Thursday ... Trends and Indexes

[pm530]

Trends & Indexes for Thursday, March 23

Have a great day and GOOD LUCK!

[pm530]

Dunkel Index - Pro Basketball

Dunkel Index - NBA

THURSDAY, MARCH 23

Game 801-802: Minnesota at New Jersey
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 113.5; New Jersey 122.4
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 9; 183 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey by 7 1/2; 184
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (-7 1/2); Under

Game 803-804: Houston at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 108.7; New Orleans 114.2
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 5 1/2; 172 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 5 1/2; 179 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Under

Game 805-806: L.A. Clippers at Memphis
Dunkel Ratings: L.A. Clippers 116.6; Memphis 123.4
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 7; 185
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 3 1/2; 188
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-3 1/2); Under

Game 807-808: Golden State at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 112.4; Dallas 122.9
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 10 1/2; 190 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 10 1/2; 193
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Under

Game 809-810: Portland at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 106.5; Phoenix 123.9
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 17 1/2; 219 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 16; 213
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-16); Over

Game 811-812: Washington at Utah
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 117.4; Utah 116.0
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1 1/2; 203 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 2; 200 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+2); Over

[pm530]

Dunkel Index - College Basketball (Thursday & Friday)

Dunkel Index - NCAA Basketball
NCAA tournament

THURSDAY, MARCH 23

Game 813-814: LSU vs. Duke (in Atlanta, GA)
Dunkel Ratings: LSU 69.7; Duke 74.5
Dunkel Line: Duke by 5
Vegas Line: Duke by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LSU (+6 1/2)

Game 815-816: West Virginia vs. Texas (in Atlanta, GA)
Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 70.4; Texas 73.9
Dunkel Line: Texas by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas by 5
Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (+5)

Game 817-818: Gonzaga vs. UCLA (in Oakland, CA)
Dunkel Ratings: Gonzaga 66.7; UCLA 74.8
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 8
Vegas Line: UCLA by 3
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (-3)

Game 819-820: Bradley vs. Memphis (in Oakland, CA)
Dunkel Ratings: Bradley 69.6; Memphis 72.9
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 3
Vegas Line: Memphis by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Bradley (+6 1/2)

Game 821-822: South Carolina at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina 68.4; Cincinnati 71.3
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 3
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Carolina (+3 1/2)


FRIDAY, MARCH 24

Game 871-872: George Mason vs. Wichita State (in Washington, D.C.)
Dunkel Ratings: George Mason 66.4; Wichita State 67.7
Dunkel Line: Wichita State by 1
Vegas Line: George Mason by 2
Dunkel Pick: Wichita State (+2)

Game 873-874: Washington vs. Connecticut (in Washington, D.C.)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 70.6; Connecticut 74.7
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 4
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 6
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+6)

Game 875-876: Georgetown vs. Florida (in Minneapolis, MN)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgetown 69.3; Florida 74.3
Dunkel Line: Florida by 5
Vegas Line: Florida by 3
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-3)

Game 877-878: Villanova vs. Boston College (in Minneapolis, MN)
Dunkel Ratings: Villanova 72.5; Boston College 70.0
Dunkel Line: Villanova by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Villanova by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Neutral

[pm530]

Dunkel Index - Hockey

Dunkel Index - NHL

THURSDAY, MARCH 23

Game 51-52: New Jersey at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 10.53; Atlanta 12.64
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-1 1/2); Under

Game 53-54: Toronto at Montreal
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 11.18; Montreal 11.47
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Montreal by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+1 1/2); Under

Game 55-56: Washington at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 10.17; Tampa Bay 11.81
Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-1 1/2); Over

Game 57-58: San Jose at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 12.47; Detroit 13.61
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (+1 1/2); Over

Game 59-60: Calgary at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 11.24; St. Louis 10.87
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Calgary by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+1 1/2); Neutral

Game 61-62: Chicago at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 10.70; Phoenix 11.95
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-1 1/2); Under

Game 63-64: Edmonton at Vancouver
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 11.16; Vancouver 11.31
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+1 1/2); Neutral

[Spark]

Thursday .. Trends and Indexes

Thursday's NCAA games
LSU is very athletic, could hurt Duke on boards (ranked #9 on offensive boards, #24 on defensive end), but they're so young (one junior, one senior in 8-man rotation), hard to imagine them upsetting Duke team with three seniors in its rotation. Duke is in this round for ninth year in row; they're 2-4 SU last six games in regional semis, losing last year to Michigan State. #1 seeds are 12-7 vs spread in this round last six years. LSU is 4-3 vs spread as an underdog this season.

As we said, #1 seeds 12-7 vs spread last six years in this round; #13 seeds rarely get here; Bradley is just fourth 13-seed ever to play in this round- previous three lost this game by 22,6,8 points (2-1 vs spread). Bradley is veteran team, returning 96% of points 93% of rebounds from last year; they got to line 62 times in two wins last week, their opponents 30 (+22 pts). Memphis is young talented and lucky they only had to beat Oral Roberts, Bucknell last week- they step up in class here, face an older team that is highly confident and has legit 7-footer in O'Bryant.

Texas beat West Virginia 76-75 way back on November 21, when Longhorns trailed 40-35 at half, but shot 54.2% from floor, were +21 on boards (40-19) and survived 24 turnovers, in game where Texas bench played total of just 17 minutes. Gansey had 28 pts for gritty Mountaineers, who beat #11,13 seeds last week to get here, but are senior-laden team (top four scorers are all seniors). Top three Texas scorers will all be back next year, if they want to be. #2 seeds are 6-3 vs spread in this round the last four years.

You'd think there'd be lot of 2-3 seed matchups in this round but since '97, it happened only eight out of possible 36 times, as dog won four of those eight (5-3 vs spread). Question for Gonzaga is whether Morrison is magical enough to carry mediocre band of teammates into Elite 8, while young Bruins have banged-up PG in Farmar (sprained right thumb, left wrist). Zags are 2-1 against Pac-10 teams this year, losing in double OT at Washington, and beating both Washington State (67-53), Stanford (80-76) on its tough home court. UCLA shot 51.1% from floor vs Alabama.

Thursday's NIT game
Cincinnati playing inspired ball for interim/lame duck Kennedy, who has done masterful coaching job; Bearcats are 2-0 against SEC teams this year, winning 92-83 at Vanderbilt (+9), then they beat LSU out in Vegas, 78-72 (-1.5), the two wins that should've gotten them in NCAAs. South Carolina survived OT Tuesday in Tallahassee, now they hit road again; Gamecocks won the NIT last year, are 6-1 in last seven games, but lost 58-51 vs Pitt in its only game vs Big East team this season.






Friday's NCAA games
Home team won both BC-Villanova Big East games last season, before Eagles bolted for ACC; Eagles won 67-66 at home, then lost 76-70 in Philly; both home sides were 5.5-pt favorites. BC is a power team that is long way from home for third weekend in a row (Greensboro, Salt Lake) while Wildcats slept in own beds a week ago, but playing on road no biggie for BC team that went 8-3 away from home in tough ACC- this is first of former league rivals they've faced. BC had total of only 16 turnovers last week coming back from 71-65 deficit in OT to beat Pacific in 1st round.

Playing in Washington, DC is virtual home game for Geo Mason (Fairfax, VA) squad that won 70-67 at Wichita Feb 18, shooting 52% from floor, making 11-23 treys, in 66-possession game that saw Shockers shoot just 41.2% from floor (10-27 from arc).This is just third-ever meeting of 7-11 seeds in this round; LMU beat Alabama 62-60 in '90 (-1.5), 11-seed Temple beat Penn St 84-72
in '01(-4.5), so 11-seed has been favored all three times they've faced a #7. This should be low scoring game, as Wichita ranked 281st in country in pace, George Mason 273rd (out of 334).

Florida was most impressive team on first weekend, winning by 24,22 points; they beat Syracuse (75-70), Providence (87-77) of Big East during season. Georgetown beat Ohio State in Dayton after holding Northern Iowa to 49 pts, so they defend without a lot of fouls (foes tried only 21 FTs in two games). Hoyas lost at home to Vanderbilt of SEC, 68-61 in November. #3 seeds aren't usually favored in this round; since '95, they're 3-5 vs spread as favorite in regional semis. Key matchup is whether Florida's 6-10 star Noah can do damage inside vs Hoyas' 7-2 Hibbert, who is 50 pounds heavier than the Gators best player.

Washington, UConn are both Huskies, both like to play at a fast pace- only two times UW has been in this round the last 20 yrs, they lost (75-74 vs UConn, '98 (+11.5) (Bob Bender coached the Huskies then, not Romar) and 93-79 vs Louisville in '05 (+1.5)). UConn is 6-2 last eight times in this round. UW took 39 FTs in 67-64 win vs Illinois Saturday (Illini took 11); Huskies led by 14 early, then trailed by 11, but prevailed despite making only 37.8% from floor. UConn doesn't have 40-minute attention span; they led Kentucky 43-31 at half, but let UK back in game, after they trailed Albany after 30 minutes in first round. Good game.

[Spark]

Hot Teams
-- Nets won their last six games (5-1 vs spread). Minnesota won its last two games, after losing its previous seven.
-- Clippers won six of their last eight games. Memphis won last four games by 17,14,6,30 pts (3-1 vs spread).
-- Mavericks won seven of their last nine games. Warriors won three of last five games (3-1-1 vs spread).
-- Jazz covered last three games, beating Phoenix Tuesday nite.

Cold Teams
-- Houston lost their last six games (0-5 vs spread in last five). Hornets lost eight of their last nine games.
-- Suns are 3-4 in last seven games, but get Stoudemire back for limited duty tonight. Blazers lost five in row, 19 of last 22.
-- Wizards are 5-7 last 12 games (1-3 vs spread in last four).

Totals
-- Five of last seven New Jersey home games went over total.
-- Under is 9-5 in Hornets' last fourteen games.
-- Seven of last ten Clipper games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven Maverick games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 9-3-1 in Phoenix' last thirteen games, 10-4-1 in last 15 Portland contests.
-- Eleven of last thirteen Washington games went over total.

[Spark]

Hot Teams
-- Thrashers won ten of their last thirteen games.
-- Tampa Bay scored 16 goals in last three games; they won last two home contests.
-- San Jose, Detroit both won six of their last seven games.
-- Flames are 5-1 in game after their last six losses.
-- Coyotes won three of last four games; they beat Chicago 3-2 at United Center Sunday.

Cold Teams
-- New Jersey lost four of their last five games.
-- Toronto lost twelve of last fourteen road contests. Montreal lost four of its last five games.
-- Washington lost last seven games, outscored 31-20.
-- Blues lost their last four games, outscored 18-5.
-- Blackhawks lost thirteen of their last seventeen games.
-- Edmonton lost six of last eight games; they lost 4-1 at home to Vancouver Tuesday, just second Canuck win in last 8 games.

Totals
-- Twelve of last fourteen Atlanta games stayed under total.
-- Five of last six Montreal games stayed under the total.
-- Ten of last fourteen Washington games went over the total; over is 11-2-1 in last fourteen Lightning games.
-- Six of last eight San Jose games went over the total, as did 7 of last nine Detroit contests.
-- Twelve of last fourteen St Louis games stayed under total.
-- Nine of last eleven Phoenix games went over the total.
-- Under is 12-4-1 in last seventeen Vancouver games.

[Spark]

Thursday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but...........
13) If it is true that Indiana isn't interested in Steve Alford as a coaching candidate, why didn't they just come out and say so, once Mike Davis resigned? You can't tell me that Iowa's early exit from the NCAA wasn't helped, at least a little, by all the uncertainty surrounding Alford's future.

Of course, Indiana hasn't come out and specifically said they aren't interested in Alford, just hinted at it. Stay tuned.

12) Underrated move: Bears signing Brian Griese.

11) Clint Dolezel of Dallas threw 11 TD passes for Dallas last week in the Arena League. Dolezel is a guy who slipped thru the cracks, unlike Kurt Warner, who found his way up to the NFL and won two MVPs. Couple years ago, Chicago Bears had Dolezel in camp, but he didn't get legit chance. Too bad.

10) There were 850 false start penalties in 256 NFL games in '05's regular season, an average of 3.32 per game.

9) Alfonso Soriano played left field for Nationals Wednesday proving he isn't stupid. Forfeiting $10 million this year and a right to become a free agent in the future just wasn't smart.

8) The NFL may vote on expanding the playoffs from 12 to 14 teams, which seems to be a good idea. Not sure if it will pass. In that scenario, only top seed in each conference gets a bye.

7) The U of Arizona football team lost four scholarships for this season ('06) due to bad grades, but really, they don't lose anything, since they only had 81 kids on scholarship. What it does do is prevent them from signing any kids late this spring

6) This year's NFL Draft, pushed back a week to April 29-30, is going to be held at Radio City Music Hall. No word if they are going to have Rockettes bring each pick to the podium.

5) Spring football practice is underway all over America; here in northeast, it gets no mention at all, but elsewhere, football is a big deal, no matter what month it is. ESPN is televising 3 spring football games: Oklahoma (April 8), West Va (April 15) and Louisville (April 21, 7:30).

4) Chan Gailey is 28-22 in four years at Georgia Tech; he just signed a new five-year, $5 million contract. Lot of big money in football, thats for sure. Imagine if he had won something?

3) Formet Met GM Steve Phillips, an analyst (and good one) for ESPN, predicts Toronto will be AL Wild Card team in '06.

2) Will be interesting to see how Kris Benson does under the new Baltimore pitching coach, Leo Mazzone. Benson moves to the AL, so he won't face pitchers anymore, but working on Mazzone's pitching staff figures to help.

1) One of the first jobs the new NFL Commissioner is going to have is to find a way to move the Saints out of New Orleans and not look like the bad guy. The city wasn't that big, even before Katrina, but no way is area now big enough to support an NFL team. Los Angeles is going to get a team, so it might as well be the Saints, but not easily done.

[Spark]

NBA Trends:

Thursday, March 23rd

Minnesota at New Jersey, 7:35 EST
Minnesota: 0-10 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points
New Jersey: 16-5 ATS off a road win by 10 points or more

Houston at New Orleans, 8:05 EST
Houston: 11-2 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points
New Orleans: 18-36 ATS after a win by 10 points or more

LA Clippers at Memphis, 8:05 EST
LA Clippers: 8-19 ATS after playing BB games as a favorite
Memphis: 19-4 Under at home off BB wins

Golden State at Dallas, 8:35 EST NBATV
Golden State: 25-9 Under Away off 3+ ATS wins
Dallas: 6-15 ATS after a win by 10 points or more

Portland at Phoenix, 9:05 EST
Portland: 7-1 Over vs. Phoenix
Phoenix: 8-0 ATS after allowing 105 points or more in BB games

Washington at Utah, 9:05 EST
Washington: 4-12 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less
Utah: 19-8 Over off BB Unders

[Spark]

Additional Trends:Thursday, 3/23/2006

MINNESOTA (28 - 39) at NEW JERSEY (38 - 28) - 3/23/2006, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 0-10 ATS (-11.0 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 72-53 ATS (+13.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 4-1 against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 4-1 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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HOUSTON (29 - 39) at NEW ORLEANS (32 - 33) - 3/23/2006, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) after scoring 85 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 37-16 ATS (+19.4 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
HOUSTON is 41-28 ATS (+10.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points this season.
HOUSTON is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in a road game where the total is between 170 and 179.5 points this season.
HOUSTON is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 18-36 ATS (-21.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 5-4 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 5-4 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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LA CLIPPERS (39 - 27) at MEMPHIS (38 - 29) - 3/23/2006, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 60-89 ATS (-37.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=91 points/game since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 83-58 ATS (+19.2 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 7-2 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 8-2 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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GOLDEN STATE (28 - 38) at DALLAS (53 - 15) - 3/23/2006, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 37-24 ATS (+10.6 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 75-52 ATS (+17.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 6-4 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 7-3 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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PORTLAND (20 - 47) at PHOENIX (45 - 21) - 3/23/2006, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 66-81 ATS (-23.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 25-37 ATS (-15.7 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 26-48 ATS (-26.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
PHOENIX is 51-71 ATS (-27.1 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 5-3 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 6-3 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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WASHINGTON (34 - 32) at UTAH (32 - 35) - 3/23/2006, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 59-81 ATS (-30.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 81-114 ATS (-44.4 Units) after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
UTAH is 65-82 ATS (-25.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 30-43 ATS (-17.3 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-2 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 3-2 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Spark]

NCAA Basketball Trends
Thursday, March 23rd

NIT Tournament
Quarterfinals
Bottom Team is Home

South Carolina at Cincinnati, 6:00 EST
South Carolina: 7-0 ATS in March
Cincinnati: 4-13 ATS at home after failing to cover 2 of 3

** (TC) Denotes Time Change


Thursday, March 23rd
NCAA Tournament
Sweet Sixteen
Atlanta, Georgia
LSU vs. Duke, 7:10 EST

LSU:
18-6 ATS after allowing 60 points or less
6-1 ATS off a combined score of 115 points or less

Duke:
15-6 Over away off 5+ wins
14-5 Over after winning 12+ of their last 15 games



NCAA Tournament
Sweet Sixteen
Atlanta, Georgia
West Virginia vs. Texas, 9:40 EST

West Virginia:
6-0 ATS in NCAA Tournament games
9-0 ATS away after playing BB games as a favorite

Texas:
3-10 ATS off an ATS win
2-8 ATS away after winning 12+ of their last 15 games



NCAA Tournament
Sweet Sixteen
Oakland, California
Gonzaga vs. UCLA, 9:55 EST

Gonzaga:
19-5 ATS as a neutral court underdog
7-1 ATS away off an Over

UCLA:
0-8 ATS off 8+ wins
7-20 ATS after playing 4+ games as a favorite



NCAA Tournament
Sweet Sixteen
Oakland, California
Bradley vs. Memphis, 7:25 EST

Bradley:
0-8 ATS away after committing 8 turnovers or less
0-6 ATS away playing their third game in seven days

Memphis:
7-1 ATS in tournament games
9-2 ATS away off an Under



Friday, March 24th

NCAA Tournament
Sweet Sixteen
Washington, DC
George Mason vs. Wichita State, 7:25 EST

George Mason:
10-25 ATS away off BB ATS wins
8-1 Under playing on a neutral court

Wichita State:
17-6 ATS after playing as an underdog
9-2 ATS away off a non-conference game



NCAA Tournament
Sweet Sixteen
Washington, DC
Washington vs. Connecticut, 9:55 EST

Washington:
10-2 Under off a win by 6 points or less
6-0 Under off ATS wins in 2 of their last 3 games

Connecticut:
2-9 ATS in March
3-13 ATS away after scoring 85+ points



NCAA Tournament
Sweet Sixteen
Minneapolis, Minnesota
Georgetown vs. Florida, 9:40 EST

Georgetown:
20-6 Under playing on a neutral court
11-3 Under off an ATS win

Florida:
7-1 ATS off BB non-conference games
7-1 ATS off a win by 20+ points



NCAA Tournament
Sweet Sixteen
Minneapolis, Minnesota
Boston College vs. Villanova, 7:10 EST

Boston College:
13-4 ATS in tournament games
6-0 ATS as an underdog

Villanova:
4-11 ATS after winning 5 or 6 of their last 7 games
23-11 Over off BB wins

[Spark]

Additional Trends:Thursday, 3/23/2006

LSU (25 - 8) vs. DUKE (32 - 3) - 3/23/2006, 7:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LSU is 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
LSU is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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W VIRGINIA (22 - 10) vs. TEXAS (29 - 6) - 3/23/2006, 9:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W VIRGINIA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
W VIRGINIA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
W VIRGINIA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
W VIRGINIA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in a NCAA tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
W VIRGINIA is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games this season.
TEXAS is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
W VIRGINIA is 1-0 against the spread versus TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS is 1-0 straight up against W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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GONZAGA (29 - 3) vs. UCLA (29 - 6) - 3/23/2006, 9:55 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GONZAGA is 25-36 ATS (-14.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GONZAGA is 25-36 ATS (-14.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
GONZAGA is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
UCLA is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all games this season.
UCLA is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
UCLA is 16-8 ATS (+7.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
UCLA is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
UCLA is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 this season.
UCLA is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
GONZAGA is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) in road games in all tournament games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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BRADLEY (22 - 10) vs. MEMPHIS (32 - 3) - 3/23/2006, 7:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 151-111 ATS (+28.9 Units) in all games since 1997.
MEMPHIS is 151-111 ATS (+28.9 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
MEMPHIS is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games this season.
MEMPHIS is 35-17 ATS (+16.3 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
MEMPHIS is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all tournament games this season.
MEMPHIS is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MEMPHIS is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
BRADLEY is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all games this season.
BRADLEY is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
BRADLEY is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
BRADLEY is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
BRADLEY is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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S CAROLINA (20 - 15) at CINCINNATI (21 - 12) - 3/23/2006, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S CAROLINA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in March games this season.
CINCINNATI is 10-18 ATS (-9.8 Units) in all games this season.
CINCINNATI is 10-18 ATS (-9.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
CINCINNATI is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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GEORGE MASON (25 - 7) vs. WICHITA ST (26 - 8) - 3/24/2006, 7:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WICHITA ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
WICHITA ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGE MASON is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all games this season.
GEORGE MASON is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
GEORGE MASON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGE MASON is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.
GEORGE MASON is 37-20 ATS (+15.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGE MASON is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGE MASON is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGE MASON is 1-0 against the spread versus WICHITA ST over the last 3 seasons
GEORGE MASON is 1-0 straight up against WICHITA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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WASHINGTON (26 - 6) vs. CONNECTICUT (29 - 3) - 3/24/2006, 9:55 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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GEORGETOWN (23 - 9) vs. FLORIDA (29 - 6) - 3/24/2006, 9:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
FLORIDA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
FLORIDA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in non-conference games this season.
FLORIDA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
FLORIDA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all tournament games this season.
GEORGETOWN is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.
GEORGETOWN is 43-21 ATS (+19.9 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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BOSTON COLLEGE (28 - 7) vs. VILLANOVA (27 - 4) - 3/24/2006, 7:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games in March games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
VILLANOVA is 3-0 against the spread versus BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
VILLANOVA is 2-1 straight up against BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Spark]

NHL Hockey Trends


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Additional Trends:
Thursday, 3/23/2006

NEW JERSEY (34-26-0-8, 76 pts.) at ATLANTA (34-29-0-6, 74 pts.) - 3/23/2006, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW JERSEY is 17-19 ATS (-13.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
NEW JERSEY is 10-16 ATS (-12.9 Units) after a division game this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 4-3 (+3.0 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 4-3-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.0 Units)




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TORONTO (32-30-0-6, 70 pts.) at MONTREAL (32-27-0-9, 73 pts.) - 3/23/2006, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 2-8 ATS (+2.0 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
MONTREAL is 11-18 ATS (-10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 8-4 (+4.0 Units) against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 8-4-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
9 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+5.8 Units)




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WASHINGTON (22-37-0-9, 53 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (36-28-0-5, 77 pts.) - 3/23/2006, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 0-11 ATS (+21.1 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
WASHINGTON is 0-10 ATS (+17.6 Units) in road games in March games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 64-36 ATS (-7.3 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 17-19 ATS (-23.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 7-5-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.7 Units)




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SAN JOSE (34-23-0-10, 78 pts.) at DETROIT (47-15-0-6, 100 pts.) - 3/23/2006, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 18-4 ATS (+8.3 Units) after a division game this season.
SAN JOSE is 21-8 ATS (+8.9 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
SAN JOSE is 50-36 ATS (+86.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 57-34 ATS (+13.3 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 4-3 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 4-3-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.0 Units)




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CALGARY (38-22-0-8, 84 pts.) at ST LOUIS (20-37-0-10, 50 pts.) - 3/23/2006, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 27-12 ATS (+14.0 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 33-18 ATS (+13.0 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 4-3-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.9 Units)




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CHICAGO (21-37-0-9, 51 pts.) at PHOENIX (32-33-0-4, 68 pts.) - 3/23/2006, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 51-98 ATS (+181.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 5-23 ATS (+43.1 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
CHICAGO is 21-42 ATS (+64.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 117-87 ATS (+19.5 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
CHICAGO is 7-2 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest this season.
PHOENIX is 12-23 ATS (-20.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 8-18 ATS (-13.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 21-36 ATS (+21.0 Units) as a home favorite of a half goal or even on the puck line over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 28-48 ATS (+28.0 Units) in home games against the puck line over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 25-48 ATS (-33.2 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 4-3 (+2.1 Units) against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 2-2-3 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+7.0 Units)




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EDMONTON (34-24-0-11, 79 pts.) at VANCOUVER (37-27-0-6, 80 pts.) - 3/23/2006, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 3-8 ATS (-7.7 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent this season.
EDMONTON is 11-16 ATS (-9.7 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
EDMONTON is 12-17 ATS (-11.0 Units) second half of the season this season.
EDMONTON is 88-71 ATS (+159.6 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.
EDMONTON is 6-1 ATS (+7.3 Units) in road games after a division game this season.
VANCOUVER is 5-9 ATS (-18.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 84-100 ATS (+84.0 Units) as a home underdog of a half goal or even on the puck line since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 171-188 ATS (+171.0 Units) in home games against the puck line since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 17-22 ATS (-27.4 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 0-4 ATS (-7.4 Units) in home games in March games this season.
VANCOUVER is 10-16 ATS (-21.0 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 7-5 (+2.8 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 7-5-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
8 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.2 Units)

[crswir]

Busy day Spark. Thanks for covering for me.

[Kaptain]

Thanks PM---kapt