Monday - Trends and Indexes

[pm530]

Trends & Indexes for Monday, February 20, '06

Good Luck!

[pm530]

Dunkel Index - College Basketball

Dunkel Index - NCAA Basketball

MONDAY, FEBRUARY 20

South Alabama 56.8 (1) Florida International* 55.9

West Virginia 70.6 (2) Syracuse* 68.6

Oklahoma 70.1 (3) Texas Tech* 67.3

New Mexico St.* 61.1 (11 1/2) San Jose St. 49.7

Nevada 63.9 (17 1/2) Idaho* 46.5

Loyola Marymount* 66.6 (15) Portland 51.4

San Francisco* 60.2 (6) Santa Clara 54.0

San Diego* 62.3 (2 1/2) St. Mary's, CA 59.8

Gonzaga 67.8 (10) Pepperdine* 57.9

Hofstra 58.5 (6) William & Mary* 52.5

Chattanooga* 55.0 (6) Appalachian St. 49.1

Furman 50.5 (10 1/2) The Citadel* 40.0

[crswir]

College Basketball Trend Report
S ALABAMA (18 - 6) at FLA INTERNATIONAL (8 - 16) - 2/20/2006, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 29-48 ATS (-23.8 Units) in all home games since 1997.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 29-48 ATS (-23.8 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 21-40 ATS (-23.0 Units) when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 43-64 ATS (-27.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 2-1 against the spread versus S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 2-1 straight up against S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




W VIRGINIA (18 - 7) at SYRACUSE (18 - 8) - 2/20/2006, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W VIRGINIA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SYRACUSE is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SYRACUSE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
SYRACUSE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
SYRACUSE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.
SYRACUSE is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SYRACUSE is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
SYRACUSE is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SYRACUSE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SYRACUSE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SYRACUSE is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in home games in February games since 1997.
SYRACUSE is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
SYRACUSE is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
SYRACUSE is 2-1 against the spread versus W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
SYRACUSE is 3-0 straight up against W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




OKLAHOMA (17 - 6) at TEXAS TECH (14 - 12) - 2/20/2006, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS TECH is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
TEXAS TECH is 23-40 ATS (-21.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS TECH is 3-3 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS TECH is 3-3 straight up against OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




SAN JOSE ST (6 - 19) at NEW MEXICO ST (12 - 12) - 2/20/2006, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW MEXICO ST is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 17-34 ATS (-20.4 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
NEW MEXICO ST is 1-0 against the spread versus SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
NEW MEXICO ST is 1-0 straight up against SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




NEVADA (20 - 5) at IDAHO (4 - 19) - 2/20/2006, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IDAHO is 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) in February games since 1997.
NEVADA is 48-30 ATS (+15.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NEVADA is 48-30 ATS (+15.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEVADA is 36-22 ATS (+11.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
NEVADA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in a road game where the total is 130 to 134.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NEVADA is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NEVADA is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in February games over the last 2 seasons.
IDAHO is 6-13 ATS (-8.3 Units) in all games this season.
IDAHO is 6-13 ATS (-8.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
IDAHO is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 this season.
IDAHO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.5 over the last 2 seasons.
IDAHO is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) after a non-conference game this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
NEVADA is 1-0 against the spread versus IDAHO over the last 3 seasons
NEVADA is 1-0 straight up against IDAHO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




PORTLAND (9 - 16) at LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT (11 - 14) - 2/20/2006, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 27-45 ATS (-22.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
PORTLAND is 10-28 ATS (-20.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.
PORTLAND is 52-78 ATS (-33.8 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
PORTLAND is 18-45 ATS (-31.5 Units) in February games since 1997.
PORTLAND is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after a conference game this season.
PORTLAND is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games when playing with one or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 4-2 against the spread versus LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 4-2 straight up against LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




SANTA CLARA (9 - 15) at SAN FRANCISCO (10 - 14) - 2/20/2006, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 31-46 ATS (-19.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 31-46 ATS (-19.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games in February games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
SANTA CLARA is 4-3 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-3 straight up against SANTA CLARA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




ST MARYS-CA (12 - 11) at SAN DIEGO (16 - 8) - 2/20/2006, 11:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after allowing 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 2-2 against the spread versus ST MARYS-CA over the last 3 seasons
ST MARYS-CA is 4-1 straight up against SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




GONZAGA (22 - 3) at PEPPERDINE (7 - 16) - 2/20/2006, 11:59 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GONZAGA is 17-28 ATS (-13.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
GONZAGA is 64-40 ATS (+20.0 Units) when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
PEPPERDINE is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
GONZAGA is 5-0 against the spread versus PEPPERDINE over the last 3 seasons
GONZAGA is 5-0 straight up against PEPPERDINE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




APPALACHIAN ST (11 - 14) at UT-CHATTANOOGA (15 - 12) - 2/20/2006, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
APPALACHIAN ST is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
UT-CHATTANOOGA is 3-3 against the spread versus APPALACHIAN ST over the last 3 seasons
UT-CHATTANOOGA is 4-2 straight up against APPALACHIAN ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




FURMAN (14 - 11) at THE CITADEL (7 - 19) - 2/20/2006, 7:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FURMAN is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
THE CITADEL is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all games this season.
THE CITADEL is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
THE CITADEL is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
THE CITADEL is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 this season.
THE CITADEL is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) as an underdog this season.
THE CITADEL is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
THE CITADEL is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
THE CITADEL is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
THE CITADEL is 31-53 ATS (-27.3 Units) after a conference game since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
FURMAN is 3-1 against the spread versus THE CITADEL over the last 3 seasons
FURMAN is 5-0 straight up against THE CITADEL over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




HOFSTRA (19 - 5) at WM & MARY (8 - 16) - 2/20/2006, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOFSTRA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
WM & MARY is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
WM & MARY is 53-76 ATS (-30.6 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
WM & MARY is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) against conference opponents this season.
WM & MARY is 51-83 ATS (-40.3 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
WM & MARY is 33-54 ATS (-26.4 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
HOFSTRA is 4-0 against the spread versus WM & MARY over the last 3 seasons
HOFSTRA is 4-0 straight up against WM & MARY over the last 3 seasons

[crswir]

Season: 2881-965 (.749)

America East Conference
ALBANY 66, Vermont 56
BINGHAMTON 66, Umbc 56
Big 12 Conference
Oklahoma 66, TEXAS TECH 64
Big East Conference
West Virginia 70, SYRACUSE 69
Big South Conference
Birmingham-So. 69, CHARLESTON SOUTHERN 68
COASTAL CAROLINA 85, Vmi 64
HIGH POINT 79, UNC Asheville 73
Winthrop 75, LIBERTY 58
Colonial Athletic Association
Hofstra 75, WILLIAM & MARY 64
Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
Bethune-Cookman 73, UMES 64
COPPIN ST. 64, South Carolina St. 57
DELAWARE ST. 57, Norfolk St. 45
Florida A&M 72, HOWARD 68
North Carolina A&T 69, MORGAN ST. 63
Northeast Conference
Fairleigh Dickinson 71, MONMOUTH 65
MOUNT ST. MARY'S 75, Quinnipiac 65
Southern Conference
CHATTANOOGA 76, Appalachian St. 72
Furman 79, THE CITADEL 67
Southwestern Athletic Conference
ALABAMA A&M 78, Alcorn St. 70
ALABAMA ST. 65, Southern 64
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ST. 75, Prairie View A&M 66
UA PINE BLUFF 72, Texas Southern 64
Sun Belt Conference
South Alabama 67, FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL 64
West Coast Conference
Gonzaga 83, PEPPERDINE 70
LOYOLA MARYMOUNT 84, Portland 71
SAN DIEGO 76, St. Mary's 73
SAN FRANCISCO 72, Santa Clara 65
Western Athletic Conference
Nevada 76, IDAHO 54
NEW MEXICO ST. 78, San Jose St. 64
Non-Conference
HAMPTON 80, Longwood 68
Ipfw vs. NORTHERN COLORADO: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Texas A&M-C.C. 81, TEXAS-PAN AMERICAN 64

[Spark]

West Virginia lost two in row, three of last four games after a 8-0 start in Big East; last year, WVa lost twice to Syracuse, 72-64 at the Dome, 68-59 in Big East tourney. Syracuse is 3-3 at home in Big East; they're 4-0 in league if they allow 66 or less pts, 2-6 if they don't. WVa scored 66+ in eight of last eleven games.

Texas Tech won last two games, allowing 60 ppg; they lost first meeting vs Oklahoma, 60-48, but are 5-1 SU at home in its league games, losing only to Texas. Sooners won eight of last ten tilts, but lost two of last three on road; they allowed 83 ppg last two games. Dogs are 4-2 vs spread in Oklahoma's road games.

New Mexico State won last three games with wins at both Utah State, Pacific, two tough gyms, so Theus is doing terrific job in his first year; Aggies won 81-75 in OT at San Jose first meeting this year; they're 4-1 at home in WAC, winning by 3,3,7,5 points. Spartans lost seven of last eight games; they're 2-2 as road dog.

Not only is Idaho 1-10 in WAC, they allowed 37-0 run by Utah State last week, not scoring for 13 minutes, the longest scoring drought in NCAA history. Vandals are 1-7-1 vs spread in last 9 WAC games. Nevada won last six games; they crushed Akron Friday, but they're 1-3 vs spread as WAC road favorite.

Senior Night for LMU team that needs one more win to clinch #2 slot in WCC, which is huge the way they do league tourney out there. Lions won 84-68 at Portland Jan 14; they're 5-1 at home in WCC, with wins by 2,9(ot),10,8,11(ot) pts. Pilots won last time out at Pepperdine; they covered four of last five as a road dog.

Santa Clara lost three in row, 10 of last 11 games; they were out in Hawai'i Saturday, now come right back to face San Francisco club they lost to 72-64 at home Jan 28. Broncos covered three in row as road dog. USF is 4-2 at home in WCC, with underdog 5-1 vs spread in those games; their wins are by 1,12,3,16 points.

San Diego is 4-2 at home in WCC, but 1-4 as home fave, winning by 6,10,13,3 pts; dogs are 9-2 vs spread in their league contests. Toreros won 86-78 at St Mary's in first meeting. Gaels won five of last six games; they're 3-3 on WCC road, losing by 1,1,8 pts. Road team is 8-3 vs spread in St Mary's' WCC games.

Last road game of year for Gonzaga, who got pushed by LMU Saturday; they're 4-2 as WCC away fave, winning by 8,13,1,9,14 and 9 pts. Pepperdine lost last four games by 13,3,11(ot),5 pts; they are 3-4 vs spread as WCC underdog, 1-1 at home- Waves lost 102-73 at Gonzaga Jan 14. Visitor 8-3 vs spread in Zag tilts.

Hofstra won seven of last eight games, winning four of last five on road by 8,1,14,6 pts; they beat William & Mary twice last yr, by 12,21 pts. W&M won two of last three home games, with the loss in OT; they're 2-8 vs spread as CAA dog, 0-4 at home. Our pick on this game is in the box below.

Appalachian State is 2-3 as a road dog in Southern Conference, with away losses by 6,2,11,12 pts; they lost 73-57 at home back on Jan 16 to Chattanooga. Moccasins are 3-2 at home in league, winning by 9,6,11 pts. ASU lost here 60-52 last season (+10.5).

Citadel is 0-13 in Southern Conference, 2-5 as home dog, losing home games by 18,15,19,1,10(ot),4,20 pts- they lost 81-57 on Jan 21 at Furman. Paladins lost five of last seven games; they're 5-1 at home in SC, 4-1 as home fave, winning by 5,4,24,12,8 points

[Spark]

Monday's List of 13: 13 things I learned this weekend
13) Villanova beat Georgetown by 10 Sunday, turning the ball over just three times, while making 12 of 27 treys. Pretty good guards Villanova has, but 3-point shooting comes and goes, which could be a problem come March.

12) Race cars on the NASCAR circuit weigh 3,500 pounds; if that was common knowledge, I apologize, but I didn't know.

11) Drviers can lose as much as ten pounds during a race, say the people who know such things.

10) Golf is a lot quieter than stock car racing.

9) Freddie Couples is very popular, but I have no idea why.

8) Couple of NBA players, from different teams, accused the Utah Jazz of overinflating the ball, because Utah relies less on jumpshots than most teams. Interesting.

7) Karl Hobbs has emerged as frontrunner for the Cincinnati job; the powers that be there are stupid not consider Andy Kennedy as a permanent replacement for Bob Huggins, but it looks like Kennedy will have to go elsewhere next season.

6) No matter if the coach is from Tennessee or Illinois, orange sport jackets are still very ugly.

5) Head coaches routinely do brief, pointless interviews with sideline reporters at halftime of games; even Bob Knight does them, although he usually storms off after saying his piece. Only Duke puts their third assistant (Chris Collins) on the air for a halftime interview. Why is that allowed?

4) USC has a new arena being built for next season, so they're only playing one more game in the Sports Arena, which was opened in 1959, and has a lot of history in it. Trojans have a great future ahead of them; Tim Floyd is an excellent coach.

3) After watching Hoosiers for the 50th time this weekend, I am more convinced than ever that Norman Dale was a nitwit. Once again, a coach is only as good as his players.

2) Someone did some serious drinking before designing this year's NBA All-Star Game uniforms.

1) My idea for the NBA All-Star game? Make coaches with the worst record in each conference coach game. Coaches with great records deserve the three days off. Make the poor souls who can't win a game work during their break.