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  • #1

    Another NCAA Winner

    Been looking over the basketball tonight and will change up to ML play on this one.

    $840 to win $500- Parlay

    LSU -280 - Moneyline
    Western Kentucky -600

    Liberty +8 1/2 1sr Half Winner against Miss. ST
    Last edited by Spearit; 12-19-2005, 06:41 PM.
    "The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.
    Tags: None
  • #2
    best of luck Spearit

    Comment

    • #3
      Sorry about the word -another- that was wrong of me.

      Just see so many not winning and this one is easy.
      I like to find advantages in winning as we all do- so I rarely go head to head with vegas. Instead I tease or parlay and am considered an exotic bettor'. Yes, I wear a feather in my ball cap and sit by the com-puda in flannel shorts - its not pretty.

      About LSU
      Houston needed 54 % shooting to beat LSU by one. Both squads play good defensive ball and N. Iowa is no slouch. They beat Iowa at N. Iowa by 4. But not here and not tonight.
      I believe LSU wins the first half by 6 or more and N. Iowa makes a run late.

      About N. Iowa
      N IOWA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
      The average score was N IOWA 75.2, OPPONENT 62.8 - (Rating = 1*)
      N IOWA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.
      The average score was N IOWA 75.8, OPPONENT 66.6 - (Rating = 0*)
      N IOWA is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
      The average score was N IOWA 67.3, OPPONENT 68.1 - (Rating = 2*)

      More About LSU
      LSU is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
      The average score was LSU 77.9, OPPONENT 69.7 - (Rating = 4*)
      LSU is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.
      The average score was LSU 72.3, OPPONENT 70.6 - (Rating = 0*)
      LSU is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) versus excellent teams - shooting >=45% with a defense of <=42% over the last 2 seasons.
      The average score was LSU 74.9, OPPONENT 69.5 - (Rating = 4*)
      LSU is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) versus excellent teams - shooting >=45% with a defense of <=42% over the last 2 seasons.
      The average score was LSU 74.9, OPPONENT 69.5 - (Rating = 4*)
      LSU is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games versus very good shooting teams - making >=48% of their shots over the last 3 seasons.
      The average score was LSU 73.4, OPPONENT 63.9 - (Rating = 2*)
      LSU is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% over the last 2 seasons.
      The average score was LSU 75.2, OPPONENT 70.3 - (Rating = 3*)
      LSU is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.
      The average score was LSU 79.7, OPPONENT 69.8 - (Rating = 1*)
      LSU is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
      The average score was LSU 78.2, OPPONENT 68.7 - (Rating = 4*)
      LSU is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
      The average score was LSU 78.9, OPPONENT 69.5 - (Rating = 3*)
      "The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.

      Comment

      • #4
        Told ya I would only write in if I had a winner to share. This bet style is credible. You have to risk more to get a decent payout.

        Concerning W. Kentucky

        Well this is the power of the opponents played- C FLORIDA 60.9, W KENTUCKY 72.4. Central Fla has played some real doozies to get to 5-2. I live in Fla and Stetson, Bethune Cookman, Rolllins and Nova is not worth mentioning. They were beaten by Fl Atlantic by (5) and by Fla. handily by 33 points.

        On the other hand W. Kentucky has beaten two gay guys named Bob (Oral Roberts), IUPUI (sounds gayish), UAB, Evansville, and E. Kentucky. They lost to Georgia (by 4) earlier, and then Pacific (by 16)and Bradley (by 2) the last two games.

        In 250 simulated games, W KENTUCKY won the game straight up 168 times, while C FLORIDA won 74 times. Close to 75%

        Play On - A favorite (W KENTUCKY) - after scoring 75 points or more 5 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 125 points or less 2 straight games.
        (36-12 since 1997.) 75%
        :christmas
        Last edited by Spearit; 12-19-2005, 08:09 PM.
        "The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.

        Comment

        • #5
          We have a WINNER
          Western Kentucky won by 5
          Now we await the LSU game
          "The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.

          Comment

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