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I have had 2-weeks back to back - that I would like to forget, everything that could happen did. We all go through them and I feel being a service - I have to keep these bad weeks to a minimum. So I have nothing to sell today and I'm thinking about not selling any plays the rest of the year. See I make my money off of the wagering - just like you guys, the money I charge for the picks is just a small portion and if the plays are not winning - I feel I should not charge. I had a feeling a Bad streak was coming and it did, as I was winning each week till last week and today (Saturday) - So to try and break this streak I will post them here and get them going my way again.
Got these same plays posted at web - site and they will be posted each day there till further notice for Free...
http://www.123freehost.co.uk/sites/tommycandito/
Going with 8-Plays and 4-parlays.
I use certain formulas to handicapp the NFL and most of the formulas have Last weeks performance involved, due factor for either a win or loss, Knowing when a team will have true value or added value due to past weeks scores, also knowing the best teams look great one week and the next week they can be beat by the worst team ect.. In other words - I get a feel for why the number is what it is and then after I get the enire card handicapped - I either play or pass and this week - I will pass on several plays and take the 8 that I feel are in the better spots, now I know damn well I will not go 8-0 "I could" but lets be real odds are against us and it almost never happens, so factor in before wagering that some of these plays will lose. This factor is the main reason I do not do GOY type stuff any more - I handicapp games and have no idea after I get my edge - what play or teams will be the best, I just got to go with the flow and hope for the best. So the 8-plays should be played the same and lets hope for a 6-2 or 5-3 day.
1) Vikings +3.5 *Falcons win on road last week 41-0 over Carolina and this is the type of score that tells me that the oddsmaker will adjust a little more - since most Public Bettors (squares) will play red hot Falcons no matter the spread it could be -6, -7 and they would still bet Atlanta, because of the roll they are on and them putting up the 41 spot last week. On the other hand the oddsmaker knows the wiseguy would be all over a home dog with that much "added value" to it - so he makes the number -3.5 (game could go either way and we all know that - but based on my years doing this, it looks to me that Vikings will get the cover as Atlanta will not be able to shut down Vikings and Vikings will be able to score on Falcons - so IMO game will be a complete opposite of last weeks Carolina/Atlanta Game.
2) SD Chargers +3 - Another Home Dog that will be ready to play this week - Last week they scored 3pts and gave up 30 to the Dolphins, so public sees that plus they saw Broncos lose and not they see -3 and the rest is history. Broncos may look better than last week vs. Colts - but they are still a little too banged up and Chargers will be alot better than a Field Goal at home - even factoring that this is a day game where Broncos win - I feel not only do we get the ATS win a SU win is possible.
3) Buffalo +2.5 - Well Bills are due and where else (Home) and who better (Miami) to get this done? Perfect spot for Bills as they look very bad at this point and public will be getting off of the Bills train after a few tough losses and get on board with a suddenly hot Miami team once again, But just got the feeling that Bills give Miami 1 hell of a game and this one goes to the wire and a SU win for Bills would not surprise me in the least.
4) Carolina +8 - OK you guys can stop laughing now.... I know they have Rodney Peete and he looks like he gains 10-20LBS more each week, but he's a question mark anyway and everyone and their mother loves the Browns in this one as they shocked the world and beat the Saints in a game the same people were calling a "LOCK" - but we know better right? or do we? Come on - Browns shold win this by 2 TDS right? well they could and should - but probaly wont - this is the NFL you know.
5) Jax Jags +3 - the most unpredictable team in the NFL, but thats good for me as I have been right on most of Jags games this year as the are night and day never show up to play the same from 1 week to another - Last week lose to Dallas and now they have to play Pitt, easy right? Well I think so and feel Jags will get it together and play to win this game over Pitt who are due to slip at anytime as 2 weeks ago they lose big lead to Atlanta and settle for tie and last week was in a war with Bengals just to get a SU win.
6) Arizona +9.5 - Still laughing because of the Carolina play or are you laughing at the team with the most bad luck ever in the NFL? Cards can never get a break. They play a struggling Seahawk team at home a few weeks back and were in a spot where they should have got a "W" - but were loaded with injuries and fell fast in that game, Raiders came to town and last week and Cards put some points up and just when you thought they were back - the fell again, but we forgot the game in Philly when Donavan McNabb played game with serious injury and picked the Cards apart in a total Blowout - well you may say "they have been due" for awhile and I would agree, but KC is due too and they are at home after losing to the same seahawk team that beat AZ - until I see teams that are due - never get their due, then I will continue the system and believe me Arizona is past Due.
7) Colts -11.5 Colts win big SNF game in Denver last week and are playing Texans and laying DD's over a team that has beat Cowboy's, Jags and Giants - No matter how well Texans looked last week against NYG, they are still an expansion team and last time they came off of a SU win over Jags - they went back home and was all fired up and ready to play and win another game, but the 0-8 or 0-7 anyway the winless Bengals came to town and brought Texans back to earth - Colts do the same here.
8) Saints pk - This is a play that you could make points for on both sides - but bottom line is - this is the type of play I look for. Last week Public played Packers hard as they felt (for some strange reason) that Packers would not, could not absoluty lose 2 games in a row WTF - this is the NFL and did anyone see the Rams record after the first 5 weeks? Buccs got the Big win and they are on a major roll - But Saints are still a good team and will be up for this game - they better be as they do not want to make this another loss at home.
Doing each play for 1* unit each and 1/2* on each parlay.
Parlay 1&2 3&4 5&6 7&8 (looking for 5-3 or 6-2 day and need 2 of 4 parlays to hit, so if plan comes together - we make a nice pay day, if not then we work harder next week. GL Tommy
Got these same plays posted at web - site and they will be posted each day there till further notice for Free...
http://www.123freehost.co.uk/sites/tommycandito/
Going with 8-Plays and 4-parlays.
I use certain formulas to handicapp the NFL and most of the formulas have Last weeks performance involved, due factor for either a win or loss, Knowing when a team will have true value or added value due to past weeks scores, also knowing the best teams look great one week and the next week they can be beat by the worst team ect.. In other words - I get a feel for why the number is what it is and then after I get the enire card handicapped - I either play or pass and this week - I will pass on several plays and take the 8 that I feel are in the better spots, now I know damn well I will not go 8-0 "I could" but lets be real odds are against us and it almost never happens, so factor in before wagering that some of these plays will lose. This factor is the main reason I do not do GOY type stuff any more - I handicapp games and have no idea after I get my edge - what play or teams will be the best, I just got to go with the flow and hope for the best. So the 8-plays should be played the same and lets hope for a 6-2 or 5-3 day.
1) Vikings +3.5 *Falcons win on road last week 41-0 over Carolina and this is the type of score that tells me that the oddsmaker will adjust a little more - since most Public Bettors (squares) will play red hot Falcons no matter the spread it could be -6, -7 and they would still bet Atlanta, because of the roll they are on and them putting up the 41 spot last week. On the other hand the oddsmaker knows the wiseguy would be all over a home dog with that much "added value" to it - so he makes the number -3.5 (game could go either way and we all know that - but based on my years doing this, it looks to me that Vikings will get the cover as Atlanta will not be able to shut down Vikings and Vikings will be able to score on Falcons - so IMO game will be a complete opposite of last weeks Carolina/Atlanta Game.
2) SD Chargers +3 - Another Home Dog that will be ready to play this week - Last week they scored 3pts and gave up 30 to the Dolphins, so public sees that plus they saw Broncos lose and not they see -3 and the rest is history. Broncos may look better than last week vs. Colts - but they are still a little too banged up and Chargers will be alot better than a Field Goal at home - even factoring that this is a day game where Broncos win - I feel not only do we get the ATS win a SU win is possible.
3) Buffalo +2.5 - Well Bills are due and where else (Home) and who better (Miami) to get this done? Perfect spot for Bills as they look very bad at this point and public will be getting off of the Bills train after a few tough losses and get on board with a suddenly hot Miami team once again, But just got the feeling that Bills give Miami 1 hell of a game and this one goes to the wire and a SU win for Bills would not surprise me in the least.
4) Carolina +8 - OK you guys can stop laughing now.... I know they have Rodney Peete and he looks like he gains 10-20LBS more each week, but he's a question mark anyway and everyone and their mother loves the Browns in this one as they shocked the world and beat the Saints in a game the same people were calling a "LOCK" - but we know better right? or do we? Come on - Browns shold win this by 2 TDS right? well they could and should - but probaly wont - this is the NFL you know.
5) Jax Jags +3 - the most unpredictable team in the NFL, but thats good for me as I have been right on most of Jags games this year as the are night and day never show up to play the same from 1 week to another - Last week lose to Dallas and now they have to play Pitt, easy right? Well I think so and feel Jags will get it together and play to win this game over Pitt who are due to slip at anytime as 2 weeks ago they lose big lead to Atlanta and settle for tie and last week was in a war with Bengals just to get a SU win.
6) Arizona +9.5 - Still laughing because of the Carolina play or are you laughing at the team with the most bad luck ever in the NFL? Cards can never get a break. They play a struggling Seahawk team at home a few weeks back and were in a spot where they should have got a "W" - but were loaded with injuries and fell fast in that game, Raiders came to town and last week and Cards put some points up and just when you thought they were back - the fell again, but we forgot the game in Philly when Donavan McNabb played game with serious injury and picked the Cards apart in a total Blowout - well you may say "they have been due" for awhile and I would agree, but KC is due too and they are at home after losing to the same seahawk team that beat AZ - until I see teams that are due - never get their due, then I will continue the system and believe me Arizona is past Due.
7) Colts -11.5 Colts win big SNF game in Denver last week and are playing Texans and laying DD's over a team that has beat Cowboy's, Jags and Giants - No matter how well Texans looked last week against NYG, they are still an expansion team and last time they came off of a SU win over Jags - they went back home and was all fired up and ready to play and win another game, but the 0-8 or 0-7 anyway the winless Bengals came to town and brought Texans back to earth - Colts do the same here.
8) Saints pk - This is a play that you could make points for on both sides - but bottom line is - this is the type of play I look for. Last week Public played Packers hard as they felt (for some strange reason) that Packers would not, could not absoluty lose 2 games in a row WTF - this is the NFL and did anyone see the Rams record after the first 5 weeks? Buccs got the Big win and they are on a major roll - But Saints are still a good team and will be up for this game - they better be as they do not want to make this another loss at home.
Doing each play for 1* unit each and 1/2* on each parlay.
Parlay 1&2 3&4 5&6 7&8 (looking for 5-3 or 6-2 day and need 2 of 4 parlays to hit, so if plan comes together - we make a nice pay day, if not then we work harder next week. GL Tommy
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