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The Record :
Sides: 48-33
Totals: 42-23
Overall: 90–56
There has been a changing in side / total performance the last 2 weeks. The side plays have been smoking while totals have slipped.
The true art of handicapping the NFL ( or any other sport ) lies in picking dogs which win straight up, and we’ve had lots of juicy ones this year. Let’s hope it continues this weekend.
Again I think the underdogs will do well .
I like today’s card a lot , which has me a little concerned. Sorry for so many plays but I must report my findings without emotion and there are good reasons for everything I’ve chosen. I have many side and totals plays which show a big edge and I’m not about to rule out any of them for the sake of not playing too many games. It is what it is.
A word of caution … Beware of strangers bearing gifts today … some games appear too darn easy. There are no gifts.
Here in my heart I would like to express my warmest wishes to you and your loved ones. Enjoy yourselves to the fullest ! Health , Safety and Happiness.
Now let’s try to make a buck.
Top Totals: ( With the team’s Over / Under tendency in parentheses )
Pittsburgh ( 0/24 ) / Cleveland ( 0/21 ) … + an 0/13 League System …. UNDER
Detroit ( 29/0 ) / New Orleans ( 10/0 ) … OVER
NY Giants ( 0/7 ) / Washington ( 0/25 ) + a League System of 2/18 … UNDER
San Francisco ( 7/1 ) / St. Louis ( 14/0 ) … OVER
Oakland ( 0/15 ) / Denver ( 0/6 ) + a league System of 0/7 …. UNDER
Dallas ( 0/11 ) / Carolina ( 0/8 ) … UNDER
Philadelphia ( 0/30 ) / Arizona ( 0/5 ) …. UNDER
Top Side Plays:
Dallas, taking 5 , at Carolina … Also today’s Money Line Play … Knowing full and well that Bledsoe is awful, I don’t think Dallas will pack it in today … just as long as Drew does exactly what Coach Parcells tells him to do … If he is forced to ad – lib , Julius and Co. will eat him alive. I’m expecting this one to be very competitive … apparently so does the Linesmaker … Panthers –5 looks a little thin … I would have made them –3 in Dallas and 9 ½ at home. When this happens I take the side of my best friend who just happens to be The World’s Greatest Handicapper.
Buffalo , taking 14 , at Cincinnati … as a shocker . The real question is will The Bengals get it up for this game and play with maximum intensity. They are in a 2-21 ATS league situation.
Atlanta, taking 3 , at Tampa Bay … a sneaky , contrary play, borne mainly out of reverse logic. I think Vick will come up big.
Kansas City , taking 1, at home vs. San Diego …. Seeing more opinions on The Chargers all week …. San Diego caught The Colts in a no – try last week . K.C. has always been a profitable home dog and I’m hoping for a typical Arrowhead Ambush. ( For selfish reasons I want SD to make the playoffs but I can’t let that interfere with how I think this game will play out )
Arizona , giving 1 at home over Philadelphia … Last week we had Houston + vs The Cards. … I’ll repeat what I mentioned then … Arizona fakes the crap out of a lot of cappers ( good and bad ) in the last few games of every season . Remember when they knocked Minnesota out of the playoffs 2 years ago as a +8 dog ? Had The Cards on the ML that day. Today the public very well might be having a lingering bad taste in their mouths from last week and play Philly. That’s emotional … and expensive. ! I’ll wait , see what The Squares are doing , and probably bump up my Cardinal position. Besides , why are the favored with banged up QB’s ?
Oakland , taking 13 but waiting for a possible 14, over Denver … “13 “ is a suspicious number and I’m willing to believe that if Christmas Eve drinking starts early today during the earlier games, the public will flex their alcoholic muscles with a Denver bale out . The Raiders could very well keep this game shockingly close, especially with evidence that the game will be a low scoring affair . Denver in same situation as Cincinnati ( 2-21 ATS )
Opinions:
Indianapolis / Seattle … Why guess on how the events of the past week will either rally The Colt Family or cause them to be disheveled altogether ? Either one could happen. It’s a glorified Pre – Season game. I have no interest in this one. If you watch this game today try not to let it influence how you approach these 2 teams in the upcoming weeks.
NY Giants / Washington … I’m trying to separate any feeling I may have for Joe Gibbs in capping this game. From a coaching standpoint , over the years he has made me the most money as a “play –on” . ( Shottenheimer , Jim Mora Sr. , and Dennis Green made me a bunch also , playing against them in big playoff games … Marv Levy too … in Super Bowls ) The Skins blitzed Bledsoe last week ( I thought they would ) and turned him into Guava Jelly . They seem to be peaking at just the right time.
That being said , I haven’t seen one Giant opinion with any firm conviction, and so far every service tout has put out a play on Washington today , with a few of them having The Skins as their Game of the Year. I’ll stay with the Under only .
See you tomorrow,
As Always,
Best of Luck
Neil
Sides: 48-33
Totals: 42-23
Overall: 90–56
There has been a changing in side / total performance the last 2 weeks. The side plays have been smoking while totals have slipped.
The true art of handicapping the NFL ( or any other sport ) lies in picking dogs which win straight up, and we’ve had lots of juicy ones this year. Let’s hope it continues this weekend.
Again I think the underdogs will do well .
I like today’s card a lot , which has me a little concerned. Sorry for so many plays but I must report my findings without emotion and there are good reasons for everything I’ve chosen. I have many side and totals plays which show a big edge and I’m not about to rule out any of them for the sake of not playing too many games. It is what it is.
A word of caution … Beware of strangers bearing gifts today … some games appear too darn easy. There are no gifts.
Here in my heart I would like to express my warmest wishes to you and your loved ones. Enjoy yourselves to the fullest ! Health , Safety and Happiness.
Now let’s try to make a buck.
Top Totals: ( With the team’s Over / Under tendency in parentheses )
Pittsburgh ( 0/24 ) / Cleveland ( 0/21 ) … + an 0/13 League System …. UNDER
Detroit ( 29/0 ) / New Orleans ( 10/0 ) … OVER
NY Giants ( 0/7 ) / Washington ( 0/25 ) + a League System of 2/18 … UNDER
San Francisco ( 7/1 ) / St. Louis ( 14/0 ) … OVER
Oakland ( 0/15 ) / Denver ( 0/6 ) + a league System of 0/7 …. UNDER
Dallas ( 0/11 ) / Carolina ( 0/8 ) … UNDER
Philadelphia ( 0/30 ) / Arizona ( 0/5 ) …. UNDER
Top Side Plays:
Dallas, taking 5 , at Carolina … Also today’s Money Line Play … Knowing full and well that Bledsoe is awful, I don’t think Dallas will pack it in today … just as long as Drew does exactly what Coach Parcells tells him to do … If he is forced to ad – lib , Julius and Co. will eat him alive. I’m expecting this one to be very competitive … apparently so does the Linesmaker … Panthers –5 looks a little thin … I would have made them –3 in Dallas and 9 ½ at home. When this happens I take the side of my best friend who just happens to be The World’s Greatest Handicapper.
Buffalo , taking 14 , at Cincinnati … as a shocker . The real question is will The Bengals get it up for this game and play with maximum intensity. They are in a 2-21 ATS league situation.
Atlanta, taking 3 , at Tampa Bay … a sneaky , contrary play, borne mainly out of reverse logic. I think Vick will come up big.
Kansas City , taking 1, at home vs. San Diego …. Seeing more opinions on The Chargers all week …. San Diego caught The Colts in a no – try last week . K.C. has always been a profitable home dog and I’m hoping for a typical Arrowhead Ambush. ( For selfish reasons I want SD to make the playoffs but I can’t let that interfere with how I think this game will play out )
Arizona , giving 1 at home over Philadelphia … Last week we had Houston + vs The Cards. … I’ll repeat what I mentioned then … Arizona fakes the crap out of a lot of cappers ( good and bad ) in the last few games of every season . Remember when they knocked Minnesota out of the playoffs 2 years ago as a +8 dog ? Had The Cards on the ML that day. Today the public very well might be having a lingering bad taste in their mouths from last week and play Philly. That’s emotional … and expensive. ! I’ll wait , see what The Squares are doing , and probably bump up my Cardinal position. Besides , why are the favored with banged up QB’s ?
Oakland , taking 13 but waiting for a possible 14, over Denver … “13 “ is a suspicious number and I’m willing to believe that if Christmas Eve drinking starts early today during the earlier games, the public will flex their alcoholic muscles with a Denver bale out . The Raiders could very well keep this game shockingly close, especially with evidence that the game will be a low scoring affair . Denver in same situation as Cincinnati ( 2-21 ATS )
Opinions:
Indianapolis / Seattle … Why guess on how the events of the past week will either rally The Colt Family or cause them to be disheveled altogether ? Either one could happen. It’s a glorified Pre – Season game. I have no interest in this one. If you watch this game today try not to let it influence how you approach these 2 teams in the upcoming weeks.
NY Giants / Washington … I’m trying to separate any feeling I may have for Joe Gibbs in capping this game. From a coaching standpoint , over the years he has made me the most money as a “play –on” . ( Shottenheimer , Jim Mora Sr. , and Dennis Green made me a bunch also , playing against them in big playoff games … Marv Levy too … in Super Bowls ) The Skins blitzed Bledsoe last week ( I thought they would ) and turned him into Guava Jelly . They seem to be peaking at just the right time.
That being said , I haven’t seen one Giant opinion with any firm conviction, and so far every service tout has put out a play on Washington today , with a few of them having The Skins as their Game of the Year. I’ll stay with the Under only .
See you tomorrow,
As Always,
Best of Luck
Neil
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