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Spears Manic Monday
Feeling good from the weekend- Wayne hit a big GOY and Kapt is Cappin' well. A couple of others have also done very well. Personally, I am hanging low under the radar- waiting for the playoffs mainly.
Sacramento St +3
This team invades Montana St and looks to revenge an earlier game. It is senior night for 4 senior players on Montana States side. Both teams are again visiting each other in the first round of the playoffs. Montana State has a 11-3 record at home and Sacramento St is 7-8 on the road. I am figuring Sacramento St wins this and Montana State returns the favor once again on their home floor (3 point win at sacramento earlier). The winner hosts the playoff game between these two. Sacramento has not lost by more than 5 in the last 9 games except the last game where they got blown out.
I believe the turnovers ratio against common opponents wins this game outright for Sac. St. --18 turnovers avg on the defensive side against common folks vs Montana St. 11 turnovers avg on the defensive side vs common folks. An avg of 7 more turnovers for prosperity sake.
Dunkle Ratings support a three point difference with the line (rates the game even) and therefore the value of getting points in this game is a plus by Vegas.
--SACRAMENTO ST is 8-2 against the spread versus MONTANA ST since 1997
--SACRAMENTO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus MONTANA ST over the last 3 seasons
--MONTANA ST is 1-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO ST over the last 3 seasons
This is where the fun part comes in. Ja'Ron Jefferson leads Montana State with 14.6 ppg, he has been battling the flu.
He is listed as probable but- I think not. He missed the last game on saturday but I just can't see him playing much.
hey---Looky here----Both teams suck and now they get to beat up on each other. Both have a nice losing string going.
But what puts me on the side of Sac. St ---is their playability on the road, offense is up - their turnover ratio is 7 points better on avg- Montana States Jefferson is battling the flu- Sac Sts. propensity to keep the game close- Senior night can be a distraction- Montana St is not the same team as earlier.
What says Montana St-- is its fine home record- senior night which can also bring out the best in the seniors, and its desire to host the game for the playoffs against this same team.
Play On - An underdog (SACRAMENTO ST) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3.5 PPG differential.), after allowing 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games.
(38-15 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.7%) ( Rating = 2*)
Sacramento St +3
This team invades Montana St and looks to revenge an earlier game. It is senior night for 4 senior players on Montana States side. Both teams are again visiting each other in the first round of the playoffs. Montana State has a 11-3 record at home and Sacramento St is 7-8 on the road. I am figuring Sacramento St wins this and Montana State returns the favor once again on their home floor (3 point win at sacramento earlier). The winner hosts the playoff game between these two. Sacramento has not lost by more than 5 in the last 9 games except the last game where they got blown out.
I believe the turnovers ratio against common opponents wins this game outright for Sac. St. --18 turnovers avg on the defensive side against common folks vs Montana St. 11 turnovers avg on the defensive side vs common folks. An avg of 7 more turnovers for prosperity sake.
Dunkle Ratings support a three point difference with the line (rates the game even) and therefore the value of getting points in this game is a plus by Vegas.
--SACRAMENTO ST is 8-2 against the spread versus MONTANA ST since 1997
--SACRAMENTO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus MONTANA ST over the last 3 seasons
--MONTANA ST is 1-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO ST over the last 3 seasons
This is where the fun part comes in. Ja'Ron Jefferson leads Montana State with 14.6 ppg, he has been battling the flu.
He is listed as probable but- I think not. He missed the last game on saturday but I just can't see him playing much.
hey---Looky here----Both teams suck and now they get to beat up on each other. Both have a nice losing string going.
But what puts me on the side of Sac. St ---is their playability on the road, offense is up - their turnover ratio is 7 points better on avg- Montana States Jefferson is battling the flu- Sac Sts. propensity to keep the game close- Senior night can be a distraction- Montana St is not the same team as earlier.
What says Montana St-- is its fine home record- senior night which can also bring out the best in the seniors, and its desire to host the game for the playoffs against this same team.
Play On - An underdog (SACRAMENTO ST) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3.5 PPG differential.), after allowing 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games.
(38-15 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.7%) ( Rating = 2*)
It's always noon somewhere! 
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