Someone said to me in a private email that a lot of sports players whould do much better if there was not money involved. I believe that to be true. Money can seem to taint one's mind in any field.
I have noticed you have a wide range in your betting units. Maybe you should go back and look at your winning percentage over the years and narrow that down a little.
Yeah hey it is great on the way up, but it hurt a lot more on the way back down.
I know nothing about sports, but I am good at money management. I also know how I feel when I loose. Someone posted a "strong" play here the recently and I was very tempted to go big on it with money I could not afford to loose. Thinking about how I would feel if I lost, I am glad I did not go big as it lost.
Shorty, you rock bro, I have been here for almost three years now and if I knew anything about capping, I would post more. Just keep on doing what you are as your record over the long run is admirable.
Someone said to me in a private email that a lot of sports players whould do much better if there was not money involved. I believe that to be true. Money can seem to taint one's mind in any field.
I have noticed you have a wide range in your betting units. Maybe you should go back and look at your winning percentage over the years and narrow that down a little.
Yeah hey it is great on the way up, but it hurt a lot more on the way back down.
I know nothing about sports, but I am good at money management. I also know how I feel when I loose. Someone posted a "strong" play here the recently and I was very tempted to go big on it with money I could not afford to loose. Thinking about how I would feel if I lost, I am glad I did not go big as it lost.
Shorty, you rock bro, I have been here for almost three years now and if I knew anything about capping, I would post more. Just keep on doing what you are as your record over the long run is admirable.
Take Care
Chad
and I wish you would post more Chad ... i always enjoy reading your posts ... thanks
This is where I lost my grand. GOD DAMN IT. Still remember that shit. I had it at 7 but fucken Reed ran that shit back. What a bastard! He could have kneeled it and I would have only lost juice. 'Til this day, I want to kill Ed Reed. (dont tell him that, I bet he can kill me b4 I can kill him)
god i remember that game. i had a ton on the ravens and subtracted my losses as they went for 2. then they got it and i told myself that the browns were going to go right down the field like the ravens we not even on the carpet. in true nfl fashion they did. thank god garcia tossed that pick
I say work through it if you're financially able to.
I play many, many, games 7 days a week. I have 3 day stretches that some might consider a horrible Month for them. If i change my style of capping or back off too much in the money, i will limit my chances to work it back my way.
I know alot probably disagree with that thinking but if you can afford it i say keep capping and playing like you would if you were even or up 20 units on the year. The minute you start questioning yourself, your picks, or your style of capping, you will second guess every decision and find losers on the board. You will hit a hot streak and the law of averages will prove that to be true if you have any knowledge of handicapping to help yourself and you clearly do.
I say keep on keepin' on and ride out the storm (if possible)!
Well, I have seen the best and worst of times. It has never been a ride that has taken to me an ultimate high or an ultimate low. When you lose, it always takes you down, but you have to account for that. When you win, it takes you to a high, but you know it won't last. It's a long season, and you can NEVER count on winning on a consistent basis. The best you can hope for is 60%. That is a winning season, in my opinion. As long as your more profitable bets are on the winning side. From what I have learned: Only wager more on bets that have a higher percentage to win. Two years ago I could not get ahead to save my life. I changed my strategy...do not bet over $300. What would be a GOY would be a $400 bet. I started getting a phobia about $500 bets. If I wagered $500, I would lose every time. I started betting $400 or $600 on a wager.....I was winning. It wasn't the fact that I wasn't betting $500, but the fact that it became a superstition to me. It clouded my judgement. Someone said that, "it's a marathon, not a sprint". That is the truth. I place my wagers on a day-to-day basis. I want to win my wagers placed on a certain day. Don't plan on making up losses. Plan to win every day! BE VERY SELECTIVE!!! Everyone hits a slump. I hit a slump as soon as I started posting on this forum. But I said in a post that I would start posting, and praising anyone that posted a thread I read. I have held to that statement. Just choose wisely, and use other peeps opinions as a capping utinsil. My 2 cents.
I have a 1957 Ben Franklin Half Dollar which I flip on occasion(I have talked about this before)if there is a game where I lean one way but want "confirmation" from my coin OR if I am on a losing streak and I need an ''independent" source to pick a few games or totals;you would be surprised at how many times the "coin" has come through for me.
I have a 1957 Ben Franklin Half Dollar which I flip on occasion(I have talked about this before)if there is a game where I lean one way but want "confirmation" from my coin OR if I am on a losing streak and I need an ''independent" source to pick a few games or totals;you would be surprised at how many times the "coin" has come through for me.
had a buddy of mine who had a black cat,he would throw a black and a white rubber dodge ball across the room-if the cat pounced on the white ball first he took the fav-if the cat jumped the black ball he took the dog-after going about 1 out of 20-he shot the cat!!
DON'T YOU EAT THE YELLOW SNOW !! PS-MARVIN LOVES SPLIT SALAD !!
Chung-thats a good one(not for the cat I guess).
Your buddy should have simply figured out after a while that the cat wasn't wrong-he was! In short, the black ball should have represented the favorite and the white ball the dog(actually I shouldn't use the word "dog" when speaking of cats).
hang in there until late jan. and feb. when you start getting those games with below .500 teams...those games with absolutely nothing at stake are great plays...last year i played this system taking the dogs that were getting between 4-8pts in those match-ups.... you wouldn't believe how often they won outright...it's just to early right now to get any kind of feel...i find one of the best ways to cap college buckets is to follow a couple of teams in each confernce.. for example , last year i followed buffalo and auburn very closely and worked out pretty good , i knew when they laid an egg in the last time out , i knew when they destroyed the number last time out , i knew when someone was hurt and it keeps you as up to speed as possible... if you try to follow every team that way , you'll go nuts , it's too much...
Shorty,
Heres my take on gambling and i wish i could have the discipline to actually follow what i know to be true.
The problem all gamblers have and the reason we all endup losing is because we dont know when to quit and walk away with profits. Reason being is 95 percent of us dont look at gambling as a business, we look at it as a challenge or entertainment with the hopes of winning money, but not as a business.
Heres what i mean, if you looked at gambling as a business, then you would setup goals at the start of every season for every sport and stick to that goal. Lets say your goal for the year is to win 10-15 units in every sport, now lets use baskets as an example. After the first month of the season your record is say 30-10, so your up close to 20 units already, the smart thing to do is stop gambling on that sport and take your profits and start planning your attack on the next sport, but nobody does, myself included. We all believe that we are super cappers and are going to put the books out of business, so we keep gambling thinking, we already went 30-10, so the next 40 games we will go 30-10 again. What happens is we start to lose some games and the next thing you know, your chasing some losses and before you know it, you gave all your profits you were up back. This happens to all of us and if guys dont believe it, then there in denial. This is a very hard way to make money and if it wsnt then you would see handicappers on the forbes list of the richiest people, but you dont. Reason being is cause we all lose in the end, cause we look at this whole gambling thing wrong. I have said it tons of times, you could make a nice pay check if you used discipline.
Pick out a good capper on this board and strictly follow him, until he wins you 5 or 10 units, then stop playing his stuff and wait until the next year to follow again on that sport. Trust me i have studied this very hard and i know it works, am just to friggin addicted to having bets and action on everything, i forgot about the big picture, which really is wanting to win money. If we all used some type of strategy like this, we could tilt the scales to our side a little more, but the books know we are all degenerates and will give back whatever we win, its just a matter of time. How else are they able to stay in business year in and year out. I have been gambling for over 25 years and i truly wish that i never started.
One last thing and i have heard this from people i have told this with before. They say sure if you stop when your 30-10, but what if you go another 30-10, you miss out on making more money and my answer is sure you miss out on more profits, but in stopping you make sure you dont give back anything you already have in your pocket. The whole thing needs to have a set number your trying to hit and stop when you hit that number, even if its 3 days into the season, so what. Take the money and move on.
Well thats some of my thoughts on gambling, hope it helps
good luck
cd
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