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NFL YTD 33-21 +21.95 units
4* GOY 1-0 +4.0 units
3* 2-0 +6.0 units
2* 10-4 +11.0 units
1* 20-17 +0.95 units
Playoffs 0-2 -3.3 units (ugh!)
NFL/CFB Combined 88-62 +41.15 units
4* 2-0 +8.0 units
3* 3-0 +9.0 units
2* 22-11 +19.6 units
1* 61-51 +4.55 units
Got off to an awful post-season start last week including a 2* double play loss when Cincy collapsed in the second half. I have strong opinions about what should happen the last two weeks but am timid in this round. Just one play but I'll list my opinions in the others at the bottom.
1* Colts -9 1/2
I strongly believe Indy is the best team in the NFL and I think a win is very likely here. The points are a lot more than I'd prefer but consider that Indy hasn't played a meaningful game in weeks and will be highly focused. Pittsburgh has been in must-win situations the last few weeks and may be tanked out when they have to play the league's best offense. Steelers benefited greatly from turnovers last week and may not get them here. Underrated Indy defense should shut down Pitt just like they did in the regular season. Home teams have won 88 percent SU in this round making an upset unlikely so I'll lay all this wood with the probable Super Bowl winner.
Opinions
Strong opinion: Broncos.
The only reason I'm not making it a play is Belichick's incredible post-season record. But I believe New England isn't as good as they've seemed the last few weeks and Denver's thrashing of san Diego in a must win game for the Chargers in the final regular season game was telling.
Mild opinion: Seahawks.
Gibbs is 17-5 ATS in post-season. I can't buck that but every other factor points to a Seahawks win by about 16.
Slight lean: Panthers
Since I picked them in August to win the Super Bowl and they're still alive, why not?
Bets: In addition to a full one unit play on the Colts, I'm making a small wager on the Broncos and a two team money line parlay on the Colts and Broncos paying even money +100.
Good luck to all this weekend.
4* GOY 1-0 +4.0 units
3* 2-0 +6.0 units
2* 10-4 +11.0 units
1* 20-17 +0.95 units
Playoffs 0-2 -3.3 units (ugh!)
NFL/CFB Combined 88-62 +41.15 units
4* 2-0 +8.0 units
3* 3-0 +9.0 units
2* 22-11 +19.6 units
1* 61-51 +4.55 units
Got off to an awful post-season start last week including a 2* double play loss when Cincy collapsed in the second half. I have strong opinions about what should happen the last two weeks but am timid in this round. Just one play but I'll list my opinions in the others at the bottom.
1* Colts -9 1/2
I strongly believe Indy is the best team in the NFL and I think a win is very likely here. The points are a lot more than I'd prefer but consider that Indy hasn't played a meaningful game in weeks and will be highly focused. Pittsburgh has been in must-win situations the last few weeks and may be tanked out when they have to play the league's best offense. Steelers benefited greatly from turnovers last week and may not get them here. Underrated Indy defense should shut down Pitt just like they did in the regular season. Home teams have won 88 percent SU in this round making an upset unlikely so I'll lay all this wood with the probable Super Bowl winner.
Opinions
Strong opinion: Broncos.
The only reason I'm not making it a play is Belichick's incredible post-season record. But I believe New England isn't as good as they've seemed the last few weeks and Denver's thrashing of san Diego in a must win game for the Chargers in the final regular season game was telling.
Mild opinion: Seahawks.
Gibbs is 17-5 ATS in post-season. I can't buck that but every other factor points to a Seahawks win by about 16.
Slight lean: Panthers
Since I picked them in August to win the Super Bowl and they're still alive, why not?
Bets: In addition to a full one unit play on the Colts, I'm making a small wager on the Broncos and a two team money line parlay on the Colts and Broncos paying even money +100.
Good luck to all this weekend.
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