NFL YTD 33-19 +25.25 units
4* GOY 1-0 +4.0 units
3* 2-0 +6.0 units
2* 10-3 +13.2 units
1* 20-16 +2.05 units
NFL/CFB Combined 88-60 +44.45 units
4* 2-0 +8.0 units
3* 3-0 +9.0 units
2* 22-10 +21.8 units
1* 61-50 +5.65 units
3-1 last Sunday in the NFL including my Pro Game of the Year (easy winner w/KC) and went 2-1 on New Year's Day bowls but the loss was a 2*. I ended up just 4-5 on the bowls with two of my losses being 2* top plays. On to the playoffs.....
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There are twelve post-season games including the Pro Bowl (don't laugh, I hit my Post Season GOY last year on the Pro Bowl OVER) which means limited opportunites. I may end up with a Post Season GOY or may not (I didn't have a Bowl GOY and considering how I did in the bowls that's a good thing); it'll depend on whether I find a real strong play. My top plays 2* and over ended the NFL 13-3 and I'm 5-0 pro and college combined on plays 3* and up. So I'm very picky with my top plays and have one this weekend.
2* Bengals +3
(This line is still available at Millenium and a few other books. Buy up if necessary.) The wrong team is favored in this game. Home dogs in the wild card round are a perfect 6-0 ATS since 1994 and for good reason. The home team has the better record and is at home. People are overreacting to Pittsburgh's strong finish. Cincy's lousy play the last two weeks is irrelevant; they had no reason to win. The Bengals have perhaps the second best offense in the league and Pittsburgh's strong defense won't shut them down. The Steelers can't play a shoot-out type game with their ball control offense and will be in big trouble if they fall behind. This is the Bengals' first playoff game in several years and the crowd and team will be juiced. I came very close to making this my post-season GOY.
1* Giants -2 1/2
I really like New York's offense and the defense, while inconsistent, has had some strong games. Carolina was my pre-season pick to win the Super Bowl and while they have come on very strong down the stretch they are facing the winner of the toughest division in the entire league. To go 11-5 while facing the AFC West in non-conf play and two games each against Dallas and Washington is very impressive. Giants by 7.
Opinion only: Jaguars
I don't normally write up opinions but New England is a flawed team. All of the injuries and coaching losses have taken a toll. I think the Pats may be emotionally spent after their great second half comeback and while they may win today I see no chance of them returning to the Super Bowl. Jacksonville has a nice defense and should keep the game competivie and has an outside shot at the upset. If this game were to go to 9, I'll have to consider making it a play.
Barely an opinion: Bucs/Redskins UNDER
4* GOY 1-0 +4.0 units
3* 2-0 +6.0 units
2* 10-3 +13.2 units
1* 20-16 +2.05 units
NFL/CFB Combined 88-60 +44.45 units
4* 2-0 +8.0 units
3* 3-0 +9.0 units
2* 22-10 +21.8 units
1* 61-50 +5.65 units
3-1 last Sunday in the NFL including my Pro Game of the Year (easy winner w/KC) and went 2-1 on New Year's Day bowls but the loss was a 2*. I ended up just 4-5 on the bowls with two of my losses being 2* top plays. On to the playoffs.....
****************************
There are twelve post-season games including the Pro Bowl (don't laugh, I hit my Post Season GOY last year on the Pro Bowl OVER) which means limited opportunites. I may end up with a Post Season GOY or may not (I didn't have a Bowl GOY and considering how I did in the bowls that's a good thing); it'll depend on whether I find a real strong play. My top plays 2* and over ended the NFL 13-3 and I'm 5-0 pro and college combined on plays 3* and up. So I'm very picky with my top plays and have one this weekend.
2* Bengals +3
(This line is still available at Millenium and a few other books. Buy up if necessary.) The wrong team is favored in this game. Home dogs in the wild card round are a perfect 6-0 ATS since 1994 and for good reason. The home team has the better record and is at home. People are overreacting to Pittsburgh's strong finish. Cincy's lousy play the last two weeks is irrelevant; they had no reason to win. The Bengals have perhaps the second best offense in the league and Pittsburgh's strong defense won't shut them down. The Steelers can't play a shoot-out type game with their ball control offense and will be in big trouble if they fall behind. This is the Bengals' first playoff game in several years and the crowd and team will be juiced. I came very close to making this my post-season GOY.
1* Giants -2 1/2
I really like New York's offense and the defense, while inconsistent, has had some strong games. Carolina was my pre-season pick to win the Super Bowl and while they have come on very strong down the stretch they are facing the winner of the toughest division in the entire league. To go 11-5 while facing the AFC West in non-conf play and two games each against Dallas and Washington is very impressive. Giants by 7.
Opinion only: Jaguars
I don't normally write up opinions but New England is a flawed team. All of the injuries and coaching losses have taken a toll. I think the Pats may be emotionally spent after their great second half comeback and while they may win today I see no chance of them returning to the Super Bowl. Jacksonville has a nice defense and should keep the game competivie and has an outside shot at the upset. If this game were to go to 9, I'll have to consider making it a play.
Barely an opinion: Bucs/Redskins UNDER
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