Would you hedge this?

[celtics72]

I have the NYG as the last team in an 11-1 4 teamer at -2.5
I thought about taking Carolina for about 1/2 of the win total to guarantee 1/2 a payout, then root for a close game. I can get Carolina +3 -120 right now. Would you hedge this, and do you think the line will move in my favor as the late bettors take the favored GMen? thanks celtics72

[Brady22]

no................go gaints

[Big Country 5]

For me it would depend on the payoff.If its big I would hedge.If its not that great I would gamble.As far as line goes I would think it'll stay the same or go down.Like you said you could hedge and win both.Good luck on what you decide.

[jrain]

yes it only makes sense

a bird in the hand is worth more than 2 in the bush

[illjaunt]

Celtics I would bet the other side and guarantee you some money!

[savage1]

I would at least buy back the cost of the parlay. If you are doing really well overall, I would let the rest ride. If you are not, I would buy back at least 1/4 of it.

[celtics72]

thats the thing for me, I am not gambling a lot of money, just playing small ML parlays and teasers, but I havent hit one in a few days (damn Detroit OT---and I will never take a Pac 10 fav again (Arizonz and Washington) thats why I am looking at the guaranteed money. Plus I really see this as a good game, with a realistic chance of a double up with a 3 pt win if only the line will move in my favor so I can buy to 3.5 -120. Right now its -140 and thats 2 much to buy off in a hedge.

[frankb03]

I always hedge if the opportunity is there for a WINNER

[Bill the Thrill]

nothing better to say than "I'm a winner even before kickoff"

[Cadillac]

Absolutely hedge for a quarter. You have a good chance of hitting with the Giants at home.

[TwoTonTony]

some sound advice here....hedge for at least a 1/4

[london]

Yes

I would hedge partially, but ONLY because the dam finally broke and there are now 3s out there at some books. You'd be in a particularly advantageous position, since if the Giants win by 3 (which is obviously a very likely scenario, at least compared to any other, with 3 being the most common margin) you'd WIN your original bet, but not LOSE your hedge.

With the line moving onto THE key number, the hedge looks sound.

[celtics72]

I saw that at my book (5 dimes) I am waiting for the +3.5 to come off of -135 and I may buy the 1/2 if I can get it for -120 though thats unlikely on such a key number. Thanks guys