Two fairly solid bets for the Superbowl

[frankb03]

I like all 3 calls. GL

[Spearit]

I am with Kapt on this one- Seattle +10 1/2 and Over 41. Great writeup and thoughts- Looking forward to more of your posts. Not because you are on Seattle either - but rather that you clarify your picks instead of grabbing them from somewhere else and posting them or they just seem like the team to win. Some really do. Pitt looks awesome and they bring a team spitting as much as Cowher does. Its almost scary to bet against them. Like em - just don't think its a romp. I believe this game goes into the 20's for both teams. 27- 21.

[DBURGH]

London

Your Houston Stats Are Misleading Also,,,pitt Didn't Throw The Ball In The Second Half Against Them,,,,they Just Ran It Down Their Throat Because They Were Ahead..and That Is What Pitt Does...stats Cannot Be Compared Here Unless They Played Head To Head....by The Way, Pitt Ran The Ball The Last 11 Plays Of That Game.

[jcindaville]

Here is a stat, the NFC blows. Washington sucks, Carolina was beatin up and Seattle didnt beat one team all year with a winning record on the road. Would love to see them go to Cincy twice and beat them, or Indy, and not to mention Denver who hadnt lost at home all year.
With all that in mind, Seattle + 4 is not by any means a bad bet. Just dont be disrepcting what the Steelers have accomplished.

[london]

I fully admit, it's scary betting against Pitt..they have looked great lately. But I always seem to *lose* the bets that I'm dead sure about....and the ones that I play just because my stat-system lands on the game...but I personally hate the play, seem to be the ones I win. We shall see. Everyone is SURE the Steelers will romp....but in the NFL, what everyone knows generally isn't worth knowing....as in so many things. Oh well, we'll soon find out.

To the guy who said the Houston game stats were misleading because Pitt *ran* the ball a lot.....I've always sort of thought that running plays were *part* of the stats You've got to take out the kneel-downs at the end of the game, or you can get 3 plays of -4, which throw things off a bit, but otherwise, running stats are *more* significant than passing stats.

By the way...if anyone *is* planning to bet UNDER and can't find 47.5...go to Bet365. They've had it at 47.5 all week. That's a BIG 1/2 point...and with pinny sitting at 47 *-115* if you want the under...you've got to wonder what they're smoking over at Bet365!

[DBURGH]

Stats

Ok, Well Let's See The Statistics From The Houston Game,,,,,i'm Just Trying To Figure This Out.

Pitt Vs. Houston,,,,,,46 Plays 388 Yards = 8.4 Yards Per Play....

Sea Vs. Houston,,,,,,56 Plays 459 Yards = 8.2 Yards Per Play.....


So, What Stats Do You Want To Use,,

[london]

Yards per play is NOT a significant stat ATS. It's *in the line* so if you use YPP differential to try to beat the spread you will fail.....as it's already been allowed for by the linemaker.