Saturday ... Trends and Indexes

[pm530]

Trends & Indexes for Saturday, March 18

Good Luck!

[pm530]

Dunkel Index - College Basketball

Dunkel Index - NCAA Basketball

SATURDAY, MARCH 18

Game 511-512: Wichita State vs. Tennessee (in Greensboro, NC)
Dunkel Ratings: Wichita State 66.3; Tennessee 67.8
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 3
Dunkel Pick: Wichita State (+3)

Game 513-514: George Washington vs. Duke (in Greensboro, NC)
Dunkel Ratings: George Washington 66.0; Duke 75.0
Dunkel Line: Duke by 9
Vegas Line: Duke by 9
Dunkel Pick: Neutral

Game 515-516: WI Milwaukee vs. Florida (in Jacksonville, FL)
Dunkel Ratings: WI Milwaukee 63.3; Florida 71.7
Dunkel Line: Florida by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida by 7
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-7)

Game 517-518: Texas A&M vs. LSU (in Jacksonville, FL)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas A&M 69.4; LSU 69.3
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: LSU by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (+5 1/2)

Game 519-520: Montana vs. Boston College (in Salt Lake City, UT)
Dunkel Ratings: Montana 59.8; Boston College 69.6
Dunkel Line: Boston College by 10
Vegas Line: Boston College by 11
Dunkel Pick: Montana (+11)

Game 521-522: Indiana vs. Gonzaga (in Salt Lake City, UT)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 65.6; Gonzaga 66.1
Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 1
Vegas Line: Gonzaga by 3
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+3)

Game 523-524: Alabama vs. UCLA (in San Diego, CA)
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 67.9; UCLA 75.4
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: UCLA by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Neutral

Game 525-526: Washington vs. Illinois (in San Diego, CA)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 70.2; Illinois 69.9
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Illinois by 2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+2)

Game 527-528: Manhattan at Maryland
Dunkel Ratings: Manhattan 52.0; Maryland 67.9
Dunkel Line: Maryland by 16
Vegas Line: Maryland by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (-11 1/2)

[pm530]

Dunkel Index - Pro Basketball

Dunkel Index - NBA

SATURDAY, MARCH 18

Game 501-502: Miami at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 120.0; Chicago 118.1
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 2; 200
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 4; 203
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+4); Under

Game 503-504: Detroit at Charlotte
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 117.4; Charlotte 115.7
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 2; 203 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 505-506: Denver at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 116.4; New Orleans 113.8
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 2 1/2; 198
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 507-508: Portland at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 106.3; Milwaukee 120.8
Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 14 1/2; 184
Vegas Line & Total: Milwaukee by 10; 183
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-10); Over

Game 509-510: San Antonio at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 122.6; Houston 113.1
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 9 1/2; 179
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 5; 171
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-5); Over

[crswir]

No time this morning guys. My sons have their last basketball games this morning. Good luck today!!!!!!!

[pm530]

Best of luck to the Crswir boys!

What is the line on the game????


:sportsmil

[Spark]

Saturday's List of 13: First-round ramblings......
13) Worst performance Friday: Wisconsin. Bo Ryan is from Philly, and this was a lousy homecoming. Athletic superiority of Arizona overcame distractions Wildcats faced recently, as the Badgers offered virtually no resistance, trailing 35-11.

12) Have a nice summer, Bill Self; Kansas lost as 4-seed, year to day after they lost as 3-seed. Bucknell, Bradley; this is not what Jayhawk fans had in mind when Self replaced Williams in Lawrence. Kansas will once again be top 10 pick at start of next season, but until they do some damage in March, no one is going to really get very excited.

11) Former DePaul coach Ray Meyer passed away at age of 92 Friday; he has a record that will never be broken, making Final Four twice, but appearances were 36 years apart (1943-1979)!!!! Meyer was replaced at DePaul by his son Joey.

10) Oral Roberts is better than a 16-seed; they hung with the top seed Memphis for 15:00, then reality set in. ORU would have beaten Tennessee yesterday, had they been a 15-seed.

9) Northern Iowa would have trouble scoring 70 points if the gym was empty; they went over 9:00 without a basket in the second half of their loss to Georgetown.

8) Well, now Steve Alford can run off to Indiana, and no one in Iowa will shed any tears. You can't lose a game you're up in second half by 17- his tenure in Iowa was a disappointment.

7) Odd thing about Northwestern State, from Natchitoches; they're playing in the Pistons' arena this weekend, where Joe Dumars runs the Detroit team. Dumars grew up mile from the Northwestern State campus, and addressed the team after the practice on Thursday. He played at McNeese State, another team in Northwestern's league, which last won tourney game back in 1985, when Karl Malone played for Louisiana Tech.

6) If you like to play totals and are looking forward to second round Sunday, here are the 3-point shooting totals for four games at each of four sites Friday (there was some serious bricklaying in Philly and Dayton):

Dayton: 49-171, 28.7%; Auburn Hills: 63-161, 39.1%.
Dallas: 53-139, 38.1%; Philadelphia: 44-150, 29.3%.
Total for day: 209-621, 33.7%.
Total for two days: 440-1,252, 35.1%

5) Summary of Friday: Favorites were 6-9-1 Friday (14-16-2 for two days combined). Over was 5-11 (14-18 for two days).

4) Arizona lost regional final last year, playing against Illinois in Chicago; Sunday, they get Villanova in Philly. Hmmm.....

3) Coaches Matt Doherty and Seth Greenberg are very good doing studio analysis during the tournament, especially the former Carolina coach. He seems at ease in front of a camera.

2) Two years ago, Albany had seven guys on its team, and at one point, finished game in Boston with four guys on floor; Friday, they had Nantz/Packer calling their game. Pretty good improvement in two years' time.

1) UAlbany athletic director Lee McElroy has chance to be a very embarrassed AD; he let coach Will Brown hang without a contract, and now, Brown looks like a rising coaching star, having built Albany into an NCAA team, after his 90-10 stint as a junior college coach. It would be justice if Brown looked around for another job and made McElroy squirm a little. He might not have to look too far before he found something.

Friday's List of 13: Tournament tidbits for Thursday
After 13 hours, four large glasses of orange juice, a terrific turkey club sandwich, an almost-burned hamburger, and 16 basketball games, here is some of what we learned..........


13) Best players of day: Adam Morrison of Gonzaga, and the unheralded Brandon Roy of Washington. He gets to hoop in style, almost gliding.........

12) Most relieved team of day: Tennessee, which survived its game vs Winthrop, avoiding the fifth-ever 15-2 upset; teams combined to shoot 12-45 from the arc. Not a very good game, but closest Big South has come to winning a real tourney tilt.

11) Best defense of day: LSU held Iona, a 40% team from the arc, to 3-18 on 3's, rallying from 37-32 down at half to win by 16. Once Tigers pulled ahead, Iona wasn't exactly spunky.

10) Best comeback of day: George Washington was down 18 in second half, after 28-10 run by Wilmington to start half, but then GW spurted to 19-0 run, and eventually won 88-85 in OT UNCW hit only 10-18 foul shots in bitter loss, missing two front ends of 1-and-1's during 19-0 run; playing at lot faster pace than usual isn't good for your free throw percentage.

9) Duke had 20 turnovers vs Southern, in game that wasn't an easy win. What will they do vs frenetic George Washington?

8) San Diego State-Indiana was wild, like a glorified AAU tilt; Aztecs seemed to control the game, but couldn't put it away, making Mountain West tournament champs 0-7 in NCAAs.

7) Seton Hall lost. Syracuse lost. Marquette lost. At least the BC Eagles won; oh wait, they're in the ACC now. Proves that just because their TV annoucers rant about how great the Big East is, doesn't guarantee them wins in March.

6) If you like to play totals and are looking forward to second round Saturday, here are the 3-point shooting totals for four games at each of four sites Thursday:

Jacksonville: 49-146, 33.6%; Greensboro: 58-159, 36.5%.
Salt Lake City: 61-157, 38.9%; San Diego: 63-169, 37.3%.
Total for day: 231-631, 36.6%. Weird that best percentage was in altitude at the Huntsman Center in Utah.

5) If you're keeping score at home, eight favorites covered the spread, seven dogs did, and UNCW-GW game was listed at a closing line of 3 most places, with 3.5 in one or two; we'll call it a push. Nine games went over, seven didn't; four dogs won their game outright.

4) Best game of day: Boston College-Pacific. Tigers are more like Gonzaga than Gonzaga, other than Adam Morrison. BC led 9-0, looked like they might shut Pacific out, then the game was tied at half, BC surged out to a double digit lead, Pacific rallied to force OT, then grabbed 6-point lead in OT. This is a game no Pacific Tiger will ever forget, and for wrong reasons.

3) And if you took eight points with Pacific, you won't forget the 88-76 double overtime loss anytime soon either.

2) Bad day for WAC, as Nevada put forth feeble effort in bad loss to Montana, and Utah State went fairly quietly in loss to Washington; why does it seem like it is easier to play in this tournament if you're the underdog?

1) Most impressive teams of day: Wichita State, Milwaukee.

[Spark]

Have fun John and thanks ...

You too PM .. Thank You

[Spark]

Saturday NCAA games
Wichita won MVC regular season, is 6-1 in last six games; they are 8th in country in defensive rebounding. Wichita's last seven opponents scored 66 or less pts. Tennessee is 3-4 in last seven games and lost in first SEC tourney game, then struggled a lot in Winthrop game, pulling out win on desperation shot. Shockers held Seton Hall to 34.4% from floor in first round, won easily by 20- they were 22-32 from line, 10-22 from arc. Vols shot just 5-21 from arc in their win. Since '91, #2 seeds are 20-9 vs spread when facing 7 seed in second round but 2-4 if spread is 3 or less pts.

Boston College is 0-5 in this round since '94, but 13-1 in its non-ACC games this season; their non-ACC schedule was not good. Eagles survived double OT in first round vs Pacific, making just 6 of 23 treys- they were down six in the first OT, but with its four returning starters with over 420 career starts, they got through. Montana is on roll; they beat Nevada easily in first round, after winning Big Sky tourney at Northern Arizona- they hit 23-27 on foul line, made 6-12 treys, and shot 51.8% from floor. Since 2002, 12-seeds are 5-2 vs spread in this round. BC lost 4-12 game last year, to alumnus Bruce Pearl and Wisconsin-Milwaukee.

Florida started rivalry with Bruce Pearl's Vols this season; here they get Pearl's old team, Wisconsin-Milwaukeee, which starts five seniors, four of whom started for Sweet 16 team last year-- they were 26-32 from line Thursday, winning despite hitting just 6-20 3's. Gators held South Alabama to 34.5% from floor, hit on 10-25 treys and coasted; they're 0-3 in this round since '00, and were favored in two of those three games. 11-seeds are 5-13 vs spread when facing a #3 (3-3 in last six), but #3-seeds are 1-6 vs spread in this round the last two years. Noah might be the best player in this whole tournament, including Morrison/Redick.

Since '91, 2-seeds are 20-9 vs spread when facing 7-seed in this round; in last six years, faves of more than three points are 10-8 vs number. Bruins won and covered last eight games- they also won last six second round games, and were underdog in three of those. Alabama coach Gottfried has national championship ring from stint as UCLA assistant under former coach Harrick. Tide ran out to a 44-30 halftime lead Thursday, making 12-23 from arc and 22-31 from line. Bruins held Belmont to 28.8% from floor and were +20 on boards in complete mismatch. San Diego site has to favor UCLA somewhat- this should be good game.

George Washington stared Grim Reaper in face Thursday, came back from 18 down in second half to win; now they get the big fish in Duke, which struggles vs athletic teams- they turned ball over 20 times vs Southern Thursday. Duke won last eight in this round (3-5 vs spread); #1 seeds are 11-9 vs spread in this round the last five years. GW played two ACC teams this year, losing 79-58 at NC State Dec 31 (+5), 26 days after they beat local rival Maryland 78-70 (+2.5). Duek will not wear down like UNCW did, and this game is in Greensboro, so Colonials better not fall way behind the way they did in first round game.

LSU outscored Iona 48-27 in second half Thursday, always plus sign, rallying from 37-32 halftime deficit, grabbing their first win in this event since '00. Texas A&M shot 35.7% in their win, but Aggies win via defense (3rd in nation in defensive efficiency). LSU is 9th in country in offensive rebounding, so this game is going to be played inside arc, unlike many games in the tourney. A&M beat Auburn 72-67 at home Dec 22 (-8.5), only SEC team they faced this year. Tigers won eight of last nine games- would think Aggies' lack of offense will hurt them here, but 12-seeds in this round covered five of their last seven games.

Gonzaga lost to Bob Knight in this round last year, third year in row they lost in second round- now they're facing Indiana, and Zags' Few is one of names being tossed in hat for IU's coaching job. Gonzaga trailed most of the game vs Xavier; they struggled despite shooting 52% from floor- they've got serious difference-maker in Morrison. Xavier hurt Gonzaga by shooting 23-33 from line. Indiana won despite Aztecs hitting 56.4% from field (10-18 from arc). Gutty Vaden played 36 minutes despite playing on an injured ankle. 3-seeds have struggled recently, covering one of last seven second round games. Underdogs are 19-8 vs spread in 3-6 games since 1996. Zags' last four wins are by a combined margin of twelve points.

Illinois is 15-0 outside Big 11 this season, 4-1 in last five second round games, with all four wins by 12+ points. Illini beat the Air Force 78-69 in first game, despite Falcons shooting 13-27 on its 3's. Washington is 12-0 out of Pac-10; Huskies had +14 turnover ratio Thursday (7-21), making 12-28 treys; they start four seniors who played in Sweet 16 last year. Washington now won nine of last ten overall (8-2 vs spread in last 10). Illini played in Final 4 last year. Since '99, dogs are 7-4 vs spread in 4-5 games in this round. Huskies have best player on floor in Roy; they're also #4 offensive rebounding team in country.

Saturday NIT game
Manhattan beat FDU 80-77 in first round of NIT, thanks to FDU missing 14 of 32 foul shots; Jaspers had just six turnovers- their group of talented sophomores will be tested more by Maryland team that hasn't played since Boston College beat them in ACC tournament. Manhattan got run off floor by Long Beach State in Bracketbuster, 108-94, so they're vulnerable vs athletic teams.

[Spark]

Hot Teams
-- Miami won three in row, thirteen of last fourteen games. Bulls are 4-1 vs spread in game after their five losses.
-- Nuggets won five of their last seven games.
-- Spurs won eleven of their last thirteen games.

Cold Teams
-- Charlotte lost twelve of last sixteen games (7-3-1 vs spread in last eleven); they lost 94-78 at Detroit six days ago. Pistons are 4-4 in their last eight games; they lost in New York last night.
-- Hornets lost their last seven games (0-7 vs spread), losing by 10,22,13,6,2,11,15 points.
-- Portland lost seventeen of their last twenty games. Bucks are 5-9 in their last fourteen games.
-- Rockets lost last three games, scoring 79.7 ppg.

Totals
-- Five of last six Miami games went over the total.
-- Eight of last twelve Charlotte games went over the total.
-- Ten of last thirteen Hornet games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 18-5-1 in Milwaukee's last 24 games.
-- Seven of last ten San Antonio games went over the total.

[Spark]

Hot Teams
-- Carolina won seven of their last ten games.
-- Dallas won six of its last seven games. Sharks won four in row eight of last eleven games.
-- Buffalo won their last eight games, scoring 41 goals. Ottawa won eight of its last ten games.
-- Panthers won four of their last five games.
-- Atlanta won eight of its last ten games.
-- Predators won four of their last five games.
-- Detroit won four in row, 12 of last fourteen games. Oilers won last two games, allowing total of three goals.
-- Blues are 6-0 in game after their last six losses.

Cold Teams
-- Bruins lost six of their last seven games.
-- Washington lost their last four games, allowing 20 goals.
-- Philadelphia lost six of its last nine games.
-- Montreal lost four of last five home games. Penguins are 5-22 in their last twenty-seven games.
-- Rangers lost six of their last seven games. Toronto is 3-7 in its last ten games.
-- Calgary lost five of their last seven road games.
-- Los Angeles lost four of last five games, allowing 22 goals.

Totals
-- Four of last five Carolina road games stayed under the total, as did fifteen of last 21 Boston games.
-- Over is 9-2-2 in last thirteen Dallas games, 4-1 in last five San Jose contests.
-- Four of last five Buffalo games went over the total
-- Over is 7-2-1 in last ten Florida games, 9-2 in Washington's last eleven games.
-- Eight of last nine Atlanta games stayed under the total.
-- 11 of last fifteen Montreal games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last eleven Ranger games stayed under the total.
-- Nine of last ten Calgary games stayed under the total, as did 10 of the last eleven Nashville games.
-- Five of last six Red Wing games went over the total.
-- Seven of last eight St Louis games stayed under the total.

[pm530]

Dunkel Index - Hockey

Dunkel Index - NHL

SATURDAY, MARCH 18

Game 1-2: Carolina at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 12.60; Boston 10.74
Dunkel Line & Total: Carolina by 2; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Carolina by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (-1 1/2); Over

Game 3-4: Dallas at San Jose
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 12.47; San Jose 12.92
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+1 1/2); Under

Game 5-6: Buffalo at Ottawa
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 13.26; Ottawa 12.96
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+1 1/2); Neutral

Game 7-8: Florida at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 11.67; Washington 10.58
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Florida by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+1 1/2); Over

Game 9-10: Philadelphia at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 11.12; Atlanta 12.53
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-1 1/2); Under

Game 11-12: Pittsburgh at Montreal
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 10.67; Montreal 12.02
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Montreal by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-1 1/2); Under

Game 13-14: Toronto at NY Rangers
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 11.07; NY Rangers 11.90
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+1 1/2); Over

Game 15-16: Calgary at Nashville
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 11.86; Nashville 12.85
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Nashville by 1 1/2; 5
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+1 1/2); Neutral

Game 17-18: Detroit at Edmonton
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 13.32; Edmonton 11.59
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-1 1/2); Under

Game 19-20: St. Louis at Los Angeles
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 11.37; Los Angeles 11.21
Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+1 1/2); Neutral

[pm530]

Dunkel Index - Pro Basketball --- update

Dunkel Index - NBA
updated with lines for these two games

Game 503-504: Detroit at Charlotte
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 117.4; Charlotte 115.7
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 2; 203 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 8; 193
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+8); Over

Game 505-506: Denver at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 116.4; New Orleans 113.8
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 2 1/2; 198
Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 4; 190
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+4); Over

[crswir]

Won one and lost one........covered both games!!!!!!




Pro Basketball Trend Report
MIAMI (43 - 21) at CHICAGO (29 - 36) - 3/18/2006, 2:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 40-27 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 95-71 ATS (+16.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 6-3 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 8-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




DETROIT (51 - 13) at CHARLOTTE (18 - 48) - 3/18/2006, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 3-3 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 4-2 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




DENVER (37 - 30) at NEW ORLEANS (31 - 32) - 3/18/2006, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 5-3 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 6-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




PORTLAND (20 - 45) at MILWAUKEE (32 - 33) - 3/18/2006, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 65-80 ATS (-23.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 23-35 ATS (-15.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) after scoring 85 points or less this season.
PORTLAND is 25-37 ATS (-15.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) second half of the season this season.
MILWAUKEE is 164-206 ATS (-62.6 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 58-84 ATS (-34.4 Units) on Saturday games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 19-32 ATS (-16.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 3-1 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 3-1 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




SAN ANTONIO (51 - 14) at HOUSTON (29 - 36) - 3/18/2006, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 41-25 ATS (+13.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 56-38 ATS (+14.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 56-38 ATS (+14.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 33-14 ATS (+17.6 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=91 points/game over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=91 points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 91-75 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 83-68 ATS (+8.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 89-58 ATS (+25.2 Units) in March games since 1996.
HOUSTON is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) after scoring 85 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HOUSTON is 8-25 ATS (-19.5 Units) in home games this season.
HOUSTON is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in a home game where the total is between 170 and 179.5 points this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 6-4 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 8-2 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
8 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


_________________________________________________

Saturday, March 18, 2006
MST TV Hoops Index Forecast
12:05p CSNSUNNBATV Chicago* 1 over Miami
5:35p WDIV Detroit 6 over Charlotte*
6:05p ALT New Orleans* even with Denver
6:35p FSN Milwaukee* 8½ over Portland
6:35p FSN San Antonio 3½ over Houston*

[crswir]

Pro Hockey Trend Report
CAROLINA (45-15-0-6, 96 pts.) at BOSTON (26-30-0-11, 63 pts.) - 3/18/2006, 12:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 45-21 ATS (+14.3 Units) in all games this season.
CAROLINA is 45-21 ATS (+14.3 Units) as an underdog or pick on the puck line this season.
CAROLINA is 45-21 ATS (+14.3 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line this season.
CAROLINA is 20-3 ATS (+15.9 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more this season.
CAROLINA is 28-11 ATS (+12.0 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
BOSTON is 27-40 ATS (+27.0 Units) as a home favorite of a half goal or even on the puck line over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 5-13 ATS (+21.2 Units) on Saturday games this season.
BOSTON is 7-18 ATS (+25.1 Units) after a division game this season.
BOSTON is 5-20 ATS (-15.2 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 6-1 (+5.7 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 5-1-1 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.1 Units)




DALLAS (44-19-0-3, 91 pts.) at SAN JOSE (32-23-0-9, 73 pts.) - 3/18/2006, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE is 49-35 ATS (+6.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 21-7 ATS (+11.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 20-7 ATS (+9.9 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
DALLAS is 44-22 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 44-22 ATS (+8.2 Units) as an underdog or pick on the puck line this season.
DALLAS is 44-22 ATS (+8.2 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line this season.
DALLAS is 22-11 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a road underdog of a half goal or even on the puck line this season.
DALLAS is 22-11 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a road favorite of a half goal or even on the puck line this season.
DALLAS is 22-11 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games against the puck line this season.
DALLAS is 20-8 ATS (+10.4 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more this season.
DALLAS is 58-33 ATS (+17.2 Units) in road games on Saturday games since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 6-4-1 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
8 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.4 Units)




BUFFALO (44-16-0-5, 93 pts.) at OTTAWA (46-15-0-6, 98 pts.) - 3/18/2006, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 44-21 ATS (+17.9 Units) in all games this season.
BUFFALO is 44-21 ATS (+17.9 Units) as an underdog or pick on the puck line this season.
BUFFALO is 14-4 ATS (+7.9 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak this season.
BUFFALO is 114-95 ATS (+210.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
BUFFALO is 44-21 ATS (+17.9 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line this season.
BUFFALO is 21-10 ATS (+32.7 Units) as a road underdog of a half goal or even on the puck line this season.
BUFFALO is 21-10 ATS (+32.7 Units) as a road favorite of a half goal or even on the puck line this season.
BUFFALO is 21-10 ATS (+32.7 Units) in road games against the puck line this season.
BUFFALO is 19-9 ATS (+29.5 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more this season.
BUFFALO is 14-7 ATS (+21.2 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
OTTAWA is 4-7 ATS (-13.8 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 6-4 (+3.2 Units) against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 4-4-2 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.9 Units)




FLORIDA (27-29-0-10, 64 pts.) at WASHINGTON (22-35-0-8, 52 pts.) - 3/18/2006, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 169-249 ATS (-84.0 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line since 1996.
FLORIDA is 55-114 ATS (+204.9 Units) as a road favorite of a half goal or even on the puck line since 1996.
FLORIDA is 0-10 ATS (+17.6 Units) in road games on Saturday games this season.
FLORIDA is 56-89 ATS (-42.4 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
FLORIDA is 62-97 ATS (-41.2 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
FLORIDA is 156-178 ATS (-64.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
FLORIDA is 70-100 ATS (-56.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1996.
FLORIDA is 54-50 ATS (+116.6 Units) in road games when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 9-2 (+6.8 Units) against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 8-1-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+6.1 Units)




PHILADELPHIA (36-21-0-10, 82 pts.) at ATLANTA (32-28-0-6, 70 pts.) - 3/18/2006, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 36-31 ATS (-15.4 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 36-31 ATS (-15.4 Units) as an underdog or pick on the puck line this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 36-31 ATS (-15.4 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 12-17 ATS (-13.4 Units) second half of the season this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 20-34 ATS (-21.9 Units) in road games in March games since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 11-20 ATS (-13.8 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 5-2 (+1.2 Units) against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 5-2-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.2 Units)




PITTSBURGH (16-38-0-12, 44 pts.) at MONTREAL (31-25-0-9, 71 pts.) - 3/18/2006, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 16-50 ATS (+99.1 Units) in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 16-50 ATS (+99.1 Units) as an underdog or pick on the puck line this season.
PITTSBURGH is 6-20 ATS (+30.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
PITTSBURGH is 16-50 ATS (+99.1 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line this season.
PITTSBURGH is 24-51 ATS (+83.1 Units) in road games on Saturday games since 1996.
PITTSBURGH is 13-9 ATS (+27.9 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 10-16 ATS (+30.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 4-2 (+0.2 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 4-2-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)




TORONTO (30-29-0-6, 66 pts.) at NY RANGERS (37-19-0-10, 84 pts.) - 3/18/2006, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 52-41 ATS (+97.9 Units) in road games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 43-65 ATS (+43.0 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 88-103 ATS (+88.0 Units) as a home underdog of a half goal or even on the puck line since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 136-155 ATS (+136.0 Units) as a home favorite of a half goal or even on the puck line since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 161-193 ATS (+161.0 Units) in home games against the puck line since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 49-65 ATS (+49.0 Units) in a home game where where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 29-44 ATS (-34.5 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 5-19 ATS (-14.3 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 40-69 ATS (-61.4 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 5-2 (+3.0 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 5-2-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.2 Units)




CALGARY (37-20-0-8, 82 pts.) at NASHVILLE (39-19-0-8, 86 pts.) - 3/18/2006, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 25-7 ATS (+25.0 Units) as a home underdog of a half goal or even on the puck line this season.
NASHVILLE is 25-7 ATS (+25.0 Units) as a home favorite of a half goal or even on the puck line this season.
NASHVILLE is 25-7 ATS (+25.0 Units) in home games against the puck line this season.
CALGARY is 29-21 ATS (+56.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 19-14 ATS (+37.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 47-39 ATS (+89.1 Units) in road games against the puck line over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 36-22 ATS (+60.9 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
NASHVILLE is 5-2 (+3.7 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
NASHVILLE is 5-1-1 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.3 Units)




DETROIT (45-15-0-5, 95 pts.) at EDMONTON (34-23-0-10, 78 pts.) - 3/18/2006, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 49-58 ATS (-29.3 Units) in road games after a 3 game unbeaten streak since 1996.
EDMONTON is 19-13 ATS (+19.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
EDMONTON is 70-47 ATS (+18.4 Units) in March games since 1996.
DETROIT is 22-9 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a road underdog of a half goal or even on the puck line this season.
DETROIT is 22-9 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a road favorite of a half goal or even on the puck line this season.
DETROIT is 22-9 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games against the puck line this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 4-2 (+3.0 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 2-2-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.8 Units)




ST LOUIS (20-34-0-10, 50 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (36-27-0-5, 77 pts.) - 3/18/2006, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 7-7 ATS (+25.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
LOS ANGELES is 4-14 ATS (-12.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 4-3 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 4-3-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.0 Units)




______________________________________________

03/18/06 Predictions

Season: 372-204 (.646)

Carolina vs. BOSTON: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Dallas vs. SAN JOSE: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
MONTREAL 4, Pittsburgh 3
Florida vs. WASHINGTON: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
ATLANTA 4, Philadelphia 3
Toronto vs. NY RANGERS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
OTTAWA 4, Buffalo 3
NASHVILLE 3, Calgary 2
Detroit vs. EDMONTON: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
LOS ANGELES 4, St. Louis 3



TODAY'S FORECAST

Saturday, March 18, 2006
MST TV Pucks Index Forecast
10:05a NESN Carolina even with Boston*
2:05p FSN San Jose* ½ over Dallas
5:05p FSN Montreal* 1 over Pittsburgh
5:05p MSG Ottawa* ½ over Buffalo
5:05p MSG N.Y. Rangers* 1 over Toronto
5:05p FSNCSN Florida even with Washington*
5:05p TSCSN Atlanta* ½ over Philadelphia
6:05p RSN Nashville* ½ over Calgary
8:05p FSN Detroit even with Edmonton*
8:35p FSN Los Angeles* ½ over St. Louis

[crswir]

Arena Football Trend Report
PHILADELPHIA (4 - 3) at COLUMBUS (3 - 4) - 3/18/2006, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBUS is 2-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




NEW YORK (4 - 3) at TAMPA BAY (4 - 3) - 3/18/2006, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 92-65 ATS (+20.5 Units) in all games since 1996.
TAMPA BAY is 40-23 ATS (+14.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 2-0 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 1-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




KANSAS CITY (1 - 6) at AUSTIN (5 - 2) - 3/18/2006, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
AUSTIN is 3-2 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 3-2 straight up against AUSTIN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons