck, sure I do!, Tom and I were in boy scouts together when we were kids!"
But Bubba's boss is sure he's mistaken and replies, "No you weren't!"
Bubba remains adamant as he says, "Yes we were!"
So they fly to Hollywood and drive to Tom Selleck's home. Bubba knocks on the door and Tom Selleck answers the door as Bubba shouts, "Tom!!!"
Tom gets a big grin as he returns the greeting, "Bubba!" and they hug and catch up for 30 minutes.
Bubba's boss can't believe it, but then he thinks "Well that could happen, it's just one person--a coincidence." So he again challenges Bubba, "How about the president, Bill Clinton! You don't know Bill Clinton, do you?"
Bubba again ponders a moment, then recalls, "Oh yes I do! Bill and I were on a debate team together in college!"
Bubba's boss, incredulous, says "You were not!" and Bubba again confirms, "Yes we were!"
So they fly to Washington D.C. where they catch up with the President at a press conference. They work their way through the crowd until Bubba get's close enough to catch Clinton's eye, waves, and shouts, "Bill!" and the President waves back, shouting, "Bubba!" and after the press conference they hug and catch up for 30 minutes and Bubba's boss is stunned - he can't believe it.
His mind reeling, he thinks to himself, "While the odds of this being a coincidence are astronomically high, the odds on Bubba knowing everyone in the world are far higher!" So he decides to try one more time, but this time he'll pick someone in another country, and Bubba's boss knows just who to pick, "The Pope! I'll bet you do not know the Pope!"
Bubba strains his memory for a minute, then says "The Pope! The Pope BAPTIZED me!"
Bubba's boss laughs out loud and says "No he didn't!"
But Bubba assures him, "Yes he did!"
So they head to Rome where the Pope is giving Mass in front of hundreds of thousands of people. They work their way through the crowd--without much luck--so Bubba turns to his boss and says "We're never going to get there together through all these people. I tell you what, I'll work my way up there and when I do, I'll give you a sign that shows you I know the Pope!" and he leaves.
Well Bubba's boss waits and waits and waits and just when he's about to give up, he sees the Pope come out onto the balcony and right there beside him is Bubba!
A few seconds later Bubba notices his boss faint. Bubba rushes back and finds his boss passed out and begins to fan him and says "Boss! Boss! Wake up!"
As his boss regains consciousness, he asks "Boss what happened?"
Bubba's boss looks at him and says "OK, I can see Tom Selleck. I can see Bill Clinton. I can even take the Pope! But when somebody standing next to me asked 'Who's that up there with Bubba?' that was a little more than I could take!"
------------------------------------------------------------
Liking the game with:
4*Cinncy/Colorado Over 11.5
This is a lot of runs but when you look at the stats of both teams against Lefties- it makes sense. This is practically the highest number they could put on it- I believe. Both teams have been under the total lately -until today.
COLORADO is 5-1 (+3.7 Units) against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.0 Units)
CLAUSSEN is 0-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 7.94 and a WHIP of 1.765.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)
FRANCIS is 1-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 4.91 and a WHIP of 1.364.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)
CINCINNATI is 30-14 OVER (+14.1 Units) vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CINCINNATI 5.8, OPPONENT 6.0 - (Rating = 2*)
CINCINNATI is 21-7 OVER (+12.8 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CINCINNATI 5.6, OPPONENT 6.0 - (Rating = 2*)
CINCINNATI is 9-2 (+7.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
The average score was CINCINNATI 7.8, OPPONENT 5.5 - (Rating = 0*)
3*Minn/KC Over 9 1/2
Mays is not the same pitcher he was since Tommy John surgery- I feel he will sense it today. Minny has been anemic at the plate lately- the bats come alive in this game.
Trends
MINNESOTA is 11-2 OVER (+9.0 Units) in games played on artificial turf this season.
The average score was MINNESOTA 5.6, OPPONENT 5.5 - (Rating = 2*)
MINNESOTA is 15-5 OVER (+10.0 Units) against right-handed starters this season.
The average score was MINNESOTA 4.4, OPPONENT 6.3 - (Rating = 1*)
First a little humor for ya!
There once was a man named Bubba and Bubba knew EVERYONE in the whole world!!!
One afternoon, Bubba strolled into the office of his new boss and announced, "Boss, I know everyone in the whole world!"
His boss didn't believe him so he challenged him, "No, you do not know everyone in the whole world!"
But Bubba was steadfast, "Yes I do!", replied Bubba, "Pick someone...and I'm sure I'll know him!"
Well Bubba's boss thought for a minute and then selected a name, "Tom Selleck! I bet you don't know Tom Selleck!"
Bubba thinks for a minute and replies, "Tom Selleck, sure I do!, Tom and I were in boy scouts together when we were kids!"
But Bubba's boss is sure he's mistaken and replies, "No you weren't!"
Bubba remains adamant as he says, "Yes we were!"
So they fly to Hollywood and drive to Tom Selleck's home. Bubba knocks on the door and Tom Selleck answers the door as Bubba shouts, "Tom!!!"
Tom gets a big grin as he returns the greeting, "Bubba!" and they hug and catch up for 30 minutes.
Bubba's boss can't believe it, but then he thinks "Well that could happen, it's just one person--a coincidence." So he again challenges Bubba, "How about the president, Bill Clinton! You don't know Bill Clinton, do you?"
Bubba again ponders a moment, then recalls, "Oh yes I do! Bill and I were on a debate team together in college!"
Bubba's boss, incredulous, says "You were not!" and Bubba again confirms, "Yes we were!"
So they fly to Washington D.C. where they catch up with the President at a press conference. They work their way through the crowd until Bubba get's close enough to catch Clinton's eye, waves, and shouts, "Bill!" and the President waves back, shouting, "Bubba!" and after the press conference they hug and catch up for 30 minutes and Bubba's boss is stunned - he can't believe it.
His mind reeling, he thinks to himself, "While the odds of this being a coincidence are astronomically high, the odds on Bubba knowing everyone in the world are far higher!" So he decides to try one more time, but this time he'll pick someone in another country, and Bubba's boss knows just who to pick, "The Pope! I'll bet you do not know the Pope!"
Bubba strains his memory for a minute, then says "The Pope! The Pope BAPTIZED me!"
Bubba's boss laughs out loud and says "No he didn't!"
But Bubba assures him, "Yes he did!"
So they head to Rome where the Pope is giving Mass in front of hundreds of thousands of people. They work their way through the crowd--without much luck--so Bubba turns to his boss and says "We're never going to get there together through all these people. I tell you what, I'll work my way up there and when I do, I'll give you a sign that shows you I know the Pope!" and he leaves.
Well Bubba's boss waits and waits and waits and just when he's about to give up, he sees the Pope come out onto the balcony and right there beside him is Bubba!
A few seconds later Bubba notices his boss faint. Bubba rushes back and finds his boss passed out and begins to fan him and says "Boss! Boss! Wake up!"
As his boss regains consciousness, he asks "Boss what happened?"
Bubba's boss looks at him and says "OK, I can see Tom Selleck. I can see Bill Clinton. I can even take the Pope! But when somebody standing next to me asked 'Who's that up there with Bubba?' that was a little more than I could take!"
------------------------------------------------------------
Liking the game with:
4*Cinncy/Colorado Over 11.5
This is a lot of runs but when you look at the stats of both teams against Lefties- it makes sense. This is practically the highest number they could put on it- I believe. Both teams have been under the total lately -until today.
COLORADO is 5-1 (+3.7 Units) against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.0 Units)
CLAUSSEN is 0-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 7.94 and a WHIP of 1.765.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)
FRANCIS is 1-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 4.91 and a WHIP of 1.364.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)
CINCINNATI is 30-14 OVER (+14.1 Units) vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CINCINNATI 5.8, OPPONENT 6.0 - (Rating = 2*)
CINCINNATI is 21-7 OVER (+12.8 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CINCINNATI 5.6, OPPONENT 6.0 - (Rating = 2*)
CINCINNATI is 9-2 (+7.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
The average score was CINCINNATI 7.8, OPPONENT 5.5 - (Rating = 0*)
3*Minn/KC Over 9 1/2
Mays is not the same pitcher he was since Tommy John surgery- I feel he will sense it today. Minny has been anemic at the plate lately- the bats come alive in this game.
Trends
MINNESOTA is 11-2 OVER (+9.0 Units) in games played on artificial turf this season.
The average score was MINNESOTA 5.6, OPPONENT 5.5 - (Rating = 2*)
MINNESOTA is 15-5 OVER (+10.0 Units) against right-handed starters this season.
The average score was MINNESOTA 4.4, OPPONENT 6.3 - (Rating = 1*)
It's always noon somewhere! 
Single Unit: 10-9 -1.34 units
Comment