*** Saturday

[XXX]

MLB

Brewers

Brew/Reds Under



NHL

Sens +300 to win Stanley Cup



***I love the Ducks and I think theyre solid, BUT I think the East wins the Cup...I also think if the Sens win 2day they win the series...so, Im taking a nice home run shot with them to win the cup....best of luck to everyone

[JOE P]

Have you ever tracked your results based on the time you post? Just wondered if there was a big difference in your plays posted right before games vs. 15-20 mins before. I know you follow money so was curious if your plays would change last minute. Thanks and GL!!!!

[XXX]

MLB


Rockies

Rockies/Expos OVER



GLTA

[XXX]

Joe P

I've been BURNED in the last several minutes and locked in a bet...it is EXTREMELY difficult to gather all the information, dissect, and apply it all at once...so, I don't have an exact answer for you but like Ive said, Ive been caught before...for example few weeks ago when I had the Under in the Kings-Jazz game...That game looked like a sure Under until I got some info right after the tip and at halftime and I posted no way in hell that game was going under...cause I really don't care how many people (how many tickets) are on a side...that's not a good enough indicator to fade...I care about money and lines...lets say a NFL game is at 1pm est and I post a team at 12:55...now what if Bill Gates comes in and bets on MY team for a ton...guess what? Now I AM the public...here is something VERY common that happens: FADERS BECOME THE PUBLIC MANY TIMES!!!....there are TONS and TONS and TONS of gamblers out there...and EVERYONE knows about fading and public, etc etc....so, how do you find the "exact" public? It's VERY difficult...that's why I like to be careful and at least be on the side of the lines that "favor" a team...There is no doubt the oddsmakers (line setters) have a good idea of the winning side. Best of luck to you today

[XXX]

MLB


Balt O's

[XXX]

NBA

Nothing big tonight and will just go with normal wagers as usual...thought Id go with Dallas but have to go the other way


Kings +3.5

Under 218



GLTA

[XXX]

1st half plays


KINGS +2

UNDER 110.5


GLTA

[XXX]

Upgrade on the NBA plays to H-U-G-E!!!

[knockonwood]

Well said to JoeP ***, that's why it's hard to post early sometimes!!! Best of Luck to You!!! Knock!

[XXX]

Knock

Hey...I see you're on the Kings big also...always like it when we agree...Kings and under WILL hit


***I'll be the 1st to admit I was surprised the public bet Mavs and Over...I definitely thought they'd consider it was a game 7 and both teams would play more set offense and for that matter more defense...I also thought they'd take into consideration the Kings have the game 7 "experience"and the maturity...if any team chokes it'll be the Mavs...I might be way over confident on these plays but we'll see...Your thoughts?

[knockonwood]

Trust me X, when I saw you post Sac. it made me feel alot Better!!! I really think it' going to be a close game but really liked Sac., even though I really think it will come down to the final shot!!! Love the under also but thought it could go into overtime but the way it looks, it may take 2 O.T. to put it over. X, always pull for you and Wish you the Best!!! Looking at Det. tomorrow plus the pts. but way to early to tell right now! Take Care!!! Knock! My man had Sac. plus 4!!!

[XXX]

Knock

Good luck to you as well


***In regards to Nets-Pistons, did you see the series price on that? Nets MINUS 300!!! That is a huge huge huge price to lay versus the number one team that HAS home court...I thought it was a rat when I saw Jersey close to minus 400 at some places versus Celts and this might be a rat also...Series action TELLS a lot...the only thing that scares me with the Kings is that I know the ENTIRE world has the Kings for the series so Vegas needs the Mavs for the series...How great woud it be for them to get a Kings cover but a Mavs straight up? That woud be a perfect situation fr them and I think that's what happens tonight...we shal see

[XXX]

MLB


D"BACKS BIG

[savage1]

***-I recall about a week ago when we were discussing value up here re: series prices.
You said that there was great series value on the Lakers after they were down 2-0 in their series.
I stated that even better value was taking Dallas down only 1 game in their series and catching 7 1/2-1 to one odds.
Granted this was before injury to Webber, and certainly hindsight is easy, but boy I for one am sorry I didn't follow my own advice.
Yes, it can be stated that Kings might have won with Webber, but on the other hand when you take 7 1/2 odds as stated above ,there always is the chance of something unforeseen happening, and in this case bad for Kings bettors and great for those who played Dallas for the season or even bettor for those who had foresight to take the Mavs at 7.5 -1.

[XXX]

Savage

I do remember and that was a great value call by you...Ive been posting who the publics been playing in each series and will post 2morrow for the next two...Let us know who you like...Insights are always appreciated....heres how the public fared if anyone missed previous posts

Sixers (public burial)

Kings (public burial and it was minus 300 plus)

Celts (didn't seem like a bad idea taking a long shot chance)

Spurs (public won this series)

NHL

Wild (public loss)

Devils (ouch looks like public win)


Next round odds

Nets -320

Spurs-400


Those are some HUGE HUGE odds...should be intersting...Im guessing that the public will be ALL OVER the dogs...series actions are GREAT indicators and great indicators to bet game to game...last night I was flirting with going Mavs for a 20X play until info today...a fader had to believe Mavs would win series but not cover...also very interesting how the over almost came in which was very surprising...but one must be excited for the next rounds as Spurs-Dallas is a matchup that will be VERY tough to pick the totals...You have an extreme fast team versus a slow team...These totals will be awesome to watch...and for that matter same in the East...Nets run and Pistons opposite...So I am VERY anxious to see how the totals fare in the next rounds...Best of luck to you and GREAT GREAT GREAT call on Mavs winning the series...Let me know who you like....I still think the West walks over the East. I think Dallas can handle Jersey as well. We shall see...Best of luck