Monday ... Trends and Indexes

[pm530]

Trends & Indexes for Monday, March 13

Good Luck!

[pm530]

Dunkel Index - Pro Basketball

Dunkel Index - NBA

MONDAY, MARCH 13

Game 501-502: Orlando at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 112.0; Indiana 118.9
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 7; 190 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 7; 186 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Over

Game 503-504: Denver at New York
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 117.6; New York 115.8
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 2; 205 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 505-506: Atlanta at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 113.0; Milwaukee 119.3
Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 6; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Milwaukee by 7; 199 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+7); Over

Game 507-508: New Jersey at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 112.6; Houston 114.2
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 1 1/2; 181
Vegas Line & Total: Pick; 177
Dunkel Pick: Houston; Over

Game 509-510: Minnesota at L.A. Clippers
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 111.9; L.A. Clippers 122.6
Dunkel Line & Total: L.A. Clippers by 11; 195 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: L.A. Clippers by 8 1/2; 191 1/2
Dunkel Pick: L.A. Clippers (-8 1/2); Over

[pm530]

Dunkel Index - Hockey

Dunkel Index - NHL

MONDAY, MARCH 13

Game 51-52: Tampa Bay at Montreal
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 10.46; Montreal 12.55
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Montreal by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-1 1/2); Over

Game 53-54: Columbus at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Columbus 11.00; St. Louis 11.95
Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Columbus (+1 1/2); Neutral

Game 55-56: Vancouver at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 11.25; Dallas 12.33
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (+1 1/2); Under

Game 57-58: Colorado at Calgary
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 12.27; Calgary 12.52
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1/2; 3
Vegas Line & Total: Calgary by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+1 1/2); Under

Game 59-60: Los Angeles at San Jose
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 11.42; San Jose 12.53
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+1 1/2); Neutral

[crswir]

Pro Basketball Trend Report
ORLANDO (22 - 40) at INDIANA (31 - 29) - 3/13/2006, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 61-77 ATS (-23.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 75-108 ATS (-43.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
ORLANDO is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 56-81 ATS (-33.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 45-63 ATS (-24.3 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 20-37 ATS (-20.7 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 7-22 ATS (-17.2 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 57-76 ATS (-26.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 136-109 ATS (+16.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) second half of the season this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 5-4 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 5-4 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




DENVER (35 - 29) at NEW YORK (17 - 44) - 3/13/2006, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




ATLANTA (20 - 40) at MILWAUKEE (30 - 32) - 3/13/2006, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 63-79 ATS (-23.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
MILWAUKEE is 40-57 ATS (-22.7 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 5-4 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 6-3 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




NEW JERSEY (33 - 28) at HOUSTON (29 - 34) - 3/13/2006, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW JERSEY is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
HOUSTON is 148-114 ATS (+22.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
NEW JERSEY is 38-19 ATS (+17.1 Units) in road games off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
NEW JERSEY is 41-25 ATS (+13.5 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HOUSTON is 8-23 ATS (-17.3 Units) in home games this season.
HOUSTON is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games when playing on back-to-back days this season.
HOUSTON is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in home games after scoring 85 points or less over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 4-1 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




MINNESOTA (26 - 36) at LA CLIPPERS (36 - 25) - 3/13/2006, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 64-78 ATS (-21.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 7-4 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 8-3 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[crswir]

03/13/06 Predictions

Season: 584-302 (.659)

INDIANA 96, Orlando 86
Denver 104, NEW YORK 100
MILWAUKEE 103, Atlanta 96
HOUSTON 91, New Jersey 86
LA CLIPPERS 97, Minnesota 87

[crswir]

Pro Hockey Trend Report
TAMPA BAY (33-29-0-4, 70 pts.) at MONTREAL (31-23-0-9, 71 pts.) - 3/13/2006, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 1-9 ATS (-10.2 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent this season.
TAMPA BAY is 136-198 ATS (-63.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
MONTREAL is 26-16 ATS (+8.9 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 14-5 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 61-34 ATS (+15.6 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 6-5-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.1 Units)




COLUMBUS (26-36-0-2, 54 pts.) at ST LOUIS (19-33-0-10, 48 pts.) - 3/13/2006, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLUMBUS is 10-7 ATS (+20.4 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
COLUMBUS is 14-11 ATS (+31.9 Units) second half of the season this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 7-4 (+2.7 Units) against the spread versus COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 7-4-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.3 Units)




VANCOUVER (35-24-0-6, 76 pts.) at DALLAS (42-19-0-3, 87 pts.) - 3/13/2006, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANCOUVER is 6-16 ATS (-19.8 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
VANCOUVER is 17-5 ATS (+10.3 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 84-86 ATS (+192.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 5-2 (+3.3 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 5-2-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.1 Units)




COLORADO (37-23-0-6, 80 pts.) at CALGARY (36-20-0-7, 79 pts.) - 3/13/2006, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 17-28 ATS (-17.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 10-1 ATS (+8.2 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive unders this season.
CALGARY is 25-12 ATS (+6.5 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 32-18 ATS (+13.7 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 165-173 ATS (+367.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 6-4-1 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.1 Units)




LOS ANGELES (36-24-0-5, 77 pts.) at SAN JOSE (30-23-0-9, 69 pts.) - 3/13/2006, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE is 48-35 ATS (+48.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE is 10-1 (+9.8 Units) against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE is 9-1-1 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.7 Units)

[crswir]

03/13/06 Predictions

Season: 358-203 (.638)

Tampa Bay vs. MONTREAL: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Columbus vs. ST. LOUIS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
DALLAS 4, Vancouver 3
CALGARY 3, Colorado 2
SAN JOSE 4, Los Angeles 3



^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

TODAY'S FORECAST

Monday, March 13, 2006
MST TV Pucks Index Forecast
5:35p RDSSUN Montreal* 1 over Tampa Bay
6:05p FSN St. Louis* ½ over Columbus
6:35p OLN Dallas* 1 over Vancouver
7:05p ALT Calgary* ½ over Colorado
8:35p FSN San Jose* 1 over Los Angeles

[Spark]

Hot Teams
-- Orlando won last two games, covered five of last six contests.
-- Nuggets won four of their last five games.
-- Atlanta covered their last five road games.
-- Rockets covered last five games (4-1 SU) but are without the oft-injured McGrady again.
-- Clippers won three in row, six of last eight games.

Cold Teams
-- Indiana lost three of their last four games, scoring 93 ppg.
-- Knicks lost 23 of their last 27 games, 10 of last 12 at home.
-- Milwaukee lost eight of their last twelve games.
-- Nets lost five of last seven games, covered one of last nine.
-- Minnesota lost their last four games, by 6,3,11,8 points.

Totals
-- Six of last nine Orlando games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven New York games went over the total.
-- Under is 15-5-1 in last 21 Milwaukee games.
-- Five of last seven New Jersey games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Clipper games went over the total.

[Spark]

Hot Teams
-- Canadiens won last two games, allowing zero goals.
-- Blue Jackets won three of their last four games.
-- Dallas won four of their last five games, allowing ten goals.
-- Colorado won last three games, allowing two goals; they won 3-0 yesterday at home vs Calgary.
-- Los Angeles won six of their last seven games. San Jose won their last five home games.

Cold Teams
-- Lightning are 1-5 since Olympics, allowing 35 goals.
-- Blues scored four goals in last three games (1-2), all of which went into overtime.
-- Canucks lost six of nine and three in row, scoring four goals.
-- Flames scored eight goals in last six games (3-3).

Totals
-- Over is 7-1-1 in last nine Tampa Bay games.
-- Eight of last nine St Louis games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 8-2-1 in last eleven Dallas games.
-- Eight of last nine Calgary games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Los Angeles games stayed under the total.

[Spark]

Monday's List of 13: Initial impressions of Field of 65
13A) Before I start on my initial impressions of the Field of 65 I am going to rant, because my Long Beach 49ers got left out of the NIT. Who is the idiot responsible for this? Long Beach at Stanford would have been awesome, JC kids vs smart kids, but no, we get Virginia at Stanford...the head of the Selection Committee for the NCAA tournament is the AD at Virginia. Coincidence? I doubt it.

Long Beach's kids are great to watch, they play hard as hell, would have made a good show at midnight on ESPN. Damn.

OK, I feel better now.

Time to turn the volume on the TV down as I watch Mexico-Korea baseball, put Faith Hill in the stereo and get cracking. On to my initial impressions of the tournament. More to come each day this week, as we head towards Thursday.........

13) Belmont vs UCLA. Bruins vs Bruins. John Wooden vs a team named after a racetrack. Belmont shot 50% from field for the year, but they lost five games in the Atlantic Sun, so not a bad draw for Ben Howland.

12) Upset alert for Boston College, which played tough game in North Carolina on Sunday, and now has to play out in Salt Lake City on Thursday-- thanks a lot. Plus, Pacific has beaten a Big East team in first round the last two years. Hmmmm....

11) Lute Olson has been in the NCAAs seven times as lower than a 3 seed at Arizona; he is 1-6 in first round those years (he won the national title in the year he won). Wildcats have more distractions than a circus; they're going out early.

10) Gonzaga will play the "lack of respect" card all week, but they got a great draw: Xavier's best player is out with broken ankle, they fired their point guard, and only are here because their conference tournament was in Cincinnati. Gonzaga just drew the 10 seed from a 14-team league that was getting one bid, had GW not lost. Thats a good deal, if you ask me.

9) Maybe Vegas oddsmakers think Gerry McNamara isn't so great; #5 Syracuse, favored by 1.5 points vs #12 Texas A&M, the lowest spread in a 5-12 game in five years.

8) Indiana is in trouble; Robert Vaden hurt his ankle (it looked bad) very late in the Ohio State game and now they're going to Salt Lake City (Mountain West country) against San Diego State, kings of the Mountain West. Killingsworth has issues with conditioning, and in altitude, it'll be worse.

7) Jay Bilas thinks Michigan got hosed; Duke alum Amaker is Michigan's coach. Hey, Jay; Michigan went 2-7 in their last 9 games. You want to make the tournament? Win more games.

6) Last time Cal made the tournament, three years ago, they beat NC State in OT in first round. Well, they're playing the Wolfpack again, and NC State stumbles in on a 4-game slide.

UAB-Kentucky is rematch of Blazers' second round upset in 2004. Our guy Squeaky Johnson visits the city of Brotherly Love. Will be excellent game.

5) Iona Gaels draw LSU, which hasn't won first round game in six years, when they had Stromile Swift; they lost as favorite in last two tourneys. Iona has three senior guards, they shoot 3's like crazy (40% for year) and they're fearless. Question is, do they have any way to stop the powerful Glen Davis?

4) If you had to bet your last $100 on Cincinnati vs Utah St, no points, who would you take? Cincinnati-Bradley? UC beat LSU, they won at Vanderbilt, they won at Syracuse. Ugh.

I am guessing Seton Hall's 83-65 win at NC State got them in.

3) Want an obscure team you'll be scrambling to learn about later this week? Northwestern (LA) State, the Demons, who play two groups of five guys and have their top seven guys back from last year's team. I think they'll beat Iowa.

2) Man, if you're a coach, and you've got your kids in a room watching CBS, and your team gets excluded, what the hell do you say to them? CSTV cameras were at Missouri State, and it was real quiet in that room. For the seniors, it is very sad.

I mean, Missouri State had a 21 RPI, lost at 8-seed Arkansas by four points, and comes from a league with four bids- what would you say to those heartbroken kids? I have no idea.

1) My early Final Four prediction:

UCLA, North Carolina, Boston College and Duke.

I'm still bitter that we can't play the over on Long Beach State in the NIT this week, but I guess I'll get over it.

[animal one]

cinn got screwed coming out of the big east, with the schedule they had, and quality wins, it was syr. that put the pin into their baloon, unfortunate, but shit happens

[Udog]

the head of the Selection Committee for the NCAA tournament is the AD at Virginia. Coincidence? I doubt it.


For real?!?! No kidding? Well, that just stinks! You're dead on about Long Beach being fun to watch! My heart goes out to those hard-working, hard-playing guys!

After what I witnessed in Nashville yesterday, I'm heart-broken over South Carolina getting bumped, too, and I'm a Gator fan!

[vinnyvegas]

Spark, you can move this to a March Mad trend post once made...

March Madness Tournament Notes
________________________________________
Seed Matchup Results

#1 vs. #16: The #1 seed is 28-0 SU & 17-11 ATS. 14 of 24 totaled games went UNDER.

#2 vs. #15: #2 seeds are 27-1 SU but just 12-16 ATS. 16 of 24 totaled games went UNDER.

#3 vs. #14: This matchup has been owned by the #3 seed, 26-2 SU & 16-12 ATS. OVER/UNDER is 9/15.

#4 vs. #13: The #4 seed is 12-6 SU & 14-13-1 ATS vs the #13. The OVER/UNDER ratio is 14/10.

#5 vs. #12: 5th seeds are 17-11 SU & 11-16 ATS vs the #12’s. The OVER is 15-9 in the series.

#6 vs. #11: #6 seeds have fared well straight up, going 20-8 & 15-13 ATS. 14 of the 24 games went UNDER the posted total.

#7 vs. #10: As mentioned earlier, the #10 seed is 15-13 SU & ATS in this matchup. The UNDER is 14-8-2.

#8 vs. #9: This has been a close series, with #8 holding a 15-13 SU & 14-14 ATS record. O/U is 13/11.

__________________


#1 Seeds off BB SU wins are 19-10 ATS.

#3 Seeds off a SU favorite loss are 19-1 SU & 14-6-1 ATS.

#4 Seed favorite of 9.5 or less points are 16-8 ATS.

#7 Seed dogs are 11-4-1 ATS.

#13 Seeds with a win percentage of .600 or better are 13-18 ATS.

- ACC champs are 7-18 ATS and also 5-14 ATS as favorites -9 or more points.

- Favorites in this round are 207-198-6 ATS, including 1-5 ATS when playing off a SU home loss as a favorite.

- The best team SU records in this round are Kentucky 19-0, Kansas 15-0, Connecticut 12-0, Stanford 10-0, Duke 8-0, Purdue 8-0, Illinois 7-0 and Maryland 7-0.

- The worst team SU record in this round is Nebraska 0-5, BYU 0-4 .

- The best team ATS record in this round is Southern Illinois 4-0, Stanford 4-0 and Illinois 6-1.

- Worst Team ATS records in this round: Mississippi 0-5, Nebraska 0-5, Georgia Tech 0-4, Maryland 0-4 ATS and Massachusetts 0-4.

- Best Conference SU records in this round: ACC 12-1 SU last three years, BIG 10 11-2 last three years and PAC 10 14-5 last four years.

- The worst conference SU record in this round: Colonial Athletic Association at 2-10 in the last twelve years.

[zittiboy]

thankx your info will help me alot