Spears MLB R/L Trial

[Spearit]

Following a new system that has been performing well.
I am not going to rush totals seriously with 2 losses yesterday and only a 9-7 record. Can't judge the new bull pens - much less the starters/teams. I'll keep an eye on it, however.

This will be a continuous thread as I will be able to keep up with it easier. Since I plan to be out of town next week- if this sytem helps anyone- then you can add the teams and record for that time.

At certain times of the season- we see a capper with a unique plan and sometimes the ease of it is just seems like a godsend. Crunching stats takes hours and after yesterday seems so weak in comparison to a coin toss.

I rarely rave about records but am in awe of those who do remarkably well and wonder at what capping angles he/she is using. I appreciate when a fella shares his system freely and mean not to take credit for his work. I believe the bookie is our enemy and many systems are out their to gain leverage against him.
These systems generally work well for awhile and then hit the skids- while this one is working well-
I choose to follow- because its about money ---not ego!


It goes like this: R/L System
Play the road team, always laying the (-1.5 runs)...

One unit on game one: if win, series is over, if lose then play 2 units on game 2, if win then series is over, if losing play 4 units on game 3........ better profit is made by winning game 2's and 3's...

(simply play the road team laying (-1.5 runs) in each series.. in a 1-2-4 format, stopping when you get a win... max loss almost always is 7 units... )

Note; Last year the 7 worst teams in the league (all of which were .450 winning % or worse) accounted for most of the losses--- under .500 teams. THUS, if you can identify those teams and avoid them, this system should work great.

I am avoiding FLA, KC, TB, Wash and Pitt and playing the home team at -1.5 when they are on the road. This list changes thruout the season.

The fella is 36-9 on the plays so far. I wish to ride it for awhile and you can see my progress or doom as it goes down. I am getting/making a spreadsheet or just make columns for series. Any questions and I will try my best to answer.

Tuesday April 18th
Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) for Game +136
St Louis Cardinals (-1.5) vs Pittsburgh Pirates for Game +120
Florida Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds (-1.5) for Game +119
Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets (-1.5) for Game +136
Cleveland Indians (-1.5) vs Baltimore Orioles for Game +139
Tampa Bay Devil Rays vs Boston Red Sox (-1.5) for Game -105
New York Yankees (-1.5) vs Toronto Blue Jays for Game -106
Kansas City Royals vs Chicago White Sox (-1.5) for Game -119

[Spearit]

Since this is the second game in the series and most these teams came thru yesterday- they wouldn't be played today. But since I am tagging along- thought I would throw caution to the wind and play. Yes Mets -not Atlanta. The Mets are hot. Atlantas bull pen is due for a bad day.

[savage1]

Question:
1) Why would the Mets be a play, as they are the home team? I assume you mean Atlanta.
2) It would appear that if you are playing the home team in certain instances(Cinn. and Chicago), that the series does not end when the home team wins by more than 1 1/2 runs.
Case in point-both Cinn. and Chicago won by more than 1 1/2runs yesterday. and yet they are plays today.
Please explain.

[vinnyvegas]

GL spearit...love the systems, except that AZ one last night...I'll play AZ when they become a -110 or more FAV to get it back!!

[savage1]

Since this is the second game in the series and most these teams came thru yesterday- they wouldn't be played today. But since I am tagging along- thought I would throw caution to the wind and play. Yes Mets -not Atlanta. The Mets are hot. Atlantas bull pen is due for a bad day.

Ok-thanks. Then it would appear that it is a combination of the system and your own personal picks which may override the system, correct?

[Spearit]

Savage1- It really comes down to the system- because I am playing it -not at the beginning of the series is a fault on my part. I am eager to get started.
I need to get to work but will be back later.
Several of those plays can be cut- what do you think?
Maybe wait until the series begins again or play em. This may give time to see its worth. This is all new to me- its not my system- please add comments and lets get some money in our pockets. Open minded and wish to have this as a brain bowl thread!

[savage1]

Spearit-You da man! I was simply trying to understand the system, which seems quite good and didn't quite understand for example why the Mets were a play today.
If you can stream/alter it so that it is even better, than great.
I do not consider myself a good handicapper in any sense of the word, but will add commentary if I see something which stands out.

[Lsufan]

Good Luck Spearit

[savage1]

I have another question and comment:
Friom what I can see the system only applies when the visiting team is FAVORED in the first game, case in point no play on Detroit as they are the dog. Is that correct?
Also, assuming my assumption is correct, then what happens say in game one if visiting team is favored and doesn't win or cover the 1 1/2 run line and then in game 2 they are the dog?
I assume one would simply take them as the dog and not worry about the runs, or if I am wrong, should an alternative run line be considered whereby the team is giving 1 1/2 runs.
If the team loses game 2(depending on which criterion is used), what would happen in game three? (Again the variable as to whether the visiting team is favored and/or is a dog would appear to be an issue).

[jcindaville]

Good luck Spearit

[DOGHOODLUM]

Good Luck Spear

[Spearit]

Savage- I am getting info and spreadsheets and will be back at 5:30 pm. Also have last years report on this system. Home teams RL are also being checked on. I am no wiza-rd of this - so I appreciate any comments- As for your question- it is mine as well?

[Spearit]

Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)
St Louis Cardinals(-1.5) vs Pittsburgh Pirates Florida Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)
Cleveland Indians (-1.5) vs Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Devil Rays vs Boston Red Sox (-1.5)
New York Yankees (-1.5) vs Toronto Blue Jays

I believe these are the system plays for tonight. I wish to watch this mostly and jump on when I have all questions asked.

[seaofred]

gl spear

seaofred

[Homer]

GL Spearit