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  • Are You Ready For Some Football?

    Insider Edge Sports takes a look into the 2003 NCAA football coaching changes

    Coaching changes can have an immediate impact on teams while for others, it may take time for the new coach to make his mark. Here is our take on the new coaches for 2003 and whether or not you will see an immediate change or the same old stuff from 2002.

    Alabama – Mike Shula replacing Mike Price replacing Dennis Franchione

    This was by far the most talked about coaching carousel in the off-season as Franchione decided to head back to the state of Texas after just two seasons guiding the Tide. Alabama thought they had their man with Mike Price until the whole sex scandal story came out and he was immediately let go and replaced by Mike Shula. Shula is a former Alabama quarterback and seems like a good choice to lead this team but the big question is why he wasn’t a candidate until after Price was let go? He is the youngest coach ever hired at Alabama and will be the youngest coach in the SEC entering this season. His youth will allow him to be a good motivator but he has no head coaching experience and that will definitely hurt. He has plenty of NFL coaching experience as he landed his first job in 1988 and most notably spent 4 years in Tampa Bay as their offensive coordinator. The problem was that offense was atrocious so he will need to rely on Tide offensive coordinator Dave Radar to get the job done. Five years from now, this will look like a very good decision but with this team entering a second year of NCAA probation, it will be a transition year for the Tide and they will not come close to matching their 10 wins from a season ago.

    Ball St. – Brady Hoke replacing Bill Lynch

    This looks like a perfect fit for the Cardinals who are coming off a 6-6 season in 2002. Lynch was fired as Ball State's football coach after producing only two winning seasons in his eight years at the school. Hoke is a former All-MAC football player at Ball St. and will be coming back to his alma mater after spending the last 8 seasons at Michigan. He spent the 2002 season as the associate head coach and defensive line coach and will bring a great deal of big school experience to the Cardinals. A .500 season is something a lot of teams would kill for but it wasn’t good enough for Lynch to keep his job. Hoke will have his hands full in his first season as the Cardinals welcome rising Missouri and have three rough MAC visitors in Miami, Toledo and Bowling Green. He has to replace some good talent in key positions and while the move looks to be the right one, it might be a rough rookie season for Hoke in his return to Muncie.

    Baylor – Guy Morriss replacing Kevin Steele

    The coaching change for the Bears can only be a positive. Steele did a horrific job at Baylor in his 4 seasons as he compiled a 9-36 record and just one conference victory. Morriss resigned at Kentucky after six seasons, the final two as head coach. He is a native Texan and should bring excitement to this program that seemed to quit at certain times for their old coach. Morriss is very respected and should be able to help the Bears recruiting right away, bringing in future success to this perennial Big 12 basement team. The problem is that for now, he will be coaching Steele recruits and must look for ways to move this team in the right direction this season which might be easier said than done. After their spring sessions, Morriss knew what lies ahead. “It took us some time this spring just to get our kids in good enough shape so that we can start getting some work out of them. I think any time there is a transition, like a new staff, and the length that it took, some of the kids fell through the cracks. We had to get after them pretty hard this spring just to get them back on track in the weight room, conditioning and so forth, but as far as next year goes, it's going to be an interesting year. We aren't blessed with a lot of depth, our numbers are down right now, and we are a little bit out of balance, but again we knew those things coming in here. We are just going to try to be as competitive as we can be, play as hard as can for as long as we can and kind of see what happens.” Even he knows the challenge will be difficult but at least they are moving forward. 2003 doesn’t look to be good, but it can’t get much worse.

    Bowling Green – Gregg Brandon replacing Urban Meyer

    Brandon will have some tough shoes to fill in taking over for the very popular Meyer who left the Falcons to take the head coaching job at Utah. Meyer took over a team that had endured six straight losing seasons. In Meyer's first two seasons, the Falcons went 17-6 overall, including an 11-5 mark in the Mid-American Conference. He left the program in tremendous shape and it will be up to Brandon to keep the success going, which shouldn’t be a problem at all. Brandon has more than 22 years of coaching experience at the Division I level, including the last two years at Bowling Green where he has served as assistant head coach and directed the Falcons' record-setting offensive attack. The Falcons had trouble scoring at all before Brandon arrived, and last year they led the nation in that department for the first half of the season, with essentially the same players. The players are behind Brandon and he was hands down the players’ choice as their new coach. "We were united in our support for coach Brandon," senior quarterback Josh Harris said, "and we let everyone here know that. We felt like he had done a lot of good things with the offense, and we wanted to see that continue." This was definitely the best decision the athletic department could have made and the Falcons won’t miss a beat in 2003.

    East Carolina – John Thompson replacing Steve Logan

    East Carolina will have a different face on the sidelines for the first time in 11 seasons. The Pirates posted a 4-8 mark in 2002 and have won only four of their past 15 games dating back to 2001. East Carolina finished tied for fifth (4-4) in Conference USA this past season, its lowest finish in six years of competition in the league after three straight second-place showings. Logan is the all-time leader in coaching wins but the university needed to go in a different direction and get a fresh look to the program. Enter John Thompson, one of the most highly regarded defensive coaches in the country. His 21-year collegiate coaching career includes 19 seasons as a defensive coordinator with stops at four schools in the Southeastern Conference - Florida, Alabama, Arkansas, and LSU. He has guided one of the nation's top 25 defensive units in four of the past six years. But Thompson isn’t a stranger to Conference USA. He was the mastermind behind the dominant Southern Miss defense of the mid-1990s as he took over the position of defensive coordinator for the Golden Eagles in 1992, was given the additional title of assistant head coach in 1993, and remained with that program until 1998. Along the way, Southern Miss won or shared two Conference USA titles, ranked among the top 25 nationally in scoring defense twice, and made two bowl appearances. The Pirates were underachievers the last couple season under Logan and this change should bring East Carolina back into the national spotlight right away.

    Houston – Art Briles replacing Dana Dimel

    Dimel was a player favorite at Houston but a change had to be made since the program wasn’t improving as quickly as the university had hoped. There was no quit in the Cougars who finished last season with a convincing 27-10 win over Louisville, 6 days after Dimel was told he was fired but decided he wanted to coach his players one last time. He finished 8-26 in three years at Houston, including an 0-11 record in 2001 - the only winless campaign in the program's history. Briles becomes the first-ever former UH player to lead the Cougar football program, something that will play an important role this season in getting his players on his side. Briles spent the last three years as the running backs coach at Texas Tech and like Guy Morriss of Baylor, he is very well respected around the high school ranks and should improve their recruiting immediately. Unfortunately, Houston has had their problems in recent years and a turn around won’t happen in one season. This is a move for the future more than anything and improving on their 5 wins from a year ago might be a stretch. Developing a foundation is the first step and the university is hoping Briles can do that. But this should be a fun team to watch as Briles brings in a wide-open, air it out offensive attack, which could keep the Cougars competitive in some games if their defense can hold up.

    Kentucky – Rich Brooks replacing Guy Morriss

    Morriss stepped down to head back to his home state of Texas to take over the struggling Baylor program. Rich Brooks comes in with a wealth of experience but hasn’t coached in a few years since leaving the Atlanta Falcons in 2000. Brooks has 27 years of coaching experience on the collegiate level, including a groundbreaking 18-year term as head coach at Oregon, and is a 10-year NFL coaching veteran. His tenure at Oregon shows his commitment to a program, something the Wildcats are in desperate need of. Morriss was only around for 2 seasons and the program has been in the middle of NCAA infractions and probation the past few years so a veteran like Brooks could turn them around, but not overnight. His best move was the hiring of ex-Utah coach Ron McBride, who joins the staff as an assistant coach in charge of linebackers. Utah has been known for their tough defense and McBride should bring that talent to Kentucky, who will need a push right away as they return only 3 starters to their defense with all 4 linebackers being new. It might take some time for the defense to get it together but Brooks has the luxury of a solid offense that loses just 4 players including only 1 offensive lineman. It’s a whole new start for Kentucky, which can only bring good things and Brooks can definitely be the right man to turn things around.

    Louisiana-Monroe – Charlie Weatherbie replacing Bobby Keasler (Mike Collins)

    Keasler resigned last season and it was Mike Collins who stepped in and did a fantastic job in running the team the remainder of the season even though the wins didn’t come their way. Just keeping their heads in the game after their coach quits halfway through the season is a huge accomplishment in itself. He was given the permanent job for 2003 but unfortunately, Collins got hit with a DUI the night before the spring game and was fired. In steps Charlie Weatherbie who has had great success in turning around struggling programs (Utah St. and Navy). He is considered a players coach and is very well respected but knows that it will be an uphill battle for the Indians. He inherits a very young team but one that has a lot of talent. This team has a legitimate shot in coming years as long as they buy into the system but 2003 isn’t the year. This is a great move for the program to get a big name coach that can attract recruits and make the fans and people around the university believe. And who knows, they could surprise this season but with trips to LSU, Mississippi and Auburn, it’s not likely. Surpassing their 3 wins from last season is doable but it won’t be much more than 1 game most likely.

    Louisville – Bob Petrino replacing John L. Smith

    Smith will be a difficult coach to replace as he turned around a Cardinals program and pointed them in the right direction. He put together a 41-21 record, including five straight bowl appearances and back-to-back Conference USA titles in 2000-01. The five bowl trips equaled the number of postseason appearances Louisville had made prior to his arrival and the five consecutive winning seasons marked a first for the program. Petrino was part of that success as he served as the Cardinals offensive coordinator during the 1998 season when Louisville led the nation in scoring and total offense. In the 4 years since, he spent two seasons coaching the quarterbacks and another as the offensive coordinator for the Jacksonville Jaguars of the NFL followed by a one-year tenure during the 2002 season in the same capacity at Auburn. It did not take long for him to put his stamp on the Auburn offense in 2002 as the Tigers improved to #31 nationally in scoring average (31.25 ppg) and #38 nationally in scoring offense (396.67 ypg) after ranking #86 nationally in scoring offense (22.18 ppg) and #73 in total offense (358.82 ypg) in 2001. Even with a new quarterback to take the snaps, Petrino should be able to put a solid offense on the field and keep the success going that Smith built.

    Michigan St. – John L. Smith replacing Bobby Williams

    Smith brings his success to a program in need of a jump-start. Williams had no control over his players and it showed as Michigan St. ended 2002 with a 4-8 record and many on and off the field problems that included QB Jeff Smoker entering a substance-abuse program. Smoker is back with the team, although he might not be the starter when the season begins. Smith has had success everywhere he has coached. He led Louisville to a 41-21 record in his 5 years that included a 7-5 record in his first season in 1998, a year after the Cardinals finished 1-10. Prior to Louisville, he coached at Utah St. for 3 seasons and led them to 2 Big West championships after the Aggies had produced just 2 winning seasons in their prior 15. Before that, he coached at Idaho for 6 seasons where he became the winningest coach in school history. The Spartans haven’t had a winning season since 2001 when they went 7-5 but that could change if Smith can get this team under control. They need to get their priorities in order first and foremost and once that is accomplished, then they can look at the future. Smith has done it before and there is no reason why he can’t do it again at a higher level.

    Oregon St. – Mike Riley replacing Dennis Erickson

    This is another case of a coach restoring tradition and success back into a program and then heading out. However in this case, the tradition and success is something that is fairly new to the Beavers and it is up to Riley to keep it going. Erickson left Oregon St. to head back to the NFL while Riley returns to Oregon St. from the NFL after serving as the Beavers head coach during the 1997-98 seasons. He led the Beavers to a two-year mark of 8-14, and is widely considered the person who started the football renaissance at the school. He recruited 17 of the 24 starters from the 2000-2001 Fiesta Bowl. He is blessed with a young group of athletes that return 9 starters on offense and 7 on defense. This team can reach double digit wins once again with their toughest tests coming in their last two games at Oregon and at USC. Riley has been here before and while the record might not have showed it, he did wonders for the program and will continue keeping the success going.

    Texas A&M – Dennis Franchione replacing R.C. Slocum

    Franchione returns to the state of Texas after a brief 2-year stint at Alabama. Even under the Tide probation, he put together a 2002 season far above expectations when everyone thought it would be a down year in Tuscaloosa. He now comes back to Texas, this time at A&M, a program stumbling but not down far enough where the task will be too daunting. Slocum was on the clock much of last season and losing 4 of their last 5 games finally did him in. The normally stringent defense allowed 35 ppg during that final 5-game stretch and that signaled the end for the 14-year Aggies coaching veteran. Franchione brings in a winning attitude and a winning track record. He has compiled a 155-73-2 record (.678 percent) as a head coach. He ranks as the #8 winningest active head coach in NCAA Div. IA in terms of winning percentage and his 155-career victories stand #7 among active Div. IA head coaches. Slocum gave A&M some great years but he was never able to push them over the top into the elite crowd. Can Franchione do that? The 12th man might have some say in that and it’s a definite possibility in the near future.

    Tulsa – Steve Kragthorpe replacing Keith Burns

    Things can only get better for the Golden Hurricane. Keith Burns compiled an overall 7-28 record in his three seasons at Tulsa but his last two teams registered an overall 2-21 record. When your coach resigns, he has not only given up on himself but also on his team and therefore a change is the best thing possible. Kragthorpe brings 13 years of coaching to the program, including 11 years on the collegiate level and two years of professional football. He was the QB coach for the Buffalo Bills the last 2 seasons and had the opportunity to coach Drew Bledsoe this past season, a definite benefit going forward. He is only 37 years old and will bring a brand new outlook to this team that has struggled for years going back to the rough times with coach Dave Radar. He came in and promised starting roles to no one thus making competition intense and bringing out the best of abilities in everyone. His mentor was LaVell Edwards and if he can even come close to that success, he will turn this place around in a hurry. Expect dramatic improvements from them this season and while a winning record is unlikely, coming close to .500 is.

    UCLA - Karl Dorrell replacing Bob Toledo

    Optimism is high for the Bruins as former UCLA receiver Karl Dorrell takes over for Bob Toledo as coach. Toledo was let go at the end of the regular season and didn’t coach the Bruins in the Las Vegas Bowl, a game in which they won 27-13 over New Mexico under interim coach Ed Kezirian. It was felt that in order to revitalize the program and move it forward, a change of leadership was required and a fresh start necessary. Dorrell comes to UCLA from the Denver Broncos, where he was in his third year as the coach of the wide receivers and prior to his arrival in Denver, he coached 12 years on the collegiate level mostly as a receivers coach. He can definitely bring a fresh new attitude to the program and being only 39, he should be able to have his players buy into his system. Being a Bruins graduate, he knows the tradition of UCLA football and will work hard to get them back into the national spotlight after many underachieving years. Like Tulsa, a young fresh face is just what the school needs so expect Dorrell to utilize his talented team to the best of their abilities and start out in the right direction.

    Utah – Urban Meyer replacing Ron McBride

    A very popular coach, Ron McBride was let go after putting together a .500 conference and overall record his past 3 seasons. While those numbers aren’t that bad, it’s not what the school is striving for so a change was felt necessary. McBride will take his talents on defense to Kentucky under their new coach Rich Brooks. Meyer comes over from Bowling Green where he revitalized a struggling program and put them on the map. He compiled a 17-6 record in his two years at BGSU, including a 5-0 mark against Bowl Championship Series teams. Meyer was 8-3 in 2001 and 9-3 in 2002. Meyer will definitely open things up for the Utes, as he did at Bowling Green, and he is fortunate to have 14 starters return from last season. Many feel that McBride got the raw end of the deal and that he was fired unfairly but his replacement should bring a new spark to the offense that has struggled in past years. Surpassing last seasons 5 wins won’t be easy so there won’t be a noticeable difference right away but Meyer will have them going in the right direction in the very near future.

    Washington State - Bill Doba replacing Mike Price

    Mike Price left a great job at Washington St. to pursue bigger and better options and leaves Alabama without even coaching a game. Bill Doba deserves this job as he has been an assistant for the Cougars for the past 14 seasons and is the lone remaining assistant from Price's original Cougar staff named in 1989. He knows the system, he knows the players and he knows what is expected of him based on the success Price had during his time at the school. This was a no-brainer for the athletic department as the players give all they have for Doba and that is something that cannot be brought in from the outside. Coaching will not be the issue if Washington St. stumbles, it will come down to the loss of key players to graduation, since they lost 7 on the offensive side of the ball alone. They won’t match the 10 wins from a season ago, but you can bet they will be giving it all they have on every snap this season for their new coach.

    Wyoming - Joe Glenn replacing Vic Koenning

    The Cowboys desperately needed a change and they didn’t wait until the end of last season to make a move. Vic Koenning was let go before the teams’ 2002 season finale but he agreed to coach the last game before he left which turned out to be another loss. In his 3 years at Wyoming, he compiled a 5-29 record that included a 1-20 mark in the Mountain West Conference. Joe Glenn comes to Wyoming from the University of Montana, where he produced a tremendous record. He won three Big Sky Conference championships and guided the Grizzlies to a Division I-AA national championship in 2001. In three seasons he posted a 39-6 (.867) record. That is the best winning percentage in the history of the Big Sky, which produced such head coaches as John L. Smith, Dennis Erickson, Jim Sweeney, Sonny Lubick and Mike Price, some very good company. Glenn came to Big Sky country from Northern Colorado, where he was the most successful Division II coach in the country. He directed the Bears to 11 straight winning seasons. His record there was 98-35 (.737). The Bears earned five straight trips (seven overall) to the Division II playoffs, and won back-to-back NCAA Division II National Football Championships in 1996 and 1997. Even though he doesn’t have 1-A experience, that track record alone should bring success to a team in dire need of a positive influence. The offense brings back the majority of their starters from last season, but it’s their defense that will make or break the 2003 season.

    Washington - Rick Neuheisel was let go and a replacement has yet to be named.
    Matt Fargo Sports
    Check our website or the promotion forum for current specials

  • #2
    Insider Edge Sports looks at some teams that are on the rise that could be some good investments early on in the season.

    New Mexico Lobos

    In 2002, the Lobos made a trip to the Las Vegas Bowl after finishing the season strong, winning 4 of their last 5 regular season games. It was only their 2nd bowl appearance in 40 years and they will look to build on that experience heading into this season. A 49-0 loss at home on national television to Texas Tech put them at 2-4 and adding insult to injury, starting QB Casey Kelly was lost with a broken arm. This team easily could have thrown in the towel but Kelly returned quicker than expected and they went on a run to become bowl eligible. They return all 11 starters on offense led by Kelly, sophomore TB DonTrell Moore and 3 senior offensive linemen. Defense has always been the name of the game for the Lobos. They slipped some last season but allowed just 16 ppg over their last 4 regular season games. They will have 9 senior starters on that side of the ball this season and they should start right where they left off. They have a very favorable schedule this season compared to last year as they get BYU, Colorado St. and Air Force all at home. They have two early season road tests at Texas Tech and Washington St. but both of these teams are on the decline after losing key personnel so both games can be won. If the Lobos can avoid injuries and play the way they finished last season, they could sneak up and challenge Colorado St. for the MWC championship.

    Arizona St. Sun Devils

    While they might not be considered a significant sleeper, they will improve on their 8-6 record from a year ago. This offense will put up a ton of points led by QB Andrew Walter and the return of all 5 offensive linemen. Outscoring opponents shouldn’t be a problem as long as the defense can improve from last year. They allowed nearly 30 ppg last year and with the loss of Terrell Suggs, they will have to step up early and often. 7 starters return including ¾ of their line and ¾ of their secondary. Replacing Suggs, Bates and Unck at the linebacker spots will be a difficult task so this is where players will need to step up the most. At first glance, their schedule looks brutal but a closer look does show some promise. They will get two easy wins out of the gate but then must travel to Iowa and Oregon St. in back-to-back weeks. Oregon St. will be the tougher of the two as Iowa will not be the same as their Orange Bowl team from a year ago. They then return home to face USC and Oregon, two difficult but winnable games. The remaining 6 games are not cakewalks by any means but a rebuilding Washington St. and California should soften it up and Washington falls off the schedule this season. A 10-2 record is not out of the question as long as they can stiffen up their defense and avoid giving up over 30 points in half their games like they did last season.

    Tulsa Golden Hurricane

    A new coach comes to town as the Golden Hurricane welcome Steve Kragthorpe to lead the team in 2003. Kragthorpe is an offensive minded coach and comes in after leading the quarterbacks for the Buffalo Bills. QB and nominee for name of the year, Tyler Gooch leads 8 returning offensive players that given the correct coaching, can become a solid unit in 2003. Gooch has the luxury of throwing to playmaker WR Romby Bryant and handing the ball off to RB Eric Richardson, a name that you have probably never heard of but one that you will hear about in 2003. The line returns 4 starters from a unit that allowed 35 sacks a season ago but a year of cohesion under their belt should cut that number down considerably. A better offense will lead to a better defense by cutting down on the number of minutes they are on the field. Also helping the defense is new coordinator Todd Graham, who was the defensive coordinator at West Virginia before heading west. As witnessed by the Mountaineers top 40 in all defensive categories last year, Graham will be a much needed asset to the team. The season will most likely start off 0-2 after trips to Minnesota and Arkansas but the rest of the schedule is more in their favor. Of their 4 remaining road games, only Boise St. poses the biggest problem. At home, they welcome Hawaii, which is their only sure loss. The other 5 games can all be won but a 3-2 or 2-3 mark is more than likely. Tulsa recorded just 1 win in 2002 so anything will be an improvement. A .500 record isn’t out of the question if they beat the teams they should beat and pull out of couple of wins in the marginal games.

    Wyoming Cowboys

    Here we have another team with a new coach that could cause a stir in their conference. Wyoming is coming off a horrid 2-10 season with their only wins coming against 1-AA The Citadel and Air Force, who was just coming off a tough loss to Notre Dame. Expectations are high and like Arizona St., this team will put up plenty of points but it’s their defense that will have to show improvement in order for them to succeed as a team. QB Casey Bramlet returns and as long as he doesn’t get decked another 40 times like last season, his numbers should be better than his 3,290 yards and 24 TD’s from a year ago. 4/5 of his line returns so he should be ok. The defense will have to not allow as many points as it did last year (at least 35 points allowed 7 times and 30 points allowed 9 times). The interior has to become more active and get to the QB more than their 10 sacks from a year ago. The good news is that they are a veteran group and they have a year or in some cases more playing time together. While they won’t contend for the conference title, they will be much more competitive than last season and could sneak out a victory or two that they shouldn’t win. Also, their schedule has softened up which will help. Out is Tennessee and Washington and in is Kansas and Utah St., both winnable games. They will easily surpass the 2 wins from 2002 and who knows, a 6-6 record could happen.

    Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles

    The Golden Eagles will look to improve on their 2002 season and that starts with their defense. While the defense wasn’t awful last year, it wasn’t the same that has been around before in years past. They were ranked 75th in rushing defense a year ago, an aberration for this team. They return 7 of 8 deep up front which should cut down on their yards allowed. They bring 3 legitimate All-American candidates to the table in MLB Rod Davis, SLB Michael Boley and FS Etric Pruitt. The offense will be the unit that takes this team as far as they want to go. A revamped offensive line is a good starting point to give some protection to the quarterback. However new offensive coordinator Rip Scherer will introduce a new offense that features two-backs thus giving them more consistency which should cut down on a lot of third and long situations. There are a lot of new faces in key positions and it might take some time for them to gel as a unit but the defense should be able to keep the Golden Eagles in games until the offense comes together. They will have a test right out of the gate as they travel to Cal, but the Bears will be having their own problems so it is a game they can win. Their next test will be 3 weeks later at home against Nebraska and by this time, the cogs should all be in place. Two weeks later, they make a trip to Alabama, which will be their final test until a home game against TCU at the end of November. 10 wins and a conference title are not out of the question for this team that wants to get back on top of Conference USA.
    Matt Fargo Sports
    Check our website or the promotion forum for current specials

    Comment


    • #3
      Insider Edge Sports takes a look at some teams that plan on taking a fall in 2003.

      Washington St. Cougars

      The Mike Price saga took the spotlight away from a well-deserved promotion for Bill Doba. Doba has spent the last 14 seasons at Washington St. as an assistant under Price and now he will finally get his chance to run the show. Unfortunately, he inherits a team that returns just 4 players from the nations 16th ranked offense in 2002. They have a solid back in Jermaine Green but with a new quarterback, the offense will definitely take a step back in 2003. The defense was ranked 8th in rushing defense last season, a ranking that will be hard to attain again this year. Their passing defense hurt them last year and they must improve significantly in order for them to compete in the high octane PAC 10. Last season, the offense has the ability to outscore opponents, something they will be hard pressed to accomplish this year. The defense allowed 25 or more points 7 times and we don’t see that number coming down. Doba was the correct choice as the man to replace Price but it may take him some time to get the Cougars back to where they were. We see 3 definite wins on the schedule but not much after that. A .500 season would be a huge accomplishment but we don’t think they even get that far.

      Texas Tech Red Raiders

      QB Kliff Kingsbury has departed and as much of a star that he was, the offense shouldn’t be hurt as badly as people may think. B.J. Symons will be taking the snaps this season and he was behind Kingsbury for 3 years so he knows this offense well. He will have a solid group of receivers to throw to and has a veteran back in Taurean Henderson, even though he in only a sophomore. The problem for the Red Raiders will be their defense. A new coordinator, Lyle Setencich takes over the unit that allowed over 30 points 8 times last season and over 40 points 4 times. Up front, there will be new faces to go along with the new system that Setencich has installed. Their two best players have departed and they are returning only 3 of their 7 players from the linebackers and up. With the lack of defense, they will have a difficult time staying around in the Big 12. Their schedule remains the exact same as last year with just the switches in venue and Ohio St coming off. Last season, they got by Missouri, Texas A&M, Oklahoma St. and Texas. Unfortunately, three of those games are on the road this season and it’s very possible that they go 0-4 in these games in 2003. Also on the schedule are trips to NC State and Mississippi along with a home game against improved New Mexico. 8 or 9 losses are not out of the question if their defense plays the way it is expected to play. For Symons’ sake, let’s hope not since he has waited all this time to finally get his shot on the field.

      California Golden Bears

      The loss of Kyle Boller will definitely hurt the Bears at least in the short term. Head coach Jeff Tedford really turned that kid around last season and brought up his draft potential enormously. Tedford will try and do the same to Aaron Rodgers, Richard Schwartz or Reggie Robertson who will all battle for the starting spot come fall. They are ok at wide receiver but they will need to find a tailback to fill in the void from graduation. This is another team where the defense will hurt them this year. They return just 2 players who started more than half of their games last season. They will be a very inexperienced bunch and will need to step up right away for Cal to be competitive throughout the season. With their schedule however, we don’t see that happening. They take on Kansas St. in the first game of the season in the BCA Classic. They return home for two games against Southern Miss and Colorado St., two teams who are at the top of their respective conferences. They then go back on the road for two more games before they head into the PAC-10 schedule, which doesn’t look promising. Their 4 conference home games are against USC, Oregon St., Arizona and Washington with Arizona the only likely possible win. Tedford did a tremendous job turning this program around last season after a 1-10 2001 but he was fortunate to have a lot of experience, something that he will lack in 2003. The program is heading in the right direction but will take a step back this season.

      Ball St. Cardinals

      The biggest hole to fill for new head coach Brady Hoke will be that of TB Marcus Merriweather, who rushed for over 4,000 yards in his 4 years in a Cardinals uniform. Two unproven backs, Scott Blair and Charles Wynn, will try to shoulder the load but have some big shoes to fill. QB Andy Roesch returns but will be tested by the player he replaced last season, Talmadge Hill, so there is no clear cut favorite there. The offensive line lost 3 starters from last season, which is huge since that group allowed only 2 sacks in the final four games of 2002. Ball St. ranked 89th in the nation in total defense last year and that unit must improve for the team to try and challenge in the MAC. They will have a brutal non-conference schedule to contend with. Besides Indiana St. in their opener, they face Missouri, Pittsburgh and Boston College. They skip Marshall in the MAC but will have very tough tests against Northern Illinois, Western Michigan, Toledo and Miami. A .500 record from last year got head coach Bill Lynch fired so Hoke has some work to do. He is a Ball St. alum and he has some great experience including 8 years at Michigan. He was definitely the right man for the position but matching their win total from last year will be nearly impossible. A 3-9 record is a more likely outcome for the Cardinals in 2003.

      Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

      2002 turned out to be a disappointment even though Georgia Tech made it to a bowl game last year and finished the season at 7-6. They started strong but ended up losing 5 of their last 8 games. This coincided with the loss of TB Tony Hollings to a knee injury and they couldn’t get the ground game after that. Hollings was expected to make a full recovery and start where he left off last season but he has been declared academically ineligible along with projected defensive starters LB Kingi McNair and DE Tony Hargrove. The quarterback position of Damarius Bilbo and A.J. Suggs will be a very important role in getting this team going early but without a running game, that will be difficult to attain. The defense should be decent as they return 6 starters besides Hargrove but they will need to better their 50th total defense ranking in 2002 in order to remain competitive. The schedule does them no favors, as they will face 8 teams who played in a bowl in 2002 along with a road game at BYU to start off the season. They could very well head into Vanderbilt with an 0-4 record and it will all be downhill from there. Chan Gailey will have his hands full this season and with only 2 games on their schedule that look to be wins (at Vandy and at home against North Carolina) and the potential of playing 8 bowl teams for 2003, this season could continue just as 2002 ended.
      Matt Fargo Sports
      Check our website or the promotion forum for current specials

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      • #4
        GET REAL!!!!!!!!

        NO WAY TEXAS TECH LOSES 8-9 GAMES THIS YEAR. OKLAHOMA STATE, TEXAS A&M, MISSOURI IS OVER-RATED AGAIN THIS YEAR. TECH DID NOT LOSE THIER 2 BEST D PLAYERS. FLUGENCE WAS OVER-RATED AS A MLB. THEY HAVE A STUD MLB THIS YEAR AS A 22 YR. OLD FROSH. HE SIGNED WITH BYU, THEN WENT ON A MISSION AND HE GOT LOST IN THE CROWD! HIS NAME IS BROCK STRATTON, AND HE WILL MAKE PEOPLE FORGET ABOUT FLU. THEY LOSE BOTH STARTING CORNERBACKS, BUT HAVE THE DEFENSIVE PLAYER OF THE YR IN JUCO. THE BIGGEST ? THIS YR WILL BE THE D-LINE. TECH WILL BE JUST AS COMPETITIVE THIS YEAR AS IN THE PAST AND DONT BE SURPRISED IF THEY HAVE A BETTER SEASON THAN LAST. ALL THE SO-CALLED EXPERTS ARE WRITING THEM OFF THIS YEAR AND THAT IS A BIG MISTAKE! SYMONS HAS MORE POSITIVES THAN KINGSBURY DID. HE HAS BETTER ARM STRENGTH, FASTER, AND THROWS THE DEEP BALL BETTER. THE ONLY ? IS WILL HE MAKE MORE BAD DECISIONS THAN KINGSBURY DID.
        A $300 PICTURE TUBE WILL BLOW BEFORE A $.10 FUSE- MURPHY'S LAW

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        • #5
          Not sure how you think Flugence was over-rated when he led the Big 12 in tackles by 45 over the 2nd place guy.

          Their strength of schedule is between 10 and 12 in the country. The most likely wins are against SMU, A&M, Iowa St. and Baylor with New Mexico a possibility. But they can easily lose to both A&M and the Lobos.
          Matt Fargo Sports
          Check our website or the promotion forum for current specials

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          • #6
            YOU ARE CRAZY!

            NO WAY THEY WILL LOSE TO THE LOBOS. I KNOW FLU LED THE WORLD IN TACKLES, BUT HOW MANY DID HE READ AND ATTACK THE GAP? NOT MANY. MOST, IF NOT ALL, OF HIS TACKLES WERE 5-6 YDS DOWNFIELD, WHEN MOST OF THE GOOD MLB'S WOULD AND SHOULD ATTACK THE HOLE FOR A MIN. GAIN OF 1-2 YDS. HE DID NOT READ AND REACT WELL AT ALL. THAT'S WHY I SAID HE WAS OVER-RATED. BESIDES, TECH'S OFFENSE WILL NOT MISS A BEAT THIS YR. IN FACT THEY MIGHT BE BETTER. NOT THROW FOR AS MANY YDS. BUT RUN MORE EFFECTIVELY. WITH SYMONS AND HENDERSON, DEFENSES WONT HAVE THE LUXURY OF PLAYING AS CLOSE TO THE LINE AS THEY HAVE IN THE PAST. TECH BEATS THE FOLLOWING TEAMS:

            SMU
            LOBOS
            MISS.
            ISU
            A&M (IN LUBBOCK, A&M CANT WIN. THEY LAST WON I THINK IN 93)
            MISSOURI
            BAYLOR
            OKLAHOMA STATE
            MAYBE COLORADO(THEY WILL BE TOUGHER AGAINST THE RUN WITH SENTENCICH AND THEY ALWAYS BEAT COLO. IN LUBBOCK)

            THEY WILL WIN 8-9 GAMES AGAIN THIS YR. WHEN ALL OF THE SO-CALLED EXPERTS AGIN PICK THEM BELOW OTHER TEAMS. DEFENSE WILL BE BETTER, CAUSING MORE T.O'S AND STOPPING MORE 3RD DOWNS. THE ONLY CHANCE THEY HAVE TO DO AS POORLY AS U THINK THEY WILL IS IF THEY LOSE SYMONS FOR ANY LENGTH OF TIME. BUT, THE OFFENSIVE LINE WILL BE SOLID. IF HE GETS HURT, I WOULD EXPECT IT TO BE ON A SCRAMBLE. ANEA, OFFENSIVE LINE COACH, IS ONE OF THE BEST IN THE BUSINESS. AND YES, I AM A TECH FAN, KNOW A LOT ABOUT THEM. MORE THAN THE SO-CALLED EXPERTS. APPRECIATE THE WRITE-UP THOUGH, EVEN THOUGH I DO DISAGREE WITH IT.
            A $300 PICTURE TUBE WILL BLOW BEFORE A $.10 FUSE- MURPHY'S LAW

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            • #7
              No harm no foul Bugs, it's a good discussion. Although you are the crazy one if you think they go into Missouri, Mississippi and Oklahoma St. and win all 3.
              Matt Fargo Sports
              Check our website or the promotion forum for current specials

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              • #8
                Flugence

                Flugence was overrated. Rumor has it that during home games. They would give him all tackles as long as he was within 20 yards of the play.

                Comment


                • #9
                  Insider Edge Sports takes a look at our Top 10 NFL Super System Angles going into 2003.

                  Trends and/or systems can be very effective in handicapping if used correctly but should not be the sole reason for making a play, as many other factors need to be considered as well. All trends date back to 1990 unless otherwise noted.

                  1. Play against teams playing their 3rd consecutive road game if they lost the 1st game and won the 2nd game. 15-4-1 ATS 79% (see results)

                  This is a successful system since it is based on straight up wins and losses in previous games, thus the more likely a team will have a letdown spot. At the end of the 2001 season, Buffalo lost at Atlanta and then bounced back to defeat the Jets at New York. Their 3rd game came at Miami where they were soundly defeated 34-7. This is a pretty rare system since it is uncommon for teams to play 3 in a row on the road but one to keep an eye out for, as Cincinnati and San Diego will each play 3 straight away from home in 2003.

                  2. Play against teams playing their 3rd consecutive home game if they are an underdog of more than 3 points and they lost their 2 previous games straight up. 10-4 ATS 72% (see results)

                  This is another uncommon system but one that is very effective. The most recent example of this came at the end of the 2001 season when Carolina hosted New England after coming off consecutive home losses to St. Louis and Arizona. The Patriots went on to blow out the Panthers 38-6. Teams that could fall into this system in 2003 are Arizona, Baltimore, Denver, Jacksonville, Minnesota and St. Louis.

                  3. Play against teams coming off 2 straight games of scoring 30+ points at home that are now playing on the road. 28-14-1 ATS 67% (see results)

                  This system is based on the theory that coming off two big home games will lead to a mediocre effort on the road. In 2002, Kansas City scored 49 points against both Arizona and St. Louis. They then traveled to Denver losing 31-24. This system is on a 13-5 run since 1998.

                  4. Play on a team that scored 9 points or less in their last 2 games both of which were at home and are now an underdog. 9-2 ATS 82% (see results)

                  This falls into the same category at the above system but in reverse. A team that had two very bad games at home is expected to pick up their play in their next game whether they are home or away. This system hasn’t come into play since 2000 and is very rare but very effective. The last time this came into play, Cleveland scored 3 points against both Cincinnati and New York and then came back in their 3rd game against New England and won 19-11 as a 7 point underdog.

                  5. Play on a home underdog of more than 7 points. 93-57-3 62% (see results)

                  This is a common but effective system. A home underdog is always worth taking a look at and if they are getting more than a touchdown, a look ahead by the favorite is very possible. Playing this system on every game has resulted in a profit every season since 1997 and is 43-20 69% during that time.

                  6. Play on a team as a home underdog of more than 7 points who is coming off a straight up loss in their previous game. 49-29 63% (see results)

                  This is a more defined system as the one above. This system was just 3-3 in 2002, missing a 4-2 mark by 1 point. It was 8-2 the previous 2 seasons. Of the 49 ATS wins, 21 were outright wins by the underdog.

                  7. Play on a team that is coming off a SU loss as a double-digit favorite that is now favored between 4 and 9.5 points and are at home. 8-2 80% (see results)

                  A team that is a double-digit favorite is obviously a very good team and if they lose, they have the capability to take it out on the next opponent at home. In 2002, Pittsburgh lost at home to Houston 24-6 and came back the following week to defeat Carolina 30-14. However...

                  8. Play against a team that is coming off a SU loss as a double-digit favorite that is now favored between 4 and 9.5 points and are on the road. 8-1 89% (see results)

                  Looking at teams in the same scenario who are playing on the road in the their next game aren’t quite as fortunate and without their home crowd tend to play down once again. In 2001, Green Bay lost to Atlanta 23-20 as a DD favorite and then traveled on the road and narrowly defeated the Lions 29-27 as a 7-point favorite.

                  9. Play against a team that is coming off a SU win as a double-digit underdog and is an underdog once again. 28-12-2 70% (see results)

                  A team that won as a double-digit dog is most likely considered a bad team and for them to win again is not likely. They happened to catch their opponent in a look ahead situation. In 2001, New England (who turned out not to be a bad team after all) defeated the Colts in Indianapolis 38-17 and then traveled to Denver losing 31-20. This system is 10-2-1 84% since 1997. Now if this team is returning home and is a favorite….

                  10. Play against a team that is coming off a SU win as a double-digit underdog and is now a home favorite or pickem’. 16-8-1 67% (see results)

                  This can be looked at as the linesmakers are over adjusting the lines due to the big upset win in their previous game. In 2002, Houston went to Jacksonville and won 21-19 and then returned home the following week as a favorite only to get blown out by the Bengals 38-3. Of the 16 ATS wins, 13 were outright wins by the underdog. This system is 7-1-1 88% since 1999.
                  Matt Fargo Sports
                  Check our website or the promotion forum for current specials

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