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  • #16
    Originally posted by Spearit
    Sounds like Baseball is here! But lets look at todays games in the NIT. Now I like FLorida and LSU- after all I beleve the rarity of a conference dominating. But I have managed my bets to offer peak value with very little loss. I believe Florida will win and therefore have constructed what bets i can make at Bodog. UCLA's center may well be hobbling by the 2nd half and I will watch to see what gos on there. UCLA's practices have been rougher than the games as a broken nose was also garnered by a player. Save it for the game guys!

    Now 18-6 Last 24. Went 3-3 on my posts yesterday but 6-3 on 3 plays not posted due to being inibriated and just wanting to bet. Won $14 on Detroit-5 in the second half- huh -told you I was inibriated.

    Won on Golden State +8 and the Under 199Teaser- first quarter scared me as it was 32-25 GS- and NY/Philly Over 98 in the second half. Again not posted due to alcohol consumption.

    OK -Look this over and see where I could improve. Fla is my play and again I am biased- but you don't get to root for your home team in a final four very often. I am however, being cautious and playing the line to get the value.

    PARLAY
    (812) UCLA +2 (-105) Sat@8:45p
    (814) Florida -260 Sat@6:05p
    Risk $177.00 to win $301.48


    TEASER
    (811) LSU +3 Sat@8:45p
    (814) Florida -1 Sat@6:05p
    Risk $250.00 to win $208.33


    PARLAY
    LSU -2
    Florida -260
    Risked $200.00 to win $317.73


    You may have a different way of doing this but this is satisfactory to me. If LSU wins by 1 point and florida wins
    - I will win all three bets. If by LSU wins by more I win over 500

    If Fla wins & UCLA Wins by 2 or 1--I will win over 320. I may have these figures wrong but I have to head out now. Guys have a great April Fools day! This, unlike my thread on pinnacle yesterday is no joke-

    What do you think? Creative investing! Course Fla has to do its part and win!

    Goos Luck, but if LSU wins by 1, u don't win the Parley
    Good Luck to everyone
    Adam

    Richie: [after Gus hits a homerun] Wow and he did it without steroids.
    Clark: What's steroids?
    Richie: Something that makes your pee-pee smaller.
    Clark: There must be steroids in macaroni!

    Comment


    • #17
      nail em Spearit

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      • #18
        good luck today

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        • #19
          UCLA center Ryan Hollins bruised his right thigh just above the knee in a collision at practice (Fox News). he is sore but of course plays.
          "The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.

          Comment


          • #20
            Add:
            Lets stick with parlays -


            Boston Bruins vs. Montreal Canadiens Under 6
            Montreal Canadiens -225


            I realize these plays are not cut from the same cloth as before.
            Also make parlays separate from individual play record! Its only the right thing to do!
            "The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.

            Comment


            • #21
              Why LSU
              The Bruins need improved accuracy to survive LSU. They’re shooting just 37.5 percent in their last two and face a Tigers defense that contests each and every shot. A penetrate-and-kick out approach could yield some better looks. The Florida Gators used that technique when they downed the Tigers 81-65 as 1-point favorites in the SEC semifinals.
              "The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.

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              • #22
                Really like Florida myself and have the money line going in several parlay's. Been following your plays and have tailed several winners along the way. Good capping and good luck buddy!

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                • #23
                  gl spearit!!!!!!!!!!

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                  • #24
                    Nice to see the Surveyor checking in (email me) and thanx to all for your kindness. Now checking in on what I do best.

                    NBA
                    Chicago -1 1st Half

                    --CHICAGO is 15-0 against the 1st half line on Saturday games this season.
                    The average score was CHICAGO 51.0, OPPONENT 45.7 - (Rating = 6*)

                    --Rivers is 3-13 against the 1st half line (-11.3 Units) after a blowout win by 15 points or more as the coach of BOSTON.
                    The average score was BOSTON 48.9, OPPONENT 52.2 - (Rating = 1*)
                    Last edited by Spearit; 04-01-2006, 04:16 PM.
                    "The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.

                    Comment


                    • #25
                      San Antonio/Washington Under 197

                      SAN ANTONIO is 11-0 UNDER in home games in April games over the last 3 seasons.
                      The average score was SAN ANTONIO 93.4, OPPONENT 79.0 - (Rating = 3*)

                      WASHINGTON is 27-14 UNDER in road games when they score 93 to 98 points in a game over the last 2 seasons.
                      The average score was WASHINGTON 95.1, OPPONENT 96.0
                      Last edited by Spearit; 04-01-2006, 04:18 PM.
                      "The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.

                      Comment


                      • #26
                        NHL

                        Carolina

                        -CAROLINA is 29-7 against the money line after playing a home game this season.
                        The average score was CAROLINA 4.0, OPPONENT 2.8 - (Rating = 3*)

                        -All games played at ATLANTA since 1996
                        CAROLINA is 10-2-3 against the money line versus ATLANTA since 1996

                        -Games played at ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons.
                        CAROLINA is 4-1-0 against the money line versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
                        "The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.

                        Comment


                        • #27
                          NHL- You may want to parlay these if the numbers are over -160. I do not check for lines as this is trends only.

                          Buffalo

                          --TORONTO is 5-21 against the money line (-18.8 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days this season.
                          The average score was TORONTO 2.5, OPPONENT 3.9 - (Rating = 3*)

                          --Games played at TORONTO over the last 3 seasons.
                          BUFFALO is 3-1-1 (+3.9 Units) against the money line versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons

                          --Play Against - Home Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (TORONTO) - poor team - outscored by their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game, after scoring 3 goals or more in 2 straight games.
                          (44-20 over the last 5 seasons.) (68.8%. Rating = 4*)

                          Play On - Road teams against the money line (BUFFALO) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season, after allowing 3 goals or more 3 straight games.
                          (33-15 over the last 5 seasons.) (68.8%, Rating = 2*)

                          Play On - Road Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (BUFFALO) - a good team (60% to 70%) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) in the 2nd half of the season.
                          (39-10 over the last 5 seasons.) (79.6%, Rating = 3*)

                          Play On - Road Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (BUFFALO) - a good team (60% to 70%) playing a team with a losing record in the 2nd half of the season.
                          (44-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (77.2%, Rating = 3*)
                          "The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.

                          Comment


                          • #28
                            This Is Dosen't Work

                            spearit and his new math says
                            PARLAY
                            (812) UCLA +2 (-105) Sat@8:45p
                            (814) Florida -260 Sat@6:05p
                            Risk $177.00 to win $301.48


                            TEASER
                            (811) LSU +3 Sat@8:45p
                            (814) Florida -1 Sat@6:05p
                            Risk $250.00 to win $208.33


                            PARLAY
                            LSU -2
                            Florida -260
                            Risked $200.00 to win $317.73

                            You may have a different way of doing this but this is satisfactory to me. IF LSU WINS BY JUST ONE POINT and florida wins - I will win all three bets. If by LSU wins by more I win over 500
                            spearit. This is driving me nuts. Just tell me how can you win all three bets if LSU wins by just one point and Florida wins. See your LSU -2, Florida -260 parley for $200 to win $317.73. LSU needs to win by 2 or more, not just 1. Don't they.

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                            • #29
                              gl spear

                              seaofred
                              I AM A NITWIT

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                              • #30
                                Good Sandy- You are correct. These plays are to win more and lose little- I will look more into it now- Thanx.
                                "The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.

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