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Keep this in mind when betting these bowl games coming up.
Will someone who reads this please bump to first page as the bowls are approaching...I hate to see someone miss this and say damn!
Bet the team you think will win the game! A lot of sports handicapping
involves looking for pointspread value, but in the last 10 years the winner
of a bowl game has covered the pointspread almost 90% of the time.
This percentage is more than 15% higher in bowl games than in regular
season games.
If you like a favorite, there is a smaller chance that the pointspread will
come into play. in college bowl games, I would be more inclined to bet
favorites on a pointspread line.
If you think you have a live underdog, it is more likely that they will win
the game outright in a bowl game, than in a regular season matchup.
I would be more inclined to take a money line price on my underdog plays
in bowl games, than I would be in the regular season.
Here is a statistical abnormality for college bowl games. Underdogs of
7 1/2 to 9 1/2 points win about 25% of their games out right. Double
digit underdogs of 10 points or more, win the game outright at about
the same 25% pace. These double digit dogs, sometimes have money
line payoffs of twice what the smaller underdogs have. If you think a
two touchdown underdog is live, don't be afraid to take them on the
money line. Sometimes you will be getting a huge overlay.
Will someone who reads this please bump to first page as the bowls are approaching...I hate to see someone miss this and say damn!
Bet the team you think will win the game! A lot of sports handicapping
involves looking for pointspread value, but in the last 10 years the winner
of a bowl game has covered the pointspread almost 90% of the time.
This percentage is more than 15% higher in bowl games than in regular
season games.
If you like a favorite, there is a smaller chance that the pointspread will
come into play. in college bowl games, I would be more inclined to bet
favorites on a pointspread line.
If you think you have a live underdog, it is more likely that they will win
the game outright in a bowl game, than in a regular season matchup.
I would be more inclined to take a money line price on my underdog plays
in bowl games, than I would be in the regular season.
Here is a statistical abnormality for college bowl games. Underdogs of
7 1/2 to 9 1/2 points win about 25% of their games out right. Double
digit underdogs of 10 points or more, win the game outright at about
the same 25% pace. These double digit dogs, sometimes have money
line payoffs of twice what the smaller underdogs have. If you think a
two touchdown underdog is live, don't be afraid to take them on the
money line. Sometimes you will be getting a huge overlay.
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