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  • Spears Idears Amongst Peers-Wed Plays

    Went 1-2 last night. Doesn't seem to matter how many trends are favoring - I still end up 55 % on the basketball season and that is not good enuff. 6-3-1 in my last 10 plays. Trying now to work with less trends and more feel. Capping is just not complete and that is obvious. I have shown what I do but I am adding more feel for what the books are trying to get us to take today UTEP and Rutgers especially. Having said that I now notice the # of favs I have taken today- Blows that writeup out of the water.
    Note: I saw someone had put a bag of money on Detroit ML last night in their loss to Atl.
    Something over -500 odds. Poor guy!!!

    1) UTEP Pick
    The betting public is correct when moving the money line in UAB games 43.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (25-32)
    This game looks easy for UAB - thats the problem that I am having with choosing a side. If you look at points for and points against- you would choose UAB. UAB has the better record but not the better ATS. UAB has played better competition. I ain't falling for it again. Chump time is over - UTEP.

    2) Niagara -5.5
    3) Boston College -1.5
    4) Oklahoma -1.5
    5) Xavier -6.5
    6) Rutgers +6.5

    NBA----
    1) Washington -4
    2) Indiana Pacers -6
    Last edited by Spearit; 02-08-2006, 09:38 AM.
    "The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.

  • #2
    GL Spearit!

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    • #3
      Goodluck today Spear!!!!!!!!!
      "Sometimes it's not what you play, but what you don't play."

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      • #4
        GL tonight Spearit!
        It's always noon somewhere!

        My Fish and Aquariums

        Griffey's Posted Record

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        • #5
          GeTER DONE BUDDY LETS CASH TONIGHT WHAT U SAY FUCK THEM UP LOL GLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL
          U GOT A HUNCH BET A BUNCH
          THINK LONG THINK WRONG

          ROLLLLLLLLLL TIDEEEEEEEEEEEEEE
          BAMA BAMA BAMA

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          • #6
            GL tonight buddy
            2013 NCAA POD Record

            8-3ATS +3.80 units

            2013 NFL POD Record

            1-2 ATS -4.50 units

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            • #7
              Good Luck Spearit!!
              Every Man Dies, But Not Every Man Lives!!!

              Record as of 1-30-06

              NBA
              7-9-1 -2.5*
              CBB
              8-6 =2*

              Each * = 25.00
              I am small time compared to most Gamblers!!
              But I play within my Limits!!

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              • #8
                Go get 'em,Spearit...good luck to you!
                Scranton

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                • #9
                  Spearit,

                  Damn, I had a big write up here & I lost it...I'll start again.

                  I've done as you in terms of capping lately. I've noticed & IMHO, Vegas has dialed in the CBB to a degree I haven't seen in some time. As if they said, FU! Now, having that revelation or insight, the obvious isn't the obvious or the answer is on the board, you just need to look.

                  Example, I told some friends yesterday, Baylor was my pick. I was asked HOW & WHY. Other than my obvious of Quinn sucking as a coach & Mizzou on road, I looked at line and said, NO WAY, that is just too damned obvious.

                  Is it that easy each and every night, NO. Sometimes the FAVS just cover like they are supposed to. Look at the Duke game last night...depending on the time of day you got the line and who you took, it was either PUSH, WIN or LOSE...what a game to MIDDLE if you could of timed it right, correct? Point being that games are falling right on the numbers/lines...seems to me just freakishly right on. Again, Vegas KNOWS.

                  CBB last 2 nights: Mon 9 dogs cover, 75%; Tues 9 dogs cover, 67%...tonight 6 teams/DOGS are playing at FAVS house who have substantial home winning streaks on the line. For most of this season, the FAVS have covered these lines at home, majority, so do dogs rear their heads tonight? I'm not holding my breath but it'll be interesting to see how it plays out w/ mostly dogs hitting Mon & Tues.

                  I'm sure once I really look at lines, something will jump out? I hope, but I may take the night off just to see what happens. Good luck w/ them tonight.
                  FUCK YOU, FUCK ME

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                  • #10
                    GL Buddy....I never pick my cap my plays from trends and stats..... I always go with teams that I have watched and whether they are playing at home or on the road.....Good teams win no matter where they play unless they are playing against someone who really plays great at home ot isn't bad themselves....Tennesse and villanova were 2 examples of that last night....You got a good knack for pick, hang with it....
                    I'll take 6-3 every week, if I could....

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                    • #11
                      Good luck Spear!!
                      GOOD LUCK ALL !!!!!!!!!!!!!
                      If you lose you are a degenerate....If you win you are a handicapper

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                      • #12
                        Good luck Spear

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                        • #13
                          Thanx Vinnie and Chuck. I appreciate your comments and am looking to get a better read on teams in Hoops as like VV states - it can be a dog night or a fav night. Chuck on the strength of teams overall vs the strength of teams at home or on the road. The last two nights is what I referred to as Bizarro World- where no matter how many stats, trends and such is apparently one way- the other occurs. Detroit beating Atlanta in the NBA last night. Of course, Detroit is struggling right now overall, but you didn't see Atlanta winning. The way teams play is conducive to streaks of hot and cold- ATS speaking.

                          I have a new system and if it hits tonight again- It will be monitored to have won the last 4 nights. A dog play-------------NHL

                          LA Kings/Columbus Under 6.5
                          Last edited by Spearit; 02-08-2006, 01:36 PM.
                          "The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.

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                          • #14
                            Good Luck Spearit

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                            • #15
                              Best of luck Spearmint Rhino!

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