Saturday ... Trends and Indexes

[pm530]

Trends & Indexes for Saturday, April 1

Have a great Final-Four Day, but don' be a fool!

Best of Luck!

[pm530]

Dunkel Index - Pro Basketball

Dunkel Index - NBA

SATURDAY, APRIL 1

Game 801-802: Miami at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 118.7; Cleveland 120.4
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 2; 195
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 803-804: Indiana at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 119.6; Indiana 114.6
Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 5; 202 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 805-806: Boston at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 115.3; Chicago 118.5
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 3; 193
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 3 1/2; 194
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+3 1/2); Under

Game 806-807: Washington at San Antonio
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 117.1; San Antonio 125.9
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 9; 197 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 10 1/2; 195 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+10 1/2); Over

Game 808-809: Utah at Portland
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 114.3; Portland 109.8
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 4 1/2; 196 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

[pm530]

Dunkel Index - College Basketball

Dunkel Index - NCAA Basketball
Final Four

SATURDAY, APRIL 1

Game 811-812: LSU vs. UCLA (in Indianapolis, IN)
Dunkel Ratings: LSU 72.5; UCLA 74.4
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 2
Vegas Line: LSU by 2
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (+2)

Game 813-814: George Mason vs. Florida (in Indianapolis, IN)
Dunkel Ratings: George Mason 69.2; Florida 75.4
Dunkel Line: Florida by 6
Vegas Line: Florida by 5
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-5)

[pm530]

Dunkel Index - Hockey

Dunkel Index - NHL

SATURDAY, APRIL 1

Game 1-2: New Jersey at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 11.07; Philadelphia 12.81
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-1 1/2); Neutral

Game 3-4: Boston at Montreal
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 10.82; Montreal 12.55
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Montreal by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-1 1/2); Neutral

Game 5-6: Carolina at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 11.17; Atlanta 11.88
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+1 1/2); Neutral

Game 7-8: Washington at Ottawa
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 11.27; Ottawa 13.19
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa by 1 1/2; 7
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (-1 1/2); Under

Game 9-10: Buffalo at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 11.12; Toronto 11.51
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+1 1/2); Neutral

Game 11-12: Chicago at Columbus
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 10.80; Columbus 12.12
Dunkel Line & Total: Columbus by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Columbus by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: Columbus (-1 1/2); Under

Game 13-14: Tampa Bay at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 11.82; Florida 12.71
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Florida by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+1 1/2); Over

Game 15-16: St. Louis at Nashville
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 9.69; Nashville 12.17
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 2 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Nashville by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nashville (-1 1/2); Neutral

Game 17-18: Calgary at Edmonton
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 11.47; Edmonton 11.71
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Edmonton by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+1 1/2); Neutral

Game 19-20: Dallas at Los Angeles
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 13.02; Los Angeles 10.84
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-1 1/2); Over

Game 21-22: Phoenix at San Jose
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 12.19; San Jose 12.49
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+1 1/2); Neutral

[Spark]

Saturday's NCAA games
For season, George Mason scores 25.8% of its points on 3's, but last weekend, in winning third, fourth straight tilts, they scored 34.2% of their points behind arc, making 50% of 3's both games, highly unusual. Problem for them here is that in a dome, unlike arenas in Dayton, DC, is that shooting from the arc is a lot more difficult (Villanova was 8-39 from arc in Metrodome a week ago) and Florida is superior inside with Noah, Horford. Gators played in dome last week; they were 9-30 from arc. Donovan has won a national semifinal (in this arena). I think Mason is legit, but they made lot of tough shots vs UConn, basically playing at home, and I don't think those shots fall here. I have pick in box below.

UCLA plays slow, ugly games, as we learned the hard way last week; faster the game, better for LSU team that is more athletic than you think. Bruins won eleven in row since dropping back-to-back games to Washington, USC in mid-February; both clubs are quicker outfits, like LSU. Only LSU loss recently was in SEC tournament to Florida. Tigers are last in entire nation in percent of points scored behind arc, so dome won't hurt them. UCLA is leaving California for first time since Feb 11. Unless Bruin big

[Spark]

Hot Teams
-- Cavaliers won last six games, by 15,1,2,12,2,13 points. Miami is 18-3 in its last twenty-one games.
-- Bucks are 7-5 in last 12 games, 7-2 in last nine against spread. -- Chicago won three of their last four games.
-- Wizards are 6-0 vs spread in game after their last six losses. San Antonio won eight of their last ten games.

Cold Teams
-- Pacers lost three in row, six of last eight games.
-- Celtics are 1-6 vs spread in game after their last seven losses; they lost 101-97 at home to Bulls Sunday.
-- Portland lost their last nine games (1-8 against the spread). Utah lost six of its last eight road games.

Totals
-- Over is 4-1-1 in Cleveland's last six games, but 1-4 in Miami's last five contests..
-- Six of last seven Milwaukee games went over the total.
-- Under is 7-3-2 in last dozen Celtic games.
-- Five of last seven Washington games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Portland games went over the total, as did twelve of last eighteen Utah games.

[Spark]

Hot Teams
-- New Jersey won three of their last four games. Flyers are 4-1 in their last five games.
-- Montreal won their last five games, outscoring foes 22-10.
-- Ottawa won thirteen of their last seventeen games.
-- Maple Leafs won their last four home games.
-- Chicago won last two games, both 3-2; their last four games all went into overtime. Columbus won last four games, outscoring their foes 16-9.
-- Panthers won ten of their last twelve games. Tampa Bay won five of their last seven games.
-- Edmonton won three of their last four games.
-- Dallas won eleven of their last fourteen games.
-- Phoenix won five of their last six games.

Cold Teams
-- Bruins lost fourteen of their last eighteen games.
-- Atlanta lost last two games, scoring four goals, after winning 11 of previous 14 games. Carolina is 1-4 in game after its last five wins- they beat Florida last night.
-- Washington lost nine of their last eleven games.
-- Buffalo lost seven of their last eight games.
-- Predators lost last four games, allowing 21 goals. Blues lost their last nine games, outscored 39-13.
-- Flames lost six of their last eight road games.
-- Los Angeles lost three in row, seven of last nine games, scoring one goal in last two games.
-- San Jose lost last two games, scoring total of three goals.

Totals
-- Seven of last ten Flyer home games went over the total.
-- Last six Boston games all went over the total.
-- Thirteen of last seventeen Thrasher games stayed under, as did seven of last eight Carolina games.
-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Ottawa games, 5-1 in Washington's last six games.
-- Eight of last thirteen Buffalo games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Chicago games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 13-6-1 in last twenty Florida games.
-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight St Louis games.
-- Under is 15-5-1 in last twenty-one Calgary games.
-- Under is 6-2-2 in last ten Dallas games, 5-2 in last seven Kings games. .
-- Over is 18-4-1 in last 23 Phoenix games.

[Spark]

Saturday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but.............
13) Every NFL team plays two preseason games at home; the Superdome won't be ready in August, so Saints will play in Shreveport (vs Dallas) and Jackson, Mississippi (vs Colts). The always-savvy NFL sent two marquee teams to help out with attendance.

12) If this had been baseball, they would have sent Kansas City and the Nationals.

11) If I run the Jets and many of my games are played in cold/ lousy weather, I have serious questions about Matt Leinart: Has he ever played in cold weather? Whats worst weather he played in- the fog game at Oregon State two years ago? How do you simulate that in your workouts, if you don't know the answer?

10) Jean Van de Velde won his first golf tournament since bungling the British Open a few years back, when he won a European Tour event last week; even then, with a 4-stroke lead on 18, the Frenchman double-bogeyed the final hole, keeping things interesting.

9) On March 19, a rain delay during NASCAR race in Atlanta got better TV ratings than a Lakers-Cleveland game and a pro golf tournament.

8) Kelvin Sampson's first job at Indiana: Make sure DJ White and Robert Vaden stay at Indiana, especially if Mike Davis gets the UAB job.

7) Let me see: Sampson goes to Indiana, replacing Davis, who might replace Mike Anderson at UAB, who steps in for Quin Snyder at Missouri. If Davis gets the Blazers' job, does this mean Sooners are obligated to hire Snyder, to complete the circle? (they're not)

6) More proof that football is king: Kansas is spending $31 million to upgrade its football facilities.

5) Devil Rays aren't charging for parking at Tropicana Field this year. If they really wanted to do something for their fans, they'd petition baseball to get moved out of the AL East.

4) Last starting pitcher to win AL Rookie of the Year? Dave Righetti, 1981.

3) Braves won their division fourteen years in row; still, if you bet on them heads-up against the Mets this year, you can get Atlanta at +129.

2) Jason Kendall didn't hit home run for A's last year, but with Oakland visiting Coors Field June 19-21, maybe be will in '06.

1) Barry Zito's ERA last year was 3.86, worst mark of the five guys who will make up the '06 Oakland rotation.