College Bowl Plays

[weazel079]

Here is something that I have followed during the Bowl season in years past. Teams that outrush their opponents cover the spread better than 75% of the time in December and January. Also, most of the college teams haven't played a game in a month and the running game is usually not something that becomes out of tempo or rusty. I look for teams that have a solid running game and should definetly out rush there opponent by a good margin. Basically looking for teams that can rush the ball and play solid D.

2* Toledo -3 -106
3* Cal -7 -111
3* Navy -2.5 -112
3* Rutgers +11 -111
3* Oklahoma +3 -106
3* Alabama +2.5 +111
4* Auburn -10.5 -103
2* Ohio State -4 -109
5* West Virginia +7.5 -108 (GOY)
3* Penn St. -7.5 -103

Comments are welcomed. GL

[Hoopsjunkie]

gl bro! Sounds good

[10DimeBry]

like alot of your plays myself. GL this bowl season

[weazel079]

Forgot to put this game in my original post

3*Michigan -11.5 +101

[ChuckLazar]

Except for Toledo and Alab, I love the rest....Good Luck on your Bowl plays

[weazel079]

I'm going to post why I like each pick the day of the game.

Cal-
I don't think Cal will come into this game with a letdown at all after the way they performed last year at the Holiday Bowl getting creamed by Texas Tech. The Golden Bears will still grind with the run game, no matter who plays QB (Levy or Ayoob). The key to the Cal attack is sophomore RB Marshawn Lynch, who ran for 1,052 yards and seven touchdowns, averaging 6.1 yards per carry. If BYU does not stop him the game will get ugly in a hurry. Lynch was fantastic all season and he has a good blend of speed and toughness.
Cal was ranked 10th (234.73)ypg in rushing the ball while BYU's D was ranked 46th (139.27ypg) against the run. Cal won't let down at all. Expect Lynch to rush for 150 yards and Levy to have an efficient game. Cal by 17

Navy-
Unless Colorado St. finds some magical way to stop Navy's rushing attack, which was the best in the league, CSU will have a tough time keeping up. On paper this is a terrible matchup for CSU. CSU was one of the worst temas in the league giving up 200 yards a game on the ground. CSU linebackers are mediocre and aren't speedy enough to shut down the precise Navy ground attack. CSU gave up 190 yards or more in seven games, CSU hasn't been able to stop anyone's ground game, and no one runs it better than Navy. No reason to think anything will change here. Navy's secondary is the real deal with enough talent to keep CSU star WR David Anderson from exploding. CSU's offense was very flaky the second half of the season. Navy will run for 300 yards and convert a few Colorado State turnovers into touchdowns. The Rams won't have an answer for Lamar Owens. Love the midshipmen here. Navy by 10

Bottom line: Both of these games will be decided on how effective Cal and Navy run the ball.

[Spark]

Good Luck Weazel

[TMess]

gl brother..im on 'em.

[Southern Miss]

Bol$$$$

[Spiccoli]

Bump...good info!